NC State at Virginia Tech Game Matchup

NC State Wolfpack at Virginia Tech Hokies

Saturday, November 18th 2023 (3:30 PM EST)
Virginia Tech -2.5 (40.5) (0) Open: 0.0
NC State 35 - Virginia Tech: 28 (ACC)

Wolfpack (9 - 4) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Dave Doeren (74 - 55)
Avg Score : 29 - 30 (31 - 36 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.4 - 5.6 (#51)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

NCST 2nd straight Road Game
Our Line: NC State -2 (SP+ -4.5)
PPG only: NCST: 26 - VT: 29 (55)
VT Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
NCST Travel: 136 miles

Hokies (7 - 6) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Brent Pry (4 - 10)
Avg Score : 28 - 23 (28 - 18 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.2 - 5.8 (#57)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Off Players
Def Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

NC State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
Thu 8/31	NC State at UConn	-14.5	47.5	W 24 - 14
Sat 9/9	NC State vs Notre Dame	+7.0	49.5	L 24 - 45
Sat 9/16	NC State vs VMI	-42.5	51.0	W 45 - 7
Fri 9/22	NC State at Virginia	-8.5	47.5	W 24 - 21
Fri 9/29	NC State vs Louisville	+3.5	56.5	L 10 - 13
Sat 10/7	NC State vs Marshall	-6.5	44.0	W 48 - 41
Sat 10/14	NC State at Duke	+3.5	44.0	L 3 - 24
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	NC State vs Clemson	+9.5	44.5	W 24 - 17
Sat 11/4	NC State vs Miami	+6.5	44.0	W 20 - 6
Sat 11/11	NC State at Wake Forest	+0.5	42.5	W 26 - 6
Sat 11/18	NC State at Virginia Tech	+2.5	40.5	W 35 - 28
Sat 11/25	NC State vs North Carolina	+2.0	55.0	W 39 - 20
Thu 12/28	NC State vs Kansas State	+3.0	48.5	L 19 - 28

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Virginia Tech's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
Sat 9/2	Virginia Tech vs Old Dominion	-16.0	48.0	W 36 - 17
Sat 9/9	Virginia Tech vs Purdue	-1.5	49.0	L 17 - 24
Sat 9/16	Virginia Tech at Rutgers	+6.5	37.5	L 16 - 35
Sat 9/23	Virginia Tech at Marshall	+5.5	41.5	L 17 - 24
Sat 9/30	Virginia Tech vs Pittsburgh	+3.0	40.0	W 38 - 21
Sat 10/7	Virginia Tech at Florida State	+23.5	52.5	L 17 - 39
Sat 10/14	Virginia Tech vs Wake Forest	-1.5	48.5	W 30 - 13
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/26	Virginia Tech vs Syracuse	-2.5	47.5	W 38 - 10
Sat 11/4	Virginia Tech at Louisville	+9.5	48.5	L 3 - 34
Sat 11/11	Virginia Tech at Boston College	-2.5	48.5	W 48 - 22
Sat 11/18	Virginia Tech vs NC State	-2.5	40.5	L 28 - 35
Sat 11/25	Virginia Tech at Virginia	-2.5	52.5	W 55 - 17
Wed 12/27	Virginia Tech vs Tulane	-13.5	43.5	W 41 - 20

NCST's OC Robert Anae vs VT's DC Chris Marve VT's OC Tyler Bowen vs NCST's DC Tony Gibson

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NCST	.13	39%	28.5	40%	2.81	114	38%	226	3.52	.1	35%	30.2	33%	37%	3.39	57.8	1.2	1.7
VT	.1	38%	28.2	40%	2.95	112	36%	203	2.62	.17	38%	22.8	41%	36%	3.86	57.9	1.4	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NCST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
VT		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NCST Offense	13	28.5	30.8	38.8%	3.52	1.2	20	340	114	226	3.4	44%	55%	40%	38%	16%	.13
VT Defense	11	22.8	18	38%	3.86	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	47%	53%	41%	36%	19%	.17

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NCST Defense	13	30.2	35.5	35.1%	3.39	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	42%	57%	33%	37%	19%	.1
VT Offense	11	28.2	28	37.6%	2.62	1.4	18	315	112	203	3.2	49%	50%	40%	36%	16%	.1

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
NC State	13	31:23	20.4	36%	40%	7.3	57.8	1.2	1.7	6.5	2.2	2	31.6
Virginia Tech	11	29:09	17.5	31%	43%	7.3	57.9	1.4	1.3	6.7	2.1	3	28.4

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NCST Offense	13	44%	40%	34	113.8	3.4	8	.02	2.81	71%	10%	0.82
VT Defense	11	47%	41%	-	-	-	-	.13	2.83	68%	12%	1.08

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NCST Defense	13	42%	33%	-	-	-	-	.01	2.51	53%	11%	1.04
VT Offense	11	49%	40%	35.3	111.8	3.2	15	.08	2.95	74%	10%	0.91

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NCST Offense	13	55%	38%	20.7	36.2	226.1	6.2	10.9	23	8	.25	1.5	35%	27%	.32	6%	2.1
VT Defense	11	53%	36%	-	-	-	-	-	-	4	.25	1.7	36%	27%	.32	6%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NCST Defense	13	57%	37%	-	-	-	-	-	-	19	.2	1.6	38%	30%	.36	8%	2
VT Offense	11	50%	36%	18.5	31.5	202.9	6.5	11	9	9	.15	1.5	35%	27%	.31	6%	2.2

NC State's Power Ratings
NC State's Power Rating: 5.66 #34
NC State's Offense Rating: 14.92 #83
NC State's Defense Rating: 3.52 #17
2023 Talent Rating: 670.00 #58
Blue Chip Ratio: 18% #34
NC State's 2023 Expected Record: 7.40 - 5.60
NC State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.4 #30
NC State's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.6 #69
NC State's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.9 #16

NC State's SP+ Ratings
NC State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.4 #30
NC State's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.6 #69
NC State's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.9 #16

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 758.94
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
NC State: 5.66 Virginia Tech: 3.51

SP+ Ratings Matchup
NC State: 9.4 Virginia Tech: 4.7

Virginia Tech's Power Ratings
Virginia Tech's Power Rating: 3.51 #54
Virginia Tech's Offense Rating: 17.22 #58
Virginia Tech's Defense Rating: 9.01 #61
2023 Talent Rating: 818.00 #26
Blue Chip Ratio: 7 #57
Virginia Tech's 2023 Expected Record: 7.20 - 5.80

Virginia Tech's SP+ Ratings
Virginia Tech's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.7 #46
Virginia Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #65
Virginia Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.7 #44

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 758.94
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

NC State Scoring
Offense: 28.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.8
Defense: 30.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.5

NC State's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Virginia Tech 29
NC State 26

Projected Total Points: 55

Virginia Tech Scoring
Offense: 28.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 28
Defense: 22.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 18

Virginia Tech's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	11/18	Virginia Tech	28	NC State	35	NC State	Virginia Tech -2.5	NC State	40.5	Over
2022	10/27	NC State	22	Virginia Tech	21	NC State	NC State -13	Virginia Tech	39.0	Over
2020	09/26	Virginia Tech	45	NC State	24	Virginia Tech	Virginia Tech -6.5	Virginia Tech	57.5	Over
2015	10/09	Virginia Tech	28	NC State	13	Virginia Tech	Virginia Tech -2	Virginia Tech	44.0	Under
2010	10/02	NC State	30	Virginia Tech	41	Virginia Tech
2009	11/21	Virginia Tech	38	NC State	10	Virginia Tech
2005	09/04	NC State	16	Virginia Tech	20	Virginia Tech
2004	09/25	Virginia Tech	16	NC State	17	NC State

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Virginia Tech	5	3	3 Overs
NC State	3	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	4 - 4	2 - 2	2 - 2	0 - 0
Road Teams	4 - 4	2 - 2	0 - 0	2 - 2

(#34) NC State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 5.66 #34
Offense Rating: 14.92 #83
Defense Rating: 3.52 #17
Overall SP+ Rating: 9.4 #30
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.6 #69
Defense SP+ Rating: 18.9 #16
Talent Rating: 670.00 #58
Blue Chip Ratio: 18% #34
Expected Record: 7.40 - 5.60

NC State Ratings Matchup Virginia Tech

Power #34

#54

Off #83

#58

Def #17

#61

Talent #58

#26

SP+ #30

#46

SP+ Off #69

#65

SP+ Def #16

#44

Rematch from Week 12
Virginia Tech -2.5 (40.5)
NC State won at Virginia Tech this year (35-28)

Previous Matchups
NC State beat Virginia Tech in 2023 (35-28)
NC State beat Virginia Tech in 2022 (22-21)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Lane Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 51°

Team Information
Injuries: NCST | VT
Depth Chart: NCST | VT
Rosters: NCST | VT

(#54) Virginia Tech Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 3.51 #54
Offense Rating: 17.22 #58
Defense Rating: 9.01 #61
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.7 #46
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #65
Defense SP+ Rating: 23.7 #44
Talent Rating: 818.00 #26
Blue Chip Ratio: 7 #57
Expected Record: 7.20 - 5.80

NC State's OC Robert Anae

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Virginia Tech's OC Tyler Bowen

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

NC State's DC Tony Gibson

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Virginia Tech's DC Chris Marve

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD