Arkansas State at Oklahoma Game Matchup

Arkansas State Red Wolves at Oklahoma Sooners

Saturday, September 2nd 2023 (12:00 PM EDT)
Oklahoma -36 (57.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Oklahoma 73 - Arkansas State: 0

Red Wolves (6 - 7) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach Butch Jones (6 - 21)
Avg Score : 26 - 32 (21 - 37 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.7 - 7.3 (#83)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: Oklahoma -28 (SP+ -24)
PPG only: ARST: 24 - OKLA: 28 (52)
OKLA Win prob: 97% | Cover: 58%
ARST Travel: 383 miles

Sooners (10 - 3) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Brent Venables (9 - 7)
Avg Score : 24 - 22 (30 - 16 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10.9 - 2.1 (#5)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Off Players
Def Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Arkansas State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
Sat 9/2	Arkansas State at Oklahoma	+36.0	57.5	L 0 - 73
Sat 9/9	Arkansas State vs Memphis	+21.0	57.0	L 3 - 37
Sat 9/16	Arkansas State vs Stony Brook	-24.0	47.5	W 31 - 7
Sat 9/23	Arkansas State vs Southern Miss	+7.0	46.5	W 44 - 37
Sat 9/30	Arkansas State at Massachusetts	+2.5	55.5	W 52 - 28
Sat 10/7	Arkansas State at Troy	+15.5	52.0	L 3 - 37
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21	Arkansas State vs Coastal Carolina	+8.5	59.0	L 17 - 27
Sat 10/28	Arkansas State at UL Monroe	+1.0	55.5	W 34 - 24
Sat 11/4	Arkansas State vs Louisiana	+9.0	60.0	W 37 - 17
Sat 11/11	Arkansas State at South Alabama	+14.5	54.5	L 14 - 21
Sat 11/18	Arkansas State vs Texas State	+3.5	59.5	W 77 - 31
Sat 11/25	Arkansas State at Marshall	+2.0	54.0	L 21 - 35
Sat 12/23	Arkansas State vs Northern Illinois	-2.5	54.0	L 19 - 21

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Oklahoma's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
Sat 9/2	Oklahoma vs Arkansas State	-36.0	57.5	W 73 - 0
Sat 9/9	Oklahoma vs SMU	-16.5	68.5	W 28 - 11
Sat 9/16	Oklahoma at Tulsa	-28.0	58.5	W 66 - 17
Sat 9/23	Oklahoma at Cincinnati	-13.0	58.0	W 20 - 6
Sat 9/30	Oklahoma vs Iowa State	-19.5	48.5	W 50 - 20
Sat 10/7	Oklahoma vs Texas	+4.0	62.0	W 34 - 30
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21	Oklahoma vs UCF	-17.0	67.5	W 31 - 29
Sat 10/28	Oklahoma at Kansas	-7.0	66.5	L 33 - 38
Sat 11/4	Oklahoma at Oklahoma State	-6.0	61.5	L 24 - 27
Sat 11/11	Oklahoma vs West Virginia	-13.5	59.5	W 59 - 20
Sat 11/18	Oklahoma at BYU	-24.5	58.5	W 31 - 24
Fri 11/24	Oklahoma vs TCU	-12.5	66.5	W 69 - 45
Thu 12/28	Oklahoma vs Arizona	+2.5	59.5	L 24 - 38

ARST's OC Keith Heckendorf vs OKLA's DC Todd Bates OKLA's OC Jeff Lebby vs ARST's DC Rob Harley

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ARST	.1	36%	25.8	35%	2.36	88	38%	227	3.48	.24	44%	32.2	45%	43%	4.58	54.5	0.8	1.1
OKLA	.27	47%	24	50%	3.38	220	45%	255	3.95	.23	44%	21.5	44%	44%	4.06	50.2	1.2	1.9

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ARST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
OKLA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ARST Offense	12	25.8	20.7	36.1%	3.48	0.8	17	315	88	227	2.8	42%	57%	35%	38%	21%	.1
OKLA Defense	13	21.5	15.9	43.5%	4.06	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	47%	52%	44%	44%	18%	.23

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ARST Defense	12	32.2	37.3	44.2%	4.58	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	55%	44%	45%	43%	18%	.24
OKLA Offense	13	24	29.7	47.1%	3.95	1.2	24	475	220	255	4.9	53%	46%	50%	45%	14%	.27

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Arkansas State	12	30:14	17.2	29%	61%	5.7	54.5	0.8	1.1	6.4	1.9	2	29
Oklahoma	13	26:19	23.8	41%	41%	5.7	50.2	1.2	1.9	7.8	2.2	0	27.9

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ARST Offense	12	42%	35%	31.8	88.2	2.8	16	-.03	2.36	75%	16%	1
OKLA Defense	13	47%	44%	-	-	-	-	.18	3.12	68%	11%	1.04

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ARST Defense	12	55%	45%	-	-	-	-	.16	3	76%	12%	0.97
OKLA Offense	13	53%	50%	44.6	219.9	4.9	28	.26	3.38	76%	9%	1.04

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ARST Offense	12	57%	38%	20.6	33	226.8	6.9	11	16	5	.21	1.6	38%	25%	.19	6%	2.1
OKLA Defense	13	52%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	17	.3	1.6	32%	32%	.35	6%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ARST Defense	12	44%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	6	.4	1.8	31%	31%	.31	6%	2.1
OKLA Offense	13	46%	45%	19.3	31.3	254.6	8.1	13.2	27	8	.31	1.6	30%	31%	.31	5%	2

Arkansas State's Power Ratings
Arkansas State's Power Rating: -7.23 #100
Arkansas State's Offense Rating: 14.66 #85
Arkansas State's Defense Rating: 11.64 #95
2023 Talent Rating: 560.00 #81
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Arkansas State's 2023 Expected Record: 5.70 - 7.30
Arkansas State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.5 #92
Arkansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.7 #72
Arkansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.5 #108

Arkansas State's SP+ Ratings
Arkansas State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.5 #92
Arkansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.7 #72
Arkansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.5 #108

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 393.43
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Arkansas State: -7.23 Oklahoma: 20.63

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Arkansas State: -7.5 Oklahoma: 16.4

Oklahoma's Power Ratings
Oklahoma's Power Rating: 20.63 #7
Oklahoma's Offense Rating: 26.78 #8
Oklahoma's Defense Rating: 3.74 #19
2023 Talent Rating: 1014.00 #13
Blue Chip Ratio: 71 #5
Oklahoma's 2023 Expected Record: 10.90 - 2.10

Oklahoma's SP+ Ratings
Oklahoma's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 16.4 #13
Oklahoma's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.4 #7
Oklahoma's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.8 #33

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 993.25
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Arkansas State Scoring
Offense: 25.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 20.7
Defense: 32.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 37.3

Arkansas State's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Oklahoma 28
Arkansas State 24

Projected Total Points: 52

Oklahoma Scoring
Offense: 24 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.7
Defense: 21.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.9

Oklahoma's 2023 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	09/02	Oklahoma	73	Arkansas State	0	Oklahoma	Oklahoma -36	Oklahoma	57.5	Over
2000	09/08	Oklahoma	45	Arkansas State	7	Oklahoma

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Oklahoma	2	1	1 Overs
Arkansas State	0	0	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 2	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1

(#100) Arkansas State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -7.23 #100
Offense Rating: 14.66 #85
Defense Rating: 11.64 #95
Overall SP+ Rating: -7.5 #92
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.7 #72
Defense SP+ Rating: 33.5 #108
Talent Rating: 560.00 #81
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 5.70 - 7.30

Arkansas State Ratings Matchup Oklahoma

Power #100

Off #85

Def #95

#19

Talent #81

#13

SP+ #92

#13

SP+ Off #72

SP+ Def #108

#33

Rematch from Week 1
Oklahoma -36.0 (57.5)
Oklahoma won vs Arkansas State this year (73-0)

Previous Matchups
Oklahoma beat Arkansas State in 2023 (73-0)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Gaylord Family Oklahoma Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: ARST | OKLA
Depth Chart: ARST | OKLA
Rosters: ARST | OKLA

(#7) Oklahoma Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 20.63 #7
Offense Rating: 26.78 #8
Defense Rating: 3.74 #19
Overall SP+ Rating: 16.4 #13
Offense SP+ Rating: 39.4 #7
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.8 #33
Talent Rating: 1014.00 #13
Blue Chip Ratio: 71 #5
Expected Record: 10.90 - 2.10

Arkansas State's OC Keith Heckendorf

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Oklahoma's OC Jeff Lebby

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Arkansas State's DC Rob Harley

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Oklahoma's DC Todd Bates

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD