UCF at Boise State Game Matchup
UCF logo UCF Knights at Boise State BroncosBoise State logo
Saturday, September 9th 2023 (7:00 PM EDT)
UCF -3 (58.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
UCF 18 - Boise State: 16

 
Knights (6 - 7) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Gus Malzahn (21 - 9)
Avg Score : 30 - 27 (27 - 32 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.4 - 5.6 (#51)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: Boise State -3    (SP+ -3)
PPG only: UCF: 27 - BSU: 32 (59)
UCF Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
UCF Travel: 2189 miles, 2 hrs ahead
Broncos (8 - 6) (7 - 5 - 2)
Coach Spencer Danielson (Int) (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 37 - 23 (43 - 20 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.1 - 4.9 (#25)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
UCF's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Thu 8/31 UCF vs Kent State-35.054.0W 56 - 6
Sat 9/9 UCF at Boise State-3.058.5W 18 - 16
Sat 9/16 UCF vs Villanova-26.554.0W 48 - 14
Sat 9/23 UCF at Kansas State+6.053.5L 31 - 44
Sat 9/30 UCF vs Baylor-8.056.5L 35 - 36
Sat 10/7 UCF at Kansas-2.065.0L 22 - 51
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21 UCF at Oklahoma+17.067.5L 29 - 31
Sat 10/28 UCF vs West Virginia-6.559.5L 28 - 41
Sat 11/4 UCF at Cincinnati-3.559.5W 28 - 26
Sat 11/11 UCF vs Oklahoma State+2.563.5W 45 - 3
Sat 11/18 UCF at Texas Tech+2.059.0L 23 - 24
Sat 11/25 UCF vs Houston-15.561.5W 27 - 13
Fri 12/22 UCF vs Georgia Tech-6.066.5L 17 - 30
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Boise State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 9/2 Boise State at Washington+14.059.0L 19 - 56
Sat 9/9 Boise State vs UCF+3.058.5L 16 - 18
Sat 9/16 Boise State vs North Dakota-15.058.0W 42 - 18
Fri 9/22 Boise State at San Diego State-6.546.0W 34 - 31
Sat 9/30 Boise State at Memphis+3.058.0L 32 - 35
Sat 10/7 Boise State vs San José State-8.057.5W 35 - 27
Sat 10/14 Boise State at Colorado State-7.560.0L 30 - 31
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 Boise State vs Wyoming-4.548.5W 32 - 7
Sat 11/4 Boise State at Fresno State+2.553.5L 30 - 37
Sat 11/11 Boise State vs New Mexico-27.558.5W 42 - 14
Sat 11/18 Boise State at Utah State-5.562.5W 45 - 10
Fri 11/24 Boise State vs Air Force-6.544.5W 27 - 19
Sat 12/2 Boise State at UNLV-2.558.0W 44 - 20
Sat 12/16 Boise State vs UCLA+6.546.0L 22 - 35
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

UCF's OC Darin Hinshaw vs BSU's DC Spencer Danielson     BSU's OC Bush Hamdan vs UCF's DC David Gibbs

Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UCF.2447%30.451%3.3822844%2414.08.2141%26.940%43%3.5346.41.51.5
BSU.2343%37.346%3.3419739%1894.07.0935%22.639%30%3.3847.41.21.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UCF0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
BSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UCF Offense1430.42747.4%4.081.5244692282415.253%46%51%44%14%.24
BSU Defense1422.619.734.6%3.381.5 - - - - - 56%43%39%30%18%.09
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UCF Defense1426.932.441.2%3.531.5 - - - - - 51%49%40%43%16%.21
BSU Offense1437.343.142.9%4.071.220386197189556%44%46%39%16%.23

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
UCF1430:5124.246%63%4.946.41.51.551.5228
Boise State1430:5019.540%59%5.647.41.21.55.12.1231.2
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UCF Offense1453%51%43.92285.235.293.3873%10%1.05
BSU Defense1456%39% - - - - .112.9376%12%0.94
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UCF Defense1451%40% - - - - .162.9566%10%1.12
BSU Offense1456%46%39.2196.5527.23.3476%9%0.97

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UCF Offense1446%44%20.832.2241.27.511.6229.211.427%32%.274%1.9
BSU Defense1443%30% - - - - - - 15.121.935%19%.096%2.3
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UCF Defense1449%43% - - - - - - 6.31.533%30%.296%1.9
BSU Offense1444%39%16.427.5189.26.911.6209.321.731%32%.457%2.2

UCF's Power Ratings
UCF's Power Rating: 3.43 #46
UCF's Offense Rating: 22.78 #23
UCF's Defense Rating: 11.34 #89
2023 Talent Rating: 574.00 #77
Blue Chip Ratio: 8% #53
UCF's 2023 Expected Record: 7.40 - 5.60
UCF's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.5 #48
UCF's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #35
UCF's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.3 #54

UCF's SP+ Ratings
UCF's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.5 #48
UCF's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #35
UCF's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.3 #54

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 676
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
UCF: 3.43   Boise State: 6.57

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UCF: 4.5   Boise State: 7.4




Boise State's Power Ratings
Boise State's Power Rating: 6.57 #37
Boise State's Offense Rating: 21.76 #28
Boise State's Defense Rating: 8.84 #58
2023 Talent Rating: 574.00 #77
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #69
Boise State's 2023 Expected Record: 9.10 - 4.90

Boise State's SP+ Ratings
Boise State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.4 #41
Boise State's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.2 #29
Boise State's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.1 #70

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 492.67
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78


UCF Scoring
Offense: 30.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 27
Defense: 26.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.4

UCF's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 7 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Boise State 32
UCF 27

Projected Total Points: 59
Boise State Scoring
Offense: 37.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 43.1
Defense: 22.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.7

Boise State's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 2
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 0 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/09Boise State16UCF18UCFUCF -3Boise State58.5Under
202109/02UCF36Boise State31UCFUCF -6.5Boise State67.0Push
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Boise State020 Overs
UCF201 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 11 - 10 - 11 - 0
Road Teams1 - 11 - 10 - 11 - 0

(#46) UCF Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 3.43 #46
Offense Rating: 22.78 #23
Defense Rating: 11.34 #89
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.5 #48
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #35
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.3 #54
Talent Rating: 574.00 #77
Blue Chip Ratio: 8% #53
Expected Record: 7.40 - 5.60

UCF     Ratings Matchup     Boise State
Power #46
#37
Off #23
#28
Def #89
#58
Talent #77
#77
SP+ #48
#41
SP+ Off #35
#29
SP+ Def #54
#70

Rematch from Week 2
UCF 3.0 (58.5)
UCF won at Boise State this year (18-16)

Previous Matchups
UCF beat Boise State in 2023 (18-16)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Albertsons Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: UCF | BSU
Depth Chart: UCF | BSU
Rosters: UCF | BSU
(#37) Boise State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 6.57 #37
Offense Rating: 21.76 #28
Defense Rating: 8.84 #58
Overall SP+ Rating: 7.4 #41
Offense SP+ Rating: 33.2 #29
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.1 #70
Talent Rating: 574.00 #77
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #69
Expected Record: 9.10 - 4.90





  
UCF's OC Darin Hinshaw
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Boise State's OC Bush Hamdan
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UCF's DC David Gibbs
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Boise State's DC Spencer Danielson
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