UCF at Kansas State Game Matchup
UCF logo UCF Knights at Kansas State WildcatsKansas State logo
Saturday, September 23rd 2023 (8:00 PM EDT)
Kansas State -6 (53.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Kansas State 44 - UCF: 31  (Big 12)

 
Knights (6 - 7) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Gus Malzahn (21 - 9)
Avg Score : 30 - 27 (27 - 32 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.4 - 5.6 (#51)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: Kansas State -10    (SP+ -11)
PPG only: UCF: 27 - KSU: 29 (56)
KSU Win prob: 66% | Cover: 50%
UCF Travel: 1144 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Wildcats (9 - 4) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Chris Klieman (32 - 21)
Avg Score : 31 - 23 (33 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.2 - 3.8 (#22)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
UCF's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Thu 8/31 UCF vs Kent State-35.054.0W 56 - 6
Sat 9/9 UCF at Boise State-3.058.5W 18 - 16
Sat 9/16 UCF vs Villanova-26.554.0W 48 - 14
Sat 9/23 UCF at Kansas State+6.053.5L 31 - 44
Sat 9/30 UCF vs Baylor-8.056.5L 35 - 36
Sat 10/7 UCF at Kansas-2.065.0L 22 - 51
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21 UCF at Oklahoma+17.067.5L 29 - 31
Sat 10/28 UCF vs West Virginia-6.559.5L 28 - 41
Sat 11/4 UCF at Cincinnati-3.559.5W 28 - 26
Sat 11/11 UCF vs Oklahoma State+2.563.5W 45 - 3
Sat 11/18 UCF at Texas Tech+2.059.0L 23 - 24
Sat 11/25 UCF vs Houston-15.561.5W 27 - 13
Fri 12/22 UCF vs Georgia Tech-6.066.5L 17 - 30
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Kansas State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 9/2 Kansas State vs Southeast Missouri State-28.556.5W 45 - 0
Sat 9/9 Kansas State vs Troy-15.050.0W 42 - 13
Sat 9/16 Kansas State at Missouri-3.548.0L 27 - 30
Sat 9/23 Kansas State vs UCF-6.053.5W 44 - 31
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/6 Kansas State at Oklahoma State-11.553.5L 21 - 29
Sat 10/14 Kansas State at Texas Tech+1.057.0W 38 - 21
Sat 10/21 Kansas State vs TCU-5.560.0W 41 - 3
Sat 10/28 Kansas State vs Houston-17.561.0W 41 - 0
Sat 11/4 Kansas State at Texas+4.049.5L 30 - 33
Sat 11/11 Kansas State vs Baylor-20.555.5W 59 - 25
Sat 11/18 Kansas State at Kansas-7.060.5W 31 - 27
Sat 11/25 Kansas State vs Iowa State-9.546.0L 35 - 42
Thu 12/28 Kansas State vs NC State-3.048.5W 28 - 19
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

UCF's OC Darin Hinshaw vs KSU's DC Joe Klanderman     KSU's OC Collin Klein vs UCF's DC David Gibbs

Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UCF.2447%30.451%3.3822844%2414.08.2141%26.940%43%3.5346.41.51.5
KSU.2543%30.844%3.1920842%2114.18.1439%23.442%38%3.5842.90.92.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UCF0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
KSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UCF Offense1430.42747.4%4.081.5244692282415.253%46%51%44%14%.24
KSU Defense1423.416.539.3%3.582.1 - - - - - 48%50%42%38%15%.14
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UCF Defense1426.932.441.2%3.531.5 - - - - - 51%49%40%43%16%.21
KSU Offense1430.83343%4.180.9204192082115.157%43%44%42%12%.25

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
UCF1430:5124.246%63%4.946.41.51.551.5228
Kansas State1431:4320.139%59%5.342.90.92.14.92.1331.3
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UCF Offense1453%51%43.92285.235.293.3873%10%1.05
KSU Defense1448%42% - - - - .143.2160%9%0.95
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UCF Defense1451%40% - - - - .162.9566%10%1.12
KSU Offense1457%44%40.6208.35.132.213.1966%8%1.1

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UCF Offense1446%44%20.832.2241.27.511.6229.211.427%32%.274%1.9
KSU Defense1450%38% - - - - - - 16.231.732%27%.156%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UCF Defense1449%43% - - - - - - 6.31.533%30%.296%1.9
KSU Offense1443%42%17.327.7210.57.612.2216.291.730%34%.514%2.2

UCF's Power Ratings
UCF's Power Rating: 3.43 #46
UCF's Offense Rating: 22.78 #23
UCF's Defense Rating: 11.34 #89
2023 Talent Rating: 574.00 #77
Blue Chip Ratio: 8% #53
UCF's 2023 Expected Record: 7.40 - 5.60
UCF's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.5 #48
UCF's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #35
UCF's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.3 #54

UCF's SP+ Ratings
UCF's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.5 #48
UCF's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #35
UCF's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.3 #54

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 676
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
UCF: 3.43   Kansas State: 13.38

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UCF: 4.5   Kansas State: 15.4




Kansas State's Power Ratings
Kansas State's Power Rating: 13.38 #16
Kansas State's Offense Rating: 23.70 #16
Kansas State's Defense Rating: 4.11 #22
2023 Talent Rating: 710.00 #44
Blue Chip Ratio: 5 #61
Kansas State's 2023 Expected Record: 9.20 - 3.80

Kansas State's SP+ Ratings
Kansas State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.4 #15
Kansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.3 #8
Kansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.0 #39

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 676
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78


UCF Scoring
Offense: 30.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 27
Defense: 26.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.4

UCF's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Kansas State 29
UCF 27

Projected Total Points: 56
Kansas State Scoring
Offense: 30.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 33
Defense: 23.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.5

Kansas State's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 6 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 6 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/23Kansas State44UCF31Kansas StateKansas State -6Kansas State53.5Over
201009/25Kansas State17UCF13Kansas State
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Kansas State211 Overs
UCF000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 20 - 10 - 00 - 1

(#46) UCF Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 3.43 #46
Offense Rating: 22.78 #23
Defense Rating: 11.34 #89
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.5 #48
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #35
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.3 #54
Talent Rating: 574.00 #77
Blue Chip Ratio: 8% #53
Expected Record: 7.40 - 5.60

UCF     Ratings Matchup     Kansas State
Power #46
#16
Off #23
#16
Def #89
#22
Talent #77
#44
SP+ #48
#15
SP+ Off #35
#8
SP+ Def #54
#39

Rematch from Week 4
Kansas State -6.0 (53.5)
Kansas State won vs UCF this year (44-31)

Previous Matchups
Kansas State beat UCF in 2023 (44-31)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bill Snyder Family Football Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 80°

Team Information
Injuries: UCF | KSU
Depth Chart: UCF | KSU
Rosters: UCF | KSU
(#16) Kansas State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 13.38 #16
Offense Rating: 23.70 #16
Defense Rating: 4.11 #22
Overall SP+ Rating: 15.4 #15
Offense SP+ Rating: 39.3 #8
Defense SP+ Rating: 23.0 #39
Talent Rating: 710.00 #44
Blue Chip Ratio: 5 #61
Expected Record: 9.20 - 3.80





  
UCF's OC Darin Hinshaw
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Kansas State's OC Collin Klein
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

UCF's DC David Gibbs
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kansas State's DC Joe Klanderman
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD