SMU at TCU Game Matchup

Saturday, September 23rd 2023 (12:00 PM EDT)
TCU -7 (63.5) (0) Open: 0.0
TCU 34 - SMU: 17

Mustangs (11 - 3) (8 - 6 - 0)
Coach Rhett Lashlee (9 - 7)
Avg Score : 37 - 22 (29 - 22 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10.9 - 3.1 (#5)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Temp: 91.4° (56% Hum)
Wind: 12.7 MPHOur Line: SMU -5.5 (SP+ -3)
PPG only: SMU: 31 - TCU: 28 (59)
TCU Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
SMU Travel: 35 miles

Horned Frogs (5 - 7) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Sonny Dykes (15 - 3)
Avg Score : 34 - 25 (37 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.4 - 5.6 (#71)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Off Players
Def Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

SMU's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
Sat 9/2	SMU vs Louisiana Tech	-21.0	66.0	W 38 - 14
Sat 9/9	SMU at Oklahoma	+16.5	68.5	L 11 - 28
Sat 9/16	SMU vs Prairie View A&M	-42.5	63.5	W 69 - 0
Sat 9/23	SMU at TCU	+7.0	63.5	L 17 - 34
Sat 9/30	SMU vs Charlotte	-22.5	53.0	W 34 - 16
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/12	SMU at East Carolina	-11.5	48.5	W 31 - 10
Fri 10/20	SMU at Temple	-24.0	53.0	W 55 - 0
Sat 10/28	SMU vs Tulsa	-20.5	55.0	W 69 - 10
Sat 11/4	SMU at Rice	-12.0	59.5	W 36 - 31
Fri 11/10	SMU vs North Texas	-21.5	67.5	W 45 - 21
Sat 11/18	SMU at Memphis	-9.5	64.5	W 38 - 34
Sat 11/25	SMU vs Navy	-20.0	46.0	W 59 - 14
Sat 12/2	SMU at Tulane	+4.0	50.5	W 26 - 14
Thu 12/28	SMU vs Boston College	-13.5	49.0	L 14 - 23

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

TCU's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
Sat 9/2	TCU vs Colorado	-20.5	59.5	L 42 - 45
Sat 9/9	TCU vs Nicholls	-41.5	59.5	W 41 - 6
Sat 9/16	TCU at Houston	-7.5	64.0	W 36 - 13
Sat 9/23	TCU vs SMU	-7.0	63.5	W 34 - 17
Sat 9/30	TCU vs West Virginia	-14.0	52.0	L 21 - 24
Sat 10/7	TCU at Iowa State	-6.5	52.5	L 14 - 27
Sat 10/14	TCU vs BYU	-5.0	52.5	W 44 - 11
Sat 10/21	TCU at Kansas State	+5.5	60.0	L 3 - 41
	BYE WEEK
Thu 11/2	TCU at Texas Tech	+2.5	59.5	L 28 - 35
Sat 11/11	TCU vs Texas	+13.0	56.0	L 26 - 29
Sat 11/18	TCU vs Baylor	-13.0	62.0	W 42 - 17
Fri 11/24	TCU at Oklahoma	+12.5	66.5	L 45 - 69

SMU's OC Casey Woods vs TCU's DC Joe Gillespie TCU's OC Kendal Briles vs SMU's DC Scott Symons

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
SMU	.26	45%	36.5	45%	3.13	156	45%	317	4.58	.26	43%	22.1	46%	40%	4.32	41.7	1.5	1.7
TCU	.3	44%	33.5	47%	3.15	193	40%	262	4.28	.17	41%	24.6	45%	38%	4.36	49.6	1.1	1.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
SMU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
TCU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
SMU Offense	13	36.5	29	44.8%	4.58	1.5	25	473	156	317	4.1	47%	52%	45%	45%	13%	.26
TCU Defense	15	24.6	23.3	41.3%	4.36	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	49%	51%	45%	38%	16%	.17

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
SMU Defense	13	22.1	22.2	43%	4.32	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	54%	45%	46%	40%	13%	.26
TCU Offense	15	33.5	36.7	43.5%	4.28	1.1	21	455	193	262	5.1	52%	48%	47%	40%	13%	.3

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
SMU	13	27:42	25.5	48%	59%	4.2	41.7	1.5	1.7	4.8	2.1	0	29.7
TCU	15	30:25	21	40%	52%	4.8	49.6	1.1	1.5	4.7	2	6	30.6

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
SMU Offense	13	47%	45%	37.8	156.2	4.1	26	.17	3.13	72%	9%	0.93
TCU Defense	15	49%	45%	-	-	-	-	.18	2.99	72%	8%	0.98

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
SMU Defense	13	54%	46%	-	-	-	-	.29	3.23	74%	8%	1.16
TCU Offense	15	52%	47%	37.7	193.3	5.1	37	.22	3.15	72%	8%	1.07

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
SMU Offense	13	52%	45%	25.6	39.5	316.7	8	12.4	36	11	.37	1.7	31%	35%	.48	5%	2.2
TCU Defense	15	51%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	16	.2	1.8	32%	27%	.3	7%	2.3

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
SMU Defense	13	45%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.31	1.7	32%	30%	.37	5%	2.2
TCU Offense	15	48%	40%	19.5	30.3	261.7	8.7	13.5	33	8	.38	1.9	30%	32%	.45	5%	2.4

SMU's Power Ratings
SMU's Power Rating: 11.11 #19
SMU's Offense Rating: 22.10 #26
SMU's Defense Rating: 1.02 #10
2023 Talent Rating: 496.00 #91
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #66
SMU's 2023 Expected Record: 10.90 - 3.10
SMU's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.5 #25
SMU's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.0 #18
SMU's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.6 #41

SMU's SP+ Ratings
SMU's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.5 #25
SMU's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.0 #18
SMU's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.6 #41

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 758.94
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
SMU: 11.11 TCU: 5.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
SMU: 10.5 TCU: 7.5

TCU's Power Ratings
TCU's Power Rating: 5.5 #44
TCU's Offense Rating: 20.84 #32
TCU's Defense Rating: 11.76 #97
2023 Talent Rating: 640.00 #67
Blue Chip Ratio: 31 #24
TCU's 2023 Expected Record: 6.40 - 5.60

TCU's SP+ Ratings
TCU's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.5 #40
TCU's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.5 #27
TCU's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #57

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 676
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

SMU Scoring
Offense: 36.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 29
Defense: 22.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.2

SMU's 2023 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
SMU 31
TCU 28

Projected Total Points: 59

TCU Scoring
Offense: 33.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.7
Defense: 24.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 23.3

TCU's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	09/21	SMU	66	TCU	42	SMU	TCU -1	SMU	58.5	Over
2023	09/23	TCU	34	SMU	17	TCU	TCU -7	TCU	63.5	Under
2022	09/24	SMU	34	TCU	42	TCU	TCU -2.5	TCU	72.0	Over
2021	09/25	TCU	34	SMU	42	SMU	TCU -8	SMU	66.0	Over
2019	09/21	TCU	38	SMU	41	SMU	TCU -7.5	SMU	54.5	Over
2018	09/07	SMU	12	TCU	42	TCU	TCU -23.5	TCU	59.5	Under
2017	09/16	TCU	56	SMU	36	TCU	TCU -22	SMU	64.5	Over
2016	09/23	SMU	3	TCU	33	TCU	TCU -24	TCU	68.0	Under
2015	09/19	TCU	56	SMU	37	TCU	TCU -38	SMU	68.5	Over
2014	09/27	SMU	0	TCU	56	TCU	TCU -31	TCU	0
2013	09/28	TCU	48	SMU	17	TCU	TCU -19.5	TCU	0
2012	09/29	SMU	16	TCU	24	TCU
2011	10/01	TCU	33	SMU	40	SMU
2010	09/24	SMU	24	TCU	41	TCU
2009	10/03	TCU	39	SMU	14	TCU
2008	09/20	SMU	7	TCU	48	TCU
2007	09/22	TCU	21	SMU	7	TCU
2005	09/10	SMU	21	TCU	10	SMU
2004	09/11	TCU	44	SMU	0	TCU
2003	11/29	SMU	13	TCU	20	TCU
2002	09/14	TCU	17	SMU	6	TCU
2001	09/08	SMU	10	TCU	38	TCU
2000	11/23	SMU	7	TCU	62	TCU

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
TCU	18	6	6 Overs
SMU	5	5	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	10 - 13	3 - 8	2 - 4	1 - 4
Road Teams	13 - 10	8 - 3	4 - 1	4 - 2

(#19) SMU Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 11.11 #19
Offense Rating: 22.10 #26
Defense Rating: 1.02 #10
Overall SP+ Rating: 10.5 #25
Offense SP+ Rating: 35.0 #18
Defense SP+ Rating: 23.6 #41
Talent Rating: 496.00 #91
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #66
Expected Record: 10.90 - 3.10

SMU Ratings Matchup TCU

Power #19

#44

Off #26

#32

Def #10

#97

Talent #91

#67

SP+ #25

#40

SP+ Off #18

#27

SP+ Def #41

#57

Rematch from Week 4
TCU -7.0 (63.5)
TCU won vs SMU this year (34-17)

Previous Matchups
SMU beat TCU last year (66-42)
TCU beat SMU in 2023 (34-17)
TCU beat SMU in 2022 (42-34)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Amon G. Carter Stadium
Conditions: Fog
Temp: 91° - Wind: 13 mph

Team Information
Injuries: SMU | TCU
Depth Chart: SMU | TCU
Rosters: SMU | TCU

(#44) TCU Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 5.5 #44
Offense Rating: 20.84 #32
Defense Rating: 11.76 #97
Overall SP+ Rating: 7.5 #40
Offense SP+ Rating: 33.5 #27
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #57
Talent Rating: 640.00 #67
Blue Chip Ratio: 31 #24
Expected Record: 6.40 - 5.60

SMU's OC Casey Woods

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

TCU's OC Kendal Briles

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

SMU's DC Scott Symons

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

TCU's DC Joe Gillespie

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD