Miami (OH) at Massachusetts Game Matchup
Miami (OH) logo Miami (OH) RedHawks at Massachusetts MinutemenMassachusetts logo
Saturday, September 9th 2023 (3:30 PM EDT)
Miami (OH) -7 (45.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Miami (OH) 41 - Massachusetts: 28

 
RedHawks (11 - 3) (11 - 3 - 0)
Coach Chuck Martin (47 - 60)
Avg Score : 24 - 19 (23 - 21 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.5 - 5.5 (#34)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Rain Predicted
M-OH 2nd straight Road Game
Our Line: Miami (OH) -9    (SP+ -21.5)
PPG only: M-OH: 30 - UMASS: 21 (51)
M-OH Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
M-OH Travel: 666 miles
Minutemen (3 - 9) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Don Brown (2 - 14)
Avg Score : 23 - 36 (27 - 32 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3.9 - 8.1 (#118)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Miami (OH)'s 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Fri 9/1 Miami (OH) at Miami+16.545.0L 3 - 38
Sat 9/9 Miami (OH) at Massachusetts-7.045.0W 41 - 28
Sat 9/16 Miami (OH) at Cincinnati+14.544.5W 31 - 24
Sat 9/23 Miami (OH) vs Delaware State-40.549.5W 62 - 20
Sat 9/30 Miami (OH) at Kent State-14.051.5W 23 - 3
Sat 10/7 Miami (OH) vs Bowling Green-7.543.0W 27 - 0
Sat 10/14 Miami (OH) at Western Michigan-7.546.0W 34 - 21
Sat 10/21 Miami (OH) vs Toledo+2.046.5L 17 - 21
Sat 10/28 Miami (OH) at Ohio+7.539.0W 30 - 16
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/8 Miami (OH) vs Akron-17.537.5W 19 - 0
Wed 11/15 Miami (OH) vs Buffalo-7.536.5W 23 - 10
Sat 11/25 Miami (OH) at Ball State-3.534.5W 17 - 15
Sat 12/2 Miami (OH) vs Toledo+8.546.0W 23 - 14
Sat 12/16 Miami (OH) vs App State+6.541.0L 9 - 13
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Massachusetts's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 8/26 Massachusetts at New Mexico State+7.045.5W 41 - 30
Sat 9/2 Massachusetts at Auburn+35.052.0L 14 - 59
Sat 9/9 Massachusetts vs Miami (OH)+7.045.0L 28 - 41
Sat 9/16 Massachusetts at Eastern Michigan+7.050.0L 17 - 19
Sat 9/23 Massachusetts vs New Mexico-3.548.5L 31 - 34
Sat 9/30 Massachusetts vs Arkansas State-2.555.5L 28 - 52
Sat 10/7 Massachusetts vs Toledo+19.055.5L 24 - 41
Sat 10/14 Massachusetts at Penn State+42.055.0L 0 - 63
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 Massachusetts at Army+10.049.5W 21 - 14
Sat 11/4 Massachusetts vs Merrimack-16.557.5W 31 - 21
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/18 Massachusetts at Liberty+26.564.5L 25 - 49
Sat 11/25 Massachusetts vs UConn-2.551.0L 18 - 31
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

M-OH's OC Patrick Welsh vs UMASS's DC Keith Dudzinski     UMASS's OC Steve Casula vs M-OH's DC Bill Brechin

Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
M-OH.137%24.136%2.8614138%1663.31.1541%18.839%43%3.1448.30.81.8
UMASS.0132%22.534%2.815031%1172.26.240%35.542%38%3.666.21.61.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
M-OH0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UMASS0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
M-OH Offense1324.123.237.1%3.310.8173061411663.854%45%36%38%24%.1
UMASS Defense1235.532.240.1%3.61.6 - - - - - 60%39%42%38%20%.2
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
M-OH Defense1318.82140.9%3.141.8 - - - - - 47%52%39%43%24%.15
UMASS Offense1222.527.232.4%2.261.6152671501173.560%39%34%31%20%.01

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Miami (OH)1330:0017.232%50%5.548.30.81.84.42.2129.9
Massachusetts1231:5514.628%48%7.666.21.61.66.11.6127.5
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
M-OH Offense1354%36%37.2140.83.814.062.8667%15%1.09
UMASS Defense1260%42% - - - - .183.1770%13%1.14
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
M-OH Defense1347%39% - - - - .032.6777%13%0.82
UMASS Offense1260%34%43.3150.33.510.032.869%14%0.93

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
M-OH Offense1345%38%14.225.9165.56.411.7155.161.636%26%.188%1.9
UMASS Defense1239%38% - - - - - - 9.291.933%28%.287%2.3
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
M-OH Defense1352%43% - - - - - - 11.331.633%33%.3311%2
UMASS Offense1239%31%11.323.1116.95.110.3414.011.637%19%.16%2.1

Miami (OH)'s Power Ratings
Miami (OH)'s Power Rating: -0.16 #62
Miami (OH)'s Offense Rating: 13.13 #100
Miami (OH)'s Defense Rating: 3.90 #20
2023 Talent Rating: 610.00 #69
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Miami (OH)'s 2023 Expected Record: 8.50 - 5.50
Miami (OH)'s 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.7 #52
Miami (OH)'s Offense SP+ Rating: 19.6 #106
Miami (OH)'s Defense SP+ Rating: 17.9 #14

Miami (OH)'s SP+ Ratings
Miami (OH)'s 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.7 #52
Miami (OH)'s Offense SP+ Rating: 19.6 #106
Miami (OH)'s Defense SP+ Rating: 17.9 #14

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 506.5
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Miami (OH): -0.16   Massachusetts: -9.09

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Miami (OH): 3.7   Massachusetts: -17.7




Massachusetts's Power Ratings
Massachusetts's Power Rating: -9.09 #121
Massachusetts's Offense Rating: 17.17 #59
Massachusetts's Defense Rating: 18.87 #129
2023 Talent Rating: 422.00 #108
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Massachusetts's 2023 Expected Record: 3.90 - 8.10

Massachusetts's SP+ Ratings
Massachusetts's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -17.7 #125
Massachusetts's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.8 #99
Massachusetts's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.4 #124

Average Talent
Average FBS Independents Talent Rating is 638.67
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78


Miami (OH) Scoring
Offense: 24.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.2
Defense: 18.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 21

Miami (OH)'s 2023 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 11 - 3 - 0
Record on Road: 7 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Miami (OH) 30
Massachusetts 21

Projected Total Points: 51
Massachusetts Scoring
Offense: 22.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.2
Defense: 35.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 32.2

Massachusetts's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/28Miami (OH)23Massachusetts20Miami (OH)Miami (OH) -15.5Massachusetts44.5Under
202309/09Massachusetts28Miami (OH)41Miami (OH)Miami (OH) -7Miami (OH)45.0Over
201511/21Massachusetts13Miami (OH)20Miami (OH)UMass -9Miami (OH)54.5Under
201410/04Miami (OH)42Massachusetts41Miami (OH)Miami (OH) -4.5Massachusetts0
201310/12Massachusetts17Miami (OH)10MassachusettsUMass -2.5Massachusetts0
201209/22Miami (OH)27Massachusetts16Miami (OH)
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Massachusetts131 Overs
Miami (OH)522 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 21 - 41 - 30 - 1
Road Teams2 - 44 - 11 - 03 - 1

(#62) Miami (OH) Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -0.16 #62
Offense Rating: 13.13 #100
Defense Rating: 3.90 #20
Overall SP+ Rating: 3.7 #52
Offense SP+ Rating: 19.6 #106
Defense SP+ Rating: 17.9 #14
Talent Rating: 610.00 #69
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 8.50 - 5.50

Miami (OH)     Ratings Matchup     Massachusetts
Power #62
#121
Off #100
#59
Def #20
#129
Talent #69
#108
SP+ #52
#125
SP+ Off #106
#99
SP+ Def #14
#124

Rematch from Week 2
Miami (OH) 7.0 (45.0)
Miami (OH) won at Massachusetts this year (41-28)

Previous Matchups
Miami (OH) beat Massachusetts last year (23-20)
Miami (OH) beat Massachusetts in 2023 (41-28)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium
Conditions: Rain
Temp: 85°Rain: 0.012


Team Information
Injuries: M-OH | UMASS
Depth Chart: M-OH | UMASS
Rosters: M-OH | UMASS
(#121) Massachusetts Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -9.09 #121
Offense Rating: 17.17 #59
Defense Rating: 18.87 #129
Overall SP+ Rating: -17.7 #125
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.8 #99
Defense SP+ Rating: 36.4 #124
Talent Rating: 422.00 #108
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 3.90 - 8.10





  
Miami (OH)'s OC Patrick Welsh
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Massachusetts's OC Steve Casula
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Miami (OH)'s DC Bill Brechin
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Massachusetts's DC Keith Dudzinski
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