Miami (OH) at Massachusetts Game Matchup
Miami (OH) logo Miami (OH) RedHawks at Massachusetts MinutemenMassachusetts logo
Saturday, September 9th 2023 (3:30 PM EDT)
Miami (OH) -7 (45.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Miami (OH) 41 - Massachusetts: 28

 
RedHawks (11 - 3) (11 - 3 - 0)
Coach Chuck Martin (47 - 60)
Avg Score : 24 - 19 (23 - 21 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.5 - 5.5 (#34)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Rain Predicted
M-OH 2nd straight Road Game
Our Line: Miami (OH) -9    (SP+ -21.5)

PPG only: M-OH: 30 - UMASS: 21 (51)
M-OH Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
M-OH Travel: 666 miles
Minutemen (3 - 9) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Don Brown (2 - 14)
Avg Score : 23 - 36 (27 - 32 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3.9 - 8.1 (#118)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Miami (OH)'s 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Fri 9/1 Miami (OH) at Miami+16.545.0L 3 - 38
Sat 9/9 Miami (OH) at Massachusetts-7.045.0W 41 - 28
Sat 9/16 Miami (OH) at Cincinnati+14.544.5W 31 - 24
Sat 9/23 Miami (OH) vs Delaware State-40.549.5W 62 - 20
Sat 9/30 Miami (OH) at Kent State-14.051.5W 23 - 3
Sat 10/7 Miami (OH) vs Bowling Green-7.543.0W 27 - 0
Sat 10/14 Miami (OH) at Western Michigan-7.546.0W 34 - 21
Sat 10/21 Miami (OH) vs Toledo+2.046.5L 17 - 21
Sat 10/28 Miami (OH) at Ohio+7.539.0W 30 - 16
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/8 Miami (OH) vs Akron-17.537.5W 19 - 0
Wed 11/15 Miami (OH) vs Buffalo-7.536.5W 23 - 10
Sat 11/25 Miami (OH) at Ball State-3.534.5W 17 - 15
Sat 12/2 Miami (OH) vs Toledo+8.546.0W 23 - 14
Sat 12/16 Miami (OH) vs App State+6.541.0L 9 - 13
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Massachusetts's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 8/26 Massachusetts at New Mexico State+7.045.5W 41 - 30
Sat 9/2 Massachusetts at Auburn+35.052.0L 14 - 59
Sat 9/9 Massachusetts vs Miami (OH)+7.045.0L 28 - 41
Sat 9/16 Massachusetts at Eastern Michigan+7.050.0L 17 - 19
Sat 9/23 Massachusetts vs New Mexico-3.548.5L 31 - 34
Sat 9/30 Massachusetts vs Arkansas State-2.555.5L 28 - 52
Sat 10/7 Massachusetts vs Toledo+19.055.5L 24 - 41
Sat 10/14 Massachusetts at Penn State+42.055.0L 0 - 63
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 Massachusetts at Army+10.049.5W 21 - 14
Sat 11/4 Massachusetts vs Merrimack-16.557.5W 31 - 21
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/18 Massachusetts at Liberty+26.564.5L 25 - 49
Sat 11/25 Massachusetts vs UConn-2.551.0L 18 - 31
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

M-OH's OC Patrick Welsh vs UMASS's DC Keith Dudzinski     UMASS's OC Steve Casula vs M-OH's DC Bill Brechin

Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
M-OH.137%24.136%2.8614138%1663.31.1541%18.839%43%3.1448.30.81.8
UMASS.0132%22.534%2.815031%1172.26.240%35.542%38%3.666.21.61.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
M-OH0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UMASS0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
M-OH Offense1324.123.237.1%3.310.8173061411663.854%45%36%38%24%.1
UMASS Defense1235.532.240.1%3.61.6 - - - - - 60%39%42%38%20%.2
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
M-OH Defense1318.82140.9%3.141.8 - - - - - 47%52%39%43%24%.15
UMASS Offense1222.527.232.4%2.261.6152671501173.560%39%34%31%20%.01

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Miami (OH)1330:0017.232%50%5.548.30.81.84.42.2129.9
Massachusetts1231:5514.628%48%7.666.21.61.66.11.6127.5
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
M-OH Offense1354%36%37.2140.83.814.062.8667%15%1.09
UMASS Defense1260%42% - - - - .183.1770%13%1.14
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
M-OH Defense1347%39% - - - - .032.6777%13%0.82
UMASS Offense1260%34%43.3150.33.510.032.869%14%0.93

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
M-OH Offense1345%38%14.225.9165.56.411.7155.161.636%26%.188%1.9
UMASS Defense1239%38% - - - - - - 9.291.933%28%.287%2.3
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
M-OH Defense1352%43% - - - - - - 11.331.633%33%.3311%2
UMASS Offense1239%31%11.323.1116.95.110.3414.011.637%19%.16%2.1

Miami (OH)'s Power Ratings
Miami (OH)'s Power Rating: -0.16 #62
Miami (OH)'s Offense Rating: 13.13 #100
Miami (OH)'s Defense Rating: 3.90 #20
2023 Talent Rating: 610.00 #69
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Miami (OH)'s 2023 Expected Record: 8.50 - 5.50
Miami (OH)'s 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.7 #52
Miami (OH)'s Offense SP+ Rating: 19.6 #106
Miami (OH)'s Defense SP+ Rating: 17.9 #14

Miami (OH)'s SP+ Ratings
Miami (OH)'s 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.7 #52
Miami (OH)'s Offense SP+ Rating: 19.6 #106
Miami (OH)'s Defense SP+ Rating: 17.9 #14

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 506.5
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Miami (OH): -0.16   Massachusetts: -9.09

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Miami (OH): 3.7   Massachusetts: -17.7




Massachusetts's Power Ratings
Massachusetts's Power Rating: -9.09 #121
Massachusetts's Offense Rating: 17.17 #59
Massachusetts's Defense Rating: 18.87 #129
2023 Talent Rating: 422.00 #108
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Massachusetts's 2023 Expected Record: 3.90 - 8.10

Massachusetts's SP+ Ratings
Massachusetts's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -17.7 #125
Massachusetts's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.8 #99
Massachusetts's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.4 #124

Average Talent
Average FBS Independents Talent Rating is 638.67
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78


Miami (OH) Scoring
Offense: 24.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.2
Defense: 18.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 21

Miami (OH)'s 2023 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 11 - 3 - 0
Record on Road: 7 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Miami (OH) 30
Massachusetts 21


Projected Total Points: 51
Massachusetts Scoring
Offense: 22.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.2
Defense: 35.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 32.2

Massachusetts's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/28Miami (OH)23Massachusetts20Miami (OH)Miami (OH) -15.5Massachusetts44.5Under
202309/09Massachusetts28Miami (OH)41Miami (OH)Miami (OH) -7Miami (OH)45.0Over
201511/21Massachusetts13Miami (OH)20Miami (OH)UMass -9Miami (OH)54.5Under
201410/04Miami (OH)42Massachusetts41Miami (OH)Miami (OH) -4.5Massachusetts0
201310/12Massachusetts17Miami (OH)10MassachusettsUMass -2.5Massachusetts0
201209/22Miami (OH)27Massachusetts16Miami (OH)
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Massachusetts131 Overs
Miami (OH)522 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 21 - 41 - 30 - 1
Road Teams2 - 44 - 11 - 03 - 1

(#62) Miami (OH) Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -0.16 #62
Offense Rating: 13.13 #100
Defense Rating: 3.90 #20
Overall SP+ Rating: 3.7 #52
Offense SP+ Rating: 19.6 #106
Defense SP+ Rating: 17.9 #14
Talent Rating: 610.00 #69
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 8.50 - 5.50

Miami (OH)     Ratings Matchup     Massachusetts
Power #62
#121
Off #100
#59
Def #20
#129
Talent #69
#108
SP+ #52
#125
SP+ Off #106
#99
SP+ Def #14
#124

Rematch from Week 2
Miami (OH) 7.0 (45.0)
Miami (OH) won at Massachusetts this year (41-28)

Previous Matchups
Miami (OH) beat Massachusetts last year (23-20)
Miami (OH) beat Massachusetts in 2023 (41-28)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium
Conditions: Rain
Temp: 85°Rain: 0.012


Team Information
Injuries: M-OH | UMASS
Depth Chart: M-OH | UMASS
Rosters: M-OH | UMASS
(#121) Massachusetts Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -9.09 #121
Offense Rating: 17.17 #59
Defense Rating: 18.87 #129
Overall SP+ Rating: -17.7 #125
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.8 #99
Defense SP+ Rating: 36.4 #124
Talent Rating: 422.00 #108
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 3.90 - 8.10





  
Miami (OH)'s OC Patrick Welsh
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Massachusetts's OC Steve Casula
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

Miami (OH)'s DC Bill Brechin
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Massachusetts's DC Keith Dudzinski
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD