Massachusetts at Eastern Michigan Game Matchup

Massachusetts Minutemen at Eastern Michigan Eagles

Saturday, September 16th 2023 (2:00 PM EDT)
Eastern Michigan -7 (50.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Eastern Michigan 19 - Massachusetts: 17

Minutemen (3 - 9) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Don Brown (2 - 14)
Avg Score : 23 - 36 (18 - 39 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3.9 - 8.1 (#118)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: Eastern Michigan -5.5 (SP+ -8)
PPG only: UMASS: 25 - EMU: 31 (56)
EMU Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
UMASS Travel: 567 miles

Eagles (6 - 7) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Chris Creighton (48 - 62)
Avg Score : 26 - 28 (29 - 29 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.8 - 6.2 (#62)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Off Players
Def Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Massachusetts's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
Sat 8/26	Massachusetts at New Mexico State	+7.0	45.5	W 41 - 30
Sat 9/2	Massachusetts at Auburn	+35.0	52.0	L 14 - 59
Sat 9/9	Massachusetts vs Miami (OH)	+7.0	45.0	L 28 - 41
Sat 9/16	Massachusetts at Eastern Michigan	+7.0	50.0	L 17 - 19
Sat 9/23	Massachusetts vs New Mexico	-3.5	48.5	L 31 - 34
Sat 9/30	Massachusetts vs Arkansas State	-2.5	55.5	L 28 - 52
Sat 10/7	Massachusetts vs Toledo	+19.0	55.5	L 24 - 41
Sat 10/14	Massachusetts at Penn State	+42.0	55.0	L 0 - 63
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	Massachusetts at Army	+10.0	49.5	W 21 - 14
Sat 11/4	Massachusetts vs Merrimack	-16.5	57.5	W 31 - 21
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/18	Massachusetts at Liberty	+26.5	64.5	L 25 - 49
Sat 11/25	Massachusetts vs UConn	-2.5	51.0	L 18 - 31

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Eastern Michigan's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
Fri 9/1	Eastern Michigan vs Howard	-20.0	55.5	W 33 - 23
Sat 9/9	Eastern Michigan at Minnesota	+19.5	48.0	L 6 - 25
Sat 9/16	Eastern Michigan vs Massachusetts	-7.0	50.0	W 19 - 17
Sat 9/23	Eastern Michigan at Jacksonville State	+6.5	51.0	L 0 - 21
Sat 9/30	Eastern Michigan at Central Michigan	+9.5	45.0	L 23 - 26
Sat 10/7	Eastern Michigan vs Ball State	-2.5	43.5	W 24 - 10
Sat 10/14	Eastern Michigan vs Kent State	-7.0	40.0	W 28 - 14
Sat 10/21	Eastern Michigan at Northern Illinois	+11.5	43.5	L 13 - 20
Sat 10/28	Eastern Michigan vs Western Michigan	+3.0	50.0	L 21 - 45
	BYE WEEK
Wed 11/8	Eastern Michigan at Toledo	+19.5	45.5	L 23 - 49
Tue 11/14	Eastern Michigan vs Akron	-3.5	39.5	W 30 - 27
Tue 11/21	Eastern Michigan at Buffalo	+6.5	38.5	W 24 - 11
Sat 12/23	Eastern Michigan vs South Alabama	+18.0	43.0	L 10 - 59

UMASS's OC Steve Casula vs EMU's DC Taver Johnson EMU's OC Chris Creighton vs UMASS's DC Keith Dudzinski

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UMASS	.01	32%	22.5	34%	2.8	150	31%	117	2.26	.2	40%	35.5	42%	38%	3.6	66.2	1.6	1.6
EMU	.23	46%	25.9	48%	3.12	142	45%	224	4.17	.21	44%	27.9	46%	43%	4.48	73.8	1.5	1.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UMASS		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
EMU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UMASS Offense	12	22.5	17.8	32.4%	2.26	1.6	15	267	150	117	3.5	60%	39%	34%	31%	20%	.01
EMU Defense	13	27.9	28.7	44.2%	4.48	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	52%	47%	46%	43%	18%	.21

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UMASS Defense	12	35.5	38.8	40.1%	3.6	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	60%	39%	42%	38%	20%	.2
EMU Offense	13	25.9	28.8	46.3%	4.17	1.5	21	366	142	224	3.7	53%	46%	48%	45%	18%	.23

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Massachusetts	12	31:55	14.6	28%	48%	7.6	66.2	1.6	1.6	6.1	1.6	1	27.5
Eastern Michigan	13	31:27	21.3	45%	46%	7.9	73.8	1.5	1.5	4.3	1.9	1	31.6

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UMASS Offense	12	60%	34%	43.3	150.3	3.5	10	.03	2.8	69%	14%	0.93
EMU Defense	13	52%	46%	-	-	-	-	.15	3.45	81%	9%	0.82

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UMASS Defense	12	60%	42%	-	-	-	-	.18	3.17	70%	13%	1.14
EMU Offense	13	53%	48%	38.7	141.8	3.7	25	.16	3.12	83%	12%	0.89

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UMASS Offense	12	39%	31%	11.3	23.1	116.9	5.1	10.3	4	14	.01	1.6	37%	19%	.1	6%	2.1
EMU Defense	13	47%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	13	.32	1.6	30%	31%	.4	9%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UMASS Defense	12	39%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.29	1.9	33%	28%	.28	7%	2.3
EMU Offense	13	46%	45%	18.8	30.2	224.2	7.4	11.9	23	12	.34	1.5	29%	32%	.35	6%	2

Massachusetts's Power Ratings
Massachusetts's Power Rating: -11.09 #121
Massachusetts's Offense Rating: 17.17 #59
Massachusetts's Defense Rating: 18.87 #129
2023 Talent Rating: 422.00 #108
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Massachusetts's 2023 Expected Record: 3.90 - 8.10
Massachusetts's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -17.7 #125
Massachusetts's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.8 #99
Massachusetts's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.4 #124

Massachusetts's SP+ Ratings
Massachusetts's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -17.7 #125
Massachusetts's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.8 #99
Massachusetts's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.4 #124

Average Talent
Average FBS Independents Talent Rating is 638.67
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Massachusetts: -11.09 Eastern Michigan: -5.52

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Massachusetts: -17.7 Eastern Michigan: -9.6

Eastern Michigan's Power Ratings
Eastern Michigan's Power Rating: -5.52 #105
Eastern Michigan's Offense Rating: 12.15 #110
Eastern Michigan's Defense Rating: 8.46 #53
2023 Talent Rating: 436.00 #104
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Eastern Michigan's 2023 Expected Record: 6.80 - 6.20

Eastern Michigan's SP+ Ratings
Eastern Michigan's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.6 #103
Eastern Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 14.1 #130
Eastern Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.1 #53

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 506.5
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Massachusetts Scoring
Offense: 22.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 17.8
Defense: 35.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 38.8

Massachusetts's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Eastern Michigan 31
Massachusetts 25

Projected Total Points: 56

Eastern Michigan Scoring
Offense: 25.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.8
Defense: 27.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 28.7

Eastern Michigan's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	08/31	Massachusetts	14	Eastern Michigan	28	Eastern Michigan	Massachusetts -2.5	Eastern Michigan	49.0	Under
2023	09/16	Eastern Michigan	19	Massachusetts	17	Eastern Michigan	Eastern Michigan -7	Massachusetts	50.0	Under
2022	10/01	Eastern Michigan	20	Massachusetts	13	Eastern Michigan	Eastern Michigan -20	Massachusetts	53.0	Under
2021	09/18	Massachusetts	28	Eastern Michigan	42	Eastern Michigan	Eastern Michigan -22	Massachusetts	56.5	Over
2015	11/14	Eastern Michigan	17	Massachusetts	28	Massachusetts	UMass -7.5	Massachusetts	68.5	Under
2014	10/18	Massachusetts	36	Eastern Michigan	14	Massachusetts	UMass -11.5	Massachusetts	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Eastern Michigan	4	1	1 Overs
Massachusetts	2	5	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	3 - 3	2 - 4	1 - 3	1 - 1
Road Teams	3 - 3	4 - 2	1 - 1	3 - 1

(#121) Massachusetts Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -11.09 #121
Offense Rating: 17.17 #59
Defense Rating: 18.87 #129
Overall SP+ Rating: -17.7 #125
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.8 #99
Defense SP+ Rating: 36.4 #124
Talent Rating: 422.00 #108
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 3.90 - 8.10

Massachusetts Ratings Matchup Eastern Michigan

Power #121

#105

Off #59

#110

Def #129

#53

Talent #108

#104

SP+ #125

#103

SP+ Off #99

#130

SP+ Def #124

#53

Rematch from Week 3
Eastern Michigan -7.0 (50.0)
Eastern Michigan won vs Massachusetts this year (19-17)

Previous Matchups
Eastern Michigan beat Massachusetts last year (28-14)
Eastern Michigan beat Massachusetts in 2023 (19-17)
Eastern Michigan beat Massachusetts in 2022 (20-13)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Rynearson Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: UMASS | EMU
Depth Chart: UMASS | EMU
Rosters: UMASS | EMU

(#105) Eastern Michigan Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -5.52 #105
Offense Rating: 12.15 #110
Defense Rating: 8.46 #53
Overall SP+ Rating: -9.6 #103
Offense SP+ Rating: 14.1 #130
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.1 #53
Talent Rating: 436.00 #104
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 6.80 - 6.20

Massachusetts's OC Steve Casula

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Eastern Michigan's OC Chris Creighton

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Massachusetts's DC Keith Dudzinski

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Eastern Michigan's DC Taver Johnson

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD