New Mexico at Massachusetts Game Matchup
New Mexico logo New Mexico Lobos at Massachusetts MinutemenMassachusetts logo
Saturday, September 23rd 2023 (3:30 PM EDT)
UMass -3.5 (48.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
New Mexico 34 - Massachusetts: 31

 
Lobos (4 - 8) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Danny Gonzales (8 - 26)
Avg Score : 34 - 38 (31 - 37 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.9 - 6.1 (#76)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: New Mexico -3.5    (SP+ -1)
PPG only: UNM: 35 - UMASS: 30 (65)
UMASS Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
UNM Travel: 1892 miles, 2 hrs behind
Minutemen (3 - 9) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Don Brown (2 - 14)
Avg Score : 23 - 36 (27 - 32 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3.9 - 8.1 (#118)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
New Mexico's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 9/2 New Mexico at Texas A&M+37.548.5L 10 - 52
Sat 9/9 New Mexico vs Tennessee Tech-16.051.5W 56 - 10
Sat 9/16 New Mexico vs New Mexico State-2.552.0L 17 - 27
Sat 9/23 New Mexico at Massachusetts+3.548.5W 34 - 31
Sat 9/30 New Mexico at Wyoming+14.540.5L 26 - 35
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 New Mexico vs San José State+6.555.0L 24 - 52
Sat 10/21 New Mexico vs Hawai'i+1.560.0W 42 - 21
Sat 10/28 New Mexico at Nevada-1.050.0L 24 - 34
Sat 11/4 New Mexico vs UNLV+10.061.0L 14 - 56
Sat 11/11 New Mexico at Boise State+27.558.5L 14 - 42
Sat 11/18 New Mexico at Fresno State+22.558.5W 25 - 17
Fri 11/24 New Mexico vs Utah State+4.558.5L 41 - 44
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Massachusetts's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 8/26 Massachusetts at New Mexico State+7.045.5W 41 - 30
Sat 9/2 Massachusetts at Auburn+35.052.0L 14 - 59
Sat 9/9 Massachusetts vs Miami (OH)+7.045.0L 28 - 41
Sat 9/16 Massachusetts at Eastern Michigan+7.050.0L 17 - 19
Sat 9/23 Massachusetts vs New Mexico-3.548.5L 31 - 34
Sat 9/30 Massachusetts vs Arkansas State-2.555.5L 28 - 52
Sat 10/7 Massachusetts vs Toledo+19.055.5L 24 - 41
Sat 10/14 Massachusetts at Penn State+42.055.0L 0 - 63
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 Massachusetts at Army+10.049.5W 21 - 14
Sat 11/4 Massachusetts vs Merrimack-16.557.5W 31 - 21
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/18 Massachusetts at Liberty+26.564.5L 25 - 49
Sat 11/25 Massachusetts vs UConn-2.551.0L 18 - 31
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

UNM's OC Bryant Vincent vs UMASS's DC Keith Dudzinski     UMASS's OC Steve Casula vs UNM's DC Troy Reffett

Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNM-.0633%33.539%2.9712125%1063.04.1743%3847%40%3.5551.21.21.9
UMASS.0132%22.534%2.815031%1172.26.240%35.542%38%3.666.21.61.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNM0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UMASS0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNM Offense1233.530.733%3.041.2132271211063.357%41%39%25%24%-.06
UMASS Defense1235.532.240.1%3.61.6 - - - - - 60%39%42%38%20%.2
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNM Defense123837.443.2%3.551.9 - - - - - 55%44%47%40%17%.17
UMASS Offense1222.527.232.4%2.261.6152671501173.560%39%34%31%20%.01

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
New Mexico1228:5713.122%29%6.151.21.21.95.22.1228.8
Massachusetts1231:5514.628%48%7.666.21.61.66.11.6127.5
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNM Offense1257%39%36.5121.33.312.062.9756%17%0.92
UMASS Defense1260%42% - - - - .183.1770%13%1.14
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNM Defense1255%47% - - - - .173.1777%10%0.92
UMASS Offense1260%34%43.3150.33.510.032.869%14%0.93

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNM Offense1241%25%11.521.3105.559.239-.151.235%18%.016%1.9
UMASS Defense1239%38% - - - - - - 9.291.933%28%.287%2.3
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNM Defense1244%40% - - - - - - 9.241.627%23%.17%1.9
UMASS Offense1239%31%11.323.1116.95.110.3414.011.637%19%.16%2.1

New Mexico's Power Ratings
New Mexico's Power Rating: -5.50 #94
New Mexico's Offense Rating: 25.20 #12
New Mexico's Defense Rating: 19.08 #130
2023 Talent Rating: 464.00 #100
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
New Mexico's 2023 Expected Record: 5.90 - 6.10
New Mexico's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -16.8 #124
New Mexico's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.3 #88
New Mexico's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.2 #128

New Mexico's SP+ Ratings
New Mexico's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -16.8 #124
New Mexico's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.3 #88
New Mexico's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.2 #128

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 492.67
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
New Mexico: -5.50   Massachusetts: -9.09

SP+ Ratings Matchup
New Mexico: -16.8   Massachusetts: -17.7




Massachusetts's Power Ratings
Massachusetts's Power Rating: -9.09 #121
Massachusetts's Offense Rating: 17.17 #59
Massachusetts's Defense Rating: 18.87 #129
2023 Talent Rating: 422.00 #108
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Massachusetts's 2023 Expected Record: 3.90 - 8.10

Massachusetts's SP+ Ratings
Massachusetts's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -17.7 #125
Massachusetts's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.8 #99
Massachusetts's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.4 #124

Average Talent
Average FBS Independents Talent Rating is 638.67
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78


New Mexico Scoring
Offense: 33.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.7
Defense: 38 PPG
Defense on Road: 37.4

New Mexico's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
New Mexico 35
Massachusetts 30

Projected Total Points: 65
Massachusetts Scoring
Offense: 22.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.2
Defense: 35.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 32.2

Massachusetts's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/23Massachusetts31New Mexico34New MexicoUMass -3.5New Mexico48.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Massachusetts001 Overs
New Mexico110 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 10 - 0
Road Teams1 - 01 - 00 - 01 - 0

(#94) New Mexico Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -5.50 #94
Offense Rating: 25.20 #12
Defense Rating: 19.08 #130
Overall SP+ Rating: -16.8 #124
Offense SP+ Rating: 22.3 #88
Defense SP+ Rating: 37.2 #128
Talent Rating: 464.00 #100
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 5.90 - 6.10

New Mexico     Ratings Matchup     Massachusetts
Power #94
#121
Off #12
#59
Def #130
#129
Talent #100
#108
SP+ #124
#125
SP+ Off #88
#99
SP+ Def #128
#124

Rematch from Week 4
Massachusetts -3.5 (48.5)
New Mexico won at Massachusetts this year (34-31)

Previous Matchups
New Mexico beat Massachusetts in 2023 (34-31)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: UNM | UMASS
Depth Chart: UNM | UMASS
Rosters: UNM | UMASS
(#121) Massachusetts Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -9.09 #121
Offense Rating: 17.17 #59
Defense Rating: 18.87 #129
Overall SP+ Rating: -17.7 #125
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.8 #99
Defense SP+ Rating: 36.4 #124
Talent Rating: 422.00 #108
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 3.90 - 8.10





  
New Mexico's OC Bryant Vincent
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Massachusetts's OC Steve Casula
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New Mexico's DC Troy Reffett
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
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Massachusetts's DC Keith Dudzinski
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
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