

Saturday, October 7th 2023 (12:00 PM EDT)
Toledo -19 (55.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Toledo 41 - Massachusetts: 24
Rockets (11 - 3) (7 - 7 - 0)
Coach Jason Candle (56 - 33)
Avg Score : 28 - 23 (22 - 21 on Road)
Record Prediction: 11.1 - 2.9 (#4)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Coach Jason Candle (56 - 33)
Avg Score : 28 - 23 (22 - 21 on Road)
Record Prediction: 11.1 - 2.9 (#4)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
UMASS 3rd straight Home Game
Our Line: Toledo -16.5 (SP+ -21.5)
PPG only: TOL: 32 - UMASS: 23 (55)
TOL Win prob: 91% | Cover: 51%
TOL Travel: 570 miles
Our Line: Toledo -16.5 (SP+ -21.5)
PPG only: TOL: 32 - UMASS: 23 (55)
TOL Win prob: 91% | Cover: 51%
TOL Travel: 570 miles
Minutemen (3 - 9) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Don Brown (2 - 14)
Avg Score : 23 - 36 (27 - 32 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3.9 - 8.1 (#118)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Coach Don Brown (2 - 14)
Avg Score : 23 - 36 (27 - 32 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3.9 - 8.1 (#118)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Toledo's 2023 Schedule | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | |
Sat 9/2 | Toledo at Illinois | +7.0 | 45.5 | L 28 - 30 | |
Sat 9/9 | Toledo vs Texas Southern | -40.5 | 61.0 | W 71 - 3 | |
Sat 9/16 | Toledo vs San José State | -9.0 | 56.5 | W 21 - 17 | |
Sat 9/23 | Toledo vs Western Michigan | -21.5 | 52.5 | W 49 - 31 | |
Sat 9/30 | Toledo vs Northern Illinois | -13.0 | 48.0 | W 35 - 33 | |
Sat 10/7 | Toledo at Massachusetts | -19.0 | 55.5 | W 41 - 24 | |
Sat 10/14 | Toledo at Ball State | -17.5 | 48.5 | W 13 - 6 | |
Sat 10/21 | Toledo at Miami (OH) | -2.0 | 46.5 | W 21 - 17 | |
BYE WEEK | |||||
Tue 10/31 | Toledo vs Buffalo | -14.0 | 47.0 | W 31 - 13 | |
Wed 11/8 | Toledo vs Eastern Michigan | -19.5 | 45.5 | W 49 - 23 | |
Tue 11/14 | Toledo at Bowling Green | -9.5 | 48.5 | W 32 - 31 | |
Fri 11/24 | Toledo at Central Michigan | -12.5 | 54.5 | W 32 - 17 | |
Sat 12/2 | Toledo vs Miami (OH) | -8.5 | 46.0 | L 14 - 23 | |
Sat 12/30 | Toledo vs Wyoming | +4.5 | 43.5 | L 15 - 16 |
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Massachusetts's 2023 Schedule | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | |
Sat 8/26 | Massachusetts at New Mexico State | +7.0 | 45.5 | W 41 - 30 | |
Sat 9/2 | Massachusetts at Auburn | +35.0 | 52.0 | L 14 - 59 | |
Sat 9/9 | Massachusetts vs Miami (OH) | +7.0 | 45.0 | L 28 - 41 | |
Sat 9/16 | Massachusetts at Eastern Michigan | +7.0 | 50.0 | L 17 - 19 | |
Sat 9/23 | Massachusetts vs New Mexico | -3.5 | 48.5 | L 31 - 34 | |
Sat 9/30 | Massachusetts vs Arkansas State | -2.5 | 55.5 | L 28 - 52 | |
Sat 10/7 | Massachusetts vs Toledo | +19.0 | 55.5 | L 24 - 41 | |
Sat 10/14 | Massachusetts at Penn State | +42.0 | 55.0 | L 0 - 63 | |
BYE WEEK | |||||
Sat 10/28 | Massachusetts at Army | +10.0 | 49.5 | W 21 - 14 | |
Sat 11/4 | Massachusetts vs Merrimack | -16.5 | 57.5 | W 31 - 21 | |
BYE WEEK | |||||
Sat 11/18 | Massachusetts at Liberty | +26.5 | 64.5 | L 25 - 49 | |
Sat 11/25 | Massachusetts vs UConn | -2.5 | 51.0 | L 18 - 31 |
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
TOL's OC Mike Hallett vs UMASS's DC Keith Dudzinski UMASS's OC Steve Casula vs TOL's DC Vince Kehres
Important Stats (2022)
Overall Stats 2022
Additional Stats 2022
Important Stats (2022)
Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TOL | .19 | 43% | 28.3 | 44% | 3 | 178 | 43% | 225 | 4.23 | .07 | 34% | 23.2 | 36% | 34% | 3.97 | 55.4 | 1.9 | 1.6 |
UMASS | .01 | 32% | 22.5 | 34% | 2.8 | 150 | 31% | 117 | 2.26 | .2 | 40% | 35.5 | 42% | 38% | 3.6 | 66.2 | 1.6 | 1.6 |
Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TOL | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
UMASS | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Overall Stats 2022
Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TOL Offense | 14 | 28.3 | 22.2 | 42.8% | 4.23 | 1.9 | 22 | 403 | 178 | 225 | 4.3 | 55% | 44% | 44% | 43% | 16% | .19 |
UMASS Defense | 12 | 35.5 | 32.2 | 40.1% | 3.6 | 1.6 | - | - | - | - | - | 60% | 39% | 42% | 38% | 20% | .2 |
Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TOL Defense | 14 | 23.2 | 21.3 | 34.2% | 3.97 | 1.6 | - | - | - | - | - | 51% | 48% | 36% | 34% | 18% | .07 |
UMASS Offense | 12 | 22.5 | 27.2 | 32.4% | 2.26 | 1.6 | 15 | 267 | 150 | 117 | 3.5 | 60% | 39% | 34% | 31% | 20% | .01 |
Additional Stats 2022
Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Toledo | 14 | 29:31 | 22 | 41% | 59% | 6.7 | 55.4 | 1.9 | 1.6 | 5.5 | 2.2 | 2 | 29.6 |
Massachusetts | 12 | 31:55 | 14.6 | 28% | 48% | 7.6 | 66.2 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 6.1 | 1.6 | 1 | 27.5 |
Run Game Stats (2023)
Pass Game Stats (2023)
Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TOL Offense | 14 | 55% | 44% | 41.4 | 177.8 | 4.3 | 23 | .14 | 3 | 76% | 10% | 0.92 |
UMASS Defense | 12 | 60% | 42% | - | - | - | - | .18 | 3.17 | 70% | 13% | 1.14 |
Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TOL Defense | 14 | 51% | 36% | - | - | - | - | .1 | 3.04 | 83% | 10% | 1.08 |
UMASS Offense | 12 | 60% | 34% | 43.3 | 150.3 | 3.5 | 10 | .03 | 2.8 | 69% | 14% | 0.93 |
Pass Game Stats (2023)
Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TOL Offense | 14 | 44% | 43% | 17.6 | 31.4 | 224.9 | 7.2 | 12.8 | 31 | 15 | .35 | 1.7 | 32% | 30% | .32 | 5% | 2.2 |
UMASS Defense | 12 | 39% | 38% | - | - | - | - | - | - | 9 | .29 | 1.9 | 33% | 28% | .28 | 7% | 2.3 |
Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TOL Defense | 14 | 48% | 34% | - | - | - | - | - | - | 12 | .08 | 1.6 | 37% | 23% | .09 | 8% | 2 |
UMASS Offense | 12 | 39% | 31% | 11.3 | 23.1 | 116.9 | 5.1 | 10.3 | 4 | 14 | .01 | 1.6 | 37% | 19% | .1 | 6% | 2.1 |
Toledo's Power Ratings
Toledo's Power Rating: 7.27 #29
Toledo's Offense Rating: 21.47 #30
Toledo's Defense Rating: 4.60 #24
2023 Talent Rating: 536.00 #82
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Toledo's 2023 Expected Record: 11.10 - 2.90
Toledo's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.0 #51
Toledo's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #65
Toledo's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #35
Toledo's SP+ Ratings
Toledo's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.0 #51
Toledo's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #65
Toledo's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #35
Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 506.5
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78
Toledo's Power Rating: 7.27 #29
Toledo's Offense Rating: 21.47 #30
Toledo's Defense Rating: 4.60 #24
2023 Talent Rating: 536.00 #82
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Toledo's 2023 Expected Record: 11.10 - 2.90
Toledo's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.0 #51
Toledo's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #65
Toledo's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #35
Toledo's SP+ Ratings
Toledo's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.0 #51
Toledo's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #65
Toledo's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #35
Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 506.5
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78
Power Ratings Matchup
Toledo: 7.27 Massachusetts: -9.09
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Toledo: 4.0 Massachusetts: -17.7
Toledo: 7.27 Massachusetts: -9.09
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Toledo: 4.0 Massachusetts: -17.7
Massachusetts's Power Ratings
Massachusetts's Power Rating: -9.09 #121
Massachusetts's Offense Rating: 17.17 #59
Massachusetts's Defense Rating: 18.87 #129
2023 Talent Rating: 422.00 #108
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Massachusetts's 2023 Expected Record: 3.90 - 8.10
Massachusetts's SP+ Ratings
Massachusetts's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -17.7 #125
Massachusetts's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.8 #99
Massachusetts's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.4 #124
Average Talent
Average FBS Independents Talent Rating is 638.67
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78
Massachusetts's Power Rating: -9.09 #121
Massachusetts's Offense Rating: 17.17 #59
Massachusetts's Defense Rating: 18.87 #129
2023 Talent Rating: 422.00 #108
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Massachusetts's 2023 Expected Record: 3.90 - 8.10
Massachusetts's SP+ Ratings
Massachusetts's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -17.7 #125
Massachusetts's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.8 #99
Massachusetts's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.4 #124
Average Talent
Average FBS Independents Talent Rating is 638.67
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78
Toledo Scoring
Offense: 28.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.2
Defense: 23.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.3
Toledo's 2023 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Offense: 28.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.2
Defense: 23.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.3
Toledo's 2023 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Toledo 32
Massachusetts 23
Projected Total Points: 55
Toledo 32
Massachusetts 23
Projected Total Points: 55
Massachusetts Scoring
Offense: 22.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.2
Defense: 35.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 32.2
Massachusetts's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Offense: 22.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.2
Defense: 35.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 32.2
Massachusetts's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 | 09/07 | Toledo | 38 | Massachusetts | 23 | Toledo | Toledo -17.5 | Massachusetts | 50.5 | Over |
2023 | 10/07 | Massachusetts | 24 | Toledo | 41 | Toledo | Toledo -19 | Massachusetts | 55.5 | Over |
2022 | 09/10 | Toledo | 55 | Massachusetts | 10 | Toledo | Toledo -28 | Toledo | 49.0 | Over |
2021 | 10/02 | Massachusetts | 7 | Toledo | 45 | Toledo | Toledo -26.5 | Toledo | 56.5 | Under |
2015 | 10/24 | Massachusetts | 35 | Toledo | 51 | Toledo | Toledo -9.5 | Toledo | 61.0 | Over |
2014 | 10/25 | Toledo | 42 | Massachusetts | 35 | Toledo | Toledo -17.5 | Massachusetts | 0 |
Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
---|---|---|---|
Massachusetts | 0 | 3 | 4 Overs |
Toledo | 6 | 3 | 1 Unders |
Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Home Teams | 3 - 3 | 2 - 4 | 1 - 2 | 1 - 2 |
Road Teams | 3 - 3 | 4 - 2 | 2 - 1 | 2 - 1 |
(#29) Toledo Info
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 7.27 #29
Offense Rating: 21.47 #30
Defense Rating: 4.60 #24
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.0 #51
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #65
Defense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #35
Talent Rating: 536.00 #82
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 11.10 - 2.90
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 7.27 #29
Offense Rating: 21.47 #30
Defense Rating: 4.60 #24
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.0 #51
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #65
Defense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #35
Talent Rating: 536.00 #82
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 11.10 - 2.90
Power #29
#121Off #30
#59Def #24
#129Talent #82
#108SP+ #51
#125SP+ Off #65
#99SP+ Def #35
#124Rematch from Week 6
Toledo 19.0 (55.5)
Toledo won at Massachusetts this year (41-24)
Previous Matchups
Toledo beat Massachusetts last year (38-23)
Toledo beat Massachusetts in 2023 (41-24)
Toledo beat Massachusetts in 2022 (55-10)
Weather Forecast
Playing in Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 68° - Wind: 10 mph
Team Information
Injuries: TOL | UMASS
Depth Chart: TOL | UMASS
Rosters: TOL | UMASS
(#121) Massachusetts Info
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -9.09 #121
Offense Rating: 17.17 #59
Defense Rating: 18.87 #129
Overall SP+ Rating: -17.7 #125
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.8 #99
Defense SP+ Rating: 36.4 #124
Talent Rating: 422.00 #108
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 3.90 - 8.10
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -9.09 #121
Offense Rating: 17.17 #59
Defense Rating: 18.87 #129
Overall SP+ Rating: -17.7 #125
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.8 #99
Defense SP+ Rating: 36.4 #124
Talent Rating: 422.00 #108
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 3.90 - 8.10
Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
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Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
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Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
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Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
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Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
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Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
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Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
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Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
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Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
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Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
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Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
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Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
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