South Florida at Navy Game Matchup
South Florida logo South Florida Bulls at Navy MidshipmenNavy logo
Saturday, September 30th 2023 (3:30 PM EDT)
Navy -4 (54.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
South Florida 44 - Navy: 30  (American Athletic)

 
Bulls (7 - 6) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Alex Golesh (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 32 - 30 (34 - 32 on Road)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
NAVY coming off BYE
Our Line: -2    (SP+ -4.5)
PPG only: USF: 27 - NAVY: 31 (58)
NAVY Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
USF Travel: 835 miles
Midshipmen (5 - 7) (4 - 7 - 1)
Coach Brian Newberry (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 31 - 22 (39 - 26 @ Home)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
South Florida's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 9/2 South Florida at Western Kentucky+13.571.5L 24 - 41
Sat 9/9 South Florida vs Florida A&M-20.063.0W 38 - 24
Sat 9/16 South Florida vs Alabama+34.061.0L 3 - 17
Sat 9/23 South Florida vs Rice+2.556.5W 42 - 29
Sat 9/30 South Florida at Navy+4.054.0W 44 - 30
Sat 10/7 South Florida at UAB-3.568.5L 35 - 56
Sat 10/14 South Florida vs Florida Atlantic-3.061.0L 14 - 56
Sat 10/21 South Florida at UConn+1.057.0W 24 - 21
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4 South Florida at Memphis+13.568.5L 50 - 59
Sat 11/11 South Florida vs Temple-7.570.5W 27 - 23
Fri 11/17 South Florida at UTSA+14.565.5L 21 - 49
Sat 11/25 South Florida vs Charlotte-7.556.5W 48 - 14
Thu 12/21 South Florida vs Syracuse+3.056.0W 45 - 0
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Navy's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 8/26 Navy vs Notre Dame+20.549.0L 3 - 42
Sat 9/9 Navy vs Wagner-43.549.0W 24 - 0
Thu 9/14 Navy at Memphis+12.547.0L 24 - 28
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/30 Navy vs South Florida-4.054.0L 30 - 44
Sat 10/7 Navy vs North Texas-6.560.5W 27 - 24
Sat 10/14 Navy at Charlotte-3.544.0W 14 - 0
Sat 10/21 Navy vs Air Force+11.034.0L 6 - 17
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4 Navy at Temple-7.046.0L 18 - 32
Sat 11/11 Navy vs UAB+3.552.5W 31 - 6
Sat 11/18 Navy vs East Carolina-2.530.5W 10 - 0
Sat 11/25 Navy at SMU+20.046.0L 14 - 59
BYE WEEK
Sat 12/9 Navy vs Army+2.028.0L 11 - 17
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

USF's OC Joel Gordon vs NAVY's DC P.J. Volker     NAVY's OC Grant Chesnut vs USF's DC Todd Orlando

Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USF.2744%32.246%3.5419742%1934.12.3951%29.852%51%4.5636.91.71.7
NAVY.1537%31.339%2.9924129%863.56.2439%22.234%43%3.7231.31.31.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USF0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
NAVY0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USF Offense1232.234.344%4.121.7193901971935.356%43%46%42%16%.27
NAVY Defense1222.225.638.6%3.721.7 - - - - - 50%50%34%43%25%.24
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USF Defense1229.831.851.1%4.561.7 - - - - - 54%45%52%51%14%.39
NAVY Offense1231.338.836.7%3.561.318327241864.182%17%39%29%14%.15

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
South Florida1229:2819.339%45%4.636.91.71.75.21.2129.9
Navy1234:3717.638%62%3.831.31.31.76.12.8028.3
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USF Offense1256%46%36.8196.85.325.333.5479%11%1.2
NAVY Defense1250%34% - - - - .012.669%17%1.03
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USF Defense1254%52% - - - - .413.5270%10%1.25
NAVY Offense1282%39%59241.24.122.162.9975%12%1.15

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USF Offense1243%42%15.727.2192.97.112.3189.241.631%28%.335%2.3
NAVY Defense1250%43% - - - - - - 8.51.936%32%.478%2.3
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USF Defense1245%51% - - - - - - 6.431.526%38%.54%1.9
NAVY Offense1217%29%4.510.585.88.219.196.22.633%27%.323%2.1

South Florida's Power Ratings
South Florida's Power Rating: #NR
South Florida's Offense Rating: #NR
South Florida's Defense Rating: #NR
2023 Talent Rating: 484.00 #97
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
South Florida's 2023 Expected Record: -
South Florida's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.5 #102
South Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #61
South Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.0 #123

South Florida's SP+ Ratings
South Florida's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.5 #102
South Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #61
South Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.0 #123

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 492.43
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
South Florida:    Navy: 2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
South Florida: -9.5   Navy: -13.9




Navy's Power Ratings
Navy's Power Rating: 2 #NR
Navy's Offense Rating: #NR
Navy's Defense Rating: #NR
2023 Talent Rating: 504.00 #88
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #NR
Navy's 2023 Expected Record: -

Navy's SP+ Ratings
Navy's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.9 #114
Navy's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.4 #124
Navy's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.7 #72

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 492.43
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78


South Florida Scoring
Offense: 32.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 34.3
Defense: 29.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 31.8

South Florida's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Navy 31
South Florida 27

Projected Total Points: 58
Navy Scoring
Offense: 31.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.8
Defense: 22.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.6

Navy's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 1
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/09South Florida7Navy28NavyNavy -4.5Navy59.5Under
202309/30Navy30South Florida44South FloridaNavy -4South Florida54.0Over
201910/19Navy35South Florida3NavyNavy -15.5Navy52.0Under
201610/28South Florida52Navy45South FloridaSouth Florida -9Navy66.0Over
201510/31Navy29South Florida17NavyNavy -11Navy51.0Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Navy342 Overs
South Florida213 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 22 - 32 - 20 - 1
Road Teams2 - 33 - 21 - 02 - 2

(#NR) South Florida Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: -9.5 #102
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #61
Defense SP+ Rating: 36.0 #123
Talent Rating: 484.00 #97
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Expected Record: -

South Florida     Ratings Matchup     Navy
Power #NR
#NR
Off #NR
#NR
Def #NR
#NR
Talent #97
#88
SP+ #102
#114
SP+ Off #61
#124
SP+ Def #123
#72

Rematch from Week 5
Navy -4.0 (54.0)
South Florida won at Navy this year (44-30)

Previous Matchups
Navy beat South Florida last year (28-7)
South Florida beat Navy in 2023 (44-30)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 71° - Wind: 6 mph


Team Information
Injuries: USF | NAVY
Depth Chart: USF | NAVY
Rosters: USF | NAVY
(#NR) Navy Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 2 #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: -13.9 #114
Offense SP+ Rating: 15.4 #124
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.7 #72
Talent Rating: 504.00 #88
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #NR
Expected Record: -





  
South Florida's OC Joel Gordon
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Navy's OC Grant Chesnut
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South Florida's DC Todd Orlando
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
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Navy's DC P.J. Volker
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Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD