Air Force at Navy Game Matchup
Air Force logo Air Force Falcons at Navy MidshipmenNavy logo
Saturday, October 21st 2023 (12:00 PM EDT)
Air Force -11 (34.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Air Force 17 - Navy: 6

 
Falcons (9 - 4) (5 - 7 - 1)
Coach Troy Calhoun (124 - 78)
Avg Score : 19 - 23 (19 - 29 on Road)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Wind: 13.9 MPHOur Line: -2    (SP+ -19)
PPG only: AFA: 21 - NAVY: 27 (48)
AFA Win prob: 78% | Cover: 49%
AFA Travel: 1516 miles, 2 hrs behind
Midshipmen (5 - 7) (4 - 7 - 1)
Coach Brian Newberry (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 31 - 22 (39 - 26 @ Home)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Air Force's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 9/2 Air Force vs Robert Morris-47.051.0W 42 - 7
Sat 9/9 Air Force vs Sam Houston-13.536.5W 13 - 3
Fri 9/15 Air Force vs Utah State-9.045.5W 39 - 21
Fri 9/22 Air Force at San José State-6.045.5W 45 - 20
Sat 9/30 Air Force vs San Diego State-10.543.5W 49 - 10
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 Air Force vs Wyoming-12.542.0W 34 - 27
Sat 10/21 Air Force at Navy-11.034.0W 17 - 6
Sat 10/28 Air Force at Colorado State-14.547.0W 30 - 13
Sat 11/4 Air Force vs Army-18.532.0L 3 - 23
Sat 11/11 Air Force at Hawai'i-22.547.5L 13 - 27
Sat 11/18 Air Force vs UNLV-2.546.5L 27 - 31
Fri 11/24 Air Force at Boise State+6.544.5L 19 - 27
Sat 12/23 Air Force vs James Madison-2.544.5W 31 - 21
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Navy's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 8/26 Navy vs Notre Dame+20.549.0L 3 - 42
Sat 9/9 Navy vs Wagner-43.549.0W 24 - 0
Thu 9/14 Navy at Memphis+12.547.0L 24 - 28
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/30 Navy vs South Florida-4.054.0L 30 - 44
Sat 10/7 Navy vs North Texas-6.560.5W 27 - 24
Sat 10/14 Navy at Charlotte-3.544.0W 14 - 0
Sat 10/21 Navy vs Air Force+11.034.0L 6 - 17
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4 Navy at Temple-7.046.0L 18 - 32
Sat 11/11 Navy vs UAB+3.552.5W 31 - 6
Sat 11/18 Navy vs East Carolina-2.530.5W 10 - 0
Sat 11/25 Navy at SMU+20.046.0L 14 - 59
BYE WEEK
Sat 12/9 Navy vs Army+2.028.0L 11 - 17
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

AFA's OC Mike Thiessen vs NAVY's DC P.J. Volker     NAVY's OC Grant Chesnut vs AFA's DC Brian Knorr

Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
AFA.349%18.950%3.5532739%704.25.1139%23.338%42%3.7729.711.3
NAVY.1537%31.339%2.9924129%863.56.2439%22.234%43%3.7231.31.31.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
AFA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
NAVY0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
AFA Offense1318.919.248.5%4.25120398327705.387%13%50%39%10%.3
NAVY Defense1222.225.638.6%3.721.7 - - - - - 50%50%34%43%25%.24
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
AFA Defense1323.328.839.4%3.771.3 - - - - - 54%45%38%42%20%.11
NAVY Offense1231.338.836.7%3.561.318327241864.182%17%39%29%14%.15

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Air Force1336:2120.545%72%3.929.711.35.11.8029.6
Navy1234:3717.638%62%3.831.31.31.76.12.8028.3
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
AFA Offense1387%50%61.7327.25.337.283.5584%8%0.96
NAVY Defense1250%34% - - - - .012.669%17%1.03
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
AFA Defense1354%38% - - - - .13.0662%13%1.01
NAVY Offense1282%39%59241.24.122.162.9975%12%1.15

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
AFA Offense1313%39%3.26.770.510.522.382.532.626%33%.362%1.9
NAVY Defense1250%43% - - - - - - 8.51.936%32%.478%2.3
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
AFA Defense1345%42% - - - - - - 9.251.333%24%.197%2
NAVY Offense1217%29%4.510.585.88.219.196.22.633%27%.323%2.1

Air Force's Power Ratings
Air Force's Power Rating: #NR
Air Force's Offense Rating: #NR
Air Force's Defense Rating: #NR
2023 Talent Rating: 712.00 #43
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Air Force's 2023 Expected Record: -
Air Force's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.2 #45
Air Force's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.7 #76
Air Force's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.6 #29

Air Force's SP+ Ratings
Air Force's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.2 #45
Air Force's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.7 #76
Air Force's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.6 #29

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 492.67
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Air Force:    Navy: 2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Air Force: 5.2   Navy: -13.9




Navy's Power Ratings
Navy's Power Rating: 2 #NR
Navy's Offense Rating: #NR
Navy's Defense Rating: #NR
2023 Talent Rating: 504.00 #88
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #NR
Navy's 2023 Expected Record: -

Navy's SP+ Ratings
Navy's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.9 #114
Navy's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.4 #124
Navy's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.7 #72

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 492.43
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78


Air Force Scoring
Offense: 18.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.2
Defense: 23.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.8

Air Force's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 1
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Navy 27
Air Force 21

Projected Total Points: 48
Navy Scoring
Offense: 31.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.8
Defense: 22.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.6

Navy's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 1
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 1


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/05Air Force7Navy34NavyNavy -10Navy37.0Over
202310/21Navy6Air Force17Air ForceAir Force -11NA34.0Under
202210/01Air Force13Navy10Air ForceAir Force -14Navy38.0Under
202109/11Navy3Air Force23Air ForceAir Force -6Air Force40.0Under
202010/03Air Force40Navy7Air ForceNavy -6.5Air Force46.5Over
201910/05Navy34Air Force25NavyAir Force -3Navy46.5Over
201810/06Air Force35Navy7Air ForceNavy -2.5Air Force47.0Under
201710/07Navy48Air Force45NavyNavy -8.5Air Force53.5Over
201610/01Air Force28Navy14Air ForceAir Force -10.5Air Force50.5Under
201510/03Navy33Air Force11NavyNavy -6Navy49.5Under
201410/04Air Force30Navy21Air ForceNavy -4Air Force0
201310/05Navy28Air Force10NavyNavy -11Navy0
201210/06Air Force21Navy28Navy
201110/01Navy34Air Force35Air Force
201010/02Air Force14Navy6Air Force
200910/03Navy16Air Force13Navy
200810/04Air Force27Navy33Navy
200709/29Navy31Air Force20Navy
200610/07Air Force17Navy24Navy
200510/08Navy27Air Force24Navy
200409/30Air Force21Navy24Navy
200310/04Navy28Air Force25Navy
200210/05Air Force48Navy7Air Force
200110/06Navy18Air Force24Air Force
200010/06Air Force27Navy13Air Force
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Navy1354 Overs
Air Force1266 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams16 - 97 - 43 - 24 - 2
Road Teams9 - 164 - 72 - 42 - 3

(#NR) Air Force Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: 5.2 #45
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.7 #76
Defense SP+ Rating: 20.6 #29
Talent Rating: 712.00 #43
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Expected Record: -

Air Force     Ratings Matchup     Navy
Power #NR
#NR
Off #NR
#NR
Def #NR
#NR
Talent #43
#88
SP+ #45
#114
SP+ Off #76
#124
SP+ Def #29
#72

Rematch from Week 8
Air Force 11.0 (34.0)
Air Force won at Navy this year (17-6)

Previous Matchups
Navy beat Air Force last year (34-7)
Air Force beat Navy in 2023 (17-6)
Air Force beat Navy in 2022 (13-10)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 65° - Wind: 14 mph


Team Information
Injuries: AFA | NAVY
Depth Chart: AFA | NAVY
Rosters: AFA | NAVY
(#NR) Navy Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 2 #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: -13.9 #114
Offense SP+ Rating: 15.4 #124
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.7 #72
Talent Rating: 504.00 #88
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #NR
Expected Record: -





  
Air Force's OC Mike Thiessen
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Navy's OC Grant Chesnut
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Air Force's DC Brian Knorr
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Navy's DC P.J. Volker
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