Southern Miss at App State Game Matchup

Southern Miss Golden Eagles at App State Mountaineers

Saturday, October 28th 2023 (3:30 PM EDT)
Appalachian State -16 (55.5) (0) Open: 0.0
App State 48 - Southern Miss: 38 (Sun Belt)

Golden Eagles (3 - 9) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Will Hall (11 - 17)
Avg Score : 15 - 38 (11 - 43 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.1 - 7.9 (#114)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

USM 2nd straight Road Game
Our Line: App State -12.5 (SP+ -18)
PPG only: USM: 24 - APP: 32 (56)
APP Win prob: 88% | Cover: 54%
USM Travel: 553 miles, 1 hrs behind

Mountaineers (9 - 5) (6 - 7 - 1)
Coach Shawn Clark (28 - 14)
Avg Score : 27 - 33 (29 - 25 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.5 - 5.5 (#34)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Off Players
Def Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Southern Miss's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
Sat 9/2	Southern Miss vs Alcorn State	-24.0	47.5	W 40 - 14
Sat 9/9	Southern Miss at Florida State	+31.0	54.0	L 13 - 66
Sat 9/16	Southern Miss vs Tulane	+8.0	47.5	L 3 - 21
Sat 9/23	Southern Miss at Arkansas State	-7.0	46.5	L 37 - 44
Sat 9/30	Southern Miss vs Texas State	+6.5	60.0	L 36 - 50
Sat 10/7	Southern Miss vs Old Dominion	-3.0	56.5	L 13 - 17
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/17	Southern Miss at South Alabama	+18.5	51.0	L 3 - 55
Sat 10/28	Southern Miss at App State	+16.0	55.5	L 38 - 48
Sat 11/4	Southern Miss vs UL Monroe	-3.0	56.0	W 24 - 7
Thu 11/9	Southern Miss at Louisiana	+8.5	51.5	W 34 - 31
Sat 11/18	Southern Miss at Mississippi State	+18.5	47.5	L 20 - 41
Sat 11/25	Southern Miss vs Troy	+16.5	48.5	L 17 - 35

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

App State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
Sat 9/2	App State vs Gardner-Webb	-22.5	51.0	W 45 - 24
Sat 9/9	App State at North Carolina	+18.0	58.0	L 34 - 40
Sat 9/16	App State vs East Carolina	-7.5	48.5	W 43 - 28
Sat 9/23	App State at Wyoming	+3.0	45.0	L 19 - 22
Sat 9/30	App State at UL Monroe	-13.5	50.5	W 41 - 40
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/10	App State vs Coastal Carolina	-4.5	59.0	L 24 - 27
Sat 10/21	App State at Old Dominion	-6.0	56.0	L 21 - 28
Sat 10/28	App State vs Southern Miss	-16.0	55.5	W 48 - 38
Sat 11/4	App State vs Marshall	-3.0	57.5	W 31 - 9
Sat 11/11	App State at Georgia State	+2.5	62.5	W 42 - 14
Sat 11/18	App State at James Madison	+10.0	56.5	W 26 - 23
Sat 11/25	App State vs Georgia Southern	-7.5	62.5	W 55 - 27
Sat 12/2	App State at Troy	+6.5	51.5	L 23 - 49
Sat 12/16	App State vs Miami (OH)	-6.5	41.0	W 13 - 9

USM's OC Sam Gregg vs APP's DC Scott Sloan APP's OC Frank Ponce vs USM's DC Dan O'Brien

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USM	.11	39%	15.3	40%	2.8	142	39%	208	3.69	.1	36%	37.8	37%	37%	3.86	59.5	2	1.8
APP	.25	45%	26.6	48%	3.37	205	42%	250	4.17	.22	41%	32.9	40%	43%	4.1	50.3	0.9	2.1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USM		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
APP		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USM Offense	13	15.3	11	38.6%	3.69	2	18	349	142	208	3.9	53%	45%	40%	39%	19%	.11
APP Defense	12	32.9	24.8	41.4%	4.1	2.1	-	-	-	-	-	48%	52%	40%	43%	17%	.22

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USM Defense	13	37.8	42.5	36.4%	3.86	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	50%	48%	37%	37%	18%	.1
APP Offense	12	26.6	29.4	45.2%	4.17	0.9	23	455	205	250	5.2	54%	46%	48%	42%	11%	.25

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Southern Miss	13	28:38	17.9	34%	63%	6.7	59.5	2	1.8	7.8	3	3	32.3
App State	12	30:35	23	39%	49%	5.5	50.3	0.9	2.1	5.7	2.4	1	32.1

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USM Offense	13	53%	40%	36.6	141.7	3.9	15	.06	2.8	60%	13%	0.97
APP Defense	12	48%	40%	-	-	-	-	.13	2.95	71%	11%	1.07

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USM Defense	13	50%	37%	-	-	-	-	.08	2.79	74%	13%	1.03
APP Offense	12	54%	48%	39.5	204.9	5.2	27	.24	3.37	69%	7%	0.99

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USM Offense	13	45%	39%	14.7	26.6	207.5	7.8	14.1	20	14	.25	1.7	33%	26%	.26	6%	2.2
APP Defense	12	52%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.33	1.6	33%	31%	.43	6%	2.3

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USM Defense	13	48%	37%	-	-	-	-	-	-	16	.18	1.7	36%	27%	.21	6%	2.1
APP Offense	12	46%	42%	18.8	29.8	250.4	8.4	13.3	28	6	.31	1.7	29%	30%	.34	4%	2.2

Southern Miss's Power Ratings
Southern Miss's Power Rating: -10.22 #119
Southern Miss's Offense Rating: 11.32 #116
Southern Miss's Defense Rating: 12.99 #102
2023 Talent Rating: 408.00 #111
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Southern Miss's 2023 Expected Record: 4.10 - 7.90
Southern Miss's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.2 #118
Southern Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.0 #85
Southern Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.7 #125

Southern Miss's SP+ Ratings
Southern Miss's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.2 #118
Southern Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.0 #85
Southern Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.7 #125

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 393.43
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Southern Miss: -10.22 App State: 2.14

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Southern Miss: -15.2 App State: 3.0

App State's Power Ratings
App State's Power Rating: 2.14 #58
App State's Offense Rating: 19.75 #38
App State's Defense Rating: 8.38 #51
2023 Talent Rating: 592.00 #75
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
App State's 2023 Expected Record: 8.50 - 5.50

App State's SP+ Ratings
App State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.0 #55
App State's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.3 #24
App State's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.4 #102

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 393.43
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Southern Miss Scoring
Offense: 15.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 11
Defense: 37.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 42.5

Southern Miss's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
App State 32
Southern Miss 24

Projected Total Points: 56

App State Scoring
Offense: 26.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.4
Defense: 32.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.8

App State's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 1
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	10/28	App State	48	Southern Miss	38	App State	Appalachian State -16	Southern Miss	55.5	Over
2014	09/20	Southern Miss	21	App State	20	Southern Miss	Southern Mississippi -4	App State	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
App State	1	1	1 Overs
Southern Miss	1	1	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 0	0 - 2	0 - 2	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 2	2 - 0	0 - 0	2 - 0

(#119) Southern Miss Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -10.22 #119
Offense Rating: 11.32 #116
Defense Rating: 12.99 #102
Overall SP+ Rating: -15.2 #118
Offense SP+ Rating: 23.0 #85
Defense SP+ Rating: 36.7 #125
Talent Rating: 408.00 #111
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 4.10 - 7.90

Southern Miss Ratings Matchup App State

Power #119

#58

Off #116

#38

Def #102

#51

Talent #111

#75

SP+ #118

#55

SP+ Off #85

#24

SP+ Def #125

#102

Rematch from Week 9
App State -16.0 (55.5)
App State won vs Southern Miss this year (48-38)

Previous Matchups
App State beat Southern Miss in 2023 (48-38)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kidd Brewer Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: USM | APP
Depth Chart: USM | APP
Rosters: USM | APP

(#58) App State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 2.14 #58
Offense Rating: 19.75 #38
Defense Rating: 8.38 #51
Overall SP+ Rating: 3.0 #55
Offense SP+ Rating: 34.3 #24
Defense SP+ Rating: 32.4 #102
Talent Rating: 592.00 #75
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 8.50 - 5.50

Southern Miss's OC Sam Gregg

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

App State's OC Frank Ponce

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Southern Miss's DC Dan O'Brien

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

App State's DC Scott Sloan

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD