South Alabama at Troy Game Matchup

Thursday, November 2nd 2023 (7:30 PM EDT)
Troy -5.5 (44.5) (-250) Open: -3.0
Troy 28 - South Alabama: 10 (Sun Belt)

Jaguars (7 - 6) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Kane Wommack (17 - 11)
Avg Score : 34 - 25 (26 - 23 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.3 - 3.7 (#21)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: Troy -3 (SP+ -7)
PPG only: USA: 31 - TROY: 26 (57)
TROY Win prob: 67% | Cover: 51%
USA Travel: 145 miles

Trojans (11 - 3) (8 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jon Sumrall (13 - 4)
Avg Score : 26 - 28 (29 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10 - 4 (#13)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Off Players
Def Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

South Alabama's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
Sat 9/2	South Alabama at Tulane	+6.0	51.0	L 17 - 37
Sat 9/9	South Alabama vs SE Louisiana	-24.0	59.5	W 35 - 17
Sat 9/16	South Alabama at Oklahoma State	+7.0	49.5	W 33 - 7
Sat 9/23	South Alabama vs Central Michigan	-16.5	46.5	L 30 - 34
Sat 9/30	South Alabama at James Madison	+1.0	48.5	L 23 - 31
Sat 10/7	South Alabama at UL Monroe	-11.0	51.5	W 55 - 7
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/17	South Alabama vs Southern Miss	-18.5	51.0	W 55 - 3
Sat 10/28	South Alabama vs Louisiana	-11.5	55.0	L 20 - 33
Thu 11/2	South Alabama at Troy	+5.5	44.5	L 10 - 28
Sat 11/11	South Alabama vs Arkansas State	-14.5	54.5	W 21 - 14
Sat 11/18	South Alabama vs Marshall	-10.5	44.5	W 28 - 0
Sat 11/25	South Alabama at Texas State	-6.5	57.0	L 44 - 52
Sat 12/23	South Alabama at Eastern Michigan	-18.0	43.0	W 59 - 10

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Troy's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
Sat 9/2	Troy vs Stephen F. Austin	-26.0	48.0	W 48 - 30
Sat 9/9	Troy at Kansas State	+15.0	50.0	L 13 - 42
Sat 9/16	Troy vs James Madison	-2.5	46.5	L 14 - 16
Sat 9/23	Troy vs Western Kentucky	-3.5	57.0	W 27 - 24
Sat 9/30	Troy at Georgia State	+1.0	50.5	W 28 - 7
Sat 10/7	Troy vs Arkansas State	-15.5	52.0	W 37 - 3
Sat 10/14	Troy at Army	-6.5	41.5	W 19 - 0
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	Troy at Texas State	-6.5	53.0	W 31 - 13
Thu 11/2	Troy vs South Alabama	-5.5	44.5	W 28 - 10
Sat 11/11	Troy at UL Monroe	-23.5	47.5	W 45 - 14
Sat 11/18	Troy vs Louisiana	-17.5	47.5	W 31 - 24
Sat 11/25	Troy at Southern Miss	-16.5	48.5	W 35 - 17
Sat 12/2	Troy vs App State	-6.5	51.5	W 49 - 23
Sat 12/23	Troy vs Duke	-7.0	44.0	L 10 - 17

USA's OC Major Applewhite vs TROY's DC Greg Gasparato TROY's OC Joe Craddock vs USA's DC Corey Batoon

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USA	.22	42%	34.4	40%	3.06	155	45%	269	4.14	.11	38%	25.2	40%	37%	3.16	70.4	1.2	1.8
TROY	.15	40%	26	40%	2.93	116	41%	243	3.45	.08	40%	28.4	42%	38%	3.04	49.9	1.5	2.1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
TROY		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USA Offense	13	34.4	25.5	42%	4.14	1.2	22	424	155	269	4	51%	48%	40%	45%	13%	.22
TROY Defense	14	28.4	22.5	39.7%	3.04	2.1	-	-	-	-	-	47%	53%	42%	38%	16%	.08

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USA Defense	13	25.2	22.8	37.7%	3.16	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	41%	58%	40%	37%	17%	.11
TROY Offense	14	26	29.3	39.7%	3.45	1.5	20	359	116	243	3.3	49%	49%	40%	41%	16%	.15

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
South Alabama	13	32:42	22.2	43%	59%	7.7	70.4	1.2	1.8	6.2	2.2	3	29.6
Troy	14	30:25	19.5	32%	67%	5.4	49.9	1.5	2.1	5.6	2.9	1	29.7

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USA Offense	13	51%	40%	38.8	155.3	4	19	.16	3.06	78%	7%	1.02
TROY Defense	14	47%	42%	-	-	-	-	.08	3.09	72%	10%	0.89

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USA Defense	13	41%	40%	-	-	-	-	.07	2.98	78%	11%	0.87
TROY Offense	14	49%	40%	35.5	116.1	3.3	21	.07	2.93	73%	11%	0.93

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USA Offense	13	48%	45%	22.4	34.4	268.9	7.8	12	28	12	.33	1.6	31%	30%	.3	5%	2
TROY Defense	14	53%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	13	.1	1.4	32%	26%	.16	6%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USA Defense	13	58%	37%	-	-	-	-	-	-	13	.18	1.6	36%	22%	.14	6%	2
TROY Offense	14	49%	41%	17.9	28.6	242.6	8.5	13.5	20	15	.29	1.7	31%	29%	.2	5%	1.9

South Alabama's Power Ratings
South Alabama's Power Rating: 3.95 #41
South Alabama's Offense Rating: 19.51 #39
South Alabama's Defense Rating: 6.19 #32
2023 Talent Rating: 362.00 #120
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
South Alabama's 2023 Expected Record: 9.30 - 3.70
South Alabama's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.0 #55
South Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.7 #50
South Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.8 #68

South Alabama's SP+ Ratings
South Alabama's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.0 #55
South Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.7 #50
South Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.8 #68

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 393.43
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
South Alabama: 3.95 Troy: 7.08

SP+ Ratings Matchup
South Alabama: 3.0 Troy: 10.4

Troy's Power Ratings
Troy's Power Rating: 7.08 #35
Troy's Offense Rating: 16.62 #64
Troy's Defense Rating: 1.67 #14
2023 Talent Rating: 344.00 #123
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Troy's 2023 Expected Record: 10.00 - 4.00

Troy's SP+ Ratings
Troy's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.4 #26
Troy's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #34
Troy's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #26

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 393.43
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

South Alabama Scoring
Offense: 34.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.5
Defense: 25.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.8

South Alabama's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
South Alabama 31
Troy 26

Projected Total Points: 57

Troy Scoring
Offense: 26 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.3
Defense: 28.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.5

Troy's 2023 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	10/15	South Alabama	25	Troy	9	South Alabama	South Alabama -10	South Alabama	53.0	Under
2023	11/02	Troy	28	South Alabama	10	Troy	Troy -5.5	Troy	44.5	Under
2022	10/20	South Alabama	6	Troy	10	Troy	South Alabama -3	Troy	47.0	Under
2021	11/06	Troy	31	South Alabama	24	Troy	Troy -3.5	Troy	47.5	Over
2020	12/05	South Alabama	0	Troy	29	Troy	Troy -4.5	Troy	53.5	Under
2019	10/16	Troy	37	South Alabama	13	Troy	Troy -17.5	Troy	55.5	Under
2018	10/23	South Alabama	17	Troy	38	Troy	Troy -11	Troy	52.5	Over
2017	10/11	Troy	8	South Alabama	19	South Alabama	Troy -18	South Alabama	51.5	Under
2016	10/20	South Alabama	21	Troy	28	Troy	Troy -9	South Alabama	49.0	Push
2015	10/03	Troy	18	South Alabama	24	South Alabama	Troy -3	South Alabama	61.5	Under
2014	10/24	South Alabama	27	Troy	13	South Alabama	South Alabama -12	South Alabama	0
2013	10/05	Troy	34	South Alabama	33	Troy	Troy -2.5	South Alabama	0
2012	09/29	South Alabama	10	Troy	31	Troy

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Troy	9	6	2 Overs
South Alabama	4	6	7 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	6 - 7	6 - 6	5 - 4	1 - 2
Road Teams	7 - 6	6 - 6	2 - 1	4 - 5

(#41) South Alabama Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 3.95 #41
Offense Rating: 19.51 #39
Defense Rating: 6.19 #32
Overall SP+ Rating: 3.0 #55
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.7 #50
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.8 #68
Talent Rating: 362.00 #120
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 9.30 - 3.70

South Alabama Ratings Matchup Troy

Power #41

#35

Off #39

#64

Def #32

#14

Talent #120

#123

SP+ #55

#26

SP+ Off #50

#34

SP+ Def #68

#26

Rematch from Week 10
Troy -5.5 (44.5)
Troy won vs South Alabama this year (28-10)

Previous Matchups
South Alabama beat Troy last year (25-9)
Troy beat South Alabama in 2023 (28-10)
Troy beat South Alabama in 2022 (10-6)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Veterans Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: USA | TROY
Depth Chart: USA | TROY
Rosters: USA | TROY

(#35) Troy Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 7.08 #35
Offense Rating: 16.62 #64
Defense Rating: 1.67 #14
Overall SP+ Rating: 10.4 #26
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #34
Defense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #26
Talent Rating: 344.00 #123
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 10.00 - 4.00

South Alabama's OC Major Applewhite

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Troy's OC Joe Craddock

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

South Alabama's DC Corey Batoon

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Troy's DC Greg Gasparato

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD