Georgia Southern at Texas State Game Matchup
Georgia Southern logo Georgia Southern Eagles at Texas State BobcatsTexas State logo
Saturday, November 4th 2023 (5:00 PM EDT)
Georgia Southern -2 (69.0) (114)  Open: -2.5
Texas State 45 - Georgia Southern: 24  (Sun Belt)

 
Eagles (6 - 7) (4 - 8 - 1)
Coach Clay Helton (8 - 8)
Avg Score : 28 - 28 (25 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.3 - 7.7 (#92)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
TXST 3rd straight Home Game
Our Line: Texas State -8    (SP+ -0)

PPG only: GASO: 26 - TXST: 32 (58)
GASO Win prob: 55% | Cover: 50%
GASO Travel: 969 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Bobcats (8 - 5) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach G. J. Kinne (2 - 1)
Avg Score : 37 - 25 (39 - 22 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.8 - 5.2 (#47)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Georgia Southern's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 9/2 Georgia Southern vs The Citadel-34.053.5W 34 - 0
Sat 9/9 Georgia Southern vs UAB-7.063.0W 49 - 35
Sat 9/16 Georgia Southern at Wisconsin+20.565.5L 14 - 35
Sat 9/23 Georgia Southern at Ball State-6.060.0W 40 - 3
Sat 9/30 Georgia Southern vs Coastal Carolina-6.067.5W 38 - 28
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 Georgia Southern at James Madison+5.560.0L 13 - 41
Sat 10/21 Georgia Southern vs UL Monroe-16.560.5W 38 - 28
Thu 10/26 Georgia Southern vs Georgia State+1.063.0W 44 - 27
Sat 11/4 Georgia Southern at Texas State-2.069.0L 24 - 45
Sat 11/11 Georgia Southern at Marshall-1.556.5L 33 - 38
Sat 11/18 Georgia Southern vs Old Dominion-4.561.5L 17 - 20
Sat 11/25 Georgia Southern at App State+7.562.5L 27 - 55
Sat 12/16 Georgia Southern vs Ohio-1.548.5L 21 - 41
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Texas State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 9/2 Texas State at Baylor+26.558.5W 42 - 31
Sat 9/9 Texas State at UTSA+13.566.5L 13 - 20
Sat 9/16 Texas State vs Jackson State-17.561.5W 77 - 34
Sat 9/23 Texas State vs Nevada-17.060.0W 35 - 24
Sat 9/30 Texas State at Southern Miss-6.560.0W 50 - 36
Sat 10/7 Texas State at Louisiana+1.067.5L 30 - 34
Sat 10/14 Texas State vs UL Monroe-18.564.5W 21 - 20
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 Texas State vs Troy+6.553.0L 13 - 31
Sat 11/4 Texas State vs Georgia Southern+2.069.0W 45 - 24
Sat 11/11 Texas State at Coastal Carolina-2.555.5L 23 - 31
Sat 11/18 Texas State at Arkansas State-3.559.5L 31 - 77
Sat 11/25 Texas State vs South Alabama+6.557.0W 52 - 44
Tue 12/26 Texas State vs Rice-3.558.5W 45 - 21
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

GASO's OC Bryan Ellis vs TXST's DC Jonathan Patke     TXST's OC Mack Leftwich vs GASO's DC Brandon Bailey

Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
GASO.2546%2846%3.1313747%3294.15.2545%27.649%42%3.7145.81.61.5
TXST.1138%36.547%3.1410333%2213.69.1341%24.540%42%3.6344.31.42.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
GASO0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TXST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
GASO Offense13282546%4.151.6254671373294.836%62%46%47%16%.25
TXST Defense1224.522.140.7%3.632.1 - - - - - 44%55%40%42%20%.13
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
GASO Defense1327.628.845.4%3.711.5 - - - - - 52%47%49%42%14%.25
TXST Offense1236.538.738.3%3.691.4183241032213.243%56%47%33%21%.11

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Georgia Southern1327:4025.246%57%5.145.81.61.53.81.5226.6
Texas State1230:2817.737%33%4.844.31.42.16.42.2226.9
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
GASO Offense1336%46%28.5137.24.823.213.1372%6%1.03
TXST Defense1244%40% - - - - .123.1763%12%0.95
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
GASO Defense1352%49% - - - - .283.5769%7%1.02
TXST Offense1243%47%31.91033.29.133.1475%13%0.84

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
GASO Offense1362%47%28.747329.4711.52816.321.429%36%.4111%2
TXST Defense1255%42% - - - - - - 11.191.433%30%.257%1.8
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
GASO Defense1347%42% - - - - - - 11.291.628%34%.348%1.9
TXST Offense1256%33%22.836.8220.869.71910.141.633%27%.388%2.2

Georgia Southern's Power Ratings
Georgia Southern's Power Rating: -8.20 #109
Georgia Southern's Offense Rating: 16.14 #69
Georgia Southern's Defense Rating: 13.87 #111
2023 Talent Rating: 486.00 #96
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #68
Georgia Southern's 2023 Expected Record: 5.30 - 7.70
Georgia Southern's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.4 #80
Georgia Southern's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.7 #40
Georgia Southern's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.6 #120

Georgia Southern's SP+ Ratings
Georgia Southern's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.4 #80
Georgia Southern's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.7 #40
Georgia Southern's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.6 #120

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 393.43
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Georgia Southern: -8.20   Texas State: -0.06

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Georgia Southern: -4.4   Texas State: -4.0




Texas State's Power Ratings
Texas State's Power Rating: -0.06 #77
Texas State's Offense Rating: 22.88 #21
Texas State's Defense Rating: 11.42 #91
2023 Talent Rating: 140.00 #131
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Texas State's 2023 Expected Record: 7.80 - 5.20

Texas State's SP+ Ratings
Texas State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.0 #79
Texas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.6 #47
Texas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.7 #114

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 393.43
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78


Georgia Southern Scoring
Offense: 28 PPG
Offense on Road: 25
Defense: 27.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.8

Georgia Southern's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 1
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Texas State 32
Georgia Southern 26


Projected Total Points: 58
Texas State Scoring
Offense: 36.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.7
Defense: 24.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.1

Texas State's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202311/04Texas State45Georgia Southern24Texas StateGeorgia Southern -2Texas State69.0Push
202111/13Texas State30Georgia Southern38Georgia SouthernTexas State -2.5Georgia Southern52.0Over
202011/14Georgia Southern40Texas State38Georgia SouthernGeorgia Southern -11Texas State50.0Over
201810/11Texas State13Georgia Southern15Georgia SouthernGeorgia Southern -17Texas State52.0Under
201510/29Georgia Southern37Texas State13Georgia SouthernGeorgia Southern -18.5Georgia Southern65.0Under
201411/08Texas State25Georgia Southern28Georgia SouthernGeorgia Southern -8Texas State0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Texas State142 Overs
Georgia Southern522 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 34 - 21 - 23 - 0
Road Teams3 - 32 - 40 - 32 - 1

(#109) Georgia Southern Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -8.20 #109
Offense Rating: 16.14 #69
Defense Rating: 13.87 #111
Overall SP+ Rating: -4.4 #80
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.7 #40
Defense SP+ Rating: 35.6 #120
Talent Rating: 486.00 #96
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #68
Expected Record: 5.30 - 7.70

Georgia Southern     Ratings Matchup     Texas State
Power #109
#77
Off #69
#21
Def #111
#91
Talent #96
#131
SP+ #80
#79
SP+ Off #40
#47
SP+ Def #120
#114

Rematch from Week 10
Georgia Southern 2.0 (69.0)
Texas State won vs Georgia Southern this year (45-24)

Previous Matchups
Texas State beat Georgia Southern in 2023 (45-24)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Wacker Field at Bobcat Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 77° - Wind: 6 mph


Team Information
Injuries: GASO | TXST
Depth Chart: GASO | TXST
Rosters: GASO | TXST
(#77) Texas State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -0.06 #77
Offense Rating: 22.88 #21
Defense Rating: 11.42 #91
Overall SP+ Rating: -4.0 #79
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.6 #47
Defense SP+ Rating: 34.7 #114
Talent Rating: 140.00 #131
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 7.80 - 5.20





  
Georgia Southern's OC Bryan Ellis
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Texas State's OC Mack Leftwich
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Georgia Southern's DC Brandon Bailey
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Texas State's DC Jonathan Patke
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