App State at Georgia State Game Matchup

App State Mountaineers at Georgia State Panthers

Saturday, November 11th 2023 (2:00 PM EST)
Georgia State -2.5 (62.5) (0) Open: 0.0
App State 42 - Georgia State: 14 (Sun Belt)

Mountaineers (9 - 5) (6 - 7 - 1)
Coach Shawn Clark (28 - 14)
Avg Score : 27 - 33 (24 - 40 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.5 - 5.5 (#34)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

GAST 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: App State -5 (SP+ -12.5)
PPG only: APP: 30 - GAST: 28 (58)
GAST Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
APP Travel: 230 miles

Panthers (7 - 6) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Shawn Elliott (37 - 38)
Avg Score : 24 - 34 (24 - 31 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.7 - 7.3 (#83)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Off Players
Def Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

App State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
Sat 9/2	App State vs Gardner-Webb	-22.5	51.0	W 45 - 24
Sat 9/9	App State at North Carolina	+18.0	58.0	L 34 - 40
Sat 9/16	App State vs East Carolina	-7.5	48.5	W 43 - 28
Sat 9/23	App State at Wyoming	+3.0	45.0	L 19 - 22
Sat 9/30	App State at UL Monroe	-13.5	50.5	W 41 - 40
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/10	App State vs Coastal Carolina	-4.5	59.0	L 24 - 27
Sat 10/21	App State at Old Dominion	-6.0	56.0	L 21 - 28
Sat 10/28	App State vs Southern Miss	-16.0	55.5	W 48 - 38
Sat 11/4	App State vs Marshall	-3.0	57.5	W 31 - 9
Sat 11/11	App State at Georgia State	+2.5	62.5	W 42 - 14
Sat 11/18	App State at James Madison	+10.0	56.5	W 26 - 23
Sat 11/25	App State vs Georgia Southern	-7.5	62.5	W 55 - 27
Sat 12/2	App State at Troy	+6.5	51.5	L 23 - 49
Sat 12/16	App State vs Miami (OH)	-6.5	41.0	W 13 - 9

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Georgia State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
Thu 8/31	Georgia State vs Rhode Island	-18.0	61.5	W 42 - 35
Sat 9/9	Georgia State vs UConn	-3.0	54.5	W 35 - 14
Sat 9/16	Georgia State at Charlotte	-6.5	52.0	W 41 - 25
Thu 9/21	Georgia State at Coastal Carolina	+4.5	62.5	W 30 - 17
Sat 9/30	Georgia State vs Troy	-1.0	50.5	L 7 - 28
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	Georgia State vs Marshall	-2.0	53.5	W 41 - 24
Sat 10/21	Georgia State at Louisiana	+3.0	62.0	W 20 - 17
Thu 10/26	Georgia State at Georgia Southern	-1.0	63.0	L 27 - 44
Sat 11/4	Georgia State vs James Madison	+6.0	53.0	L 14 - 42
Sat 11/11	Georgia State vs App State	-2.5	62.5	L 14 - 42
Sat 11/18	Georgia State at LSU	+32.5	73.5	L 14 - 56
Sat 11/25	Georgia State at Old Dominion	+2.0	49.5	L 24 - 25
Sat 12/23	Georgia State vs Utah State	+2.0	58.0	W 45 - 22

APP's OC Frank Ponce vs GAST's DC Chad Staggs GAST's OC Trent McKnight vs APP's DC Scott Sloan

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
APP	.25	45%	26.6	48%	3.37	205	42%	250	4.17	.22	41%	32.9	40%	43%	4.1	50.3	0.9	2.1
GAST	.17	39%	23.8	39%	3.09	216	40%	203	3.9	.16	43%	33.8	45%	41%	4.11	63.7	1.6	2.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
APP		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
GAST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
APP Offense	12	26.6	24.3	45.2%	4.17	0.9	23	455	205	250	5.2	54%	46%	48%	42%	11%	.25
GAST Defense	12	33.8	31.2	43%	4.11	2.7	-	-	-	-	-	55%	44%	45%	41%	18%	.16

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
APP Defense	12	32.9	39.7	41.4%	4.1	2.1	-	-	-	-	-	48%	52%	40%	43%	17%	.22
GAST Offense	12	23.8	23.7	39.2%	3.9	1.6	22	418	216	203	4.5	62%	38%	39%	40%	19%	.17

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
App State	12	30:35	23	39%	49%	5.5	50.3	0.9	2.1	5.7	2.4	1	32.1
Georgia State	12	28:52	22.2	41%	58%	7	63.7	1.6	2.7	6.1	2.3	1	27.9

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
APP Offense	12	54%	48%	39.5	204.9	5.2	27	.24	3.37	69%	7%	0.99
GAST Defense	12	55%	45%	-	-	-	-	.13	3.05	71%	12%	1.05

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
APP Defense	12	48%	40%	-	-	-	-	.13	2.95	71%	11%	1.07
GAST Offense	12	62%	39%	48.2	215.5	4.5	26	.13	3.09	75%	13%	1.06

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
APP Offense	12	46%	42%	18.8	29.8	250.4	8.4	13.3	28	6	.31	1.7	29%	30%	.34	4%	2.2
GAST Defense	12	44%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	13	.24	1.6	30%	31%	.35	6%	2.2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
APP Defense	12	52%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.33	1.6	33%	31%	.43	6%	2.3
GAST Offense	12	38%	40%	14.4	24.8	202.6	8.2	14.1	18	7	.31	1.9	34%	30%	.26	6%	2.2

App State's Power Ratings
App State's Power Rating: 0.14 #58
App State's Offense Rating: 19.75 #38
App State's Defense Rating: 8.38 #51
2023 Talent Rating: 592.00 #75
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
App State's 2023 Expected Record: 8.50 - 5.50
App State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.0 #55
App State's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.3 #24
App State's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.4 #102

App State's SP+ Ratings
App State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.0 #55
App State's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.3 #24
App State's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.4 #102

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 393.43
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
App State: 0.14 Georgia State: -5.09

SP+ Ratings Matchup
App State: 3.0 Georgia State: -9.4

Georgia State's Power Ratings
Georgia State's Power Rating: -5.09 #99
Georgia State's Offense Rating: 15.65 #76
Georgia State's Defense Rating: 11.67 #96
2023 Talent Rating: 402.00 #113
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Georgia State's 2023 Expected Record: 5.70 - 7.30

Georgia State's SP+ Ratings
Georgia State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.4 #100
Georgia State's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.1 #71
Georgia State's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9 #109

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 393.43
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

App State Scoring
Offense: 26.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.3
Defense: 32.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 39.7

App State's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 1
Record on Road: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
App State 30
Georgia State 28

Projected Total Points: 58

Georgia State Scoring
Offense: 23.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 23.7
Defense: 33.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 31.2

Georgia State's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	10/26	App State	33	Georgia State	26	App State	App State -7.5	Georgia State	59.0	Push
2023	11/11	Georgia State	14	App State	42	App State	Georgia State -2.5	App State	62.5	Under
2022	10/19	App State	42	Georgia State	17	App State	Appalachian State -9.5	App State	60.5	Under
2021	10/02	Georgia State	16	App State	45	App State	Appalachian State -10.5	App State	54.5	Over
2020	11/14	App State	17	Georgia State	13	App State	Appalachian State -18	Georgia State	63.0	Under
2019	11/16	Georgia State	27	App State	56	App State	Appalachian State -15	App State	61.0	Over
2018	11/17	App State	45	Georgia State	17	App State	Appalachian State -27.5	App State	54.5	Over
2017	11/25	Georgia State	10	App State	31	App State	Appalachian State -6	App State	50.5	Under
2016	10/01	App State	17	Georgia State	3	App State	Appalachian State -21	Georgia State	52.0	Under
2015	10/10	Georgia State	3	App State	37	App State	Appalachian State -18	App State	61.0	Under
2014	11/01	App State	44	Georgia State	0	App State	Appalachian State -5.5	App State	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Georgia State	0	3	3 Overs
App State	11	8	6 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	6 - 5	3 - 8	3 - 4	0 - 4
Road Teams	5 - 6	8 - 3	4 - 0	4 - 3

(#58) App State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 0.14 #58
Offense Rating: 19.75 #38
Defense Rating: 8.38 #51
Overall SP+ Rating: 3.0 #55
Offense SP+ Rating: 34.3 #24
Defense SP+ Rating: 32.4 #102
Talent Rating: 592.00 #75
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 8.50 - 5.50

App State Ratings Matchup Georgia State

Power #58

#99

Off #38

#76

Def #51

#96

Talent #75

#113

SP+ #55

#100

SP+ Off #24

#71

SP+ Def #102

#109

Rematch from Week 11
Georgia State -2.5 (62.5)
App State won at Georgia State this year (42-14)

Previous Matchups
App State beat Georgia State last year (33-26)
App State beat Georgia State in 2023 (42-14)
App State beat Georgia State in 2022 (42-17)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Georgia State Stadium
Conditions: Fog
Temp: 51° - Wind: 9 mph
Rain: 0.008

Team Information
Injuries: APP | GAST
Depth Chart: APP | GAST
Rosters: APP | GAST

(#99) Georgia State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -5.09 #99
Offense Rating: 15.65 #76
Defense Rating: 11.67 #96
Overall SP+ Rating: -9.4 #100
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.1 #71
Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9 #109
Talent Rating: 402.00 #113
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 5.70 - 7.30

App State's OC Frank Ponce

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Georgia State's OC Trent McKnight

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

App State's DC Scott Sloan

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Georgia State's DC Chad Staggs

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD