Troy at Southern Miss Game Matchup

Troy Trojans at Southern Miss Golden Eagles

Saturday, November 25th 2023 (12:00 PM EST)
Troy -16.5 (48.5) (-850) Open: -16.5 | 48.0
Troy 35 - Southern Miss: 17 (Sun Belt)

Trojans (11 - 3) (8 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jon Sumrall (13 - 4)
Avg Score : 26 - 28 (23 - 34 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10 - 4 (#13)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: Troy -13.5 (SP+ -25.5)
PPG only: TROY: 32 - USM: 22 (54)
TROY Win prob: 90% | Cover: 54%
TROY Travel: 202 miles

Golden Eagles (3 - 9) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Will Hall (11 - 17)
Avg Score : 15 - 38 (20 - 33 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.1 - 7.9 (#114)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Off Players
Def Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Troy's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
Sat 9/2	Troy vs Stephen F. Austin	-26.0	48.0	W 48 - 30
Sat 9/9	Troy at Kansas State	+15.0	50.0	L 13 - 42
Sat 9/16	Troy vs James Madison	-2.5	46.5	L 14 - 16
Sat 9/23	Troy vs Western Kentucky	-3.5	57.0	W 27 - 24
Sat 9/30	Troy at Georgia State	+1.0	50.5	W 28 - 7
Sat 10/7	Troy vs Arkansas State	-15.5	52.0	W 37 - 3
Sat 10/14	Troy at Army	-6.5	41.5	W 19 - 0
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	Troy at Texas State	-6.5	53.0	W 31 - 13
Thu 11/2	Troy vs South Alabama	-5.5	44.5	W 28 - 10
Sat 11/11	Troy at UL Monroe	-23.5	47.5	W 45 - 14
Sat 11/18	Troy vs Louisiana	-17.5	47.5	W 31 - 24
Sat 11/25	Troy at Southern Miss	-16.5	48.5	W 35 - 17
Sat 12/2	Troy vs App State	-6.5	51.5	W 49 - 23
Sat 12/23	Troy vs Duke	-7.0	44.0	L 10 - 17

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Southern Miss's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
Sat 9/2	Southern Miss vs Alcorn State	-24.0	47.5	W 40 - 14
Sat 9/9	Southern Miss at Florida State	+31.0	54.0	L 13 - 66
Sat 9/16	Southern Miss vs Tulane	+8.0	47.5	L 3 - 21
Sat 9/23	Southern Miss at Arkansas State	-7.0	46.5	L 37 - 44
Sat 9/30	Southern Miss vs Texas State	+6.5	60.0	L 36 - 50
Sat 10/7	Southern Miss vs Old Dominion	-3.0	56.5	L 13 - 17
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/17	Southern Miss at South Alabama	+18.5	51.0	L 3 - 55
Sat 10/28	Southern Miss at App State	+16.0	55.5	L 38 - 48
Sat 11/4	Southern Miss vs UL Monroe	-3.0	56.0	W 24 - 7
Thu 11/9	Southern Miss at Louisiana	+8.5	51.5	W 34 - 31
Sat 11/18	Southern Miss at Mississippi State	+18.5	47.5	L 20 - 41
Sat 11/25	Southern Miss vs Troy	+16.5	48.5	L 17 - 35

TROY's OC Joe Craddock vs USM's DC Dan O'Brien USM's OC Sam Gregg vs TROY's DC Greg Gasparato

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TROY	.15	40%	26	40%	2.93	116	41%	243	3.45	.08	40%	28.4	42%	38%	3.04	49.9	1.5	2.1
USM	.11	39%	15.3	40%	2.8	142	39%	208	3.69	.1	36%	37.8	37%	37%	3.86	59.5	2	1.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TROY		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
USM		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TROY Offense	14	26	22.7	39.7%	3.45	1.5	20	359	116	243	3.3	49%	49%	40%	41%	16%	.15
USM Defense	13	37.8	33	36.4%	3.86	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	50%	48%	37%	37%	18%	.1

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TROY Defense	14	28.4	34.3	39.7%	3.04	2.1	-	-	-	-	-	47%	53%	42%	38%	16%	.08
USM Offense	13	15.3	19.5	38.6%	3.69	2	18	349	142	208	3.9	53%	45%	40%	39%	19%	.11

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Troy	14	30:25	19.5	32%	67%	5.4	49.9	1.5	2.1	5.6	2.9	1	29.7
Southern Miss	13	28:38	17.9	34%	63%	6.7	59.5	2	1.8	7.8	3	3	32.3

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TROY Offense	14	49%	40%	35.5	116.1	3.3	21	.07	2.93	73%	11%	0.93
USM Defense	13	50%	37%	-	-	-	-	.08	2.79	74%	13%	1.03

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TROY Defense	14	47%	42%	-	-	-	-	.08	3.09	72%	10%	0.89
USM Offense	13	53%	40%	36.6	141.7	3.9	15	.06	2.8	60%	13%	0.97

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TROY Offense	14	49%	41%	17.9	28.6	242.6	8.5	13.5	20	15	.29	1.7	31%	29%	.2	5%	1.9
USM Defense	13	48%	37%	-	-	-	-	-	-	16	.18	1.7	36%	27%	.21	6%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TROY Defense	14	53%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	13	.1	1.4	32%	26%	.16	6%	2.1
USM Offense	13	45%	39%	14.7	26.6	207.5	7.8	14.1	20	14	.25	1.7	33%	26%	.26	6%	2.2

Troy's Power Ratings
Troy's Power Rating: 5.08 #35
Troy's Offense Rating: 16.62 #64
Troy's Defense Rating: 1.67 #14
2023 Talent Rating: 344.00 #123
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Troy's 2023 Expected Record: 10.00 - 4.00
Troy's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.4 #26
Troy's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #34
Troy's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #26

Troy's SP+ Ratings
Troy's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.4 #26
Troy's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #34
Troy's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #26

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 393.43
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Troy: 5.08 Southern Miss: -8.22

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Troy: 10.4 Southern Miss: -15.2

Southern Miss's Power Ratings
Southern Miss's Power Rating: -8.22 #119
Southern Miss's Offense Rating: 11.32 #116
Southern Miss's Defense Rating: 12.99 #102
2023 Talent Rating: 408.00 #111
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Southern Miss's 2023 Expected Record: 4.10 - 7.90

Southern Miss's SP+ Ratings
Southern Miss's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.2 #118
Southern Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.0 #85
Southern Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.7 #125

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 393.43
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Troy Scoring
Offense: 26 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.7
Defense: 28.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 34.3

Troy's 2023 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Troy 32
Southern Miss 22

Projected Total Points: 54

Southern Miss Scoring
Offense: 15.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 19.5
Defense: 37.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 33

Southern Miss's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/30	Troy	52	Southern Miss	20	Troy	Troy -17.5	Troy	48.5	Over
2023	11/25	Southern Miss	17	Troy	35	Troy	Troy -16.5	Troy	48.5	Over
2022	10/08	Troy	27	Southern Miss	10	Troy	Troy -7	Troy	44.0	Under
2021	09/18	Southern Miss	9	Troy	21	Troy	Troy -11	Troy	49.0	Under
2019	09/14	Troy	42	Southern Miss	47	Southern Miss	Troy -3	Southern Miss	49.0	Over
2016	09/17	Southern Miss	31	Troy	37	Troy	Southern Mississippi -11.5	Troy	61.0	Over
2008	12/21	Troy	27	Southern Miss	30	Southern Miss

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Southern Miss	2	1	4 Overs
Troy	5	5	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 5	2 - 4	2 - 2	0 - 2
Road Teams	5 - 2	4 - 2	2 - 0	2 - 2

(#35) Troy Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 5.08 #35
Offense Rating: 16.62 #64
Defense Rating: 1.67 #14
Overall SP+ Rating: 10.4 #26
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #34
Defense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #26
Talent Rating: 344.00 #123
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 10.00 - 4.00

Troy Ratings Matchup Southern Miss

Power #35

#119

Off #64

#116

Def #14

#102

Talent #123

#111

SP+ #26

#118

SP+ Off #34

#85

SP+ Def #26

#125

Rematch from Week 13
Troy 16.5 (48.5)
Troy won at Southern Miss this year (35-17)

Previous Matchups
Troy beat Southern Miss last year (52-20)
Troy beat Southern Miss in 2023 (35-17)
Troy beat Southern Miss in 2022 (27-10)

Weather Forecast
Playing in M. M. Roberts Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 64° - Wind: 6 mph

Team Information
Injuries: TROY | USM
Depth Chart: TROY | USM
Rosters: TROY | USM

(#119) Southern Miss Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -8.22 #119
Offense Rating: 11.32 #116
Defense Rating: 12.99 #102
Overall SP+ Rating: -15.2 #118
Offense SP+ Rating: 23.0 #85
Defense SP+ Rating: 36.7 #125
Talent Rating: 408.00 #111
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 4.10 - 7.90

Troy's OC Joe Craddock

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Southern Miss's OC Sam Gregg

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Troy's DC Greg Gasparato

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Southern Miss's DC Dan O'Brien

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD