Western Michigan at Toledo Game Matchup
Western Michigan logo Western Michigan Broncos at Toledo RocketsToledo logo
Saturday, September 23rd 2023 (1:30 PM EDT)
Toledo -21.5 (52.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Toledo 49 - Western Michigan: 31  (Mid-American)

 
Broncos (4 - 8) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Lance Taylor (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 29 - 31 (22 - 34 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.7 - 7.3 (#103)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
WMU 3rd straight Road Game
TOL 3rd straight Home Game
Our Line: Toledo -17.5    (SP+ -20)
PPG only: WMU: 26 - TOL: 30 (56)
TOL Win prob: 95% | Cover: 49%
WMU Travel: 111 miles
Rockets (11 - 3) (7 - 7 - 0)
Coach Jason Candle (56 - 33)
Avg Score : 28 - 23 (31 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 11.1 - 2.9 (#4)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Western Michigan's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Thu 8/31 Western Michigan vs St. Francis (PA)-14.058.0W 35 - 17
Sat 9/9 Western Michigan at Syracuse+24.556.5L 7 - 48
Sat 9/16 Western Michigan at Iowa+28.543.5L 10 - 41
Sat 9/23 Western Michigan at Toledo+21.552.5L 31 - 49
Sat 9/30 Western Michigan vs Ball State-1.550.0W 42 - 24
Sat 10/7 Western Michigan at Mississippi State+21.554.5L 28 - 41
Sat 10/14 Western Michigan vs Miami (OH)+7.546.0L 21 - 34
Sat 10/21 Western Michigan at Ohio+16.552.0L 17 - 20
Sat 10/28 Western Michigan at Eastern Michigan-3.050.0W 45 - 21
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/7 Western Michigan vs Central Michigan-3.557.5W 38 - 28
Tue 11/14 Western Michigan at Northern Illinois+4.555.5L 0 - 24
Tue 11/21 Western Michigan vs Bowling Green+2.054.5L 10 - 34
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Toledo's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 9/2 Toledo at Illinois+7.045.5L 28 - 30
Sat 9/9 Toledo vs Texas Southern-40.561.0W 71 - 3
Sat 9/16 Toledo vs San José State-9.056.5W 21 - 17
Sat 9/23 Toledo vs Western Michigan-21.552.5W 49 - 31
Sat 9/30 Toledo vs Northern Illinois-13.048.0W 35 - 33
Sat 10/7 Toledo at Massachusetts-19.055.5W 41 - 24
Sat 10/14 Toledo at Ball State-17.548.5W 13 - 6
Sat 10/21 Toledo at Miami (OH)-2.046.5W 21 - 17
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/31 Toledo vs Buffalo-14.047.0W 31 - 13
Wed 11/8 Toledo vs Eastern Michigan-19.545.5W 49 - 23
Tue 11/14 Toledo at Bowling Green-9.548.5W 32 - 31
Fri 11/24 Toledo at Central Michigan-12.554.5W 32 - 17
Sat 12/2 Toledo vs Miami (OH)-8.546.0L 14 - 23
Sat 12/30 Toledo vs Wyoming+4.543.5L 15 - 16
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

WMU's OC Billy Cosh vs TOL's DC Vince Kehres     TOL's OC Mike Hallett vs WMU's DC Lou Esposito

Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WMU.0634%28.934%2.8713635%1662.79.1944%31.347%42%3.3862.91.82.3
TOL.1943%28.344%317843%2254.23.0734%23.236%34%3.9755.41.91.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WMU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TOL0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WMU Offense1228.92234.1%2.791.8173021361663.552%46%34%35%23%.06
TOL Defense1423.221.334.2%3.971.6 - - - - - 51%48%36%34%18%.07
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WMU Defense1231.334.443.8%3.382.3 - - - - - 52%47%47%42%21%.19
TOL Offense1428.331.242.8%4.231.9224031782254.355%44%44%43%16%.19

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Western Michigan1230:2516.631%48%6.762.91.82.36.72.6328.7
Toledo1429:312241%59%6.755.41.91.65.52.2229.6
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WMU Offense1252%34%38.8136.33.514.032.8768%15%1.02
TOL Defense1451%36% - - - - .13.0483%10%1.08
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WMU Defense1252%47% - - - - .153.1379%14%0.87
TOL Offense1455%44%41.4177.84.323.14376%10%0.92

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WMU Offense1246%35%13.927.9165.75.911.91013.181.739%23%.259%2.3
TOL Defense1448%34% - - - - - - 12.081.637%23%.098%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WMU Defense1247%42% - - - - - - 11.271.731%31%.267%2
TOL Offense1444%43%17.631.4224.97.212.83115.351.732%30%.325%2.2

Western Michigan's Power Ratings
Western Michigan's Power Rating: -8.28 #110
Western Michigan's Offense Rating: 15.77 #73
Western Michigan's Defense Rating: 13.36 #105
2023 Talent Rating: 512.00 #86
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Western Michigan's 2023 Expected Record: 4.70 - 7.30
Western Michigan's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.9 #120
Western Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.1 #111
Western Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.2 #106

Western Michigan's SP+ Ratings
Western Michigan's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.9 #120
Western Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.1 #111
Western Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.2 #106

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 506.5
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Western Michigan: -8.28   Toledo: 9.27

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Western Michigan: -15.9   Toledo: 4.0




Toledo's Power Ratings
Toledo's Power Rating: 9.27 #29
Toledo's Offense Rating: 21.47 #30
Toledo's Defense Rating: 4.60 #24
2023 Talent Rating: 536.00 #82
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Toledo's 2023 Expected Record: 11.10 - 2.90

Toledo's SP+ Ratings
Toledo's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.0 #51
Toledo's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #65
Toledo's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #35

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 506.5
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78


Western Michigan Scoring
Offense: 28.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 22
Defense: 31.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 34.4

Western Michigan's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Toledo 30
Western Michigan 26

Projected Total Points: 56
Toledo Scoring
Offense: 28.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.2
Defense: 23.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.3

Toledo's 2023 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/23Toledo49Western Michigan31ToledoToledo -21.5Western Michigan52.5Over
202211/25Western Michigan20Toledo14Western MichiganToledo -8.5Western Michigan50.5Under
202110/23Toledo34Western Michigan15ToledoWestern Michigan -1.5Toledo54.5Under
202011/11Western Michigan41Toledo38Western MichiganWestern Michigan -1.5Western Michigan58.5Over
201910/05Toledo31Western Michigan24ToledoToledo -1.5Toledo74.0Under
201810/25Western Michigan24Toledo51ToledoWestern Michigan -4Toledo69.0Over
201711/24Toledo37Western Michigan10ToledoToledo -12Toledo62.0Under
201611/25Western Michigan55Toledo35Western MichiganWestern Michigan -9.5Western Michigan71.5Over
201511/27Toledo30Western Michigan35Western MichiganToledo -7Western Michigan58.0Over
201410/04Western Michigan19Toledo20ToledoToledo -10Western Michigan0
201310/05Toledo47Western Michigan20ToledoToledo -19Toledo0
201209/29Western Michigan17Toledo37Toledo
201111/08Toledo66Western Michigan63Toledo
201009/18Western Michigan24Toledo37Toledo
200910/10Toledo26Western Michigan58Western Michigan
200811/15Western Michigan27Toledo17Western Michigan
200709/29Toledo28Western Michigan42Western Michigan
200609/09Western Michigan31Toledo10Western Michigan
200509/10Toledo56Western Michigan23Toledo
200410/09Western Michigan33Toledo59Toledo
200311/22Toledo34Western Michigan17Toledo
200111/06Toledo41Western Michigan35Toledo
200009/22Western Michigan21Toledo14Western Michigan
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Toledo1455 Overs
Western Michigan964 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams15 - 88 - 35 - 33 - 0
Road Teams8 - 153 - 80 - 33 - 5

(#110) Western Michigan Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -8.28 #110
Offense Rating: 15.77 #73
Defense Rating: 13.36 #105
Overall SP+ Rating: -15.9 #120
Offense SP+ Rating: 19.1 #111
Defense SP+ Rating: 33.2 #106
Talent Rating: 512.00 #86
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 4.70 - 7.30

Western Michigan     Ratings Matchup     Toledo
Power #110
#29
Off #73
#30
Def #105
#24
Talent #86
#82
SP+ #120
#51
SP+ Off #111
#65
SP+ Def #106
#35

Rematch from Week 4
Toledo -21.5 (52.5)
Toledo won vs Western Michigan this year (49-31)

Previous Matchups
Toledo beat Western Michigan in 2023 (49-31)
Western Michigan beat Toledo in 2022 (20-14)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Glass Bowl
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: WMU | TOL
Depth Chart: WMU | TOL
Rosters: WMU | TOL
(#29) Toledo Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 9.27 #29
Offense Rating: 21.47 #30
Defense Rating: 4.60 #24
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.0 #51
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #65
Defense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #35
Talent Rating: 536.00 #82
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 11.10 - 2.90





  
Western Michigan's OC Billy Cosh
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Toledo's OC Mike Hallett
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Western Michigan's DC Lou Esposito
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Toledo's DC Vince Kehres
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