Ball State at Western Michigan Game Matchup

Ball State Cardinals at Western Michigan Broncos

Saturday, September 30th 2023 (3:30 PM EDT)
Western Michigan -1.5 (50.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Western Michigan 42 - Ball State: 24 (Mid-American)

Cardinals (4 - 8) (7 - 4 - 1)
Coach Mike Neu (34 - 50)
Avg Score : 25 - 40 (23 - 45 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.4 - 6.6 (#89)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: Western Michigan -2 (SP+ -1)
PPG only: BALL: 28 - WMU: 35 (63)
WMU Win prob: 50% | Cover: 47%
BALL Travel: 143 miles

Broncos (4 - 8) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Lance Taylor (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 29 - 31 (40 - 27 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.7 - 7.3 (#103)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Off Players
Def Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Ball State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
Sat 9/2	Ball State at Kentucky	+25.0	49.0	L 14 - 44
Sat 9/9	Ball State at Georgia	+42.0	52.5	L 3 - 45
Sat 9/16	Ball State vs Indiana State	-26.0	45.0	W 45 - 7
Sat 9/23	Ball State vs Georgia Southern	+6.0	60.0	L 3 - 40
Sat 9/30	Ball State at Western Michigan	+1.5	50.0	L 24 - 42
Sat 10/7	Ball State at Eastern Michigan	+2.5	43.5	L 10 - 24
Sat 10/14	Ball State vs Toledo	+17.5	48.5	L 6 - 13
Sat 10/21	Ball State vs Central Michigan	+5.0	42.0	W 24 - 17
	BYE WEEK
Wed 11/1	Ball State at Bowling Green	+4.5	39.5	L 21 - 24
Tue 11/7	Ball State at Northern Illinois	+9.5	43.5	W 20 - 17
Sat 11/18	Ball State vs Kent State	-10.5	41.5	W 34 - 3
Sat 11/25	Ball State vs Miami (OH)	+3.5	34.5	L 15 - 17

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Western Michigan's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
Thu 8/31	Western Michigan vs St. Francis (PA)	-14.0	58.0	W 35 - 17
Sat 9/9	Western Michigan at Syracuse	+24.5	56.5	L 7 - 48
Sat 9/16	Western Michigan at Iowa	+28.5	43.5	L 10 - 41
Sat 9/23	Western Michigan at Toledo	+21.5	52.5	L 31 - 49
Sat 9/30	Western Michigan vs Ball State	-1.5	50.0	W 42 - 24
Sat 10/7	Western Michigan at Mississippi State	+21.5	54.5	L 28 - 41
Sat 10/14	Western Michigan vs Miami (OH)	+7.5	46.0	L 21 - 34
Sat 10/21	Western Michigan at Ohio	+16.5	52.0	L 17 - 20
Sat 10/28	Western Michigan at Eastern Michigan	-3.0	50.0	W 45 - 21
	BYE WEEK
Tue 11/7	Western Michigan vs Central Michigan	-3.5	57.5	W 38 - 28
Tue 11/14	Western Michigan at Northern Illinois	+4.5	55.5	L 0 - 24
Tue 11/21	Western Michigan vs Bowling Green	+2.0	54.5	L 10 - 34

BALL's OC Jared Elliott vs WMU's DC Lou Esposito WMU's OC Billy Cosh vs BALL's DC Tyler Stockton

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BALL	.11	40%	25.3	41%	3.22	158	40%	228	3.7	.16	43%	40.1	45%	41%	3.56	57.6	1.8	1.4
WMU	.06	34%	28.9	34%	2.87	136	35%	166	2.79	.19	44%	31.3	47%	42%	3.38	62.9	1.8	2.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BALL		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
WMU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BALL Offense	12	25.3	23	40.1%	3.7	1.8	21	386	158	228	4.5	43%	56%	41%	40%	19%	.11
WMU Defense	12	31.3	27.2	43.8%	3.38	2.3	-	-	-	-	-	52%	47%	47%	42%	21%	.19

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BALL Defense	12	40.1	44.9	43%	3.56	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	55%	45%	45%	41%	17%	.16
WMU Offense	12	28.9	39.8	34.1%	2.79	1.8	17	302	136	166	3.5	52%	46%	34%	35%	23%	.06

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Ball State	12	27:59	21.3	36%	32%	6.1	57.6	1.8	1.4	5.4	2.1	0	29.3
Western Michigan	12	30:25	16.6	31%	48%	6.7	62.9	1.8	2.3	6.7	2.6	3	28.7

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BALL Offense	12	43%	41%	34.8	157.8	4.5	14	.09	3.22	76%	7%	0.88
WMU Defense	12	52%	47%	-	-	-	-	.15	3.13	79%	14%	0.87

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BALL Defense	12	55%	45%	-	-	-	-	.13	3.26	71%	9%	0.95
WMU Offense	12	52%	34%	38.8	136.3	3.5	14	.03	2.87	68%	15%	1.02

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BALL Offense	12	56%	40%	23.9	40.1	228.2	5.7	9.5	18	14	.18	1.3	30%	31%	.26	12%	1.9
WMU Defense	12	47%	42%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.27	1.7	31%	31%	.26	7%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BALL Defense	12	45%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.23	1.4	32%	30%	.28	8%	1.9
WMU Offense	12	46%	35%	13.9	27.9	165.7	5.9	11.9	10	13	.18	1.7	39%	23%	.25	9%	2.3

Ball State's Power Ratings
Ball State's Power Rating: -8.44 #112
Ball State's Offense Rating: 13.25 #98
Ball State's Defense Rating: 11.12 #87
2023 Talent Rating: 526.00 #84
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Ball State's 2023 Expected Record: 5.40 - 6.60
Ball State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.9 #116
Ball State's Offense SP+ Rating: 12.6 #131
Ball State's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #61

Ball State's SP+ Ratings
Ball State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.9 #116
Ball State's Offense SP+ Rating: 12.6 #131
Ball State's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #61

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 506.5
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Ball State: -8.44 Western Michigan: -6.28

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ball State: -14.9 Western Michigan: -15.9

Western Michigan's Power Ratings
Western Michigan's Power Rating: -6.28 #110
Western Michigan's Offense Rating: 15.77 #73
Western Michigan's Defense Rating: 13.36 #105
2023 Talent Rating: 512.00 #86
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Western Michigan's 2023 Expected Record: 4.70 - 7.30

Western Michigan's SP+ Ratings
Western Michigan's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.9 #120
Western Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.1 #111
Western Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.2 #106

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 506.5
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Ball State Scoring
Offense: 25.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 23
Defense: 40.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 44.9

Ball State's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 1
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Western Michigan 35
Ball State 28

Projected Total Points: 63

Western Michigan Scoring
Offense: 28.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 39.8
Defense: 31.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.2

Western Michigan's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	10/05	Ball State	42	Western Michigan	45	Western Michigan	Western Michigan -10	Ball State	57.5	Over
2023	09/30	Western Michigan	42	Ball State	24	Western Michigan	Western Michigan -1.5	Western Michigan	50.0	Over
2022	09/10	Ball State	30	Western Michigan	37	Western Michigan	Western Michigan -6.5	Western Michigan	51.5	Over
2021	10/09	Western Michigan	20	Ball State	45	Ball State	Western Michigan -13	Ball State	57.5	Over
2020	12/12	Ball State	30	Western Michigan	27	Ball State	Western Michigan -2	Ball State	66.5	Under
2019	11/05	Western Michigan	35	Ball State	31	Western Michigan	Western Michigan -6.5	Ball State	64.0	Over
2018	11/13	Ball State	42	Western Michigan	41	Ball State	Western Michigan -10	Ball State	58.0	Over
2017	09/30	Western Michigan	55	Ball State	3	Western Michigan	Western Michigan -13	Western Michigan	53.5	Over
2016	11/01	Ball State	20	Western Michigan	52	Western Michigan	Western Michigan -16	Western Michigan	64.5	Over
2015	11/05	Western Michigan	54	Ball State	7	Western Michigan	Western Michigan -13.5	Western Michigan	62.0	Under
2014	10/11	Ball State	38	Western Michigan	42	Western Michigan	Ball State -6	Western Michigan	0
2013	10/19	Western Michigan	17	Ball State	38	Ball State	Ball State -21	NA	0
2012	10/13	Ball State	30	Western Michigan	24	Ball State
2011	10/29	Western Michigan	45	Ball State	35	Western Michigan
2010	10/09	Ball State	16	Western Michigan	45	Western Michigan
2009	11/24	Western Michigan	17	Ball State	22	Ball State
2008	11/25	Ball State	45	Western Michigan	22	Ball State
2007	10/20	Western Michigan	23	Ball State	27	Ball State
2006	10/21	Ball State	27	Western Michigan	41	Western Michigan
2005	10/08	Western Michigan	57	Ball State	60	Ball State
2004	09/25	Ball State	41	Western Michigan	14	Ball State
2003	11/08	Western Michigan	28	Ball State	20	Western Michigan
2002	11/02	Ball State	17	Western Michigan	7	Ball State
2001	11/24	Western Michigan	31	Ball State	35	Ball State
2000	11/03	Ball State	3	Western Michigan	42	Western Michigan

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Western Michigan	13	6	8 Overs
Ball State	12	5	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	12 - 13	6 - 5	3 - 3	3 - 2
Road Teams	13 - 12	5 - 6	2 - 3	3 - 3

(#112) Ball State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -8.44 #112
Offense Rating: 13.25 #98
Defense Rating: 11.12 #87
Overall SP+ Rating: -14.9 #116
Offense SP+ Rating: 12.6 #131
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #61
Talent Rating: 526.00 #84
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 5.40 - 6.60

Ball State Ratings Matchup Western Michigan

Power #112

#110

Off #98

#73

Def #87

#105

Talent #84

#86

SP+ #116

#120

SP+ Off #131

#111

SP+ Def #61

#106

Rematch from Week 5
Western Michigan -1.5 (50.0)
Western Michigan won vs Ball State this year (42-24)

Previous Matchups
Western Michigan beat Ball State last year (45-42)
Western Michigan beat Ball State in 2023 (42-24)
Western Michigan beat Ball State in 2022 (37-30)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Waldo Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 78°

Team Information
Injuries: BALL | WMU
Depth Chart: BALL | WMU
Rosters: BALL | WMU

(#110) Western Michigan Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -6.28 #110
Offense Rating: 15.77 #73
Defense Rating: 13.36 #105
Overall SP+ Rating: -15.9 #120
Offense SP+ Rating: 19.1 #111
Defense SP+ Rating: 33.2 #106
Talent Rating: 512.00 #86
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 4.70 - 7.30

Ball State's OC Jared Elliott

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Western Michigan's OC Billy Cosh

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Ball State's DC Tyler Stockton

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Western Michigan's DC Lou Esposito

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD