Buffalo at Akron Game Matchup

Saturday, September 30th 2023 (12:00 PM EDT)
Akron -3 (53.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Buffalo 13 - Akron: 10 (Mid-American)

Bulls (3 - 9) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Maurice Linguist (11 - 17)
Avg Score : 29 - 26 (20 - 34 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.6 - 7.4 (#106)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

BUFF 2nd straight Road Game
Our Line: Buffalo -1.5 (SP+ -6.5)
PPG only: BUFF: 30 - AKR: 23 (53)
AKR Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
BUFF Travel: 193 miles

Zips (2 - 10) (5 - 6 - 1)
Coach Joe Moorhead (3 - 12)
Avg Score : 20 - 32 (25 - 25 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.2 - 7.8 (#113)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Off Players
Def Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Buffalo's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
Sat 9/2	Buffalo at Wisconsin	+29.0	52.5	L 17 - 38
Sat 9/9	Buffalo vs Fordham	-23.5	55.5	L 37 - 40
Sat 9/16	Buffalo vs Liberty	+2.5	54.0	L 27 - 55
Sat 9/23	Buffalo at Louisiana	+10.5	57.5	L 38 - 45
Sat 9/30	Buffalo at Akron	+3.0	53.0	W 13 - 10
Sat 10/7	Buffalo vs Central Michigan	+2.5	51.5	W 37 - 13
Sat 10/14	Buffalo vs Bowling Green	-3.0	44.5	L 14 - 24
Sat 10/21	Buffalo at Kent State	-6.5	44.0	W 24 - 6
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/31	Buffalo at Toledo	+14.0	47.0	L 13 - 31
Tue 11/7	Buffalo vs Ohio	+9.5	45.5	L 10 - 20
Wed 11/15	Buffalo at Miami (OH)	+7.5	36.5	L 10 - 23
Tue 11/21	Buffalo vs Eastern Michigan	-6.5	38.5	L 11 - 24

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Akron's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
Sat 9/2	Akron at Temple	+9.5	55.0	L 21 - 24
Sat 9/9	Akron vs Morgan State	-25.0	46.0	W 24 - 21
Sat 9/16	Akron at Kentucky	+25.0	48.5	L 3 - 35
Sat 9/23	Akron at Indiana	+16.5	45.5	L 27 - 29
Sat 9/30	Akron vs Buffalo	-3.0	53.0	L 10 - 13
Sat 10/7	Akron vs Northern Illinois	+4.0	42.5	L 14 - 55
Sat 10/14	Akron at Central Michigan	+10.5	44.0	L 10 - 17
Sat 10/21	Akron at Bowling Green	+7.0	37.0	L 14 - 41
	BYE WEEK
Wed 11/1	Akron vs Kent State	-4.0	39.0	W 31 - 27
Wed 11/8	Akron at Miami (OH)	+17.5	37.5	L 0 - 19
Tue 11/14	Akron at Eastern Michigan	+3.5	39.5	L 27 - 30
Fri 11/24	Akron vs Ohio	+13.5	41.5	L 14 - 25

BUFF's OC DJ Mangas vs AKR's DC Tim Tibesar AKR's OC Billy Fessler vs BUFF's DC Robert Wright

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BUFF	.17	44%	28.8	44%	2.92	140	44%	215	4.06	.27	41%	26.4	40%	44%	3.79	43.5	1.3	2
AKR	.14	44%	20.4	46%	3.14	86	43%	260	3.16	.27	44%	32	42%	47%	4.34	54.3	1.8	0.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BUFF		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
AKR		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BUFF Offense	13	28.8	20	43.6%	4.06	1.3	21	355	140	215	3.6	51%	47%	44%	44%	22%	.17
AKR Defense	12	32	24.6	44.1%	4.34	0.8	-	-	-	-	-	54%	45%	42%	47%	20%	.27

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BUFF Defense	13	26.4	33.7	41.3%	3.79	2	-	-	-	-	-	52%	48%	40%	44%	25%	.27
AKR Offense	12	20.4	25.4	43.8%	3.16	1.8	21	346	86	260	3	37%	62%	46%	43%	30%	.14

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Buffalo	13	31:17	20.6	41%	61%	4.7	43.5	1.3	2	6	1.8	1	29.5
Akron	12	27:41	21.2	34%	50%	6	54.3	1.8	0.8	4.8	1.5	1	27.4

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BUFF Offense	13	51%	44%	39.4	140	3.6	22	.06	2.92	71%	12%	0.83
AKR Defense	12	54%	42%	-	-	-	-	.12	2.95	71%	12%	1.02

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BUFF Defense	13	52%	40%	-	-	-	-	.22	2.89	68%	15%	1.33
AKR Offense	12	37%	46%	29	85.5	3	15	.02	3.14	70%	20%	0.81

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BUFF Offense	13	47%	44%	19.2	32.2	215	6.7	11.2	15	8	.33	1.6	31%	35%	.35	9%	2
AKR Defense	12	45%	47%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.49	1.7	31%	30%	.4	8%	2.2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BUFF Defense	13	48%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.36	1.7	34%	31%	.4	10%	2.1
AKR Offense	12	62%	43%	24.7	38.1	260.3	6.8	10.6	13	10	.27	1.5	31%	35%	.32	10%	2.1

Buffalo's Power Ratings
Buffalo's Power Rating: -10.23 #120
Buffalo's Offense Rating: 8.90 #125
Buffalo's Defense Rating: 8.32 #50
2023 Talent Rating: 394.00 #116
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Buffalo's 2023 Expected Record: 4.60 - 7.40
Buffalo's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.1 #117
Buffalo's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.3 #125
Buffalo's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.4 #87

Buffalo's SP+ Ratings
Buffalo's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.1 #117
Buffalo's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.3 #125
Buffalo's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.4 #87

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 506.5
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Buffalo: -10.23 Akron: -11.9

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Buffalo: -15.1 Akron: -21.6

Akron's Power Ratings
Akron's Power Rating: -11.9 #130
Akron's Offense Rating: 7.28 #129
Akron's Defense Rating: 9.21 #63
2023 Talent Rating: 390.00 #117
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Akron's 2023 Expected Record: 4.20 - 7.80

Akron's SP+ Ratings
Akron's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -21.6 #128
Akron's Offense SP+ Rating: 10.5 #132
Akron's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.0 #90

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 506.5
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Buffalo Scoring
Offense: 28.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 20
Defense: 26.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 33.7

Buffalo's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Buffalo 30
Akron 23

Projected Total Points: 53

Akron Scoring
Offense: 20.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.4
Defense: 32 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.6

Akron's 2023 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 1
Record at home: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 3 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 1

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/02	Akron	30	Buffalo	41	Buffalo	Akron -1	Buffalo	49.0	Over
2023	09/30	Akron	10	Buffalo	13	Buffalo	Akron -3	Buffalo	53.0	Under
2022	12/02	Buffalo	23	Akron	22	Buffalo	Buffalo -12.0	Akron	55.0	Under
2021	10/23	Akron	10	Buffalo	45	Buffalo	Buffalo -13.5	Buffalo	58.5	Under
2020	12/12	Buffalo	56	Akron	7	Buffalo	Buffalo -33.5	Buffalo	58.5	Over
2019	10/19	Akron	0	Buffalo	21	Buffalo	Buffalo -17.5	Buffalo	48.0	Under
2018	10/13	Buffalo	24	Akron	6	Buffalo	Buffalo -12	Buffalo	55.0	Under
2017	10/28	Akron	21	Buffalo	20	Akron	Buffalo -3	Akron	49.5	Under
2016	10/27	Buffalo	41	Akron	20	Buffalo	Akron -14.5	Buffalo	63.0	Under
2015	11/21	Akron	42	Buffalo	21	Akron	Akron -2.5	Akron	45.0	Over
2014	11/11	Buffalo	55	Akron	24	Buffalo	Akron -2.5	Buffalo	0
2011	11/19	Buffalo	51	Akron	10	Buffalo
2010	11/26	Akron	22	Buffalo	14	Akron
2009	10/17	Buffalo	21	Akron	17	Buffalo
2008	11/13	Akron	40	Buffalo	43	Buffalo
2007	10/27	Buffalo	26	Akron	10	Buffalo
2006	11/09	Akron	31	Buffalo	16	Akron
2005	10/08	Buffalo	7	Akron	13	Akron
2004	10/09	Akron	44	Buffalo	21	Akron
2003	09/27	Buffalo	21	Akron	38	Akron
2001	11/17	Buffalo	14	Akron	41	Akron
2000	11/10	Akron	49	Buffalo	14	Akron

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Akron	9	3	3 Overs
Buffalo	13	8	7 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	14 - 8	6 - 5	3 - 3	3 - 2
Road Teams	8 - 14	5 - 6	2 - 3	3 - 3

(#120) Buffalo Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -10.23 #120
Offense Rating: 8.90 #125
Defense Rating: 8.32 #50
Overall SP+ Rating: -15.1 #117
Offense SP+ Rating: 15.3 #125
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.4 #87
Talent Rating: 394.00 #116
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 4.60 - 7.40

Buffalo Ratings Matchup Akron

Power #120

#130

Off #125

#129

Def #50

#63

Talent #116

#117

SP+ #117

#128

SP+ Off #125

#132

SP+ Def #87

#90

Rematch from Week 5
Akron -3.0 (53.0)
Buffalo won at Akron this year (13-10)

Previous Matchups
Buffalo beat Akron last year (41-30)
Buffalo beat Akron in 2023 (13-10)
Akron beat Buffalo in 2022 (0-0)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Summa Field at InfoCision Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: BUFF | AKR
Depth Chart: BUFF | AKR
Rosters: BUFF | AKR

(#130) Akron Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -11.9 #130
Offense Rating: 7.28 #129
Defense Rating: 9.21 #63
Overall SP+ Rating: -21.6 #128
Offense SP+ Rating: 10.5 #132
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.0 #90
Talent Rating: 390.00 #117
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 4.20 - 7.80

Buffalo's OC DJ Mangas

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Akron's OC Billy Fessler

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Buffalo's DC Robert Wright

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Akron's DC Tim Tibesar

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD