Ball State at Eastern Michigan Game Matchup

Ball State Cardinals at Eastern Michigan Eagles

Saturday, October 7th 2023 (3:30 PM EDT)
Eastern Michigan -2.5 (43.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Eastern Michigan 24 - Ball State: 10 (Mid-American)

Cardinals (4 - 8) (7 - 4 - 1)
Coach Mike Neu (34 - 50)
Avg Score : 25 - 40 (23 - 45 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.4 - 6.6 (#89)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Rain Shower Predicted
Wind: 16.3 MPHBALL 2nd straight Road Game
Our Line: Eastern Michigan -3 (SP+ -5)
PPG only: BALL: 27 - EMU: 33 (60)
EMU Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
BALL Travel: 168 miles

Eagles (6 - 7) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Chris Creighton (48 - 62)
Avg Score : 26 - 28 (29 - 29 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.8 - 6.2 (#62)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Off Players
Def Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Ball State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
Sat 9/2	Ball State at Kentucky	+25.0	49.0	L 14 - 44
Sat 9/9	Ball State at Georgia	+42.0	52.5	L 3 - 45
Sat 9/16	Ball State vs Indiana State	-26.0	45.0	W 45 - 7
Sat 9/23	Ball State vs Georgia Southern	+6.0	60.0	L 3 - 40
Sat 9/30	Ball State at Western Michigan	+1.5	50.0	L 24 - 42
Sat 10/7	Ball State at Eastern Michigan	+2.5	43.5	L 10 - 24
Sat 10/14	Ball State vs Toledo	+17.5	48.5	L 6 - 13
Sat 10/21	Ball State vs Central Michigan	+5.0	42.0	W 24 - 17
	BYE WEEK
Wed 11/1	Ball State at Bowling Green	+4.5	39.5	L 21 - 24
Tue 11/7	Ball State at Northern Illinois	+9.5	43.5	W 20 - 17
Sat 11/18	Ball State vs Kent State	-10.5	41.5	W 34 - 3
Sat 11/25	Ball State vs Miami (OH)	+3.5	34.5	L 15 - 17

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Eastern Michigan's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
Fri 9/1	Eastern Michigan vs Howard	-20.0	55.5	W 33 - 23
Sat 9/9	Eastern Michigan at Minnesota	+19.5	48.0	L 6 - 25
Sat 9/16	Eastern Michigan vs Massachusetts	-7.0	50.0	W 19 - 17
Sat 9/23	Eastern Michigan at Jacksonville State	+6.5	51.0	L 0 - 21
Sat 9/30	Eastern Michigan at Central Michigan	+9.5	45.0	L 23 - 26
Sat 10/7	Eastern Michigan vs Ball State	-2.5	43.5	W 24 - 10
Sat 10/14	Eastern Michigan vs Kent State	-7.0	40.0	W 28 - 14
Sat 10/21	Eastern Michigan at Northern Illinois	+11.5	43.5	L 13 - 20
Sat 10/28	Eastern Michigan vs Western Michigan	+3.0	50.0	L 21 - 45
	BYE WEEK
Wed 11/8	Eastern Michigan at Toledo	+19.5	45.5	L 23 - 49
Tue 11/14	Eastern Michigan vs Akron	-3.5	39.5	W 30 - 27
Tue 11/21	Eastern Michigan at Buffalo	+6.5	38.5	W 24 - 11
Sat 12/23	Eastern Michigan vs South Alabama	+18.0	43.0	L 10 - 59

BALL's OC Jared Elliott vs EMU's DC Taver Johnson EMU's OC Chris Creighton vs BALL's DC Tyler Stockton

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BALL	.11	40%	25.3	41%	3.22	158	40%	228	3.7	.16	43%	40.1	45%	41%	3.56	57.6	1.8	1.4
EMU	.23	46%	25.9	48%	3.12	142	45%	224	4.17	.21	44%	27.9	46%	43%	4.48	73.8	1.5	1.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BALL		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
EMU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BALL Offense	12	25.3	23	40.1%	3.7	1.8	21	386	158	228	4.5	43%	56%	41%	40%	19%	.11
EMU Defense	13	27.9	28.7	44.2%	4.48	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	52%	47%	46%	43%	18%	.21

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BALL Defense	12	40.1	44.9	43%	3.56	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	55%	45%	45%	41%	17%	.16
EMU Offense	13	25.9	28.8	46.3%	4.17	1.5	21	366	142	224	3.7	53%	46%	48%	45%	18%	.23

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Ball State	12	27:59	21.3	36%	32%	6.1	57.6	1.8	1.4	5.4	2.1	0	29.3
Eastern Michigan	13	31:27	21.3	45%	46%	7.9	73.8	1.5	1.5	4.3	1.9	1	31.6

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BALL Offense	12	43%	41%	34.8	157.8	4.5	14	.09	3.22	76%	7%	0.88
EMU Defense	13	52%	46%	-	-	-	-	.15	3.45	81%	9%	0.82

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BALL Defense	12	55%	45%	-	-	-	-	.13	3.26	71%	9%	0.95
EMU Offense	13	53%	48%	38.7	141.8	3.7	25	.16	3.12	83%	12%	0.89

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BALL Offense	12	56%	40%	23.9	40.1	228.2	5.7	9.5	18	14	.18	1.3	30%	31%	.26	12%	1.9
EMU Defense	13	47%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	13	.32	1.6	30%	31%	.4	9%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BALL Defense	12	45%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.23	1.4	32%	30%	.28	8%	1.9
EMU Offense	13	46%	45%	18.8	30.2	224.2	7.4	11.9	23	12	.34	1.5	29%	32%	.35	6%	2

Ball State's Power Ratings
Ball State's Power Rating: -8.44 #112
Ball State's Offense Rating: 13.25 #98
Ball State's Defense Rating: 11.12 #87
2023 Talent Rating: 526.00 #84
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Ball State's 2023 Expected Record: 5.40 - 6.60
Ball State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.9 #116
Ball State's Offense SP+ Rating: 12.6 #131
Ball State's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #61

Ball State's SP+ Ratings
Ball State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.9 #116
Ball State's Offense SP+ Rating: 12.6 #131
Ball State's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #61

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 506.5
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Ball State: -8.44 Eastern Michigan: -5.52

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ball State: -14.9 Eastern Michigan: -9.6

Eastern Michigan's Power Ratings
Eastern Michigan's Power Rating: -5.52 #105
Eastern Michigan's Offense Rating: 12.15 #110
Eastern Michigan's Defense Rating: 8.46 #53
2023 Talent Rating: 436.00 #104
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Eastern Michigan's 2023 Expected Record: 6.80 - 6.20

Eastern Michigan's SP+ Ratings
Eastern Michigan's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.6 #103
Eastern Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 14.1 #130
Eastern Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.1 #53

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 506.5
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Ball State Scoring
Offense: 25.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 23
Defense: 40.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 44.9

Ball State's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 1
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Eastern Michigan 33
Ball State 27

Projected Total Points: 60

Eastern Michigan Scoring
Offense: 25.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.8
Defense: 27.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 28.7

Eastern Michigan's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	10/07	Eastern Michigan	24	Ball State	10	Eastern Michigan	Eastern Michigan -2.5	Eastern Michigan	43.5	Under
2022	10/22	Ball State	16	Eastern Michigan	20	Eastern Michigan	Ball State -2.5	Eastern Michigan	57.5	Under
2021	10/16	Eastern Michigan	31	Ball State	38	Ball State	Ball State -1.5	Ball State	54.5	Over
2020	11/11	Ball State	38	Eastern Michigan	31	Ball State	Ball State -8	Eastern Michigan	61.0	Over
2019	10/12	Eastern Michigan	23	Ball State	29	Ball State	Eastern Michigan -2	Ball State	57.0	Under
2018	10/20	Ball State	20	Eastern Michigan	42	Eastern Michigan	Eastern Michigan -2.5	Eastern Michigan	45.0	Over
2017	11/02	Eastern Michigan	56	Ball State	14	Eastern Michigan	Eastern Michigan -24.5	Eastern Michigan	47.0	Over
2016	11/08	Ball State	41	Eastern Michigan	48	Eastern Michigan	Ball State -3.5	Eastern Michigan	59.5	Over
2015	09/19	Eastern Michigan	17	Ball State	28	Ball State	Ball State -6	Ball State	61.5	Under
2014	11/22	Ball State	45	Eastern Michigan	30	Ball State	Ball State -17	Eastern Michigan	0
2013	09/21	Eastern Michigan	20	Ball State	51	Ball State	Ball State -8	Ball State	0
2012	08/30	Ball State	37	Eastern Michigan	26	Ball State
2011	11/05	Eastern Michigan	31	Ball State	33	Ball State
2010	10/16	Ball State	38	Eastern Michigan	41	Eastern Michigan
2009	10/24	Eastern Michigan	27	Ball State	29	Ball State
2008	10/25	Ball State	38	Eastern Michigan	16	Ball State
2007	09/08	Eastern Michigan	16	Ball State	38	Ball State
2006	08/31	Ball State	38	Eastern Michigan	20	Ball State
2005	11/12	Eastern Michigan	25	Ball State	26	Ball State
2004	10/09	Ball State	24	Eastern Michigan	31	Eastern Michigan
2003	11/15	Eastern Michigan	38	Ball State	14	Eastern Michigan
2002	10/19	Ball State	42	Eastern Michigan	17	Ball State
2001	10/13	Eastern Michigan	14	Ball State	35	Ball State
2000	10/13	Ball State	33	Eastern Michigan	14	Ball State

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Eastern Michigan	8	7	5 Overs
Ball State	16	4	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	10 - 14	2 - 9	2 - 5	0 - 4
Road Teams	14 - 10	9 - 2	4 - 0	5 - 2

(#112) Ball State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -8.44 #112
Offense Rating: 13.25 #98
Defense Rating: 11.12 #87
Overall SP+ Rating: -14.9 #116
Offense SP+ Rating: 12.6 #131
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #61
Talent Rating: 526.00 #84
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 5.40 - 6.60

Ball State Ratings Matchup Eastern Michigan

Power #112

#105

Off #98

#110

Def #87

#53

Talent #84

#104

SP+ #116

#103

SP+ Off #131

#130

SP+ Def #61

#53

Rematch from Week 6
Eastern Michigan -2.5 (43.5)
Eastern Michigan won vs Ball State this year (24-10)

Previous Matchups
Eastern Michigan beat Ball State in 2023 (24-10)
Eastern Michigan beat Ball State in 2022 (20-16)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Rynearson Stadium
Conditions: Rain Shower
Temp: 56° - Wind: 16 mph
Rain: 0.004

Team Information
Injuries: BALL | EMU
Depth Chart: BALL | EMU
Rosters: BALL | EMU

(#105) Eastern Michigan Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -5.52 #105
Offense Rating: 12.15 #110
Defense Rating: 8.46 #53
Overall SP+ Rating: -9.6 #103
Offense SP+ Rating: 14.1 #130
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.1 #53
Talent Rating: 436.00 #104
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 6.80 - 6.20

Ball State's OC Jared Elliott

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Eastern Michigan's OC Chris Creighton

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Ball State's DC Tyler Stockton

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Eastern Michigan's DC Taver Johnson

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD