Central Michigan at Buffalo Game Matchup
Central Michigan logo Central Michigan Chippewas at Buffalo BullsBuffalo logo
Saturday, October 7th 2023 (2:00 PM EDT)
Central Michigan -2.5 (51.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Buffalo 37 - Central Michigan: 13  (Mid-American)

 
Chippewas (5 - 7) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach Jim McElwain (25 - 23)
Avg Score : 23 - 30 (15 - 35 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3.9 - 8.1 (#118)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: Buffalo -3.5    (SP+ -4)
PPG only: CMU: 25 - BUFF: 29 (54)
CMU Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
CMU Travel: 304 miles
Bulls (3 - 9) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Maurice Linguist (11 - 17)
Avg Score : 29 - 26 (38 - 22 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.6 - 7.4 (#106)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Central Michigan's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Fri 9/1 Central Michigan at Michigan State+14.045.0L 7 - 31
Sat 9/9 Central Michigan vs New Hampshire-7.048.5W 45 - 42
Sat 9/16 Central Michigan at Notre Dame+34.551.5L 17 - 41
Sat 9/23 Central Michigan at South Alabama+16.546.5W 34 - 30
Sat 9/30 Central Michigan vs Eastern Michigan-9.545.0W 26 - 23
Sat 10/7 Central Michigan at Buffalo-2.551.5L 13 - 37
Sat 10/14 Central Michigan vs Akron-10.544.0W 17 - 10
Sat 10/21 Central Michigan at Ball State-5.042.0L 17 - 24
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/31 Central Michigan vs Northern Illinois+3.048.0W 37 - 31
Tue 11/7 Central Michigan at Western Michigan+3.557.5L 28 - 38
Wed 11/15 Central Michigan at Ohio+11.548.5L 20 - 34
Fri 11/24 Central Michigan vs Toledo+12.554.5L 17 - 32
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Buffalo's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 9/2 Buffalo at Wisconsin+29.052.5L 17 - 38
Sat 9/9 Buffalo vs Fordham-23.555.5L 37 - 40
Sat 9/16 Buffalo vs Liberty+2.554.0L 27 - 55
Sat 9/23 Buffalo at Louisiana+10.557.5L 38 - 45
Sat 9/30 Buffalo at Akron+3.053.0W 13 - 10
Sat 10/7 Buffalo vs Central Michigan+2.551.5W 37 - 13
Sat 10/14 Buffalo vs Bowling Green-3.044.5L 14 - 24
Sat 10/21 Buffalo at Kent State-6.544.0W 24 - 6
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/31 Buffalo at Toledo+14.047.0L 13 - 31
Tue 11/7 Buffalo vs Ohio+9.545.5L 10 - 20
Wed 11/15 Buffalo at Miami (OH)+7.536.5L 10 - 23
Tue 11/21 Buffalo vs Eastern Michigan-6.538.5L 11 - 24
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

CMU's OC Paul Petrino vs BUFF's DC Robert Wright     BUFF's OC DJ Mangas vs CMU's DC Robb Akey

Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CMU.138%22.640%3.0315938%2083.29.1741%29.741%42%3.5862.82.31
BUFF.1744%28.844%2.9214044%2154.06.2741%26.440%44%3.7943.51.32
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CMU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
BUFF0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CMU Offense1222.615.238.5%3.292.3203671592084.347%51%40%38%23%.1
BUFF Defense1326.422.341.3%3.792 - - - - - 52%48%40%44%25%.27
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CMU Defense1229.73541.2%3.581 - - - - - 54%46%41%42%22%.17
BUFF Offense1328.838.243.6%4.061.3213551402153.651%47%44%44%22%.17

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Central Michigan1228:4619.935%55%6.962.82.318.32.5028.7
Buffalo1331:1720.641%61%4.743.51.3261.8129.5
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CMU Offense1247%40%37159.24.322.053.0362%13%1.09
BUFF Defense1352%40% - - - - .222.8968%15%1.33
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CMU Defense1254%41% - - - - .112.9674%15%1.06
BUFF Offense1351%44%39.41403.622.062.9271%12%0.83

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CMU Offense1251%38%18.332.4208.16.411.41610.191.636%33%.3310%2.1
BUFF Defense1348%44% - - - - - - 11.361.734%31%.410%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CMU Defense1246%42% - - - - - - 4.281.634%30%.278%2.1
BUFF Offense1347%44%19.232.22156.711.2158.331.631%35%.359%2

Central Michigan's Power Ratings
Central Michigan's Power Rating: -11.77 #124
Central Michigan's Offense Rating: 15.74 #74
Central Michigan's Defense Rating: 17.30 #125
2023 Talent Rating: 612.00 #68
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Central Michigan's 2023 Expected Record: 3.90 - 8.10
Central Michigan's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -19.2 #126
Central Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.7 #119
Central Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9 #109

Central Michigan's SP+ Ratings
Central Michigan's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -19.2 #126
Central Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.7 #119
Central Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9 #109

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 506.5
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Central Michigan: -11.77   Buffalo: -8.23

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Central Michigan: -19.2   Buffalo: -15.1




Buffalo's Power Ratings
Buffalo's Power Rating: -8.23 #120
Buffalo's Offense Rating: 8.90 #125
Buffalo's Defense Rating: 8.32 #50
2023 Talent Rating: 394.00 #116
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Buffalo's 2023 Expected Record: 4.60 - 7.40

Buffalo's SP+ Ratings
Buffalo's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.1 #117
Buffalo's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.3 #125
Buffalo's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.4 #87

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 506.5
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78


Central Michigan Scoring
Offense: 22.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 15.2
Defense: 29.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 35

Central Michigan's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Buffalo 29
Central Michigan 25

Projected Total Points: 54
Buffalo Scoring
Offense: 28.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.2
Defense: 26.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.3

Buffalo's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202310/07Buffalo37Central Michigan13BuffaloCentral Michigan -2.5Buffalo51.5Under
202211/09Central Michigan31Buffalo27Central MichiganCentral Michigan -3Central Michigan54.0Over
201910/26Buffalo43Central Michigan20BuffaloBuffalo -1.5Buffalo46.5Over
201810/06Central Michigan24Buffalo34BuffaloBuffalo -6.5Buffalo52.0Over
201510/17Central Michigan51Buffalo14Central MichiganCentral Michigan -7Central Michigan55.5Over
201410/25Buffalo14Central Michigan20Central MichiganCentral Michigan -1.5Central Michigan0
200910/03Buffalo13Central Michigan20Central Michigan
200809/27Central Michigan27Buffalo25Central Michigan
200611/24Buffalo28Central Michigan55Central Michigan
200411/13Buffalo36Central Michigan6Buffalo
200109/29Buffalo8Central Michigan16Central Michigan
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Buffalo434 Overs
Central Michigan731 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams6 - 54 - 23 - 01 - 2
Road Teams5 - 62 - 42 - 10 - 3

(#124) Central Michigan Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -11.77 #124
Offense Rating: 15.74 #74
Defense Rating: 17.30 #125
Overall SP+ Rating: -19.2 #126
Offense SP+ Rating: 16.7 #119
Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9 #109
Talent Rating: 612.00 #68
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 3.90 - 8.10

Central Michigan     Ratings Matchup     Buffalo
Power #124
#120
Off #74
#125
Def #125
#50
Talent #68
#116
SP+ #126
#117
SP+ Off #119
#125
SP+ Def #109
#87

Rematch from Week 6
Central Michigan 2.5 (51.5)
Buffalo won vs Central Michigan this year (37-13)

Previous Matchups
Buffalo beat Central Michigan in 2023 (37-13)
Central Michigan beat Buffalo in 2022 (31-27)

Weather Forecast
Playing in UB Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: CMU | BUFF
Depth Chart: CMU | BUFF
Rosters: CMU | BUFF
(#120) Buffalo Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -8.23 #120
Offense Rating: 8.90 #125
Defense Rating: 8.32 #50
Overall SP+ Rating: -15.1 #117
Offense SP+ Rating: 15.3 #125
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.4 #87
Talent Rating: 394.00 #116
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 4.60 - 7.40





  
Central Michigan's OC Paul Petrino
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Buffalo's OC DJ Mangas
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Central Michigan's DC Robb Akey
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Buffalo's DC Robert Wright
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