Bowling Green at Miami (OH) Game Matchup
Bowling Green logo Bowling Green Falcons at Miami (OH) RedHawksMiami (OH) logo
Saturday, October 7th 2023 (3:30 PM EDT)
Miami (OH) -7.5 (43.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Miami (OH) 27 - Bowling Green: 0  (Mid-American)

 
Falcons (7 - 6) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Scot Loeffler (14 - 31)
Avg Score : 27 - 22 (29 - 22 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.6 - 6.4 (#66)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Wind: 15.9 MPHBGSU 2nd straight Road Game
Our Line: Miami (OH) -5.5    (SP+ -10)

PPG only: BGSU: 23 - M-OH: 23 (46)
M-OH Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
BGSU Travel: 141 miles
RedHawks (11 - 3) (11 - 3 - 0)
Coach Chuck Martin (47 - 60)
Avg Score : 24 - 19 (28 - 15 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.5 - 5.5 (#34)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Bowling Green's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 9/2 Bowling Green at Liberty+8.548.5L 24 - 34
Sat 9/9 Bowling Green vs Eastern Illinois-17.048.0W 38 - 15
Sat 9/16 Bowling Green at Michigan+40.553.5L 6 - 31
Sat 9/23 Bowling Green vs Ohio+13.045.0L 7 - 38
Sat 9/30 Bowling Green at Georgia Tech+21.049.5W 38 - 27
Sat 10/7 Bowling Green at Miami (OH)+7.543.0L 0 - 27
Sat 10/14 Bowling Green at Buffalo+3.044.5W 24 - 14
Sat 10/21 Bowling Green vs Akron-7.037.0W 41 - 14
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/1 Bowling Green vs Ball State-4.539.5W 24 - 21
Wed 11/8 Bowling Green at Kent State-10.541.5W 49 - 19
Tue 11/14 Bowling Green vs Toledo+9.548.5L 31 - 32
Tue 11/21 Bowling Green at Western Michigan-2.054.5W 34 - 10
Tue 12/26 Bowling Green vs Minnesota+2.545.0L 24 - 30
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Miami (OH)'s 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Fri 9/1 Miami (OH) at Miami+16.545.0L 3 - 38
Sat 9/9 Miami (OH) at Massachusetts-7.045.0W 41 - 28
Sat 9/16 Miami (OH) at Cincinnati+14.544.5W 31 - 24
Sat 9/23 Miami (OH) vs Delaware State-40.549.5W 62 - 20
Sat 9/30 Miami (OH) at Kent State-14.051.5W 23 - 3
Sat 10/7 Miami (OH) vs Bowling Green-7.543.0W 27 - 0
Sat 10/14 Miami (OH) at Western Michigan-7.546.0W 34 - 21
Sat 10/21 Miami (OH) vs Toledo+2.046.5L 17 - 21
Sat 10/28 Miami (OH) at Ohio+7.539.0W 30 - 16
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/8 Miami (OH) vs Akron-17.537.5W 19 - 0
Wed 11/15 Miami (OH) vs Buffalo-7.536.5W 23 - 10
Sat 11/25 Miami (OH) at Ball State-3.534.5W 17 - 15
Sat 12/2 Miami (OH) vs Toledo+8.546.0W 23 - 14
Sat 12/16 Miami (OH) vs App State+6.541.0L 9 - 13
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

BGSU's OC Greg Nosal vs M-OH's DC Bill Brechin     M-OH's OC Patrick Welsh vs BGSU's DC Sammy Lawanson

Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BGSU.1539%27.140%3.029939%2362.88.1842%21.641%43%4.0868.91.81.9
M-OH.137%24.136%2.8614138%1663.31.1541%18.839%43%3.1448.30.81.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BGSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
M-OH0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BGSU Offense1327.129.339%2.881.817334992363.144%55%40%39%24%.15
M-OH Defense1318.81540.9%3.141.8 - - - - - 47%52%39%43%24%.15
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BGSU Defense1321.62241.9%4.081.9 - - - - - 49%50%41%43%18%.18
M-OH Offense1324.128.237.1%3.310.8173061411663.854%45%36%38%24%.1

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Bowling Green1329:0017.434%44%7.768.91.81.96.22.8430.1
Miami (OH)1330:0017.232%50%5.548.30.81.84.42.2129.9
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BGSU Offense1344%40%31.998.73.18.053.0279%15%0.87
M-OH Defense1347%39% - - - - .032.6777%13%0.82
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BGSU Defense1349%41% - - - - .163.175%12%1.1
M-OH Offense1354%36%37.2140.83.814.062.8667%15%1.09

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BGSU Offense1355%39%20.533.8235.5711.52511.271.735%27%.269%2
M-OH Defense1352%43% - - - - - - 11.331.633%33%.3311%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BGSU Defense1350%43% - - - - - - 10.291.632%34%.356%2.1
M-OH Offense1345%38%14.225.9165.56.411.7155.161.636%26%.188%1.9

Bowling Green's Power Ratings
Bowling Green's Power Rating: -3.52 #85
Bowling Green's Offense Rating: 13.75 #91
Bowling Green's Defense Rating: 6.57 #36
2023 Talent Rating: 536.00 #82
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Bowling Green's 2023 Expected Record: 6.60 - 6.40
Bowling Green's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.9 #84
Bowling Green's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.6 #86
Bowling Green's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #66

Bowling Green's SP+ Ratings
Bowling Green's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.9 #84
Bowling Green's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.6 #86
Bowling Green's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #66

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 506.5
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Bowling Green: -3.52   Miami (OH): 1.84

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Bowling Green: -5.9   Miami (OH): 3.7




Miami (OH)'s Power Ratings
Miami (OH)'s Power Rating: 1.84 #62
Miami (OH)'s Offense Rating: 13.13 #100
Miami (OH)'s Defense Rating: 3.90 #20
2023 Talent Rating: 610.00 #69
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Miami (OH)'s 2023 Expected Record: 8.50 - 5.50

Miami (OH)'s SP+ Ratings
Miami (OH)'s 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.7 #52
Miami (OH)'s Offense SP+ Rating: 19.6 #106
Miami (OH)'s Defense SP+ Rating: 17.9 #14

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 506.5
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78


Bowling Green Scoring
Offense: 27.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.3
Defense: 21.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 22

Bowling Green's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Record on Road: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Bowling Green 23
Miami (OH) 23


Projected Total Points: 46
Miami (OH) Scoring
Offense: 24.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.2
Defense: 18.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 15

Miami (OH)'s 2023 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 11 - 3 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/29Bowling Green12Miami (OH)28Miami (OH)Bowling Green -3Miami (OH)37.5Over
202310/07Miami (OH)27Bowling Green0Miami (OH)Miami (OH) -7.5Miami (OH)43.0Under
202210/15Bowling Green17Miami (OH)13Bowling GreenMiami (OH) -7Bowling Green45.0Under
202111/16Miami (OH)34Bowling Green7Miami (OH)Miami (OH) -17Miami (OH)52.0Under
201911/13Miami (OH)44Bowling Green3Miami (OH)Miami (OH) -17Miami (OH)48.0Under
201809/22Bowling Green23Miami (OH)38Miami (OH)Miami (OH) -6.5Miami (OH)55.0Over
201710/07Miami (OH)29Bowling Green37Bowling GreenMiami (OH) -16.5Bowling Green50.5Over
201610/22Bowling Green26Miami (OH)40Miami (OH)Bowling Green -3.5Miami (OH)52.0Over
201311/05Miami (OH)3Bowling Green45Bowling GreenBowling Green -24.5Bowling Green0
201210/13Bowling Green37Miami (OH)12Bowling Green
201109/24Miami (OH)23Bowling Green37Bowling Green
201011/10Bowling Green21Miami (OH)24Miami (OH)
200911/12Miami (OH)14Bowling Green35Bowling Green
200810/18Bowling Green20Miami (OH)27Miami (OH)
200710/13Miami (OH)47Bowling Green14Miami (OH)
200611/15Bowling Green7Miami (OH)9Miami (OH)
200511/15Miami (OH)14Bowling Green42Bowling Green
200312/04Bowling Green27Miami (OH)49Miami (OH)
200311/04Miami (OH)33Bowling Green10Miami (OH)
200111/03Bowling Green21Miami (OH)24Miami (OH)
200010/13Miami (OH)24Bowling Green10Miami (OH)
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Miami (OH)1464 Overs
Bowling Green734 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams8 - 134 - 53 - 31 - 2
Road Teams13 - 85 - 42 - 13 - 3

(#85) Bowling Green Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -3.52 #85
Offense Rating: 13.75 #91
Defense Rating: 6.57 #36
Overall SP+ Rating: -5.9 #84
Offense SP+ Rating: 22.6 #86
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #66
Talent Rating: 536.00 #82
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 6.60 - 6.40

Bowling Green     Ratings Matchup     Miami (OH)
Power #85
#62
Off #91
#100
Def #36
#20
Talent #82
#69
SP+ #84
#52
SP+ Off #86
#106
SP+ Def #66
#14

Rematch from Week 6
Miami (OH) -7.5 (43.0)
Miami (OH) won vs Bowling Green this year (27-0)

Previous Matchups
Miami (OH) beat Bowling Green last year (28-12)
Miami (OH) beat Bowling Green in 2023 (27-0)
Bowling Green beat Miami (OH) in 2022 (17-13)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Yager Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 59° - Wind: 16 mph


Team Information
Injuries: BGSU | M-OH
Depth Chart: BGSU | M-OH
Rosters: BGSU | M-OH
(#62) Miami (OH) Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 1.84 #62
Offense Rating: 13.13 #100
Defense Rating: 3.90 #20
Overall SP+ Rating: 3.7 #52
Offense SP+ Rating: 19.6 #106
Defense SP+ Rating: 17.9 #14
Talent Rating: 610.00 #69
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 8.50 - 5.50





  
Bowling Green's OC Greg Nosal
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Miami (OH)'s OC Patrick Welsh
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Bowling Green's DC Sammy Lawanson
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Miami (OH)'s DC Bill Brechin
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