Bowling Green at Buffalo Game Matchup

Saturday, October 14th 2023 (3:30 PM EDT)
Buffalo -3 (44.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Bowling Green 24 - Buffalo: 14 (Mid-American)

Falcons (7 - 6) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Scot Loeffler (14 - 31)
Avg Score : 27 - 22 (29 - 22 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.6 - 6.4 (#66)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Light Rain Predicted
BGSU 3rd straight Road Game
BUFF 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Bowling Green -4.5 (SP+ -9)
PPG only: BGSU: 27 - BUFF: 25 (52)
BUFF Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
BGSU Travel: 272 miles

Bulls (3 - 9) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Maurice Linguist (11 - 17)
Avg Score : 29 - 26 (38 - 22 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.6 - 7.4 (#106)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Off Players
Def Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Bowling Green's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
Sat 9/2	Bowling Green at Liberty	+8.5	48.5	L 24 - 34
Sat 9/9	Bowling Green vs Eastern Illinois	-17.0	48.0	W 38 - 15
Sat 9/16	Bowling Green at Michigan	+40.5	53.5	L 6 - 31
Sat 9/23	Bowling Green vs Ohio	+13.0	45.0	L 7 - 38
Sat 9/30	Bowling Green at Georgia Tech	+21.0	49.5	W 38 - 27
Sat 10/7	Bowling Green at Miami (OH)	+7.5	43.0	L 0 - 27
Sat 10/14	Bowling Green at Buffalo	+3.0	44.5	W 24 - 14
Sat 10/21	Bowling Green vs Akron	-7.0	37.0	W 41 - 14
	BYE WEEK
Wed 11/1	Bowling Green vs Ball State	-4.5	39.5	W 24 - 21
Wed 11/8	Bowling Green at Kent State	-10.5	41.5	W 49 - 19
Tue 11/14	Bowling Green vs Toledo	+9.5	48.5	L 31 - 32
Tue 11/21	Bowling Green at Western Michigan	-2.0	54.5	W 34 - 10
Tue 12/26	Bowling Green vs Minnesota	+2.5	45.0	L 24 - 30

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Buffalo's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
Sat 9/2	Buffalo at Wisconsin	+29.0	52.5	L 17 - 38
Sat 9/9	Buffalo vs Fordham	-23.5	55.5	L 37 - 40
Sat 9/16	Buffalo vs Liberty	+2.5	54.0	L 27 - 55
Sat 9/23	Buffalo at Louisiana	+10.5	57.5	L 38 - 45
Sat 9/30	Buffalo at Akron	+3.0	53.0	W 13 - 10
Sat 10/7	Buffalo vs Central Michigan	+2.5	51.5	W 37 - 13
Sat 10/14	Buffalo vs Bowling Green	-3.0	44.5	L 14 - 24
Sat 10/21	Buffalo at Kent State	-6.5	44.0	W 24 - 6
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/31	Buffalo at Toledo	+14.0	47.0	L 13 - 31
Tue 11/7	Buffalo vs Ohio	+9.5	45.5	L 10 - 20
Wed 11/15	Buffalo at Miami (OH)	+7.5	36.5	L 10 - 23
Tue 11/21	Buffalo vs Eastern Michigan	-6.5	38.5	L 11 - 24

BGSU's OC Greg Nosal vs BUFF's DC Robert Wright BUFF's OC DJ Mangas vs BGSU's DC Sammy Lawanson

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BGSU	.15	39%	27.1	40%	3.02	99	39%	236	2.88	.18	42%	21.6	41%	43%	4.08	68.9	1.8	1.9
BUFF	.17	44%	28.8	44%	2.92	140	44%	215	4.06	.27	41%	26.4	40%	44%	3.79	43.5	1.3	2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BGSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
BUFF		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BGSU Offense	13	27.1	29.3	39%	2.88	1.8	17	334	99	236	3.1	44%	55%	40%	39%	24%	.15
BUFF Defense	13	26.4	22.3	41.3%	3.79	2	-	-	-	-	-	52%	48%	40%	44%	25%	.27

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BGSU Defense	13	21.6	22	41.9%	4.08	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	49%	50%	41%	43%	18%	.18
BUFF Offense	13	28.8	38.2	43.6%	4.06	1.3	21	355	140	215	3.6	51%	47%	44%	44%	22%	.17

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Bowling Green	13	29:00	17.4	34%	44%	7.7	68.9	1.8	1.9	6.2	2.8	4	30.1
Buffalo	13	31:17	20.6	41%	61%	4.7	43.5	1.3	2	6	1.8	1	29.5

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BGSU Offense	13	44%	40%	31.9	98.7	3.1	8	.05	3.02	79%	15%	0.87
BUFF Defense	13	52%	40%	-	-	-	-	.22	2.89	68%	15%	1.33

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BGSU Defense	13	49%	41%	-	-	-	-	.16	3.1	75%	12%	1.1
BUFF Offense	13	51%	44%	39.4	140	3.6	22	.06	2.92	71%	12%	0.83

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BGSU Offense	13	55%	39%	20.5	33.8	235.5	7	11.5	25	11	.27	1.7	35%	27%	.26	9%	2
BUFF Defense	13	48%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.36	1.7	34%	31%	.4	10%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BGSU Defense	13	50%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.29	1.6	32%	34%	.35	6%	2.1
BUFF Offense	13	47%	44%	19.2	32.2	215	6.7	11.2	15	8	.33	1.6	31%	35%	.35	9%	2

Bowling Green's Power Ratings
Bowling Green's Power Rating: -3.52 #85
Bowling Green's Offense Rating: 13.75 #91
Bowling Green's Defense Rating: 6.57 #36
2023 Talent Rating: 536.00 #82
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Bowling Green's 2023 Expected Record: 6.60 - 6.40
Bowling Green's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.9 #84
Bowling Green's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.6 #86
Bowling Green's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #66

Bowling Green's SP+ Ratings
Bowling Green's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.9 #84
Bowling Green's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.6 #86
Bowling Green's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #66

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 506.5
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Bowling Green: -3.52 Buffalo: -8.23

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Bowling Green: -5.9 Buffalo: -15.1

Buffalo's Power Ratings
Buffalo's Power Rating: -8.23 #120
Buffalo's Offense Rating: 8.90 #125
Buffalo's Defense Rating: 8.32 #50
2023 Talent Rating: 394.00 #116
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Buffalo's 2023 Expected Record: 4.60 - 7.40

Buffalo's SP+ Ratings
Buffalo's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.1 #117
Buffalo's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.3 #125
Buffalo's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.4 #87

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 506.5
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Bowling Green Scoring
Offense: 27.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.3
Defense: 21.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 22

Bowling Green's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Record on Road: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Bowling Green 27
Buffalo 25

Projected Total Points: 52

Buffalo Scoring
Offense: 28.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.2
Defense: 26.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.3

Buffalo's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	10/14	Buffalo	14	Bowling Green	24	Bowling Green	Buffalo -3	Bowling Green	44.5	Under
2022	10/08	Bowling Green	7	Buffalo	38	Buffalo	Buffalo -2	Buffalo	55.5	Under
2021	10/30	Buffalo	44	Bowling Green	56	Bowling Green	Buffalo -13.5	Bowling Green	51.5	Over
2020	11/17	Bowling Green	17	Buffalo	42	Buffalo	Buffalo -31.5	Bowling Green	57.5	Over
2019	11/29	Buffalo	49	Bowling Green	7	Buffalo	Buffalo -28	Buffalo	53.5	Over
2018	11/23	Bowling Green	14	Buffalo	44	Buffalo	Buffalo -16	Buffalo	62.0	Under
2017	11/07	Buffalo	38	Bowling Green	28	Buffalo	Buffalo -7	Buffalo	61.0	Over
2016	11/25	Bowling Green	27	Buffalo	19	Bowling Green	Bowling Green -11	Buffalo	60.0	Under
2015	10/03	Buffalo	22	Bowling Green	28	Bowling Green	Bowling Green -6.5	Buffalo	67.5	Under
2014	10/04	Bowling Green	36	Buffalo	35	Bowling Green	Bowling Green -5	Buffalo	0
2013	11/29	Buffalo	7	Bowling Green	24	Bowling Green	Bowling Green -3.5	Bowling Green	52.0	Under
2012	11/23	Bowling Green	21	Buffalo	7	Bowling Green
2011	11/25	Buffalo	28	Bowling Green	42	Bowling Green
2010	10/02	Bowling Green	26	Buffalo	28	Buffalo
2009	11/03	Buffalo	29	Bowling Green	30	Bowling Green
2008	11/21	Bowling Green	34	Buffalo	40	Buffalo
2007	11/17	Buffalo	17	Bowling Green	31	Bowling Green
2006	09/09	Bowling Green	48	Buffalo	40	Bowling Green
2005	10/15	Buffalo	7	Bowling Green	27	Bowling Green
2001	09/08	Bowling Green	35	Buffalo	0	Bowling Green
2000	09/22	Buffalo	20	Bowling Green	17	Buffalo

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Buffalo	8	7	4 Overs
Bowling Green	13	4	6 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	8 - 13	4 - 7	2 - 4	2 - 3
Road Teams	13 - 8	7 - 4	3 - 2	4 - 2

(#85) Bowling Green Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -3.52 #85
Offense Rating: 13.75 #91
Defense Rating: 6.57 #36
Overall SP+ Rating: -5.9 #84
Offense SP+ Rating: 22.6 #86
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #66
Talent Rating: 536.00 #82
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 6.60 - 6.40

Bowling Green Ratings Matchup Buffalo

Power #85

#120

Off #91

#125

Def #36

#50

Talent #82

#116

SP+ #84

#117

SP+ Off #86

#125

SP+ Def #66

#87

Rematch from Week 7
Buffalo -3.0 (44.5)
Bowling Green won at Buffalo this year (24-14)

Previous Matchups
Bowling Green beat Buffalo in 2023 (24-14)
Buffalo beat Bowling Green in 2022 (38-7)

Weather Forecast
Playing in UB Stadium
Conditions: Light Rain
Temp: 49° - Wind: 11 mph
Rain: 0.028

Team Information
Injuries: BGSU | BUFF
Depth Chart: BGSU | BUFF
Rosters: BGSU | BUFF

(#120) Buffalo Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -8.23 #120
Offense Rating: 8.90 #125
Defense Rating: 8.32 #50
Overall SP+ Rating: -15.1 #117
Offense SP+ Rating: 15.3 #125
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.4 #87
Talent Rating: 394.00 #116
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 4.60 - 7.40

Bowling Green's OC Greg Nosal

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Buffalo's OC DJ Mangas

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Bowling Green's DC Sammy Lawanson

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Buffalo's DC Robert Wright

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD