Akron at Bowling Green Game Matchup

Saturday, October 21st 2023 (2:00 PM EDT)
Bowling Green -7 (37.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Bowling Green 41 - Akron: 14 (Mid-American)

Zips (2 - 10) (5 - 6 - 1)
Coach Joe Moorhead (3 - 12)
Avg Score : 20 - 32 (17 - 37 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.2 - 7.8 (#113)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

AKR 2nd straight Road Game
Our Line: Bowling Green -12.5 (SP+ -16)
PPG only: AKR: 21 - BGSU: 30 (51)
BGSU Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
AKR Travel: 112 miles

Falcons (7 - 6) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Scot Loeffler (14 - 31)
Avg Score : 27 - 22 (24 - 19 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.6 - 6.4 (#66)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Off Players
Def Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Akron's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
Sat 9/2	Akron at Temple	+9.5	55.0	L 21 - 24
Sat 9/9	Akron vs Morgan State	-25.0	46.0	W 24 - 21
Sat 9/16	Akron at Kentucky	+25.0	48.5	L 3 - 35
Sat 9/23	Akron at Indiana	+16.5	45.5	L 27 - 29
Sat 9/30	Akron vs Buffalo	-3.0	53.0	L 10 - 13
Sat 10/7	Akron vs Northern Illinois	+4.0	42.5	L 14 - 55
Sat 10/14	Akron at Central Michigan	+10.5	44.0	L 10 - 17
Sat 10/21	Akron at Bowling Green	+7.0	37.0	L 14 - 41
	BYE WEEK
Wed 11/1	Akron vs Kent State	-4.0	39.0	W 31 - 27
Wed 11/8	Akron at Miami (OH)	+17.5	37.5	L 0 - 19
Tue 11/14	Akron at Eastern Michigan	+3.5	39.5	L 27 - 30
Fri 11/24	Akron vs Ohio	+13.5	41.5	L 14 - 25

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Bowling Green's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
Sat 9/2	Bowling Green at Liberty	+8.5	48.5	L 24 - 34
Sat 9/9	Bowling Green vs Eastern Illinois	-17.0	48.0	W 38 - 15
Sat 9/16	Bowling Green at Michigan	+40.5	53.5	L 6 - 31
Sat 9/23	Bowling Green vs Ohio	+13.0	45.0	L 7 - 38
Sat 9/30	Bowling Green at Georgia Tech	+21.0	49.5	W 38 - 27
Sat 10/7	Bowling Green at Miami (OH)	+7.5	43.0	L 0 - 27
Sat 10/14	Bowling Green at Buffalo	+3.0	44.5	W 24 - 14
Sat 10/21	Bowling Green vs Akron	-7.0	37.0	W 41 - 14
	BYE WEEK
Wed 11/1	Bowling Green vs Ball State	-4.5	39.5	W 24 - 21
Wed 11/8	Bowling Green at Kent State	-10.5	41.5	W 49 - 19
Tue 11/14	Bowling Green vs Toledo	+9.5	48.5	L 31 - 32
Tue 11/21	Bowling Green at Western Michigan	-2.0	54.5	W 34 - 10
Tue 12/26	Bowling Green vs Minnesota	+2.5	45.0	L 24 - 30

AKR's OC Billy Fessler vs BGSU's DC Sammy Lawanson BGSU's OC Greg Nosal vs AKR's DC Tim Tibesar

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
AKR	.14	44%	20.4	46%	3.14	86	43%	260	3.16	.27	44%	32	42%	47%	4.34	54.3	1.8	0.8
BGSU	.15	39%	27.1	40%	3.02	99	39%	236	2.88	.18	42%	21.6	41%	43%	4.08	68.9	1.8	1.9

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
AKR		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
BGSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
AKR Offense	12	20.4	16.9	43.8%	3.16	1.8	21	346	86	260	3	37%	62%	46%	43%	30%	.14
BGSU Defense	13	21.6	18.5	41.9%	4.08	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	49%	50%	41%	43%	18%	.18

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
AKR Defense	12	32	37.3	44.1%	4.34	0.8	-	-	-	-	-	54%	45%	42%	47%	20%	.27
BGSU Offense	13	27.1	24.2	39%	2.88	1.8	17	334	99	236	3.1	44%	55%	40%	39%	24%	.15

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Akron	12	27:41	21.2	34%	50%	6	54.3	1.8	0.8	4.8	1.5	1	27.4
Bowling Green	13	29:00	17.4	34%	44%	7.7	68.9	1.8	1.9	6.2	2.8	4	30.1

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
AKR Offense	12	37%	46%	29	85.5	3	15	.02	3.14	70%	20%	0.81
BGSU Defense	13	49%	41%	-	-	-	-	.16	3.1	75%	12%	1.1

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
AKR Defense	12	54%	42%	-	-	-	-	.12	2.95	71%	12%	1.02
BGSU Offense	13	44%	40%	31.9	98.7	3.1	8	.05	3.02	79%	15%	0.87

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
AKR Offense	12	62%	43%	24.7	38.1	260.3	6.8	10.6	13	10	.27	1.5	31%	35%	.32	10%	2.1
BGSU Defense	13	50%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.29	1.6	32%	34%	.35	6%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
AKR Defense	12	45%	47%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.49	1.7	31%	30%	.4	8%	2.2
BGSU Offense	13	55%	39%	20.5	33.8	235.5	7	11.5	25	11	.27	1.7	35%	27%	.26	9%	2

Akron's Power Ratings
Akron's Power Rating: -13.90 #130
Akron's Offense Rating: 7.28 #129
Akron's Defense Rating: 9.21 #63
2023 Talent Rating: 390.00 #117
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Akron's 2023 Expected Record: 4.20 - 7.80
Akron's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -21.6 #128
Akron's Offense SP+ Rating: 10.5 #132
Akron's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.0 #90

Akron's SP+ Ratings
Akron's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -21.6 #128
Akron's Offense SP+ Rating: 10.5 #132
Akron's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.0 #90

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 506.5
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Akron: -13.90 Bowling Green: -1.52

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Akron: -21.6 Bowling Green: -5.9

Bowling Green's Power Ratings
Bowling Green's Power Rating: -1.52 #85
Bowling Green's Offense Rating: 13.75 #91
Bowling Green's Defense Rating: 6.57 #36
2023 Talent Rating: 536.00 #82
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Bowling Green's 2023 Expected Record: 6.60 - 6.40

Bowling Green's SP+ Ratings
Bowling Green's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.9 #84
Bowling Green's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.6 #86
Bowling Green's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #66

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 506.5
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Akron Scoring
Offense: 20.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 16.9
Defense: 32 PPG
Defense on Road: 37.3

Akron's 2023 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 1
Record on Road: 0 - 7
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Bowling Green 30
Akron 21

Projected Total Points: 51

Bowling Green Scoring
Offense: 27.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 24.2
Defense: 21.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.5

Bowling Green's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	10/05	Akron	20	Bowling Green	27	Bowling Green	Bowling Green -17	Akron	48.5	Under
2023	10/21	Bowling Green	41	Akron	14	Bowling Green	Bowling Green -7	Bowling Green	37.0	Over
2022	10/01	Akron	28	Bowling Green	31	Bowling Green	Bowling Green -9	Akron	49.5	Over
2021	10/09	Bowling Green	20	Akron	35	Akron	Bowling Green -14	Akron	46.0	Over
2020	12/05	Akron	31	Bowling Green	3	Akron	Akron -2.5	Akron	54.5	Under
2019	11/02	Bowling Green	35	Akron	6	Bowling Green	Bowling Green -3.5	Bowling Green	49.5	Under
2018	11/17	Akron	6	Bowling Green	21	Bowling Green	Akron -6.5	Bowling Green	48.5	Under
2017	09/30	Bowling Green	23	Akron	34	Akron	Akron -3	Akron	57.5	Under
2016	11/09	Akron	28	Bowling Green	38	Bowling Green	Akron -11.5	Bowling Green	73.0	Under
2015	10/17	Bowling Green	59	Akron	10	Bowling Green	Bowling Green -11.5	Bowling Green	62.5	Over
2014	11/04	Akron	10	Bowling Green	27	Bowling Green	Akron -4	Bowling Green	0
2013	09/28	Bowling Green	31	Akron	14	Bowling Green	Bowling Green -15.5	Bowling Green	0
2012	10/06	Akron	10	Bowling Green	24	Bowling Green
2009	11/20	Bowling Green	36	Akron	20	Bowling Green
2008	10/11	Akron	33	Bowling Green	37	Bowling Green
2007	11/02	Bowling Green	44	Akron	20	Bowling Green
2006	11/04	Akron	35	Bowling Green	28	Akron
2005	10/29	Bowling Green	14	Akron	24	Akron
2001	10/20	Akron	11	Bowling Green	16	Bowling Green
2000	10/06	Bowling Green	21	Akron	27	Akron

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Bowling Green	14	7	4 Overs
Akron	6	5	6 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	8 - 12	7 - 5	5 - 4	2 - 1
Road Teams	12 - 8	5 - 7	1 - 2	4 - 5

(#130) Akron Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -13.90 #130
Offense Rating: 7.28 #129
Defense Rating: 9.21 #63
Overall SP+ Rating: -21.6 #128
Offense SP+ Rating: 10.5 #132
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.0 #90
Talent Rating: 390.00 #117
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 4.20 - 7.80

Akron Ratings Matchup Bowling Green

Power #130

#85

Off #129

#91

Def #63

#36

Talent #117

#82

SP+ #128

#84

SP+ Off #132

#86

SP+ Def #90

#66

Rematch from Week 8
Bowling Green -7.0 (37.0)
Bowling Green won vs Akron this year (41-14)

Previous Matchups
Bowling Green beat Akron last year (27-20)
Bowling Green beat Akron in 2023 (41-14)
Bowling Green beat Akron in 2022 (31-28)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Doyt Perry Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 50° - Wind: 11 mph

Team Information
Injuries: AKR | BGSU
Depth Chart: AKR | BGSU
Rosters: AKR | BGSU

(#85) Bowling Green Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -1.52 #85
Offense Rating: 13.75 #91
Defense Rating: 6.57 #36
Overall SP+ Rating: -5.9 #84
Offense SP+ Rating: 22.6 #86
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #66
Talent Rating: 536.00 #82
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 6.60 - 6.40

Akron's OC Billy Fessler

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Bowling Green's OC Greg Nosal

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Akron's DC Tim Tibesar

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Bowling Green's DC Sammy Lawanson

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD