Buffalo at Kent State Game Matchup
Buffalo logo Buffalo Bulls at Kent State Golden FlashesKent State logo
Saturday, October 21st 2023 (3:30 PM EDT)
Buffalo -6.5 (44.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Buffalo 24 - Kent State: 6  (Mid-American)

 
Bulls (3 - 9) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Maurice Linguist (11 - 17)
Avg Score : 29 - 26 (20 - 34 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.6 - 7.4 (#106)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: Buffalo -9    (SP+ -11.5)
PPG only: BUFF: 37 - KENT: 20 (57)
BUFF Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
BUFF Travel: 183 miles
Golden Flashes (1 - 11) (3 - 8 - 1)
Coach Kenni Burns (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 14 - 44 (20 - 38 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 2.1 - 9.9 (#133)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Buffalo's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 9/2 Buffalo at Wisconsin+29.052.5L 17 - 38
Sat 9/9 Buffalo vs Fordham-23.555.5L 37 - 40
Sat 9/16 Buffalo vs Liberty+2.554.0L 27 - 55
Sat 9/23 Buffalo at Louisiana+10.557.5L 38 - 45
Sat 9/30 Buffalo at Akron+3.053.0W 13 - 10
Sat 10/7 Buffalo vs Central Michigan+2.551.5W 37 - 13
Sat 10/14 Buffalo vs Bowling Green-3.044.5L 14 - 24
Sat 10/21 Buffalo at Kent State-6.544.0W 24 - 6
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/31 Buffalo at Toledo+14.047.0L 13 - 31
Tue 11/7 Buffalo vs Ohio+9.545.5L 10 - 20
Wed 11/15 Buffalo at Miami (OH)+7.536.5L 10 - 23
Tue 11/21 Buffalo vs Eastern Michigan-6.538.5L 11 - 24
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Kent State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Thu 8/31 Kent State at UCF+35.054.0L 6 - 56
Sat 9/9 Kent State at Arkansas+38.057.5L 6 - 28
Sat 9/16 Kent State vs Central Connecticut-21.546.5W 38 - 10
Sat 9/23 Kent State at Fresno State+27.547.5L 10 - 53
Sat 9/30 Kent State vs Miami (OH)+14.051.5L 3 - 23
Sat 10/7 Kent State at Ohio+24.545.5L 17 - 42
Sat 10/14 Kent State at Eastern Michigan+7.040.0L 14 - 28
Sat 10/21 Kent State vs Buffalo+6.544.0L 6 - 24
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/1 Kent State at Akron+4.039.0L 27 - 31
Wed 11/8 Kent State vs Bowling Green+10.541.5L 19 - 49
Sat 11/18 Kent State at Ball State+10.541.5L 3 - 34
Sat 11/25 Kent State vs Northern Illinois+20.544.5L 27 - 37
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

BUFF's OC DJ Mangas vs KENT's DC David Duggan     KENT's OC Matt Johnson vs BUFF's DC Robert Wright

Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BUFF.1744%28.844%2.9214044%2154.06.2741%26.440%44%3.7943.51.32
KENT.2244%13.947%3.3320342%2153.64.2748%44.147%51%3.8154.31.11.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BUFF0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
KENT0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BUFF Offense1328.82043.6%4.061.3213551402153.651%47%44%44%22%.17
KENT Defense1244.138.248.4%3.811.3 - - - - - 49%50%47%51%15%.27
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BUFF Defense1326.433.741.3%3.792 - - - - - 52%48%40%44%25%.27
KENT Offense1213.920.444.5%3.641.1234182032154.757%42%47%42%19%.22

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Buffalo1331:1720.641%61%4.743.51.3261.8129.5
Kent State1226:0722.841%50%6.754.31.11.35.82.2230
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BUFF Offense1351%44%39.41403.622.062.9271%12%0.83
KENT Defense1249%47% - - - - .133.172%10%0.91
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BUFF Defense1352%40% - - - - .222.8968%15%1.33
KENT Offense1257%47%43.1202.84.723.223.3384%11%1.03

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BUFF Offense1347%44%19.232.22156.711.2158.331.631%35%.359%2
KENT Defense1250%51% - - - - - - 7.461.527%35%.375%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BUFF Defense1348%44% - - - - - - 11.361.734%31%.410%2.1
KENT Offense1242%42%16.229.1215.27.413.3178.251.532%34%.448%2.2

Buffalo's Power Ratings
Buffalo's Power Rating: -10.23 #120
Buffalo's Offense Rating: 8.90 #125
Buffalo's Defense Rating: 8.32 #50
2023 Talent Rating: 394.00 #116
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Buffalo's 2023 Expected Record: 4.60 - 7.40
Buffalo's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.1 #117
Buffalo's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.3 #125
Buffalo's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.4 #87

Buffalo's SP+ Ratings
Buffalo's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.1 #117
Buffalo's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.3 #125
Buffalo's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.4 #87

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 506.5
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Buffalo: -10.23   Kent State: -19.19

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Buffalo: -15.1   Kent State: -26.4




Kent State's Power Ratings
Kent State's Power Rating: -19.19 #133
Kent State's Offense Rating: 9.49 #124
Kent State's Defense Rating: 19.32 #132
2023 Talent Rating: 468.00 #99
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Kent State's 2023 Expected Record: 2.10 - 9.90

Kent State's SP+ Ratings
Kent State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -26.4 #133
Kent State's Offense SP+ Rating: 8.1 #133
Kent State's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.8 #115

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 506.5
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78


Buffalo Scoring
Offense: 28.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 20
Defense: 26.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 33.7

Buffalo's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Buffalo 37
Kent State 20


Projected Total Points: 57
Kent State Scoring
Offense: 13.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 20.4
Defense: 44.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 38.2

Kent State's 2023 Record
Record: 1 - 11
Record vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 1
Record at home: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 8 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/26Buffalo43Kent State7BuffaloBuffalo -23.5Buffalo50.5Under
202310/21Kent State6Buffalo24BuffaloBuffalo -6.5Buffalo44.0Under
202211/26Buffalo27Kent State30Kent StateBuffalo -4.5Kent State51.0Over
202110/09Kent State48Buffalo38Kent StateKent State -7Kent State66.0Over
202011/28Buffalo70Kent State41BuffaloBuffalo -7.5Buffalo70.0Over
201911/14Kent State30Buffalo27Kent StateBuffalo -6Kent State54.5Over
201811/06Buffalo48Kent State14BuffaloBuffalo -17Buffalo44.5Over
201709/30Kent State13Buffalo27BuffaloBuffalo -7.5Buffalo41.0Under
201610/08Buffalo20Kent State44Kent StateBuffalo -2Kent State42.5Over
201511/05Kent State17Buffalo18BuffaloBuffalo -3Kent State43.5Under
201310/26Kent State21Buffalo41BuffaloBuffalo -2Buffalo0
201209/19Buffalo7Kent State23Kent State
200911/27Kent State6Buffalo9Buffalo
200811/28Buffalo21Kent State24Kent State
200711/24Kent State23Buffalo30Buffalo
200611/04Buffalo41Kent State14Buffalo
200511/12Kent State6Buffalo10Buffalo
200411/06Buffalo7Kent State33Kent State
200311/22Kent State34Buffalo24Kent State
200210/26Buffalo12Kent State16Kent State
200110/20Kent State35Buffalo13Kent State
200011/03Buffalo20Kent State17Buffalo
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Kent State1056 Overs
Buffalo1264 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams9 - 136 - 54 - 22 - 3
Road Teams13 - 95 - 63 - 22 - 4

(#120) Buffalo Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -10.23 #120
Offense Rating: 8.90 #125
Defense Rating: 8.32 #50
Overall SP+ Rating: -15.1 #117
Offense SP+ Rating: 15.3 #125
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.4 #87
Talent Rating: 394.00 #116
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 4.60 - 7.40

Buffalo     Ratings Matchup     Kent State
Power #120
#133
Off #125
#124
Def #50
#132
Talent #116
#99
SP+ #117
#133
SP+ Off #125
#133
SP+ Def #87
#115

Rematch from Week 8
Buffalo 6.5 (44.0)
Buffalo won at Kent State this year (24-6)

Previous Matchups
Buffalo beat Kent State last year (43-7)
Buffalo beat Kent State in 2023 (24-6)
Kent State beat Buffalo in 2022 (30-27)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Dix Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 51° - Wind: 10 mph


Team Information
Injuries: BUFF | KENT
Depth Chart: BUFF | KENT
Rosters: BUFF | KENT
(#133) Kent State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -19.19 #133
Offense Rating: 9.49 #124
Defense Rating: 19.32 #132
Overall SP+ Rating: -26.4 #133
Offense SP+ Rating: 8.1 #133
Defense SP+ Rating: 34.8 #115
Talent Rating: 468.00 #99
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 2.10 - 9.90





  
Buffalo's OC DJ Mangas
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Kent State's OC Matt Johnson
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Buffalo's DC Robert Wright
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Kent State's DC David Duggan
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