Buffalo at Toledo Game Matchup
Buffalo logo Buffalo Bulls at Toledo RocketsToledo logo
Tuesday, October 31st 2023 (7:30 PM EDT)
Toledo -14 (47.0) (-700)  Open: -14.0 | 52.5
Toledo 31 - Buffalo: 13  (Mid-American)

 
Bulls (3 - 9) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Maurice Linguist (11 - 17)
Avg Score : 29 - 26 (20 - 34 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.6 - 7.4 (#106)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Snowfall Predicted
BUFF coming off BYE
TOL coming off BYE
Our Line: Toledo -19.5    (SP+ -19)
PPG only: BUFF: 26 - TOL: 27 (53)
TOL Win prob: 86% | Cover: 55%
BUFF Travel: 264 miles
Rockets (11 - 3) (7 - 7 - 0)
Coach Jason Candle (56 - 33)
Avg Score : 28 - 23 (31 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 11.1 - 2.9 (#4)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Buffalo's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 9/2 Buffalo at Wisconsin+29.052.5L 17 - 38
Sat 9/9 Buffalo vs Fordham-23.555.5L 37 - 40
Sat 9/16 Buffalo vs Liberty+2.554.0L 27 - 55
Sat 9/23 Buffalo at Louisiana+10.557.5L 38 - 45
Sat 9/30 Buffalo at Akron+3.053.0W 13 - 10
Sat 10/7 Buffalo vs Central Michigan+2.551.5W 37 - 13
Sat 10/14 Buffalo vs Bowling Green-3.044.5L 14 - 24
Sat 10/21 Buffalo at Kent State-6.544.0W 24 - 6
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/31 Buffalo at Toledo+14.047.0L 13 - 31
Tue 11/7 Buffalo vs Ohio+9.545.5L 10 - 20
Wed 11/15 Buffalo at Miami (OH)+7.536.5L 10 - 23
Tue 11/21 Buffalo vs Eastern Michigan-6.538.5L 11 - 24
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Toledo's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 9/2 Toledo at Illinois+7.045.5L 28 - 30
Sat 9/9 Toledo vs Texas Southern-40.561.0W 71 - 3
Sat 9/16 Toledo vs San José State-9.056.5W 21 - 17
Sat 9/23 Toledo vs Western Michigan-21.552.5W 49 - 31
Sat 9/30 Toledo vs Northern Illinois-13.048.0W 35 - 33
Sat 10/7 Toledo at Massachusetts-19.055.5W 41 - 24
Sat 10/14 Toledo at Ball State-17.548.5W 13 - 6
Sat 10/21 Toledo at Miami (OH)-2.046.5W 21 - 17
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/31 Toledo vs Buffalo-14.047.0W 31 - 13
Wed 11/8 Toledo vs Eastern Michigan-19.545.5W 49 - 23
Tue 11/14 Toledo at Bowling Green-9.548.5W 32 - 31
Fri 11/24 Toledo at Central Michigan-12.554.5W 32 - 17
Sat 12/2 Toledo vs Miami (OH)-8.546.0L 14 - 23
Sat 12/30 Toledo vs Wyoming+4.543.5L 15 - 16
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

BUFF's OC DJ Mangas vs TOL's DC Vince Kehres     TOL's OC Mike Hallett vs BUFF's DC Robert Wright

Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BUFF.1744%28.844%2.9214044%2154.06.2741%26.440%44%3.7943.51.32
TOL.1943%28.344%317843%2254.23.0734%23.236%34%3.9755.41.91.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BUFF0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TOL0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BUFF Offense1328.82043.6%4.061.3213551402153.651%47%44%44%22%.17
TOL Defense1423.221.334.2%3.971.6 - - - - - 51%48%36%34%18%.07
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BUFF Defense1326.433.741.3%3.792 - - - - - 52%48%40%44%25%.27
TOL Offense1428.331.242.8%4.231.9224031782254.355%44%44%43%16%.19

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Buffalo1331:1720.641%61%4.743.51.3261.8129.5
Toledo1429:312241%59%6.755.41.91.65.52.2229.6
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BUFF Offense1351%44%39.41403.622.062.9271%12%0.83
TOL Defense1451%36% - - - - .13.0483%10%1.08
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BUFF Defense1352%40% - - - - .222.8968%15%1.33
TOL Offense1455%44%41.4177.84.323.14376%10%0.92

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BUFF Offense1347%44%19.232.22156.711.2158.331.631%35%.359%2
TOL Defense1448%34% - - - - - - 12.081.637%23%.098%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BUFF Defense1348%44% - - - - - - 11.361.734%31%.410%2.1
TOL Offense1444%43%17.631.4224.97.212.83115.351.732%30%.325%2.2

Buffalo's Power Ratings
Buffalo's Power Rating: -10.23 #120
Buffalo's Offense Rating: 8.90 #125
Buffalo's Defense Rating: 8.32 #50
2023 Talent Rating: 394.00 #116
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Buffalo's 2023 Expected Record: 4.60 - 7.40
Buffalo's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.1 #117
Buffalo's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.3 #125
Buffalo's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.4 #87

Buffalo's SP+ Ratings
Buffalo's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.1 #117
Buffalo's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.3 #125
Buffalo's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.4 #87

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 506.5
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Buffalo: -10.23   Toledo: 9.27

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Buffalo: -15.1   Toledo: 4.0




Toledo's Power Ratings
Toledo's Power Rating: 9.27 #29
Toledo's Offense Rating: 21.47 #30
Toledo's Defense Rating: 4.60 #24
2023 Talent Rating: 536.00 #82
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Toledo's 2023 Expected Record: 11.10 - 2.90

Toledo's SP+ Ratings
Toledo's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.0 #51
Toledo's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #65
Toledo's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #35

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 506.5
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78


Buffalo Scoring
Offense: 28.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 20
Defense: 26.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 33.7

Buffalo's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Toledo 27
Buffalo 26

Projected Total Points: 53
Toledo Scoring
Offense: 28.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.2
Defense: 23.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.3

Toledo's 2023 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/12Buffalo30Toledo15BuffaloToledo -10.5Buffalo44.5Over
202310/31Toledo31Buffalo13ToledoToledo -14Toledo47.0Under
202210/22Buffalo34Toledo27BuffaloToledo -7.0Buffalo56.0Over
201911/20Buffalo49Toledo30BuffaloBuffalo -9.5Buffalo55.0Over
201810/20Toledo17Buffalo31BuffaloToledo -3Buffalo63.0Under
201311/12Toledo51Buffalo41ToledoToledo -3.5Toledo0
201210/27Buffalo20Toledo25Toledo
200710/13Buffalo43Toledo33Buffalo
200510/22Toledo38Buffalo15Toledo
200311/01Toledo56Buffalo29Toledo
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Toledo523 Overs
Buffalo542 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams8 - 25 - 13 - 12 - 0
Road Teams2 - 81 - 50 - 21 - 3

(#120) Buffalo Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -10.23 #120
Offense Rating: 8.90 #125
Defense Rating: 8.32 #50
Overall SP+ Rating: -15.1 #117
Offense SP+ Rating: 15.3 #125
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.4 #87
Talent Rating: 394.00 #116
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 4.60 - 7.40

Buffalo     Ratings Matchup     Toledo
Power #120
#29
Off #125
#30
Def #50
#24
Talent #116
#82
SP+ #117
#51
SP+ Off #125
#65
SP+ Def #87
#35

Rematch from Week 10
Toledo -14.0 (47.0)
Toledo won vs Buffalo this year (31-13)

Previous Matchups
Buffalo beat Toledo last year (30-15)
Toledo beat Buffalo in 2023 (31-13)
Buffalo beat Toledo in 2022 (34-27)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Glass Bowl
Conditions: Snowfall
Temp: 32°Rain: 0.012


Team Information
Injuries: BUFF | TOL
Depth Chart: BUFF | TOL
Rosters: BUFF | TOL
(#29) Toledo Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 9.27 #29
Offense Rating: 21.47 #30
Defense Rating: 4.60 #24
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.0 #51
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #65
Defense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #35
Talent Rating: 536.00 #82
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 11.10 - 2.90





  
Buffalo's OC DJ Mangas
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Toledo's OC Mike Hallett
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Buffalo's DC Robert Wright
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Toledo's DC Vince Kehres
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