Eastern Michigan at Toledo Game Matchup

Eastern Michigan Eagles at Toledo Rockets

Wednesday, November 8th 2023 (7:30 PM EST)
Toledo -19.5 (45.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Toledo 49 - Eastern Michigan: 23 (Mid-American)

Eagles (6 - 7) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Chris Creighton (48 - 62)
Avg Score : 26 - 28 (23 - 27 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.8 - 6.2 (#62)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

TOL 2nd straight Home Game
EMU coming off BYE
Our Line: Toledo -17 (SP+ -14)
PPG only: EMU: 25 - TOL: 28 (53)
TOL Win prob: 88% | Cover: 46%
EMU Travel: 41 miles

Rockets (11 - 3) (7 - 7 - 0)
Coach Jason Candle (56 - 33)
Avg Score : 28 - 23 (31 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 11.1 - 2.9 (#4)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Off Players
Def Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Eastern Michigan's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
Fri 9/1	Eastern Michigan vs Howard	-20.0	55.5	W 33 - 23
Sat 9/9	Eastern Michigan at Minnesota	+19.5	48.0	L 6 - 25
Sat 9/16	Eastern Michigan vs Massachusetts	-7.0	50.0	W 19 - 17
Sat 9/23	Eastern Michigan at Jacksonville State	+6.5	51.0	L 0 - 21
Sat 9/30	Eastern Michigan at Central Michigan	+9.5	45.0	L 23 - 26
Sat 10/7	Eastern Michigan vs Ball State	-2.5	43.5	W 24 - 10
Sat 10/14	Eastern Michigan vs Kent State	-7.0	40.0	W 28 - 14
Sat 10/21	Eastern Michigan at Northern Illinois	+11.5	43.5	L 13 - 20
Sat 10/28	Eastern Michigan vs Western Michigan	+3.0	50.0	L 21 - 45
	BYE WEEK
Wed 11/8	Eastern Michigan at Toledo	+19.5	45.5	L 23 - 49
Tue 11/14	Eastern Michigan vs Akron	-3.5	39.5	W 30 - 27
Tue 11/21	Eastern Michigan at Buffalo	+6.5	38.5	W 24 - 11
Sat 12/23	Eastern Michigan vs South Alabama	+18.0	43.0	L 10 - 59

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Toledo's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
Sat 9/2	Toledo at Illinois	+7.0	45.5	L 28 - 30
Sat 9/9	Toledo vs Texas Southern	-40.5	61.0	W 71 - 3
Sat 9/16	Toledo vs San José State	-9.0	56.5	W 21 - 17
Sat 9/23	Toledo vs Western Michigan	-21.5	52.5	W 49 - 31
Sat 9/30	Toledo vs Northern Illinois	-13.0	48.0	W 35 - 33
Sat 10/7	Toledo at Massachusetts	-19.0	55.5	W 41 - 24
Sat 10/14	Toledo at Ball State	-17.5	48.5	W 13 - 6
Sat 10/21	Toledo at Miami (OH)	-2.0	46.5	W 21 - 17
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/31	Toledo vs Buffalo	-14.0	47.0	W 31 - 13
Wed 11/8	Toledo vs Eastern Michigan	-19.5	45.5	W 49 - 23
Tue 11/14	Toledo at Bowling Green	-9.5	48.5	W 32 - 31
Fri 11/24	Toledo at Central Michigan	-12.5	54.5	W 32 - 17
Sat 12/2	Toledo vs Miami (OH)	-8.5	46.0	L 14 - 23
Sat 12/30	Toledo vs Wyoming	+4.5	43.5	L 15 - 16

EMU's OC Chris Creighton vs TOL's DC Vince Kehres TOL's OC Mike Hallett vs EMU's DC Taver Johnson

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
EMU	.23	46%	25.9	48%	3.12	142	45%	224	4.17	.21	44%	27.9	46%	43%	4.48	73.8	1.5	1.5
TOL	.19	43%	28.3	44%	3	178	43%	225	4.23	.07	34%	23.2	36%	34%	3.97	55.4	1.9	1.6

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
EMU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
TOL		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
EMU Offense	13	25.9	23	46.3%	4.17	1.5	21	366	142	224	3.7	53%	46%	48%	45%	18%	.23
TOL Defense	14	23.2	21.3	34.2%	3.97	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	51%	48%	36%	34%	18%	.07

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
EMU Defense	13	27.9	27.2	44.2%	4.48	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	52%	47%	46%	43%	18%	.21
TOL Offense	14	28.3	31.2	42.8%	4.23	1.9	22	403	178	225	4.3	55%	44%	44%	43%	16%	.19

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Eastern Michigan	13	31:27	21.3	45%	46%	7.9	73.8	1.5	1.5	4.3	1.9	1	31.6
Toledo	14	29:31	22	41%	59%	6.7	55.4	1.9	1.6	5.5	2.2	2	29.6

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
EMU Offense	13	53%	48%	38.7	141.8	3.7	25	.16	3.12	83%	12%	0.89
TOL Defense	14	51%	36%	-	-	-	-	.1	3.04	83%	10%	1.08

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
EMU Defense	13	52%	46%	-	-	-	-	.15	3.45	81%	9%	0.82
TOL Offense	14	55%	44%	41.4	177.8	4.3	23	.14	3	76%	10%	0.92

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
EMU Offense	13	46%	45%	18.8	30.2	224.2	7.4	11.9	23	12	.34	1.5	29%	32%	.35	6%	2
TOL Defense	14	48%	34%	-	-	-	-	-	-	12	.08	1.6	37%	23%	.09	8%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
EMU Defense	13	47%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	13	.32	1.6	30%	31%	.4	9%	2.1
TOL Offense	14	44%	43%	17.6	31.4	224.9	7.2	12.8	31	15	.35	1.7	32%	30%	.32	5%	2.2

Eastern Michigan's Power Ratings
Eastern Michigan's Power Rating: -7.52 #105
Eastern Michigan's Offense Rating: 12.15 #110
Eastern Michigan's Defense Rating: 8.46 #53
2023 Talent Rating: 436.00 #104
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Eastern Michigan's 2023 Expected Record: 6.80 - 6.20
Eastern Michigan's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.6 #103
Eastern Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 14.1 #130
Eastern Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.1 #53

Eastern Michigan's SP+ Ratings
Eastern Michigan's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.6 #103
Eastern Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 14.1 #130
Eastern Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.1 #53

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 506.5
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Eastern Michigan: -7.52 Toledo: 9.27

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Eastern Michigan: -9.6 Toledo: 4.0

Toledo's Power Ratings
Toledo's Power Rating: 9.27 #29
Toledo's Offense Rating: 21.47 #30
Toledo's Defense Rating: 4.60 #24
2023 Talent Rating: 536.00 #82
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Toledo's 2023 Expected Record: 11.10 - 2.90

Toledo's SP+ Ratings
Toledo's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.0 #51
Toledo's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #65
Toledo's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #35

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 506.5
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Eastern Michigan Scoring
Offense: 25.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 23
Defense: 27.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.2

Eastern Michigan's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Toledo 28
Eastern Michigan 25

Projected Total Points: 53

Toledo Scoring
Offense: 28.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.2
Defense: 23.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.3

Toledo's 2023 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/02	Eastern Michigan	28	Toledo	29	Toledo	Toledo -10	Eastern Michigan	54.5	Over
2023	11/08	Toledo	49	Eastern Michigan	23	Toledo	Toledo -19.5	Toledo	45.5	Over
2022	10/29	Eastern Michigan	24	Toledo	27	Toledo	Toledo -4	Eastern Michigan	54.0	Under
2021	11/02	Toledo	49	Eastern Michigan	52	Eastern Michigan	Toledo -9	Eastern Michigan	54.5	Over
2020	11/18	Eastern Michigan	28	Toledo	45	Toledo	Toledo -6.5	Toledo	62.5	Over
2019	10/26	Toledo	37	Eastern Michigan	34	Toledo	Toledo -2.5	Toledo	52.0	Over
2018	10/13	Eastern Michigan	28	Toledo	26	Eastern Michigan	Toledo -2	Eastern Michigan	62.0	Under
2017	10/07	Toledo	20	Eastern Michigan	15	Toledo	Toledo -13.5	Eastern Michigan	60.0	Under
2016	10/08	Eastern Michigan	20	Toledo	35	Toledo	Toledo -17.5	Eastern Michigan	65.5	Under
2015	10/17	Toledo	63	Eastern Michigan	20	Toledo	Toledo -28	Toledo	63.0	Over
2014	11/28	Eastern Michigan	16	Toledo	52	Toledo	Toledo -21.5	Toledo	0
2013	11/02	Toledo	55	Eastern Michigan	16	Toledo	Toledo -28	Toledo	0
2012	10/13	Eastern Michigan	47	Toledo	52	Toledo
2011	10/08	Toledo	54	Eastern Michigan	16	Toledo
2010	10/30	Eastern Michigan	7	Toledo	42	Toledo
2009	11/20	Toledo	47	Eastern Michigan	21	Toledo
2008	09/13	Eastern Michigan	17	Toledo	41	Toledo
2007	11/03	Toledo	52	Eastern Michigan	28	Toledo
2006	10/21	Eastern Michigan	17	Toledo	13	Eastern Michigan
2005	10/08	Toledo	30	Eastern Michigan	3	Toledo
2004	09/18	Eastern Michigan	32	Toledo	42	Toledo
2003	10/11	Toledo	49	Eastern Michigan	14	Toledo
2002	09/07	Eastern Michigan	13	Toledo	65	Toledo
2001	11/17	Toledo	28	Eastern Michigan	7	Toledo
2000	10/06	Eastern Michigan	14	Toledo	42	Toledo

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Toledo	22	6	6 Overs
Eastern Michigan	3	6	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	13 - 12	8 - 4	4 - 2	4 - 2
Road Teams	12 - 13	4 - 8	2 - 4	2 - 4

(#105) Eastern Michigan Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -7.52 #105
Offense Rating: 12.15 #110
Defense Rating: 8.46 #53
Overall SP+ Rating: -9.6 #103
Offense SP+ Rating: 14.1 #130
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.1 #53
Talent Rating: 436.00 #104
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 6.80 - 6.20

Eastern Michigan Ratings Matchup Toledo

Power #105

#29

Off #110

#30

Def #53

#24

Talent #104

#82

SP+ #103

#51

SP+ Off #130

#65

SP+ Def #53

#35

Rematch from Week 11
Toledo -19.5 (45.5)
Toledo won vs Eastern Michigan this year (49-23)

Previous Matchups
Toledo beat Eastern Michigan last year (29-28)
Toledo beat Eastern Michigan in 2023 (49-23)
Toledo beat Eastern Michigan in 2022 (27-24)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Glass Bowl
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: EMU | TOL
Depth Chart: EMU | TOL
Rosters: EMU | TOL

(#29) Toledo Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 9.27 #29
Offense Rating: 21.47 #30
Defense Rating: 4.60 #24
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.0 #51
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #65
Defense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #35
Talent Rating: 536.00 #82
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 11.10 - 2.90

Eastern Michigan's OC Chris Creighton

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Toledo's OC Mike Hallett

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Eastern Michigan's DC Taver Johnson

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Toledo's DC Vince Kehres

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD