Toledo at Bowling Green Game Matchup
Toledo logo Toledo Rockets at Bowling Green FalconsBowling Green logo
Tuesday, November 14th 2023 (7:00 PM EST)
Toledo -9.5 (48.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Toledo 32 - Bowling Green: 31  (Mid-American)

 
Rockets (11 - 3) (7 - 7 - 0)
Coach Jason Candle (56 - 33)
Avg Score : 28 - 23 (22 - 21 on Road)
Record Prediction: 11.1 - 2.9 (#4)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: Toledo -9    (SP+ -10)
PPG only: TOL: 25 - BGSU: 25 (50)
TOL Win prob: 79% | Cover: 55%
TOL Travel: 19 miles
Falcons (7 - 6) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Scot Loeffler (14 - 31)
Avg Score : 27 - 22 (24 - 19 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.6 - 6.4 (#66)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Toledo's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 9/2 Toledo at Illinois+7.045.5L 28 - 30
Sat 9/9 Toledo vs Texas Southern-40.561.0W 71 - 3
Sat 9/16 Toledo vs San José State-9.056.5W 21 - 17
Sat 9/23 Toledo vs Western Michigan-21.552.5W 49 - 31
Sat 9/30 Toledo vs Northern Illinois-13.048.0W 35 - 33
Sat 10/7 Toledo at Massachusetts-19.055.5W 41 - 24
Sat 10/14 Toledo at Ball State-17.548.5W 13 - 6
Sat 10/21 Toledo at Miami (OH)-2.046.5W 21 - 17
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/31 Toledo vs Buffalo-14.047.0W 31 - 13
Wed 11/8 Toledo vs Eastern Michigan-19.545.5W 49 - 23
Tue 11/14 Toledo at Bowling Green-9.548.5W 32 - 31
Fri 11/24 Toledo at Central Michigan-12.554.5W 32 - 17
Sat 12/2 Toledo vs Miami (OH)-8.546.0L 14 - 23
Sat 12/30 Toledo vs Wyoming+4.543.5L 15 - 16
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Bowling Green's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 9/2 Bowling Green at Liberty+8.548.5L 24 - 34
Sat 9/9 Bowling Green vs Eastern Illinois-17.048.0W 38 - 15
Sat 9/16 Bowling Green at Michigan+40.553.5L 6 - 31
Sat 9/23 Bowling Green vs Ohio+13.045.0L 7 - 38
Sat 9/30 Bowling Green at Georgia Tech+21.049.5W 38 - 27
Sat 10/7 Bowling Green at Miami (OH)+7.543.0L 0 - 27
Sat 10/14 Bowling Green at Buffalo+3.044.5W 24 - 14
Sat 10/21 Bowling Green vs Akron-7.037.0W 41 - 14
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/1 Bowling Green vs Ball State-4.539.5W 24 - 21
Wed 11/8 Bowling Green at Kent State-10.541.5W 49 - 19
Tue 11/14 Bowling Green vs Toledo+9.548.5L 31 - 32
Tue 11/21 Bowling Green at Western Michigan-2.054.5W 34 - 10
Tue 12/26 Bowling Green vs Minnesota+2.545.0L 24 - 30
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

TOL's OC Mike Hallett vs BGSU's DC Sammy Lawanson     BGSU's OC Greg Nosal vs TOL's DC Vince Kehres

Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TOL.1943%28.344%317843%2254.23.0734%23.236%34%3.9755.41.91.6
BGSU.1539%27.140%3.029939%2362.88.1842%21.641%43%4.0868.91.81.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TOL0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
BGSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TOL Offense1428.322.242.8%4.231.9224031782254.355%44%44%43%16%.19
BGSU Defense1321.618.541.9%4.081.9 - - - - - 49%50%41%43%18%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TOL Defense1423.221.334.2%3.971.6 - - - - - 51%48%36%34%18%.07
BGSU Offense1327.124.239%2.881.817334992363.144%55%40%39%24%.15

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Toledo1429:312241%59%6.755.41.91.65.52.2229.6
Bowling Green1329:0017.434%44%7.768.91.81.96.22.8430.1
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TOL Offense1455%44%41.4177.84.323.14376%10%0.92
BGSU Defense1349%41% - - - - .163.175%12%1.1
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TOL Defense1451%36% - - - - .13.0483%10%1.08
BGSU Offense1344%40%31.998.73.18.053.0279%15%0.87

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TOL Offense1444%43%17.631.4224.97.212.83115.351.732%30%.325%2.2
BGSU Defense1350%43% - - - - - - 10.291.632%34%.356%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TOL Defense1448%34% - - - - - - 12.081.637%23%.098%2
BGSU Offense1355%39%20.533.8235.5711.52511.271.735%27%.269%2

Toledo's Power Ratings
Toledo's Power Rating: 7.27 #29
Toledo's Offense Rating: 21.47 #30
Toledo's Defense Rating: 4.60 #24
2023 Talent Rating: 536.00 #82
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Toledo's 2023 Expected Record: 11.10 - 2.90
Toledo's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.0 #51
Toledo's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #65
Toledo's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #35

Toledo's SP+ Ratings
Toledo's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.0 #51
Toledo's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #65
Toledo's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #35

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 506.5
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Toledo: 7.27   Bowling Green: -1.52

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Toledo: 4.0   Bowling Green: -5.9




Bowling Green's Power Ratings
Bowling Green's Power Rating: -1.52 #85
Bowling Green's Offense Rating: 13.75 #91
Bowling Green's Defense Rating: 6.57 #36
2023 Talent Rating: 536.00 #82
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Bowling Green's 2023 Expected Record: 6.60 - 6.40

Bowling Green's SP+ Ratings
Bowling Green's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.9 #84
Bowling Green's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.6 #86
Bowling Green's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #66

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 506.5
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78


Toledo Scoring
Offense: 28.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.2
Defense: 23.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.3

Toledo's 2023 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Toledo 25
Bowling Green 25

Projected Total Points: 50
Bowling Green Scoring
Offense: 27.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 24.2
Defense: 21.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.5

Bowling Green's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/26Toledo26Bowling Green41Bowling GreenToledo -1.5Bowling Green47.5Over
202311/14Bowling Green31Toledo32ToledoToledo -9.5Bowling Green48.5Over
202211/15Toledo35Bowling Green42Bowling GreenToledo -14.5Bowling Green47.0Over
202111/10Bowling Green17Toledo49ToledoToledo -10.5Toledo50.0Over
202011/04Toledo38Bowling Green3ToledoToledo -24Toledo63.0Under
201910/12Bowling Green20Toledo7Bowling GreenToledo -26.5Bowling Green65.0Under
201810/06Toledo52Bowling Green36ToledoToledo -23Bowling Green71.0Over
201711/15Bowling Green37Toledo66ToledoToledo -17.5Toledo66.0Over
201610/15Toledo42Bowling Green35ToledoToledo -24Bowling Green71.0Over
201511/17Bowling Green28Toledo44ToledoBowling Green -9Toledo72.5Under
201411/19Toledo27Bowling Green20ToledoToledo -6.5Toledo0
201310/26Bowling Green25Toledo28ToledoBowling Green -3Toledo0
201209/15Toledo27Bowling Green15Toledo
201110/15Bowling Green21Toledo28Toledo
201011/17Toledo33Bowling Green14Toledo
200911/27Bowling Green38Toledo24Bowling Green
200811/28Toledo10Bowling Green38Bowling Green
200711/23Bowling Green37Toledo10Bowling Green
200611/21Toledo31Bowling Green21Toledo
200511/22Bowling Green41Toledo44Toledo
200411/23Toledo49Bowling Green41Toledo
200311/29Bowling Green31Toledo23Bowling Green
200111/23Bowling Green56Toledo21Bowling Green
200011/21Toledo51Bowling Green17Toledo
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Bowling Green867 Overs
Toledo1663 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams14 - 104 - 82 - 62 - 2
Road Teams10 - 148 - 42 - 26 - 2

(#29) Toledo Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 7.27 #29
Offense Rating: 21.47 #30
Defense Rating: 4.60 #24
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.0 #51
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #65
Defense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #35
Talent Rating: 536.00 #82
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 11.10 - 2.90

Toledo     Ratings Matchup     Bowling Green
Power #29
#85
Off #30
#91
Def #24
#36
Talent #82
#82
SP+ #51
#84
SP+ Off #65
#86
SP+ Def #35
#66

Rematch from Week 12
Toledo 9.5 (48.5)
Toledo won at Bowling Green this year (32-31)

Previous Matchups
Bowling Green beat Toledo last year (41-26)
Toledo beat Bowling Green in 2023 (32-31)
Bowling Green beat Toledo in 2022 (42-35)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Doyt Perry Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 45°

Team Information
Injuries: TOL | BGSU
Depth Chart: TOL | BGSU
Rosters: TOL | BGSU
(#85) Bowling Green Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -1.52 #85
Offense Rating: 13.75 #91
Defense Rating: 6.57 #36
Overall SP+ Rating: -5.9 #84
Offense SP+ Rating: 22.6 #86
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #66
Talent Rating: 536.00 #82
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 6.60 - 6.40





  
Toledo's OC Mike Hallett
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Bowling Green's OC Greg Nosal
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Toledo's DC Vince Kehres
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Bowling Green's DC Sammy Lawanson
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