Bowling Green at Western Michigan Game Matchup

Bowling Green Falcons at Western Michigan Broncos

Tuesday, November 21st 2023 (7:00 PM EST)
Bowling Green -2 (54.5) (-142) Open: -2.0 | 54.5
Bowling Green 34 - Western Michigan: 10 (Mid-American)

Falcons (7 - 6) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Scot Loeffler (14 - 31)
Avg Score : 27 - 22 (29 - 22 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.6 - 6.4 (#66)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: Bowling Green -3 (SP+ -10)
PPG only: BGSU: 29 - WMU: 25 (54)
BGSU Win prob: 55% | Cover: 50%
BGSU Travel: 120 miles

Broncos (4 - 8) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Lance Taylor (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 29 - 31 (40 - 27 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.7 - 7.3 (#103)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Off Players
Def Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Bowling Green's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
Sat 9/2	Bowling Green at Liberty	+8.5	48.5	L 24 - 34
Sat 9/9	Bowling Green vs Eastern Illinois	-17.0	48.0	W 38 - 15
Sat 9/16	Bowling Green at Michigan	+40.5	53.5	L 6 - 31
Sat 9/23	Bowling Green vs Ohio	+13.0	45.0	L 7 - 38
Sat 9/30	Bowling Green at Georgia Tech	+21.0	49.5	W 38 - 27
Sat 10/7	Bowling Green at Miami (OH)	+7.5	43.0	L 0 - 27
Sat 10/14	Bowling Green at Buffalo	+3.0	44.5	W 24 - 14
Sat 10/21	Bowling Green vs Akron	-7.0	37.0	W 41 - 14
	BYE WEEK
Wed 11/1	Bowling Green vs Ball State	-4.5	39.5	W 24 - 21
Wed 11/8	Bowling Green at Kent State	-10.5	41.5	W 49 - 19
Tue 11/14	Bowling Green vs Toledo	+9.5	48.5	L 31 - 32
Tue 11/21	Bowling Green at Western Michigan	-2.0	54.5	W 34 - 10
Tue 12/26	Bowling Green vs Minnesota	+2.5	45.0	L 24 - 30

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Western Michigan's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
Thu 8/31	Western Michigan vs St. Francis (PA)	-14.0	58.0	W 35 - 17
Sat 9/9	Western Michigan at Syracuse	+24.5	56.5	L 7 - 48
Sat 9/16	Western Michigan at Iowa	+28.5	43.5	L 10 - 41
Sat 9/23	Western Michigan at Toledo	+21.5	52.5	L 31 - 49
Sat 9/30	Western Michigan vs Ball State	-1.5	50.0	W 42 - 24
Sat 10/7	Western Michigan at Mississippi State	+21.5	54.5	L 28 - 41
Sat 10/14	Western Michigan vs Miami (OH)	+7.5	46.0	L 21 - 34
Sat 10/21	Western Michigan at Ohio	+16.5	52.0	L 17 - 20
Sat 10/28	Western Michigan at Eastern Michigan	-3.0	50.0	W 45 - 21
	BYE WEEK
Tue 11/7	Western Michigan vs Central Michigan	-3.5	57.5	W 38 - 28
Tue 11/14	Western Michigan at Northern Illinois	+4.5	55.5	L 0 - 24
Tue 11/21	Western Michigan vs Bowling Green	+2.0	54.5	L 10 - 34

BGSU's OC Greg Nosal vs WMU's DC Lou Esposito WMU's OC Billy Cosh vs BGSU's DC Sammy Lawanson

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BGSU	.15	39%	27.1	40%	3.02	99	39%	236	2.88	.18	42%	21.6	41%	43%	4.08	68.9	1.8	1.9
WMU	.06	34%	28.9	34%	2.87	136	35%	166	2.79	.19	44%	31.3	47%	42%	3.38	62.9	1.8	2.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BGSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
WMU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BGSU Offense	13	27.1	29.3	39%	2.88	1.8	17	334	99	236	3.1	44%	55%	40%	39%	24%	.15
WMU Defense	12	31.3	27.2	43.8%	3.38	2.3	-	-	-	-	-	52%	47%	47%	42%	21%	.19

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BGSU Defense	13	21.6	22	41.9%	4.08	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	49%	50%	41%	43%	18%	.18
WMU Offense	12	28.9	39.8	34.1%	2.79	1.8	17	302	136	166	3.5	52%	46%	34%	35%	23%	.06

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Bowling Green	13	29:00	17.4	34%	44%	7.7	68.9	1.8	1.9	6.2	2.8	4	30.1
Western Michigan	12	30:25	16.6	31%	48%	6.7	62.9	1.8	2.3	6.7	2.6	3	28.7

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BGSU Offense	13	44%	40%	31.9	98.7	3.1	8	.05	3.02	79%	15%	0.87
WMU Defense	12	52%	47%	-	-	-	-	.15	3.13	79%	14%	0.87

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BGSU Defense	13	49%	41%	-	-	-	-	.16	3.1	75%	12%	1.1
WMU Offense	12	52%	34%	38.8	136.3	3.5	14	.03	2.87	68%	15%	1.02

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BGSU Offense	13	55%	39%	20.5	33.8	235.5	7	11.5	25	11	.27	1.7	35%	27%	.26	9%	2
WMU Defense	12	47%	42%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.27	1.7	31%	31%	.26	7%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BGSU Defense	13	50%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.29	1.6	32%	34%	.35	6%	2.1
WMU Offense	12	46%	35%	13.9	27.9	165.7	5.9	11.9	10	13	.18	1.7	39%	23%	.25	9%	2.3

Bowling Green's Power Ratings
Bowling Green's Power Rating: -3.52 #85
Bowling Green's Offense Rating: 13.75 #91
Bowling Green's Defense Rating: 6.57 #36
2023 Talent Rating: 536.00 #82
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Bowling Green's 2023 Expected Record: 6.60 - 6.40
Bowling Green's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.9 #84
Bowling Green's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.6 #86
Bowling Green's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #66

Bowling Green's SP+ Ratings
Bowling Green's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.9 #84
Bowling Green's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.6 #86
Bowling Green's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #66

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 506.5
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Bowling Green: -3.52 Western Michigan: -6.28

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Bowling Green: -5.9 Western Michigan: -15.9

Western Michigan's Power Ratings
Western Michigan's Power Rating: -6.28 #110
Western Michigan's Offense Rating: 15.77 #73
Western Michigan's Defense Rating: 13.36 #105
2023 Talent Rating: 512.00 #86
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Western Michigan's 2023 Expected Record: 4.70 - 7.30

Western Michigan's SP+ Ratings
Western Michigan's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.9 #120
Western Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.1 #111
Western Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.2 #106

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 506.5
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Bowling Green Scoring
Offense: 27.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.3
Defense: 21.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 22

Bowling Green's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Record on Road: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Bowling Green 29
Western Michigan 25

Projected Total Points: 54

Western Michigan Scoring
Offense: 28.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 39.8
Defense: 31.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.2

Western Michigan's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/12	Bowling Green	31	Western Michigan	13	Bowling Green	Bowling Green -9.5	Bowling Green	57.5	Under
2023	11/21	Western Michigan	10	Bowling Green	34	Bowling Green	Bowling Green -2	Bowling Green	54.5	Under
2022	11/02	Bowling Green	13	Western Michigan	9	Bowling Green	Bowling Green -5	Western Michigan	48.0	Under
2019	10/26	Western Michigan	49	Bowling Green	10	Western Michigan	Western Michigan -26.5	Western Michigan	65.5	Under
2018	10/13	Bowling Green	35	Western Michigan	42	Western Michigan	Western Michigan -14.5	Bowling Green	68.5	Over
2015	11/11	Western Michigan	27	Bowling Green	41	Bowling Green	Bowling Green -4.5	Bowling Green	72.0	Under
2014	10/18	Bowling Green	14	Western Michigan	26	Western Michigan	Bowling Green -2.5	Western Michigan	0
2011	10/08	Western Michigan	45	Bowling Green	21	Western Michigan
2010	11/26	Bowling Green	7	Western Michigan	41	Western Michigan
2005	10/22	Bowling Green	14	Western Michigan	45	Western Michigan
2004	11/06	Bowling Green	52	Western Michigan	0	Bowling Green
2003	10/11	Western Michigan	21	Bowling Green	32	Bowling Green
2002	10/19	Bowling Green	48	Western Michigan	45	Bowling Green
2001	10/13	Western Michigan	37	Bowling Green	28	Western Michigan

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Western Michigan	7	3	1 Overs
Bowling Green	7	4	5 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	7 - 7	3 - 4	2 - 2	1 - 2
Road Teams	7 - 7	4 - 3	2 - 1	2 - 2

(#85) Bowling Green Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -3.52 #85
Offense Rating: 13.75 #91
Defense Rating: 6.57 #36
Overall SP+ Rating: -5.9 #84
Offense SP+ Rating: 22.6 #86
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #66
Talent Rating: 536.00 #82
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 6.60 - 6.40

Bowling Green Ratings Matchup Western Michigan

Power #85

#110

Off #91

#73

Def #36

#105

Talent #82

#86

SP+ #84

#120

SP+ Off #86

#111

SP+ Def #66

#106

Rematch from Week 13
Bowling Green 2.0 (54.5)
Bowling Green won at Western Michigan this year (34-10)

Previous Matchups
Bowling Green beat Western Michigan last year (31-13)
Bowling Green beat Western Michigan in 2023 (34-10)
Bowling Green beat Western Michigan in 2022 (13-9)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Waldo Stadium
Conditions: Fog
Temp: 41° - Wind: 8 mph

Team Information
Injuries: BGSU | WMU
Depth Chart: BGSU | WMU
Rosters: BGSU | WMU

(#110) Western Michigan Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -6.28 #110
Offense Rating: 15.77 #73
Defense Rating: 13.36 #105
Overall SP+ Rating: -15.9 #120
Offense SP+ Rating: 19.1 #111
Defense SP+ Rating: 33.2 #106
Talent Rating: 512.00 #86
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 4.70 - 7.30

Bowling Green's OC Greg Nosal

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Western Michigan's OC Billy Cosh

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Bowling Green's DC Sammy Lawanson

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Western Michigan's DC Lou Esposito

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD