Toledo Rockets at Central Michigan Chippewas
Friday, November 24th 2023 (12:00 PM EST)
Toledo -12.5 (54.5) (-340) Open: -12.5
Toledo 32 - Central Michigan: 17 (Mid-American)
Rockets (11 - 3) (7 - 7 - 0)
Coach Jason Candle (56 - 33)
Avg Score : 28 - 23 (22 - 21 on Road)
Record Prediction: 11.1 - 2.9 (#4)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Coach Jason Candle (56 - 33)
Avg Score : 28 - 23 (22 - 21 on Road)
Record Prediction: 11.1 - 2.9 (#4)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
TOL 2nd straight Road Game
Our Line: Toledo -17 (SP+ -23)
PPG only: TOL: 29 - CMU: 23 (52)
TOL Win prob: 81% | Cover: 53%
TOL Travel: 145 miles
Our Line: Toledo -17 (SP+ -23)
PPG only: TOL: 29 - CMU: 23 (52)
TOL Win prob: 81% | Cover: 53%
TOL Travel: 145 miles
Chippewas (5 - 7) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach Jim McElwain (25 - 23)
Avg Score : 23 - 30 (30 - 22 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3.9 - 8.1 (#118)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Coach Jim McElwain (25 - 23)
Avg Score : 23 - 30 (30 - 22 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3.9 - 8.1 (#118)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
| Toledo's 2023 Schedule | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | |
| Sat 9/2 | Toledo at Illinois | +7.0 | 45.5 | L 28 - 30 | |
| Sat 9/9 | Toledo vs Texas Southern | -40.5 | 61.0 | W 71 - 3 | |
| Sat 9/16 | Toledo vs San José State | -9.0 | 56.5 | W 21 - 17 | |
| Sat 9/23 | Toledo vs Western Michigan | -21.5 | 52.5 | W 49 - 31 | |
| Sat 9/30 | Toledo vs Northern Illinois | -13.0 | 48.0 | W 35 - 33 | |
| Sat 10/7 | Toledo at Massachusetts | -19.0 | 55.5 | W 41 - 24 | |
| Sat 10/14 | Toledo at Ball State | -17.5 | 48.5 | W 13 - 6 | |
| Sat 10/21 | Toledo at Miami (OH) | -2.0 | 46.5 | W 21 - 17 | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||
| Tue 10/31 | Toledo vs Buffalo | -14.0 | 47.0 | W 31 - 13 | |
| Wed 11/8 | Toledo vs Eastern Michigan | -19.5 | 45.5 | W 49 - 23 | |
| Tue 11/14 | Toledo at Bowling Green | -9.5 | 48.5 | W 32 - 31 | |
| Fri 11/24 | Toledo at Central Michigan | -12.5 | 54.5 | W 32 - 17 | |
| Sat 12/2 | Toledo vs Miami (OH) | -8.5 | 46.0 | L 14 - 23 | |
| Sat 12/30 | Toledo vs Wyoming | +4.5 | 43.5 | L 15 - 16 | |
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
| Central Michigan's 2023 Schedule | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | |
| Fri 9/1 | Central Michigan at Michigan State | +14.0 | 45.0 | L 7 - 31 | |
| Sat 9/9 | Central Michigan vs New Hampshire | -7.0 | 48.5 | W 45 - 42 | |
| Sat 9/16 | Central Michigan at Notre Dame | +34.5 | 51.5 | L 17 - 41 | |
| Sat 9/23 | Central Michigan at South Alabama | +16.5 | 46.5 | W 34 - 30 | |
| Sat 9/30 | Central Michigan vs Eastern Michigan | -9.5 | 45.0 | W 26 - 23 | |
| Sat 10/7 | Central Michigan at Buffalo | -2.5 | 51.5 | L 13 - 37 | |
| Sat 10/14 | Central Michigan vs Akron | -10.5 | 44.0 | W 17 - 10 | |
| Sat 10/21 | Central Michigan at Ball State | -5.0 | 42.0 | L 17 - 24 | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||
| Tue 10/31 | Central Michigan vs Northern Illinois | +3.0 | 48.0 | W 37 - 31 | |
| Tue 11/7 | Central Michigan at Western Michigan | +3.5 | 57.5 | L 28 - 38 | |
| Wed 11/15 | Central Michigan at Ohio | +11.5 | 48.5 | L 20 - 34 | |
| Fri 11/24 | Central Michigan vs Toledo | +12.5 | 54.5 | L 17 - 32 | |
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
TOL's OC Mike Hallett vs CMU's DC Robb Akey CMU's OC Paul Petrino vs TOL's DC Vince Kehres
Important Stats (2022)
Overall Stats 2022
Additional Stats 2022
Important Stats (2022)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOL | .19 | 43% | 28.3 | 44% | 3 | 178 | 43% | 225 | 4.23 | .07 | 34% | 23.2 | 36% | 34% | 3.97 | 55.4 | 1.9 | 1.6 |
| CMU | .1 | 38% | 22.6 | 40% | 3.03 | 159 | 38% | 208 | 3.29 | .17 | 41% | 29.7 | 41% | 42% | 3.58 | 62.8 | 2.3 | 1 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOL | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| CMU | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Overall Stats 2022
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOL Offense | 14 | 28.3 | 22.2 | 42.8% | 4.23 | 1.9 | 22 | 403 | 178 | 225 | 4.3 | 55% | 44% | 44% | 43% | 16% | .19 |
| CMU Defense | 12 | 29.7 | 21.5 | 41.2% | 3.58 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | 54% | 46% | 41% | 42% | 22% | .17 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOL Defense | 14 | 23.2 | 21.3 | 34.2% | 3.97 | 1.6 | - | - | - | - | - | 51% | 48% | 36% | 34% | 18% | .07 |
| CMU Offense | 12 | 22.6 | 29.8 | 38.5% | 3.29 | 2.3 | 20 | 367 | 159 | 208 | 4.3 | 47% | 51% | 40% | 38% | 23% | .1 |
Additional Stats 2022
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toledo | 14 | 29:31 | 22 | 41% | 59% | 6.7 | 55.4 | 1.9 | 1.6 | 5.5 | 2.2 | 2 | 29.6 |
| Central Michigan | 12 | 28:46 | 19.9 | 35% | 55% | 6.9 | 62.8 | 2.3 | 1 | 8.3 | 2.5 | 0 | 28.7 |
Run Game Stats (2023)
Pass Game Stats (2023)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOL Offense | 14 | 55% | 44% | 41.4 | 177.8 | 4.3 | 23 | .14 | 3 | 76% | 10% | 0.92 |
| CMU Defense | 12 | 54% | 41% | - | - | - | - | .11 | 2.96 | 74% | 15% | 1.06 |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOL Defense | 14 | 51% | 36% | - | - | - | - | .1 | 3.04 | 83% | 10% | 1.08 |
| CMU Offense | 12 | 47% | 40% | 37 | 159.2 | 4.3 | 22 | .05 | 3.03 | 62% | 13% | 1.09 |
Pass Game Stats (2023)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOL Offense | 14 | 44% | 43% | 17.6 | 31.4 | 224.9 | 7.2 | 12.8 | 31 | 15 | .35 | 1.7 | 32% | 30% | .32 | 5% | 2.2 |
| CMU Defense | 12 | 46% | 42% | - | - | - | - | - | - | 4 | .28 | 1.6 | 34% | 30% | .27 | 8% | 2.1 |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOL Defense | 14 | 48% | 34% | - | - | - | - | - | - | 12 | .08 | 1.6 | 37% | 23% | .09 | 8% | 2 |
| CMU Offense | 12 | 51% | 38% | 18.3 | 32.4 | 208.1 | 6.4 | 11.4 | 16 | 10 | .19 | 1.6 | 36% | 33% | .33 | 10% | 2.1 |
Toledo's Power Ratings
Toledo's Power Rating: 7.27 #29
Toledo's Offense Rating: 21.47 #30
Toledo's Defense Rating: 4.60 #24
2023 Talent Rating: 536.00 #82
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Toledo's 2023 Expected Record: 11.10 - 2.90
Toledo's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.0 #51
Toledo's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #65
Toledo's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #35
Toledo's SP+ Ratings
Toledo's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.0 #51
Toledo's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #65
Toledo's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #35
Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 506.5
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78
Toledo's Power Rating: 7.27 #29
Toledo's Offense Rating: 21.47 #30
Toledo's Defense Rating: 4.60 #24
2023 Talent Rating: 536.00 #82
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Toledo's 2023 Expected Record: 11.10 - 2.90
Toledo's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.0 #51
Toledo's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #65
Toledo's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #35
Toledo's SP+ Ratings
Toledo's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.0 #51
Toledo's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #65
Toledo's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #35
Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 506.5
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78
Power Ratings Matchup
Toledo: 7.27 Central Michigan: -9.77
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Toledo: 4.0 Central Michigan: -19.2
Toledo: 7.27 Central Michigan: -9.77
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Toledo: 4.0 Central Michigan: -19.2
Central Michigan's Power Ratings
Central Michigan's Power Rating: -9.77 #124
Central Michigan's Offense Rating: 15.74 #74
Central Michigan's Defense Rating: 17.30 #125
2023 Talent Rating: 612.00 #68
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Central Michigan's 2023 Expected Record: 3.90 - 8.10
Central Michigan's SP+ Ratings
Central Michigan's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -19.2 #126
Central Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.7 #119
Central Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9 #109
Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 506.5
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78
Central Michigan's Power Rating: -9.77 #124
Central Michigan's Offense Rating: 15.74 #74
Central Michigan's Defense Rating: 17.30 #125
2023 Talent Rating: 612.00 #68
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Central Michigan's 2023 Expected Record: 3.90 - 8.10
Central Michigan's SP+ Ratings
Central Michigan's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -19.2 #126
Central Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.7 #119
Central Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9 #109
Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 506.5
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78
Toledo Scoring
Offense: 28.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.2
Defense: 23.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.3
Toledo's 2023 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Offense: 28.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.2
Defense: 23.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.3
Toledo's 2023 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Toledo 29
Central Michigan 23
Projected Total Points: 52
Toledo 29
Central Michigan 23
Projected Total Points: 52
Central Michigan Scoring
Offense: 22.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.8
Defense: 29.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.5
Central Michigan's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Offense: 22.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.8
Defense: 29.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.5
Central Michigan's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 11/12 | Toledo | 37 | Central Michigan | 10 | Toledo | Toledo -15 | Toledo | 52.5 | Under |
| 2023 | 11/24 | Central Michigan | 17 | Toledo | 32 | Toledo | Toledo -12.5 | Toledo | 54.5 | Under |
| 2022 | 10/01 | Toledo | 38 | Central Michigan | 17 | Toledo | Toledo -6.5 | Toledo | 56.0 | Under |
| 2021 | 10/16 | Central Michigan | 26 | Toledo | 23 | Central Michigan | Toledo -5 | Central Michigan | 53.0 | Under |
| 2020 | 12/12 | Toledo | 24 | Central Michigan | 23 | Toledo | Toledo -10 | Central Michigan | 54.5 | Under |
| 2019 | 11/29 | Central Michigan | 49 | Toledo | 7 | Central Michigan | Central Michigan -14.5 | Central Michigan | 64.0 | Under |
| 2018 | 11/23 | Toledo | 51 | Central Michigan | 13 | Toledo | Toledo -19 | Toledo | 58.0 | Over |
| 2017 | 10/14 | Central Michigan | 10 | Toledo | 30 | Toledo | Toledo -9.5 | Toledo | 55.0 | Under |
| 2016 | 10/22 | Toledo | 31 | Central Michigan | 17 | Toledo | Toledo -10 | Toledo | 61.5 | Under |
| 2015 | 11/10 | Central Michigan | 23 | Toledo | 28 | Toledo | Toledo -6 | Central Michigan | 54.5 | Under |
| 2014 | 09/27 | Toledo | 42 | Central Michigan | 28 | Toledo | Toledo -15 | Central Michigan | 0 | |
| 2013 | 09/21 | Central Michigan | 17 | Toledo | 38 | Toledo | Toledo -14 | Toledo | 0 | |
| 2012 | 10/06 | Toledo | 50 | Central Michigan | 35 | Toledo | ||||
| 2011 | 11/18 | Central Michigan | 17 | Toledo | 44 | Toledo | ||||
| 2010 | 11/26 | Toledo | 42 | Central Michigan | 31 | Toledo | ||||
| 2009 | 11/11 | Central Michigan | 56 | Toledo | 28 | Central Michigan | ||||
| 2008 | 10/25 | Toledo | 23 | Central Michigan | 24 | Central Michigan | ||||
| 2007 | 09/08 | Central Michigan | 52 | Toledo | 31 | Central Michigan | ||||
| 2006 | 10/07 | Toledo | 20 | Central Michigan | 42 | Central Michigan | ||||
| 2005 | 10/29 | Central Michigan | 21 | Toledo | 17 | Central Michigan | ||||
| 2004 | 10/23 | Toledo | 27 | Central Michigan | 22 | Toledo | ||||
| 2003 | 10/18 | Central Michigan | 13 | Toledo | 31 | Toledo | ||||
| 2002 | 11/09 | Toledo | 44 | Central Michigan | 17 | Toledo | ||||
| 2001 | 09/22 | Central Michigan | 28 | Toledo | 52 | Toledo | ||||
| 2000 | 09/29 | Toledo | 41 | Central Michigan | 0 | Toledo |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Central Michigan | 7 | 5 | 1 Overs |
| Toledo | 18 | 7 | 9 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 16 - 9 | 7 - 5 | 5 - 2 | 2 - 3 |
| Road Teams | 9 - 16 | 5 - 7 | 3 - 2 | 2 - 5 |
(#29) Toledo Info
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 7.27 #29
Offense Rating: 21.47 #30
Defense Rating: 4.60 #24
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.0 #51
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #65
Defense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #35
Talent Rating: 536.00 #82
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 11.10 - 2.90
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 7.27 #29
Offense Rating: 21.47 #30
Defense Rating: 4.60 #24
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.0 #51
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #65
Defense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #35
Talent Rating: 536.00 #82
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 11.10 - 2.90
Power #29
#124Off #30
#74Def #24
#125Talent #82
#68SP+ #51
#126SP+ Off #65
#119SP+ Def #35
#109Rematch from Week 13
Toledo 12.5 (54.5)
Toledo won at Central Michigan this year (32-17)
Previous Matchups
Toledo beat Central Michigan last year (37-10)
Toledo beat Central Michigan in 2023 (32-17)
Toledo beat Central Michigan in 2022 (38-17)
Weather Forecast
Playing in Kelly/Shorts Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 31° - Wind: 9 mph
Team Information
Injuries: TOL | CMU
Depth Chart: TOL | CMU
Rosters: TOL | CMU
(#124) Central Michigan Info
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -9.77 #124
Offense Rating: 15.74 #74
Defense Rating: 17.30 #125
Overall SP+ Rating: -19.2 #126
Offense SP+ Rating: 16.7 #119
Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9 #109
Talent Rating: 612.00 #68
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 3.90 - 8.10
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -9.77 #124
Offense Rating: 15.74 #74
Defense Rating: 17.30 #125
Overall SP+ Rating: -19.2 #126
Offense SP+ Rating: 16.7 #119
Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9 #109
Talent Rating: 612.00 #68
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 3.90 - 8.10
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|