Boise State at San Diego State Game Matchup

Boise State Broncos at San Diego State Aztecs

Friday, September 22nd 2023 (10:30 PM EDT)
Boise State -6.5 (46.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Boise State 34 - San Diego State: 31 (Mountain West)

Broncos (8 - 6) (7 - 5 - 2)
Coach Spencer Danielson (Int) (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 37 - 23 (34 - 25 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.1 - 4.9 (#25)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: Boise State -10 (SP+ -18)
PPG only: BSU: 34 - SDSU: 22 (56)
BSU Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
BSU Travel: 749 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Aztecs (4 - 8) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Brady Hoke (25 - 14)
Avg Score : 21 - 30 (22 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#99)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Off Players
Def Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Boise State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
Sat 9/2	Boise State at Washington	+14.0	59.0	L 19 - 56
Sat 9/9	Boise State vs UCF	+3.0	58.5	L 16 - 18
Sat 9/16	Boise State vs North Dakota	-15.0	58.0	W 42 - 18
Fri 9/22	Boise State at San Diego State	-6.5	46.0	W 34 - 31
Sat 9/30	Boise State at Memphis	+3.0	58.0	L 32 - 35
Sat 10/7	Boise State vs San José State	-8.0	57.5	W 35 - 27
Sat 10/14	Boise State at Colorado State	-7.5	60.0	L 30 - 31
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	Boise State vs Wyoming	-4.5	48.5	W 32 - 7
Sat 11/4	Boise State at Fresno State	+2.5	53.5	L 30 - 37
Sat 11/11	Boise State vs New Mexico	-27.5	58.5	W 42 - 14
Sat 11/18	Boise State at Utah State	-5.5	62.5	W 45 - 10
Fri 11/24	Boise State vs Air Force	-6.5	44.5	W 27 - 19
Sat 12/2	Boise State at UNLV	-2.5	58.0	W 44 - 20
Sat 12/16	Boise State vs UCLA	+6.5	46.0	L 22 - 35

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

San Diego State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
Sat 8/26	San Diego State vs Ohio	-2.0	48.5	W 20 - 13
Sat 9/2	San Diego State vs Idaho State	-34.5	51.0	W 36 - 28
Sat 9/9	San Diego State vs UCLA	+13.0	49.0	L 10 - 35
Sat 9/16	San Diego State at Oregon State	+24.5	48.5	L 9 - 26
Fri 9/22	San Diego State vs Boise State	+6.5	46.0	L 31 - 34
Sat 9/30	San Diego State at Air Force	+10.5	43.5	L 10 - 49
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	San Diego State at Hawai'i	-6.0	51.5	W 41 - 34
Sat 10/21	San Diego State vs Nevada	-11.0	48.5	L 0 - 6
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4	San Diego State vs Utah State	+2.0	56.5	L 24 - 32
Sat 11/11	San Diego State at Colorado State	+3.5	46.5	L 19 - 22
Sat 11/18	San Diego State at San José State	+16.5	48.5	L 13 - 24
Sat 11/25	San Diego State vs Fresno State	+5.5	47.0	W 33 - 18

BSU's OC Bush Hamdan vs SDSU's DC Kurt Mattix SDSU's OC Ryan Lindley vs BSU's DC Spencer Danielson

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BSU	.23	43%	37.3	46%	3.34	197	39%	189	4.07	.09	35%	22.6	39%	30%	3.38	47.4	1.2	1.5
SDSU	.14	39%	21.3	38%	2.81	143	41%	181	2.92	.06	38%	29.6	36%	40%	3.15	59.4	1.8	1.9

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
SDSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BSU Offense	14	37.3	34.3	42.9%	4.07	1.2	20	386	197	189	5	56%	44%	46%	39%	16%	.23
SDSU Defense	13	29.6	23.3	37.5%	3.15	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	44%	55%	36%	40%	19%	.06

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BSU Defense	14	22.6	24.5	34.6%	3.38	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	56%	43%	39%	30%	18%	.09
SDSU Offense	13	21.3	22.3	38.8%	2.92	1.8	16	324	143	181	4	53%	46%	38%	41%	20%	.14

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Boise State	14	30:50	19.5	40%	59%	5.6	47.4	1.2	1.5	5.1	2.1	2	31.2
San Diego State	13	30:56	15.8	29%	75%	7.4	59.4	1.8	1.9	6.5	2.8	4	30.3

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BSU Offense	14	56%	46%	39.2	196.5	5	27	.2	3.34	76%	9%	0.97
SDSU Defense	13	44%	36%	-	-	-	-	-.02	2.84	62%	13%	0.9

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BSU Defense	14	56%	39%	-	-	-	-	.11	2.93	76%	12%	0.94
SDSU Offense	13	53%	38%	36.2	143.2	4	11	.08	2.81	58%	14%	1.01

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BSU Offense	14	44%	39%	16.4	27.5	189.2	6.9	11.6	20	9	.32	1.7	31%	32%	.45	7%	2.2
SDSU Defense	13	55%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	13	.19	1.5	34%	28%	.18	6%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BSU Defense	14	43%	30%	-	-	-	-	-	-	15	.12	1.9	35%	19%	.09	6%	2.3
SDSU Offense	13	46%	41%	14.2	26.3	180.6	6.9	12.7	15	14	.31	1.6	34%	31%	.37	6%	2.2

Boise State's Power Ratings
Boise State's Power Rating: 4.57 #37
Boise State's Offense Rating: 21.76 #28
Boise State's Defense Rating: 8.84 #58
2023 Talent Rating: 574.00 #77
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #69
Boise State's 2023 Expected Record: 9.10 - 4.90
Boise State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.4 #41
Boise State's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.2 #29
Boise State's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.1 #70

Boise State's SP+ Ratings
Boise State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.4 #41
Boise State's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.2 #29
Boise State's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.1 #70

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 492.67
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Boise State: 4.57 San Diego State: -5.49

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Boise State: 7.4 San Diego State: -10.5

San Diego State's Power Ratings
San Diego State's Power Rating: -5.49 #104
San Diego State's Offense Rating: 12.44 #106
San Diego State's Defense Rating: 10.98 #86
2023 Talent Rating: 600.00 #73
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #69
San Diego State's 2023 Expected Record: 5.00 - 7.00

San Diego State's SP+ Ratings
San Diego State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.5 #107
San Diego State's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.2 #110
San Diego State's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.1 #91

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 492.67
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Boise State Scoring
Offense: 37.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 34.3
Defense: 22.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 24.5

Boise State's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 2
Record on Road: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 2 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Boise State 34
San Diego State 22

Projected Total Points: 56

San Diego State Scoring
Offense: 21.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 22.3
Defense: 29.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 23.3

San Diego State's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/01	Boise State	56	San Diego State	24	Boise State	Boise State -24.5	Boise State	55.5	Over
2023	09/22	San Diego State	31	Boise State	34	Boise State	Boise State -6.5	San Diego State	46.0	Over
2022	09/30	Boise State	35	San Diego State	13	Boise State	Boise State -6	Boise State	38.0	Over
2021	11/26	San Diego State	27	Boise State	16	San Diego State	Boise State -3	San Diego State	44.0	Under
2018	10/06	Boise State	13	San Diego State	19	San Diego State	Boise State -13.5	San Diego State	50.0	Under
2017	10/14	San Diego State	14	Boise State	31	Boise State	San Diego State -5.5	Boise State	47.0	Under
2014	11/15	Boise State	38	San Diego State	29	Boise State	Boise State -15	San Diego State	0
2013	11/23	San Diego State	34	Boise State	31	San Diego State	Boise State -6	San Diego State	0
2012	11/03	Boise State	19	San Diego State	21	San Diego State
2011	11/19	San Diego State	35	Boise State	52	Boise State

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
San Diego State	4	5	3 Overs
Boise State	6	3	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	5 - 5	5 - 3	2 - 3	3 - 0
Road Teams	5 - 5	3 - 5	0 - 3	3 - 2

(#37) Boise State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 4.57 #37
Offense Rating: 21.76 #28
Defense Rating: 8.84 #58
Overall SP+ Rating: 7.4 #41
Offense SP+ Rating: 33.2 #29
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.1 #70
Talent Rating: 574.00 #77
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #69
Expected Record: 9.10 - 4.90

Boise State Ratings Matchup San Diego State

Power #37

#104

Off #28

#106

Def #58

#86

Talent #77

#73

SP+ #41

#107

SP+ Off #29

#110

SP+ Def #70

#91

Rematch from Week 4
Boise State 6.5 (46.0)
Boise State won at San Diego State this year (34-31)

Previous Matchups
Boise State beat San Diego State last year (56-24)
Boise State beat San Diego State in 2023 (34-31)
Boise State beat San Diego State in 2022 (35-13)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Snapdragon Stadium
Conditions: Overcast
Temp: 66° - Wind: 9 mph

Team Information
Injuries: BSU | SDSU
Depth Chart: BSU | SDSU
Rosters: BSU | SDSU

(#104) San Diego State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -5.49 #104
Offense Rating: 12.44 #106
Defense Rating: 10.98 #86
Overall SP+ Rating: -10.5 #107
Offense SP+ Rating: 19.2 #110
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.1 #91
Talent Rating: 600.00 #73
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #69
Expected Record: 5.00 - 7.00

Boise State's OC Bush Hamdan

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

San Diego State's OC Ryan Lindley

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Boise State's DC Spencer Danielson

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

San Diego State's DC Kurt Mattix

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD