San Diego State Aztecs at Air Force Falcons
Saturday, September 30th 2023 (8:00 PM EDT)
Air Force -10.5 (43.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Air Force 49 - San Diego State: 10 (Mountain West)
Aztecs (4 - 8) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Brady Hoke (25 - 14)
Avg Score : 21 - 30 (20 - 36 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#99)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Coach Brady Hoke (25 - 14)
Avg Score : 21 - 30 (20 - 36 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#99)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: Air Force -8.5 (SP+ -16)
PPG only: SDSU: 22 - AFA: 24 (46)
AFA Win prob: 76% | Cover: 44%
SDSU Travel: 809 miles, 1 hrs behind
PPG only: SDSU: 22 - AFA: 24 (46)
AFA Win prob: 76% | Cover: 44%
SDSU Travel: 809 miles, 1 hrs behind
Falcons (9 - 4) (5 - 7 - 1)
Coach Troy Calhoun (124 - 78)
Avg Score : 19 - 23 (19 - 18 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.3 - 4.7 (#41)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Coach Troy Calhoun (124 - 78)
Avg Score : 19 - 23 (19 - 18 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.3 - 4.7 (#41)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
| San Diego State's 2023 Schedule | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | |
| Sat 8/26 | San Diego State vs Ohio | -2.0 | 48.5 | W 20 - 13 | |
| Sat 9/2 | San Diego State vs Idaho State | -34.5 | 51.0 | W 36 - 28 | |
| Sat 9/9 | San Diego State vs UCLA | +13.0 | 49.0 | L 10 - 35 | |
| Sat 9/16 | San Diego State at Oregon State | +24.5 | 48.5 | L 9 - 26 | |
| Fri 9/22 | San Diego State vs Boise State | +6.5 | 46.0 | L 31 - 34 | |
| Sat 9/30 | San Diego State at Air Force | +10.5 | 43.5 | L 10 - 49 | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||
| Sat 10/14 | San Diego State at Hawai'i | -6.0 | 51.5 | W 41 - 34 | |
| Sat 10/21 | San Diego State vs Nevada | -11.0 | 48.5 | L 0 - 6 | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||
| Sat 11/4 | San Diego State vs Utah State | +2.0 | 56.5 | L 24 - 32 | |
| Sat 11/11 | San Diego State at Colorado State | +3.5 | 46.5 | L 19 - 22 | |
| Sat 11/18 | San Diego State at San José State | +16.5 | 48.5 | L 13 - 24 | |
| Sat 11/25 | San Diego State vs Fresno State | +5.5 | 47.0 | W 33 - 18 | |
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
| Air Force's 2023 Schedule | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | |
| Sat 9/2 | Air Force vs Robert Morris | -47.0 | 51.0 | W 42 - 7 | |
| Sat 9/9 | Air Force vs Sam Houston | -13.5 | 36.5 | W 13 - 3 | |
| Fri 9/15 | Air Force vs Utah State | -9.0 | 45.5 | W 39 - 21 | |
| Fri 9/22 | Air Force at San José State | -6.0 | 45.5 | W 45 - 20 | |
| Sat 9/30 | Air Force vs San Diego State | -10.5 | 43.5 | W 49 - 10 | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||
| Sat 10/14 | Air Force vs Wyoming | -12.5 | 42.0 | W 34 - 27 | |
| Sat 10/21 | Air Force at Navy | -11.0 | 34.0 | W 17 - 6 | |
| Sat 10/28 | Air Force at Colorado State | -14.5 | 47.0 | W 30 - 13 | |
| Sat 11/4 | Air Force vs Army | -18.5 | 32.0 | L 3 - 23 | |
| Sat 11/11 | Air Force at Hawai'i | -22.5 | 47.5 | L 13 - 27 | |
| Sat 11/18 | Air Force vs UNLV | -2.5 | 46.5 | L 27 - 31 | |
| Fri 11/24 | Air Force at Boise State | +6.5 | 44.5 | L 19 - 27 | |
| Sat 12/23 | Air Force vs James Madison | -2.5 | 44.5 | W 31 - 21 | |
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
SDSU's OC Ryan Lindley vs AFA's DC Brian Knorr AFA's OC Mike Thiessen vs SDSU's DC Kurt Mattix
Important Stats (2022)
Overall Stats 2022
Additional Stats 2022
Important Stats (2022)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SDSU | .14 | 39% | 21.3 | 38% | 2.81 | 143 | 41% | 181 | 2.92 | .06 | 38% | 29.6 | 36% | 40% | 3.15 | 59.4 | 1.8 | 1.9 |
| AFA | .3 | 49% | 18.9 | 50% | 3.55 | 327 | 39% | 70 | 4.25 | .11 | 39% | 23.3 | 38% | 42% | 3.77 | 29.7 | 1 | 1.3 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SDSU | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| AFA | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Overall Stats 2022
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SDSU Offense | 13 | 21.3 | 20.3 | 38.8% | 2.92 | 1.8 | 16 | 324 | 143 | 181 | 4 | 53% | 46% | 38% | 41% | 20% | .14 |
| AFA Defense | 13 | 23.3 | 17.7 | 39.4% | 3.77 | 1.3 | - | - | - | - | - | 54% | 45% | 38% | 42% | 20% | .11 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SDSU Defense | 13 | 29.6 | 35.8 | 37.5% | 3.15 | 1.9 | - | - | - | - | - | 44% | 55% | 36% | 40% | 19% | .06 |
| AFA Offense | 13 | 18.9 | 18.7 | 48.5% | 4.25 | 1 | 20 | 398 | 327 | 70 | 5.3 | 87% | 13% | 50% | 39% | 10% | .3 |
Additional Stats 2022
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Diego State | 13 | 30:56 | 15.8 | 29% | 75% | 7.4 | 59.4 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 6.5 | 2.8 | 4 | 30.3 |
| Air Force | 13 | 36:21 | 20.5 | 45% | 72% | 3.9 | 29.7 | 1 | 1.3 | 5.1 | 1.8 | 0 | 29.6 |
Run Game Stats (2023)
Pass Game Stats (2023)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SDSU Offense | 13 | 53% | 38% | 36.2 | 143.2 | 4 | 11 | .08 | 2.81 | 58% | 14% | 1.01 |
| AFA Defense | 13 | 54% | 38% | - | - | - | - | .1 | 3.06 | 62% | 13% | 1.01 |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SDSU Defense | 13 | 44% | 36% | - | - | - | - | -.02 | 2.84 | 62% | 13% | 0.9 |
| AFA Offense | 13 | 87% | 50% | 61.7 | 327.2 | 5.3 | 37 | .28 | 3.55 | 84% | 8% | 0.96 |
Pass Game Stats (2023)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SDSU Offense | 13 | 46% | 41% | 14.2 | 26.3 | 180.6 | 6.9 | 12.7 | 15 | 14 | .31 | 1.6 | 34% | 31% | .37 | 6% | 2.2 |
| AFA Defense | 13 | 45% | 42% | - | - | - | - | - | - | 9 | .25 | 1.3 | 33% | 24% | .19 | 7% | 2 |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SDSU Defense | 13 | 55% | 40% | - | - | - | - | - | - | 13 | .19 | 1.5 | 34% | 28% | .18 | 6% | 1.9 |
| AFA Offense | 13 | 13% | 39% | 3.2 | 6.7 | 70.5 | 10.5 | 22.3 | 8 | 2 | .53 | 2.6 | 26% | 33% | .36 | 2% | 1.9 |
San Diego State's Power Ratings
San Diego State's Power Rating: -7.49 #104
San Diego State's Offense Rating: 12.44 #106
San Diego State's Defense Rating: 10.98 #86
2023 Talent Rating: 600.00 #73
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #69
San Diego State's 2023 Expected Record: 5.00 - 7.00
San Diego State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.5 #107
San Diego State's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.2 #110
San Diego State's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.1 #91
San Diego State's SP+ Ratings
San Diego State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.5 #107
San Diego State's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.2 #110
San Diego State's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.1 #91
Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 492.67
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78
San Diego State's Power Rating: -7.49 #104
San Diego State's Offense Rating: 12.44 #106
San Diego State's Defense Rating: 10.98 #86
2023 Talent Rating: 600.00 #73
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #69
San Diego State's 2023 Expected Record: 5.00 - 7.00
San Diego State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.5 #107
San Diego State's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.2 #110
San Diego State's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.1 #91
San Diego State's SP+ Ratings
San Diego State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.5 #107
San Diego State's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.2 #110
San Diego State's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.1 #91
Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 492.67
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78
Power Ratings Matchup
San Diego State: -7.49 Air Force: 1.22
SP+ Ratings Matchup
San Diego State: -10.5 Air Force: 5.2
San Diego State: -7.49 Air Force: 1.22
SP+ Ratings Matchup
San Diego State: -10.5 Air Force: 5.2
Air Force's Power Ratings
Air Force's Power Rating: 1.22 #69
Air Force's Offense Rating: 20.41 #34
Air Force's Defense Rating: 6.38 #34
2023 Talent Rating: 712.00 #43
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Air Force's 2023 Expected Record: 8.30 - 4.70
Air Force's SP+ Ratings
Air Force's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.2 #45
Air Force's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.7 #76
Air Force's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.6 #29
Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 492.67
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78
Air Force's Power Rating: 1.22 #69
Air Force's Offense Rating: 20.41 #34
Air Force's Defense Rating: 6.38 #34
2023 Talent Rating: 712.00 #43
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Air Force's 2023 Expected Record: 8.30 - 4.70
Air Force's SP+ Ratings
Air Force's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.2 #45
Air Force's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.7 #76
Air Force's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.6 #29
Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 492.67
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78
San Diego State Scoring
Offense: 21.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 20.3
Defense: 29.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.8
San Diego State's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Offense: 21.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 20.3
Defense: 29.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.8
San Diego State's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Air Force 24
San Diego State 22
Projected Total Points: 46
Air Force 24
San Diego State 22
Projected Total Points: 46
Air Force Scoring
Offense: 18.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 18.7
Defense: 23.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.7
Air Force's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 1
Record at home: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Offense: 18.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 18.7
Defense: 23.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.7
Air Force's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 1
Record at home: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 11/30 | San Diego State | 20 | Air Force | 31 | Air Force | Air Force -6.5 | Air Force | 43.5 | Over |
| 2023 | 09/30 | Air Force | 49 | San Diego State | 10 | Air Force | Air Force -10.5 | Air Force | 43.5 | Over |
| 2022 | 11/26 | San Diego State | 3 | Air Force | 13 | Air Force | Air Force -2 | Air Force | 43.5 | Under |
| 2021 | 10/23 | Air Force | 14 | San Diego State | 20 | San Diego State | Air Force -3 | San Diego State | 38.5 | Under |
| 2018 | 10/12 | San Diego State | 21 | Air Force | 17 | San Diego State | San Diego State -11 | Air Force | 43.5 | Under |
| 2017 | 09/23 | Air Force | 24 | San Diego State | 28 | San Diego State | San Diego State -1.5 | San Diego State | 48.0 | Over |
| 2015 | 12/05 | San Diego State | 27 | Air Force | 24 | San Diego State | San Diego State -3.5 | Air Force | 46.5 | Over |
| 2014 | 11/21 | San Diego State | 30 | Air Force | 14 | San Diego State | San Diego State -2 | San Diego State | 0 | |
| 2013 | 10/10 | Air Force | 20 | San Diego State | 27 | San Diego State | San Diego State -3.5 | San Diego State | 0 | |
| 2012 | 11/10 | San Diego State | 28 | Air Force | 9 | San Diego State | ||||
| 2011 | 10/13 | Air Force | 27 | San Diego State | 41 | San Diego State | ||||
| 2010 | 10/16 | San Diego State | 27 | Air Force | 25 | San Diego State | ||||
| 2009 | 09/26 | Air Force | 26 | San Diego State | 14 | Air Force | ||||
| 2008 | 10/11 | San Diego State | 10 | Air Force | 35 | Air Force | ||||
| 2007 | 11/17 | Air Force | 55 | San Diego State | 23 | Air Force | ||||
| 2006 | 10/21 | San Diego State | 19 | Air Force | 12 | San Diego State | ||||
| 2005 | 09/10 | Air Force | 41 | San Diego State | 29 | Air Force | ||||
| 2004 | 11/13 | Air Force | 31 | San Diego State | 37 | San Diego State | ||||
| 2003 | 11/22 | San Diego State | 24 | Air Force | 3 | San Diego State | ||||
| 2001 | 09/29 | San Diego State | 21 | Air Force | 45 | Air Force | ||||
| 2000 | 11/17 | Air Force | 45 | San Diego State | 24 | Air Force |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Air Force | 9 | 5 | 4 Overs |
| San Diego State | 12 | 4 | 3 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 12 - 9 | 2 - 7 | 2 - 3 | 0 - 4 |
| Road Teams | 9 - 12 | 7 - 2 | 4 - 0 | 3 - 2 |
(#104) San Diego State Info
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -7.49 #104
Offense Rating: 12.44 #106
Defense Rating: 10.98 #86
Overall SP+ Rating: -10.5 #107
Offense SP+ Rating: 19.2 #110
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.1 #91
Talent Rating: 600.00 #73
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #69
Expected Record: 5.00 - 7.00
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -7.49 #104
Offense Rating: 12.44 #106
Defense Rating: 10.98 #86
Overall SP+ Rating: -10.5 #107
Offense SP+ Rating: 19.2 #110
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.1 #91
Talent Rating: 600.00 #73
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #69
Expected Record: 5.00 - 7.00
Power #104
#69Off #106
#34Def #86
#34Talent #73
#43SP+ #107
#45SP+ Off #110
#76SP+ Def #91
#29Rematch from Week 5
Air Force -10.5 (43.5)
Air Force won vs San Diego State this year (49-10)
Previous Matchups
Air Force beat San Diego State last year (31-20)
Air Force beat San Diego State in 2023 (49-10)
Air Force beat San Diego State in 2022 (13-3)
Weather Forecast
Playing in Falcon Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Team Information
Injuries: SDSU | AFA
Depth Chart: SDSU | AFA
Rosters: SDSU | AFA
(#69) Air Force Info
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 1.22 #69
Offense Rating: 20.41 #34
Defense Rating: 6.38 #34
Overall SP+ Rating: 5.2 #45
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.7 #76
Defense SP+ Rating: 20.6 #29
Talent Rating: 712.00 #43
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 8.30 - 4.70
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 1.22 #69
Offense Rating: 20.41 #34
Defense Rating: 6.38 #34
Overall SP+ Rating: 5.2 #45
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.7 #76
Defense SP+ Rating: 20.6 #29
Talent Rating: 712.00 #43
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 8.30 - 4.70
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|