New Mexico at Nevada Game Matchup
New Mexico logo New Mexico Lobos at Nevada Wolf PackNevada logo
Saturday, October 28th 2023 (10:30 PM EDT)
New Mexico -1.0 (50.0) (0)  Open: -1.0
Nevada 34 - New Mexico: 24  (Mountain West)

 
Lobos (4 - 8) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Danny Gonzales (8 - 26)
Avg Score : 34 - 38 (31 - 37 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.9 - 6.1 (#76)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: New Mexico -8    (SP+ -5.5)
PPG only: UNM: 31 - NEV: 31 (62)
UNM Win prob: 48% | Cover: 46%
UNM Travel: 787 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Wolf Pack (2 - 10) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Ken Wilson (2 - 13)
Avg Score : 23 - 29 (28 - 27 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 2.9 - 9.1 (#129)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
New Mexico's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 9/2 New Mexico at Texas A&M+37.548.5L 10 - 52
Sat 9/9 New Mexico vs Tennessee Tech-16.051.5W 56 - 10
Sat 9/16 New Mexico vs New Mexico State-2.552.0L 17 - 27
Sat 9/23 New Mexico at Massachusetts+3.548.5W 34 - 31
Sat 9/30 New Mexico at Wyoming+14.540.5L 26 - 35
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 New Mexico vs San José State+6.555.0L 24 - 52
Sat 10/21 New Mexico vs Hawai'i+1.560.0W 42 - 21
Sat 10/28 New Mexico at Nevada-1.050.0L 24 - 34
Sat 11/4 New Mexico vs UNLV+10.061.0L 14 - 56
Sat 11/11 New Mexico at Boise State+27.558.5L 14 - 42
Sat 11/18 New Mexico at Fresno State+22.558.5W 25 - 17
Fri 11/24 New Mexico vs Utah State+4.558.5L 41 - 44
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Nevada's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 9/2 Nevada at USC+37.563.5L 14 - 66
Sat 9/9 Nevada vs Idaho+5.551.0L 6 - 33
Sat 9/16 Nevada vs Kansas+28.558.0L 24 - 31
Sat 9/23 Nevada at Texas State+17.060.0L 24 - 35
Sat 9/30 Nevada at Fresno State+25.550.5L 9 - 27
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 Nevada vs UNLV+7.551.5L 27 - 45
Sat 10/21 Nevada at San Diego State+11.048.5W 6 - 0
Sat 10/28 Nevada vs New Mexico+1.050.0W 34 - 24
Sat 11/4 Nevada vs Hawai'i-3.550.5L 14 - 27
Sat 11/11 Nevada at Utah State+14.554.5L 24 - 41
Sat 11/18 Nevada at Colorado State+12.545.5L 20 - 30
Sat 11/25 Nevada vs Wyoming+11.042.0L 6 - 42
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

UNM's OC Bryant Vincent vs NEV's DC Kwame Agyeman     NEV's OC Derek Sage vs UNM's DC Troy Reffett

Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNM-.0633%33.539%2.9712125%1063.04.1743%3847%40%3.5551.21.21.9
NEV.0435%23.137%2.8911933%1862.85.2643%28.844%42%3.9755.11.41.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNM0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
NEV0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNM Offense1233.530.733%3.041.2132271211063.357%41%39%25%24%-.06
NEV Defense1228.826.642.9%3.971.7 - - - - - 53%47%44%42%19%.26
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNM Defense123837.443.2%3.551.9 - - - - - 55%44%47%40%17%.17
NEV Offense1223.127.634.8%2.851.4173051191863.347%52%37%33%23%.04

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
New Mexico1228:5713.122%29%6.151.21.21.95.22.1228.8
Nevada1228:2916.935%50%655.11.41.76.32.2127.2
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNM Offense1257%39%36.5121.33.312.062.9756%17%0.92
NEV Defense1253%44% - - - - .193.4690%13%0.95
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNM Defense1255%47% - - - - .173.1777%10%0.92
NEV Offense1247%37%35.6118.93.319.012.8973%15%1.08

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNM Offense1241%25%11.521.3105.559.239-.151.235%18%.016%1.9
NEV Defense1247%42% - - - - - - 11.351.833%30%.446%2.4
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNM Defense1244%40% - - - - - - 9.241.627%23%.17%1.9
NEV Offense1252%33%18.133.2185.65.610.378.11.638%27%.198%2.2

New Mexico's Power Ratings
New Mexico's Power Rating: -5.50 #94
New Mexico's Offense Rating: 25.20 #12
New Mexico's Defense Rating: 19.08 #130
2023 Talent Rating: 464.00 #100
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
New Mexico's 2023 Expected Record: 5.90 - 6.10
New Mexico's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -16.8 #124
New Mexico's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.3 #88
New Mexico's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.2 #128

New Mexico's SP+ Ratings
New Mexico's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -16.8 #124
New Mexico's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.3 #88
New Mexico's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.2 #128

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 492.67
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
New Mexico: -5.50   Nevada: -13.41

SP+ Ratings Matchup
New Mexico: -16.8   Nevada: -22.4




Nevada's Power Ratings
Nevada's Power Rating: -13.41 #131
Nevada's Offense Rating: 7.38 #128
Nevada's Defense Rating: 13.79 #110
2023 Talent Rating: 456.00 #101
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Nevada's 2023 Expected Record: 2.90 - 9.10

Nevada's SP+ Ratings
Nevada's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -22.4 #131
Nevada's Offense SP+ Rating: 14.2 #129
Nevada's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.0 #127

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 492.67
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78


New Mexico Scoring
Offense: 33.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.7
Defense: 38 PPG
Defense on Road: 37.4

New Mexico's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
New Mexico 31
Nevada 31

Projected Total Points: 62
Nevada Scoring
Offense: 23.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.6
Defense: 28.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 26.6

Nevada's 2023 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202310/28Nevada34New Mexico24NevadaNew Mexico -1.0Nevada50.0Over
202011/14New Mexico20Nevada27NevadaNevada -17.5New Mexico62.5Under
201911/02Nevada21New Mexico10NevadaNevada -3.5Nevada58.0Under
201611/05New Mexico35Nevada26New MexicoNew Mexico -11Nevada58.5Over
201510/10Nevada35New Mexico17NevadaNevada -6Nevada53.5Under
201211/17New Mexico24Nevada31Nevada
201110/15Nevada49New Mexico7Nevada
200712/22New Mexico23Nevada0New Mexico
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Nevada642 Overs
New Mexico213 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams6 - 24 - 12 - 12 - 0
Road Teams2 - 61 - 40 - 21 - 2

(#94) New Mexico Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -5.50 #94
Offense Rating: 25.20 #12
Defense Rating: 19.08 #130
Overall SP+ Rating: -16.8 #124
Offense SP+ Rating: 22.3 #88
Defense SP+ Rating: 37.2 #128
Talent Rating: 464.00 #100
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 5.90 - 6.10

New Mexico     Ratings Matchup     Nevada
Power #94
#131
Off #12
#128
Def #130
#110
Talent #100
#101
SP+ #124
#131
SP+ Off #88
#129
SP+ Def #128
#127

Rematch from Week 9
New Mexico 1.0 (50.0)
Nevada won vs New Mexico this year (34-24)

Previous Matchups
Nevada beat New Mexico in 2023 (34-24)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Mackay Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: UNM | NEV
Depth Chart: UNM | NEV
Rosters: UNM | NEV
(#131) Nevada Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -13.41 #131
Offense Rating: 7.38 #128
Defense Rating: 13.79 #110
Overall SP+ Rating: -22.4 #131
Offense SP+ Rating: 14.2 #129
Defense SP+ Rating: 37.0 #127
Talent Rating: 456.00 #101
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 2.90 - 9.10





  
New Mexico's OC Bryant Vincent
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Nevada's OC Derek Sage
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

New Mexico's DC Troy Reffett
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nevada's DC Kwame Agyeman
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD