Boise State Broncos at Fresno State Bulldogs
Saturday, November 4th 2023 (10:00 PM EDT)
Fresno State -2.5 (53.5) (-150) Open: -3.0 | 55.0
Fresno State 37 - Boise State: 30 (Mountain West)
Broncos (8 - 6) (7 - 5 - 2)
Coach Spencer Danielson (Int) (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 37 - 23 (34 - 25 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.1 - 4.9 (#25)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Coach Spencer Danielson (Int) (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 37 - 23 (34 - 25 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.1 - 4.9 (#25)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
FRES 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Boise State -2.5 (SP+ -7)
PPG only: BSU: 31 - FRES: 24 (55)
FRES Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
BSU Travel: 505 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Our Line: Boise State -2.5 (SP+ -7)
PPG only: BSU: 31 - FRES: 24 (55)
FRES Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
BSU Travel: 505 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Bulldogs (9 - 4) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Jeff Tedford (39 - 18)
Avg Score : 26 - 25 (32 - 18 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.5 - 4.5 (#34)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Coach Jeff Tedford (39 - 18)
Avg Score : 26 - 25 (32 - 18 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.5 - 4.5 (#34)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
| Boise State's 2023 Schedule | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | |
| Sat 9/2 | Boise State at Washington | +14.0 | 59.0 | L 19 - 56 | |
| Sat 9/9 | Boise State vs UCF | +3.0 | 58.5 | L 16 - 18 | |
| Sat 9/16 | Boise State vs North Dakota | -15.0 | 58.0 | W 42 - 18 | |
| Fri 9/22 | Boise State at San Diego State | -6.5 | 46.0 | W 34 - 31 | |
| Sat 9/30 | Boise State at Memphis | +3.0 | 58.0 | L 32 - 35 | |
| Sat 10/7 | Boise State vs San José State | -8.0 | 57.5 | W 35 - 27 | |
| Sat 10/14 | Boise State at Colorado State | -7.5 | 60.0 | L 30 - 31 | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||
| Sat 10/28 | Boise State vs Wyoming | -4.5 | 48.5 | W 32 - 7 | |
| Sat 11/4 | Boise State at Fresno State | +2.5 | 53.5 | L 30 - 37 | |
| Sat 11/11 | Boise State vs New Mexico | -27.5 | 58.5 | W 42 - 14 | |
| Sat 11/18 | Boise State at Utah State | -5.5 | 62.5 | W 45 - 10 | |
| Fri 11/24 | Boise State vs Air Force | -6.5 | 44.5 | W 27 - 19 | |
| Sat 12/2 | Boise State at UNLV | -2.5 | 58.0 | W 44 - 20 | |
| Sat 12/16 | Boise State vs UCLA | +6.5 | 46.0 | L 22 - 35 | |
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
| Fresno State's 2023 Schedule | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | |
| Sat 9/2 | Fresno State at Purdue | +4.0 | 47.0 | W 39 - 35 | |
| Sat 9/9 | Fresno State vs Eastern Washington | -31.5 | 63.5 | W 34 - 31 | |
| Sat 9/16 | Fresno State at Arizona State | -4.0 | 48.0 | W 29 - 0 | |
| Sat 9/23 | Fresno State vs Kent State | -27.5 | 47.5 | W 53 - 10 | |
| Sat 9/30 | Fresno State vs Nevada | -25.5 | 50.5 | W 27 - 9 | |
| Sat 10/7 | Fresno State at Wyoming | -5.5 | 43.0 | L 19 - 24 | |
| Fri 10/13 | Fresno State at Utah State | -5.5 | 56.0 | W 37 - 32 | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||
| Sat 10/28 | Fresno State vs UNLV | -10.5 | 56.0 | W 31 - 24 | |
| Sat 11/4 | Fresno State vs Boise State | -2.5 | 53.5 | W 37 - 30 | |
| Sat 11/11 | Fresno State at San José State | +2.5 | 51.5 | L 18 - 42 | |
| Sat 11/18 | Fresno State vs New Mexico | -22.5 | 58.5 | L 17 - 25 | |
| Sat 11/25 | Fresno State at San Diego State | -5.5 | 47.0 | L 18 - 33 | |
| Sat 12/16 | Fresno State vs New Mexico State | +3.0 | 52.5 | W 37 - 10 | |
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
BSU's OC Bush Hamdan vs FRES's DC Kevin Coyle FRES's OC Pat McCann vs BSU's DC Spencer Danielson
Important Stats (2022)
Overall Stats 2022
Additional Stats 2022
Important Stats (2022)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BSU | .23 | 43% | 37.3 | 46% | 3.34 | 197 | 39% | 189 | 4.07 | .09 | 35% | 22.6 | 39% | 30% | 3.38 | 47.4 | 1.2 | 1.5 |
| FRES | .24 | 47% | 26.1 | 47% | 3.07 | 133 | 48% | 270 | 4.22 | .15 | 39% | 24.8 | 42% | 37% | 3.29 | 41.1 | 1 | 1.6 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BSU | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| FRES | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Overall Stats 2022
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BSU Offense | 14 | 37.3 | 34.3 | 42.9% | 4.07 | 1.2 | 20 | 386 | 197 | 189 | 5 | 56% | 44% | 46% | 39% | 16% | .23 |
| FRES Defense | 14 | 24.8 | 18 | 39% | 3.29 | 1.6 | - | - | - | - | - | 51% | 48% | 42% | 37% | 18% | .15 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BSU Defense | 14 | 22.6 | 24.5 | 34.6% | 3.38 | 1.5 | - | - | - | - | - | 56% | 43% | 39% | 30% | 18% | .09 |
| FRES Offense | 14 | 26.1 | 32 | 47.1% | 4.22 | 1 | 22 | 403 | 133 | 270 | 4 | 42% | 57% | 47% | 48% | 11% | .24 |
Additional Stats 2022
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boise State | 14 | 30:50 | 19.5 | 40% | 59% | 5.6 | 47.4 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 5.1 | 2.1 | 2 | 31.2 |
| Fresno State | 14 | 31:16 | 21.9 | 46% | 50% | 4.5 | 41.1 | 1 | 1.6 | 5.1 | 1.6 | 3 | 30.7 |
Run Game Stats (2023)
Pass Game Stats (2023)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BSU Offense | 14 | 56% | 46% | 39.2 | 196.5 | 5 | 27 | .2 | 3.34 | 76% | 9% | 0.97 |
| FRES Defense | 14 | 51% | 42% | - | - | - | - | .17 | 3.15 | 69% | 9% | 1.04 |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BSU Defense | 14 | 56% | 39% | - | - | - | - | .11 | 2.93 | 76% | 12% | 0.94 |
| FRES Offense | 14 | 42% | 47% | 33.2 | 133 | 4 | 28 | .17 | 3.07 | 77% | 8% | 0.86 |
Pass Game Stats (2023)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BSU Offense | 14 | 44% | 39% | 16.4 | 27.5 | 189.2 | 6.9 | 11.6 | 20 | 9 | .32 | 1.7 | 31% | 32% | .45 | 7% | 2.2 |
| FRES Defense | 14 | 48% | 37% | - | - | - | - | - | - | 12 | .16 | 1.6 | 35% | 32% | .32 | 9% | 1.9 |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BSU Defense | 14 | 43% | 30% | - | - | - | - | - | - | 15 | .12 | 1.9 | 35% | 19% | .09 | 6% | 2.3 |
| FRES Offense | 14 | 57% | 48% | 23.8 | 33.7 | 269.6 | 8 | 11.3 | 22 | 9 | .35 | 1.3 | 28% | 32% | .36 | 3% | 1.8 |
Boise State's Power Ratings
Boise State's Power Rating: 4.57 #37
Boise State's Offense Rating: 21.76 #28
Boise State's Defense Rating: 8.84 #58
2023 Talent Rating: 574.00 #77
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #69
Boise State's 2023 Expected Record: 9.10 - 4.90
Boise State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.4 #41
Boise State's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.2 #29
Boise State's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.1 #70
Boise State's SP+ Ratings
Boise State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.4 #41
Boise State's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.2 #29
Boise State's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.1 #70
Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 492.67
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78
Boise State's Power Rating: 4.57 #37
Boise State's Offense Rating: 21.76 #28
Boise State's Defense Rating: 8.84 #58
2023 Talent Rating: 574.00 #77
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #69
Boise State's 2023 Expected Record: 9.10 - 4.90
Boise State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.4 #41
Boise State's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.2 #29
Boise State's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.1 #70
Boise State's SP+ Ratings
Boise State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.4 #41
Boise State's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.2 #29
Boise State's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.1 #70
Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 492.67
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78
Power Ratings Matchup
Boise State: 4.57 Fresno State: 2.07
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Boise State: 7.4 Fresno State: 0.5
Boise State: 4.57 Fresno State: 2.07
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Boise State: 7.4 Fresno State: 0.5
Fresno State's Power Ratings
Fresno State's Power Rating: 2.07 #59
Fresno State's Offense Rating: 18.02 #53
Fresno State's Defense Rating: 7.82 #45
2023 Talent Rating: 498.00 #89
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Fresno State's 2023 Expected Record: 8.50 - 4.50
Fresno State's SP+ Ratings
Fresno State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.5 #63
Fresno State's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.8 #58
Fresno State's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #82
Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 492.67
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78
Fresno State's Power Rating: 2.07 #59
Fresno State's Offense Rating: 18.02 #53
Fresno State's Defense Rating: 7.82 #45
2023 Talent Rating: 498.00 #89
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Fresno State's 2023 Expected Record: 8.50 - 4.50
Fresno State's SP+ Ratings
Fresno State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.5 #63
Fresno State's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.8 #58
Fresno State's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #82
Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 492.67
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78
Boise State Scoring
Offense: 37.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 34.3
Defense: 22.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 24.5
Boise State's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 2
Record on Road: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Offense: 37.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 34.3
Defense: 22.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 24.5
Boise State's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 2
Record on Road: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Boise State 31
Fresno State 24
Projected Total Points: 55
Boise State 31
Fresno State 24
Projected Total Points: 55
Fresno State Scoring
Offense: 26.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 32
Defense: 24.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 18
Fresno State's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Offense: 26.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 32
Defense: 24.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 18
Fresno State's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 11/04 | Fresno State | 37 | Boise State | 30 | Fresno State | Fresno State -2.5 | Fresno State | 53.5 | Over |
| 2022 | 10/08 | Boise State | 40 | Fresno State | 20 | Boise State | Boise State -9 | Boise State | 45.0 | Over |
| 2022 | 12/03 | Boise State | 16 | Fresno State | 28 | Fresno State | Boise State -3 | Fresno State | 54.5 | Under |
| 2021 | 11/06 | Fresno State | 14 | Boise State | 40 | Boise State | Fresno State -4 | Boise State | 61.5 | Under |
| 2018 | 11/09 | Boise State | 24 | Fresno State | 17 | Boise State | Fresno State -2.5 | Boise State | 56.0 | Under |
| 2018 | 12/01 | Boise State | 16 | Fresno State | 19 | Fresno State | Boise State -2 | Fresno State | 51.5 | Under |
| 2017 | 12/02 | Boise State | 17 | Fresno State | 14 | Boise State | Boise State -9.5 | Fresno State | 51.0 | Under |
| 2017 | 11/25 | Fresno State | 28 | Boise State | 17 | Fresno State | Boise State -6.5 | Fresno State | 49.0 | Under |
| 2014 | 10/17 | Boise State | 37 | Fresno State | 27 | Boise State | Boise State -16 | Fresno State | 0 | |
| 2014 | 12/06 | Boise State | 28 | Fresno State | 14 | Boise State | Boise State -17 | Fresno State | 0 | |
| 2013 | 09/20 | Fresno State | 41 | Boise State | 40 | Fresno State | Fresno State -3 | Boise State | 0 | |
| 2012 | 10/13 | Boise State | 20 | Fresno State | 10 | Boise State | ||||
| 2011 | 10/07 | Fresno State | 7 | Boise State | 57 | Boise State | ||||
| 2010 | 11/19 | Boise State | 51 | Fresno State | 0 | Boise State | ||||
| 2009 | 09/18 | Fresno State | 34 | Boise State | 51 | Boise State | ||||
| 2008 | 11/28 | Boise State | 61 | Fresno State | 10 | Boise State | ||||
| 2007 | 10/26 | Fresno State | 21 | Boise State | 34 | Boise State | ||||
| 2006 | 11/01 | Boise State | 45 | Fresno State | 21 | Boise State | ||||
| 2005 | 11/10 | Fresno State | 27 | Boise State | 7 | Fresno State | ||||
| 2004 | 10/23 | Boise State | 33 | Fresno State | 16 | Boise State | ||||
| 2003 | 11/21 | Fresno State | 17 | Boise State | 31 | Boise State | ||||
| 2002 | 10/18 | Boise State | 67 | Fresno State | 21 | Boise State | ||||
| 2001 | 10/19 | Fresno State | 30 | Boise State | 35 | Boise State |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fresno State | 6 | 7 | 2 Overs |
| Boise State | 17 | 4 | 6 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 15 - 8 | 4 - 7 | 2 - 7 | 2 - 0 |
| Road Teams | 8 - 15 | 7 - 4 | 0 - 2 | 7 - 2 |
(#37) Boise State Info
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 4.57 #37
Offense Rating: 21.76 #28
Defense Rating: 8.84 #58
Overall SP+ Rating: 7.4 #41
Offense SP+ Rating: 33.2 #29
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.1 #70
Talent Rating: 574.00 #77
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #69
Expected Record: 9.10 - 4.90
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 4.57 #37
Offense Rating: 21.76 #28
Defense Rating: 8.84 #58
Overall SP+ Rating: 7.4 #41
Offense SP+ Rating: 33.2 #29
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.1 #70
Talent Rating: 574.00 #77
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #69
Expected Record: 9.10 - 4.90
Power #37
#59Off #28
#53Def #58
#45Talent #77
#89SP+ #41
#63SP+ Off #29
#58SP+ Def #70
#82Rematch from Week 10
Fresno State -2.5 (53.5)
Fresno State won vs Boise State this year (37-30)
Previous Matchups
Fresno State beat Boise State in 2023 (37-30)
Fresno State beat Boise State in 2022 (28-16)
Weather Forecast
Playing in Bulldog Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 70°
Team Information
Injuries: BSU | FRES
Depth Chart: BSU | FRES
Rosters: BSU | FRES
(#59) Fresno State Info
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 2.07 #59
Offense Rating: 18.02 #53
Defense Rating: 7.82 #45
Overall SP+ Rating: 0.5 #63
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.8 #58
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #82
Talent Rating: 498.00 #89
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 8.50 - 4.50
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 2.07 #59
Offense Rating: 18.02 #53
Defense Rating: 7.82 #45
Overall SP+ Rating: 0.5 #63
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.8 #58
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #82
Talent Rating: 498.00 #89
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 8.50 - 4.50
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|