Air Force at Hawai'i Game Matchup
Air Force logo Air Force Falcons at Hawai'i Rainbow WarriorsHawai
Saturday, November 11th 2023 (11:00 PM EST)
Air Force -22.5 (47.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Hawai'i 27 - Air Force: 13  (Mountain West)

 
Falcons (9 - 4) (5 - 7 - 1)
Coach Troy Calhoun (124 - 78)
Avg Score : 19 - 23 (19 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.3 - 4.7 (#41)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: Air Force -10    (SP+ -22)
PPG only: AFA: 23 - HAW: 23 (46)
AFA Win prob: 95% | Cover: 53%
AFA Travel: 3341 miles, 4 hrs ahead
Rainbow Warriors (5 - 8) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Timmy Chang (4 - 13)
Avg Score : 22 - 26 (27 - 20 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.4 - 8.6 (#112)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Air Force's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 9/2 Air Force vs Robert Morris-47.051.0W 42 - 7
Sat 9/9 Air Force vs Sam Houston-13.536.5W 13 - 3
Fri 9/15 Air Force vs Utah State-9.045.5W 39 - 21
Fri 9/22 Air Force at San José State-6.045.5W 45 - 20
Sat 9/30 Air Force vs San Diego State-10.543.5W 49 - 10
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 Air Force vs Wyoming-12.542.0W 34 - 27
Sat 10/21 Air Force at Navy-11.034.0W 17 - 6
Sat 10/28 Air Force at Colorado State-14.547.0W 30 - 13
Sat 11/4 Air Force vs Army-18.532.0L 3 - 23
Sat 11/11 Air Force at Hawai'i-22.547.5L 13 - 27
Sat 11/18 Air Force vs UNLV-2.546.5L 27 - 31
Fri 11/24 Air Force at Boise State+6.544.5L 19 - 27
Sat 12/23 Air Force vs James Madison-2.544.5W 31 - 21
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Hawai'i's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 8/26 Hawai'i at Vanderbilt+17.054.5L 28 - 35
Fri 9/1 Hawai'i vs Stanford+2.054.0L 24 - 37
Sat 9/9 Hawai'i vs UAlbany-10.558.5W 31 - 20
Sat 9/16 Hawai'i at Oregon+38.567.5L 10 - 55
Sat 9/23 Hawai'i vs New Mexico State-4.054.5W 20 - 17
Sat 9/30 Hawai'i at UNLV+10.558.5L 20 - 44
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 Hawai'i vs San Diego State+6.051.5L 34 - 41
Sat 10/21 Hawai'i at New Mexico-1.560.0L 21 - 42
Sat 10/28 Hawai'i vs San José State+10.557.0L 0 - 35
Sat 11/4 Hawai'i at Nevada+3.550.5W 27 - 14
Sat 11/11 Hawai'i vs Air Force+22.547.5W 27 - 13
Sat 11/18 Hawai'i at Wyoming+13.545.5L 9 - 42
Sat 11/25 Hawai'i vs Colorado State+6.054.0W 27 - 24
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

AFA's OC Mike Thiessen vs HAW's DC Jacob Yoro     HAW's OC Roman Sapolu vs AFA's DC Brian Knorr

Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
AFA.349%18.950%3.5532739%704.25.1139%23.338%42%3.7729.711.3
HAW.0840%22.349%3.413734%2063.03.2846%2648%45%4.2450.21.50.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
AFA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
HAW0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
AFA Offense1318.919.248.5%4.25120398327705.387%13%50%39%10%.3
HAW Defense132619.646%4.240.9 - - - - - 53%46%48%45%12%.28
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
AFA Defense1323.328.839.4%3.771.3 - - - - - 54%45%38%42%20%.11
HAW Offense1322.327.139.8%3.031.5193431372064.443%56%49%34%16%.08

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Air Force1336:2120.545%72%3.929.711.35.11.8029.6
Hawai'i1328:1618.835%53%5.650.21.50.94.21.4128.1
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
AFA Offense1387%50%61.7327.25.337.283.5584%8%0.96
HAW Defense1353%48% - - - - .233.5173%7%0.96
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
AFA Defense1354%38% - - - - .13.0662%13%1.01
HAW Offense1343%49%31.2137.24.416.143.478%9%0.91

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
AFA Offense1313%39%3.26.770.510.522.382.532.626%33%.362%1.9
HAW Defense1346%45% - - - - - - 10.41.630%39%.445%1.7
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
AFA Defense1345%42% - - - - - - 9.251.333%24%.197%2
HAW Offense1356%34%20.137.7205.55.510.21312.061.532%22%.047%2.1

Air Force's Power Ratings
Air Force's Power Rating: -0.78 #69
Air Force's Offense Rating: 20.41 #34
Air Force's Defense Rating: 6.38 #34
2023 Talent Rating: 712.00 #43
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Air Force's 2023 Expected Record: 8.30 - 4.70
Air Force's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.2 #45
Air Force's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.7 #76
Air Force's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.6 #29

Air Force's SP+ Ratings
Air Force's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.2 #45
Air Force's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.7 #76
Air Force's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.6 #29

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 492.67
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Air Force: -0.78   Hawai'i: -10.94

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Air Force: 5.2   Hawai'i: -16.7




Hawai'i's Power Ratings
Hawai'i's Power Rating: -10.94 #127
Hawai'i's Offense Rating: 12.57 #103
Hawai'i's Defense Rating: 14.83 #118
2023 Talent Rating: 272.00 #126
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Hawai'i's 2023 Expected Record: 4.40 - 8.60

Hawai'i's SP+ Ratings
Hawai'i's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -16.7 #123
Hawai'i's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.1 #111
Hawai'i's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.7 #121

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 492.67
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78


Air Force Scoring
Offense: 18.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.2
Defense: 23.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.8

Air Force's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 1
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Air Force 23
Hawai'i 23

Projected Total Points: 46
Hawai'i Scoring
Offense: 22.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.1
Defense: 26 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.6

Hawai'i's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202311/11Hawai'i27Air Force13Hawai'iAir Force -22.5Hawai'i47.5Under
201910/19Hawai'i26Air Force56Air ForceAir Force -4.5Air Force66.5Over
201610/22Air Force27Hawai'i34Hawai'iAir Force -17.5Hawai'i58.0Over
201510/31Hawai'i7Air Force58Air ForceAir Force -7.5Air Force50.0Over
201211/16Air Force21Hawai'i7Air Force
200111/24Hawai'i52Air Force30Hawai'i
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Hawai'i323 Overs
Air Force321 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 31 - 30 - 11 - 2
Road Teams3 - 33 - 12 - 11 - 0

(#69) Air Force Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -0.78 #69
Offense Rating: 20.41 #34
Defense Rating: 6.38 #34
Overall SP+ Rating: 5.2 #45
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.7 #76
Defense SP+ Rating: 20.6 #29
Talent Rating: 712.00 #43
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 8.30 - 4.70

Air Force     Ratings Matchup     Hawai'i
Power #69
#127
Off #34
#103
Def #34
#118
Talent #43
#126
SP+ #45
#123
SP+ Off #76
#111
SP+ Def #29
#121

Rematch from Week 11
Air Force 22.5 (47.5)
Hawai'i won vs Air Force this year (27-13)

Previous Matchups
Hawai'i beat Air Force in 2023 (27-13)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: AFA | HAW
Depth Chart: AFA | HAW
Rosters: AFA | HAW
(#127) Hawai'i Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -10.94 #127
Offense Rating: 12.57 #103
Defense Rating: 14.83 #118
Overall SP+ Rating: -16.7 #123
Offense SP+ Rating: 19.1 #111
Defense SP+ Rating: 35.7 #121
Talent Rating: 272.00 #126
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 4.40 - 8.60





  
Air Force's OC Mike Thiessen
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Hawai'i's OC Roman Sapolu
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Air Force's DC Brian Knorr
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
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Hawai'i's DC Jacob Yoro
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