New Mexico at Boise State Game Matchup
New Mexico logo New Mexico Lobos at Boise State BroncosBoise State logo
Saturday, November 11th 2023 (10:00 PM EST)
Boise State -27.5 (58.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Boise State 42 - New Mexico: 14  (Mountain West)

 
Lobos (4 - 8) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Danny Gonzales (8 - 26)
Avg Score : 34 - 38 (31 - 37 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.9 - 6.1 (#76)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: Boise State -12    (SP+ -24)
PPG only: UNM: 28 - BSU: 38 (66)
BSU Win prob: 97% | Cover: 53%
UNM Travel: 780 miles
Broncos (8 - 6) (7 - 5 - 2)
Coach Spencer Danielson (Int) (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 37 - 23 (43 - 20 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.1 - 4.9 (#25)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
New Mexico's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 9/2 New Mexico at Texas A&M+37.548.5L 10 - 52
Sat 9/9 New Mexico vs Tennessee Tech-16.051.5W 56 - 10
Sat 9/16 New Mexico vs New Mexico State-2.552.0L 17 - 27
Sat 9/23 New Mexico at Massachusetts+3.548.5W 34 - 31
Sat 9/30 New Mexico at Wyoming+14.540.5L 26 - 35
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 New Mexico vs San José State+6.555.0L 24 - 52
Sat 10/21 New Mexico vs Hawai'i+1.560.0W 42 - 21
Sat 10/28 New Mexico at Nevada-1.050.0L 24 - 34
Sat 11/4 New Mexico vs UNLV+10.061.0L 14 - 56
Sat 11/11 New Mexico at Boise State+27.558.5L 14 - 42
Sat 11/18 New Mexico at Fresno State+22.558.5W 25 - 17
Fri 11/24 New Mexico vs Utah State+4.558.5L 41 - 44
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Boise State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 9/2 Boise State at Washington+14.059.0L 19 - 56
Sat 9/9 Boise State vs UCF+3.058.5L 16 - 18
Sat 9/16 Boise State vs North Dakota-15.058.0W 42 - 18
Fri 9/22 Boise State at San Diego State-6.546.0W 34 - 31
Sat 9/30 Boise State at Memphis+3.058.0L 32 - 35
Sat 10/7 Boise State vs San José State-8.057.5W 35 - 27
Sat 10/14 Boise State at Colorado State-7.560.0L 30 - 31
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 Boise State vs Wyoming-4.548.5W 32 - 7
Sat 11/4 Boise State at Fresno State+2.553.5L 30 - 37
Sat 11/11 Boise State vs New Mexico-27.558.5W 42 - 14
Sat 11/18 Boise State at Utah State-5.562.5W 45 - 10
Fri 11/24 Boise State vs Air Force-6.544.5W 27 - 19
Sat 12/2 Boise State at UNLV-2.558.0W 44 - 20
Sat 12/16 Boise State vs UCLA+6.546.0L 22 - 35
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

UNM's OC Bryant Vincent vs BSU's DC Spencer Danielson     BSU's OC Bush Hamdan vs UNM's DC Troy Reffett

Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNM-.0633%33.539%2.9712125%1063.04.1743%3847%40%3.5551.21.21.9
BSU.2343%37.346%3.3419739%1894.07.0935%22.639%30%3.3847.41.21.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNM0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
BSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNM Offense1233.530.733%3.041.2132271211063.357%41%39%25%24%-.06
BSU Defense1422.619.734.6%3.381.5 - - - - - 56%43%39%30%18%.09
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNM Defense123837.443.2%3.551.9 - - - - - 55%44%47%40%17%.17
BSU Offense1437.343.142.9%4.071.220386197189556%44%46%39%16%.23

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
New Mexico1228:5713.122%29%6.151.21.21.95.22.1228.8
Boise State1430:5019.540%59%5.647.41.21.55.12.1231.2
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNM Offense1257%39%36.5121.33.312.062.9756%17%0.92
BSU Defense1456%39% - - - - .112.9376%12%0.94
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNM Defense1255%47% - - - - .173.1777%10%0.92
BSU Offense1456%46%39.2196.5527.23.3476%9%0.97

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNM Offense1241%25%11.521.3105.559.239-.151.235%18%.016%1.9
BSU Defense1443%30% - - - - - - 15.121.935%19%.096%2.3
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNM Defense1244%40% - - - - - - 9.241.627%23%.17%1.9
BSU Offense1444%39%16.427.5189.26.911.6209.321.731%32%.457%2.2

New Mexico's Power Ratings
New Mexico's Power Rating: -5.50 #94
New Mexico's Offense Rating: 25.20 #12
New Mexico's Defense Rating: 19.08 #130
2023 Talent Rating: 464.00 #100
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
New Mexico's 2023 Expected Record: 5.90 - 6.10
New Mexico's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -16.8 #124
New Mexico's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.3 #88
New Mexico's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.2 #128

New Mexico's SP+ Ratings
New Mexico's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -16.8 #124
New Mexico's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.3 #88
New Mexico's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.2 #128

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 492.67
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
New Mexico: -5.50   Boise State: 6.57

SP+ Ratings Matchup
New Mexico: -16.8   Boise State: 7.4




Boise State's Power Ratings
Boise State's Power Rating: 6.57 #37
Boise State's Offense Rating: 21.76 #28
Boise State's Defense Rating: 8.84 #58
2023 Talent Rating: 574.00 #77
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #69
Boise State's 2023 Expected Record: 9.10 - 4.90

Boise State's SP+ Ratings
Boise State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.4 #41
Boise State's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.2 #29
Boise State's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.1 #70

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 492.67
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78


New Mexico Scoring
Offense: 33.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.7
Defense: 38 PPG
Defense on Road: 37.4

New Mexico's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Boise State 38
New Mexico 28

Projected Total Points: 66
Boise State Scoring
Offense: 37.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 43.1
Defense: 22.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.7

Boise State's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 2
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 0 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 2 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 1


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202311/11Boise State42New Mexico14Boise StateBoise State -27.5Boise State58.5Under
202209/09New Mexico14Boise State31Boise StateBoise State -17NA43.5Over
202111/20Boise State37New Mexico0Boise StateBoise State -27.5Boise State48.0Under
201911/16Boise State42New Mexico9Boise StateBoise State -27.5Boise State59.0Under
201811/16New Mexico14Boise State45Boise StateBoise State -21Boise State61.0Under
201709/14Boise State28New Mexico14Boise StateBoise State -16New Mexico56.5Under
201610/07New Mexico21Boise State49Boise StateBoise State -16.5Boise State61.5Over
201511/14Boise State24New Mexico31New MexicoBoise State -29.5New Mexico57.0Under
201411/08New Mexico49Boise State60Boise StateBoise State -14.5New Mexico0
201311/30Boise State45New Mexico17Boise StateBoise State -35New Mexico0
201209/29New Mexico29Boise State32Boise State
201112/03Boise State45New Mexico0Boise State
200009/01New Mexico14Boise State31Boise State
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Boise State1252 Overs
New Mexico146 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams6 - 74 - 53 - 31 - 2
Road Teams7 - 65 - 42 - 13 - 3

(#94) New Mexico Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -5.50 #94
Offense Rating: 25.20 #12
Defense Rating: 19.08 #130
Overall SP+ Rating: -16.8 #124
Offense SP+ Rating: 22.3 #88
Defense SP+ Rating: 37.2 #128
Talent Rating: 464.00 #100
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 5.90 - 6.10

New Mexico     Ratings Matchup     Boise State
Power #94
#37
Off #12
#28
Def #130
#58
Talent #100
#77
SP+ #124
#41
SP+ Off #88
#29
SP+ Def #128
#70

Rematch from Week 11
Boise State -27.5 (58.5)
Boise State won vs New Mexico this year (42-14)

Previous Matchups
Boise State beat New Mexico in 2023 (42-14)
Boise State beat New Mexico in 2022 (31-14)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Albertsons Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 50° - Wind: 6 mph


Team Information
Injuries: UNM | BSU
Depth Chart: UNM | BSU
Rosters: UNM | BSU
(#37) Boise State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 6.57 #37
Offense Rating: 21.76 #28
Defense Rating: 8.84 #58
Overall SP+ Rating: 7.4 #41
Offense SP+ Rating: 33.2 #29
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.1 #70
Talent Rating: 574.00 #77
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #69
Expected Record: 9.10 - 4.90





  
New Mexico's OC Bryant Vincent
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Boise State's OC Bush Hamdan
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New Mexico's DC Troy Reffett
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Boise State's DC Spencer Danielson
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