New Mexico at Fresno State Game Matchup
New Mexico logo New Mexico Lobos at Fresno State BulldogsFresno State logo
Saturday, November 18th 2023 (10:30 PM EST)
Fresno State -22.5 (58.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
New Mexico 25 - Fresno State: 17  (Mountain West)

 
Lobos (4 - 8) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Danny Gonzales (8 - 26)
Avg Score : 34 - 38 (31 - 37 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.9 - 6.1 (#76)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Light Rain Predicted
UNM 2nd straight Road Game
Our Line: Fresno State -7.5    (SP+ -17)
PPG only: UNM: 29 - FRES: 32 (61)
FRES Win prob: 95% | Cover: 53%
UNM Travel: 744 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Bulldogs (9 - 4) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Jeff Tedford (39 - 18)
Avg Score : 26 - 25 (32 - 18 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.5 - 4.5 (#34)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
New Mexico's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 9/2 New Mexico at Texas A&M+37.548.5L 10 - 52
Sat 9/9 New Mexico vs Tennessee Tech-16.051.5W 56 - 10
Sat 9/16 New Mexico vs New Mexico State-2.552.0L 17 - 27
Sat 9/23 New Mexico at Massachusetts+3.548.5W 34 - 31
Sat 9/30 New Mexico at Wyoming+14.540.5L 26 - 35
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 New Mexico vs San José State+6.555.0L 24 - 52
Sat 10/21 New Mexico vs Hawai'i+1.560.0W 42 - 21
Sat 10/28 New Mexico at Nevada-1.050.0L 24 - 34
Sat 11/4 New Mexico vs UNLV+10.061.0L 14 - 56
Sat 11/11 New Mexico at Boise State+27.558.5L 14 - 42
Sat 11/18 New Mexico at Fresno State+22.558.5W 25 - 17
Fri 11/24 New Mexico vs Utah State+4.558.5L 41 - 44
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Fresno State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 9/2 Fresno State at Purdue+4.047.0W 39 - 35
Sat 9/9 Fresno State vs Eastern Washington-31.563.5W 34 - 31
Sat 9/16 Fresno State at Arizona State-4.048.0W 29 - 0
Sat 9/23 Fresno State vs Kent State-27.547.5W 53 - 10
Sat 9/30 Fresno State vs Nevada-25.550.5W 27 - 9
Sat 10/7 Fresno State at Wyoming-5.543.0L 19 - 24
Fri 10/13 Fresno State at Utah State-5.556.0W 37 - 32
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 Fresno State vs UNLV-10.556.0W 31 - 24
Sat 11/4 Fresno State vs Boise State-2.553.5W 37 - 30
Sat 11/11 Fresno State at San José State+2.551.5L 18 - 42
Sat 11/18 Fresno State vs New Mexico-22.558.5L 17 - 25
Sat 11/25 Fresno State at San Diego State-5.547.0L 18 - 33
Sat 12/16 Fresno State vs New Mexico State+3.052.5W 37 - 10
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

UNM's OC Bryant Vincent vs FRES's DC Kevin Coyle     FRES's OC Pat McCann vs UNM's DC Troy Reffett

Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNM-.0633%33.539%2.9712125%1063.04.1743%3847%40%3.5551.21.21.9
FRES.2447%26.147%3.0713348%2704.22.1539%24.842%37%3.2941.111.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNM0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
FRES0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNM Offense1233.530.733%3.041.2132271211063.357%41%39%25%24%-.06
FRES Defense1424.81839%3.291.6 - - - - - 51%48%42%37%18%.15
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNM Defense123837.443.2%3.551.9 - - - - - 55%44%47%40%17%.17
FRES Offense1426.13247.1%4.22122403133270442%57%47%48%11%.24

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
New Mexico1228:5713.122%29%6.151.21.21.95.22.1228.8
Fresno State1431:1621.946%50%4.541.111.65.11.6330.7
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNM Offense1257%39%36.5121.33.312.062.9756%17%0.92
FRES Defense1451%42% - - - - .173.1569%9%1.04
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNM Defense1255%47% - - - - .173.1777%10%0.92
FRES Offense1442%47%33.2133428.173.0777%8%0.86

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNM Offense1241%25%11.521.3105.559.239-.151.235%18%.016%1.9
FRES Defense1448%37% - - - - - - 12.161.635%32%.329%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNM Defense1244%40% - - - - - - 9.241.627%23%.17%1.9
FRES Offense1457%48%23.833.7269.6811.3229.351.328%32%.363%1.8

New Mexico's Power Ratings
New Mexico's Power Rating: -5.50 #94
New Mexico's Offense Rating: 25.20 #12
New Mexico's Defense Rating: 19.08 #130
2023 Talent Rating: 464.00 #100
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
New Mexico's 2023 Expected Record: 5.90 - 6.10
New Mexico's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -16.8 #124
New Mexico's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.3 #88
New Mexico's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.2 #128

New Mexico's SP+ Ratings
New Mexico's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -16.8 #124
New Mexico's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.3 #88
New Mexico's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.2 #128

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 492.67
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
New Mexico: -5.50   Fresno State: 2.07

SP+ Ratings Matchup
New Mexico: -16.8   Fresno State: 0.5




Fresno State's Power Ratings
Fresno State's Power Rating: 2.07 #59
Fresno State's Offense Rating: 18.02 #53
Fresno State's Defense Rating: 7.82 #45
2023 Talent Rating: 498.00 #89
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Fresno State's 2023 Expected Record: 8.50 - 4.50

Fresno State's SP+ Ratings
Fresno State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.5 #63
Fresno State's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.8 #58
Fresno State's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #82

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 492.67
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78


New Mexico Scoring
Offense: 33.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.7
Defense: 38 PPG
Defense on Road: 37.4

New Mexico's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Fresno State 32
New Mexico 29

Projected Total Points: 61
Fresno State Scoring
Offense: 26.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 32
Defense: 24.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 18

Fresno State's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/21New Mexico21Fresno State38Fresno StateFresno State -12Fresno State61.0Under
202311/18Fresno State17New Mexico25New MexicoFresno State -22.5New Mexico58.5Under
202210/22New Mexico9Fresno State41Fresno StateFresno State -9.5Fresno State40.0Over
202111/13Fresno State34New Mexico7Fresno StateFresno State -24Fresno State51.0Under
202012/12New Mexico49Fresno State39New MexicoFresno State -15New Mexico56.5Over
201810/20New Mexico7Fresno State38Fresno StateFresno State -14Fresno State52.5Under
201710/14Fresno State38New Mexico0Fresno StateNew Mexico -2.5Fresno State54.5Under
201409/26New Mexico24Fresno State35Fresno StateFresno State -3Fresno State0
201311/23Fresno State69New Mexico28Fresno StateFresno State -31Fresno State0
201210/27New Mexico32Fresno State49Fresno State
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Fresno State872 Overs
New Mexico225 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 64 - 52 - 12 - 4
Road Teams6 - 45 - 44 - 21 - 2

(#94) New Mexico Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -5.50 #94
Offense Rating: 25.20 #12
Defense Rating: 19.08 #130
Overall SP+ Rating: -16.8 #124
Offense SP+ Rating: 22.3 #88
Defense SP+ Rating: 37.2 #128
Talent Rating: 464.00 #100
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 5.90 - 6.10

New Mexico     Ratings Matchup     Fresno State
Power #94
#59
Off #12
#53
Def #130
#45
Talent #100
#89
SP+ #124
#63
SP+ Off #88
#58
SP+ Def #128
#82

Rematch from Week 12
Fresno State -22.5 (58.5)
New Mexico won at Fresno State this year (25-17)

Previous Matchups
Fresno State beat New Mexico last year (38-21)
New Mexico beat Fresno State in 2023 (25-17)
Fresno State beat New Mexico in 2022 (41-9)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bulldog Stadium
Conditions: Light Rain
Temp: 59°Rain: 0.016


Team Information
Injuries: UNM | FRES
Depth Chart: UNM | FRES
Rosters: UNM | FRES
(#59) Fresno State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 2.07 #59
Offense Rating: 18.02 #53
Defense Rating: 7.82 #45
Overall SP+ Rating: 0.5 #63
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.8 #58
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #82
Talent Rating: 498.00 #89
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 8.50 - 4.50





  
New Mexico's OC Bryant Vincent
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Fresno State's OC Pat McCann
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New Mexico's DC Troy Reffett
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Fresno State's DC Kevin Coyle
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