Fresno State Bulldogs at San Diego State Aztecs
Saturday, November 25th 2023 (10:30 PM EST)
Fresno State -5.5 (47.0) (-205) Open: -5.5 | 46.0
San Diego State 33 - Fresno State: 18 (Mountain West)
Bulldogs (9 - 4) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Jeff Tedford (39 - 18)
Avg Score : 26 - 25 (21 - 31 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.5 - 4.5 (#34)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Coach Jeff Tedford (39 - 18)
Avg Score : 26 - 25 (21 - 31 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.5 - 4.5 (#34)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: Fresno State -5.5 (SP+ -11)
PPG only: FRES: 28 - SDSU: 23 (51)
FRES Win prob: 67% | Cover: 51%
FRES Travel: 316 miles
PPG only: FRES: 28 - SDSU: 23 (51)
FRES Win prob: 67% | Cover: 51%
FRES Travel: 316 miles
Aztecs (4 - 8) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Brady Hoke (25 - 14)
Avg Score : 21 - 30 (22 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#99)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Coach Brady Hoke (25 - 14)
Avg Score : 21 - 30 (22 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#99)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
| Fresno State's 2023 Schedule | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | |
| Sat 9/2 | Fresno State at Purdue | +4.0 | 47.0 | W 39 - 35 | |
| Sat 9/9 | Fresno State vs Eastern Washington | -31.5 | 63.5 | W 34 - 31 | |
| Sat 9/16 | Fresno State at Arizona State | -4.0 | 48.0 | W 29 - 0 | |
| Sat 9/23 | Fresno State vs Kent State | -27.5 | 47.5 | W 53 - 10 | |
| Sat 9/30 | Fresno State vs Nevada | -25.5 | 50.5 | W 27 - 9 | |
| Sat 10/7 | Fresno State at Wyoming | -5.5 | 43.0 | L 19 - 24 | |
| Fri 10/13 | Fresno State at Utah State | -5.5 | 56.0 | W 37 - 32 | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||
| Sat 10/28 | Fresno State vs UNLV | -10.5 | 56.0 | W 31 - 24 | |
| Sat 11/4 | Fresno State vs Boise State | -2.5 | 53.5 | W 37 - 30 | |
| Sat 11/11 | Fresno State at San José State | +2.5 | 51.5 | L 18 - 42 | |
| Sat 11/18 | Fresno State vs New Mexico | -22.5 | 58.5 | L 17 - 25 | |
| Sat 11/25 | Fresno State at San Diego State | -5.5 | 47.0 | L 18 - 33 | |
| Sat 12/16 | Fresno State vs New Mexico State | +3.0 | 52.5 | W 37 - 10 | |
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
| San Diego State's 2023 Schedule | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | |
| Sat 8/26 | San Diego State vs Ohio | -2.0 | 48.5 | W 20 - 13 | |
| Sat 9/2 | San Diego State vs Idaho State | -34.5 | 51.0 | W 36 - 28 | |
| Sat 9/9 | San Diego State vs UCLA | +13.0 | 49.0 | L 10 - 35 | |
| Sat 9/16 | San Diego State at Oregon State | +24.5 | 48.5 | L 9 - 26 | |
| Fri 9/22 | San Diego State vs Boise State | +6.5 | 46.0 | L 31 - 34 | |
| Sat 9/30 | San Diego State at Air Force | +10.5 | 43.5 | L 10 - 49 | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||
| Sat 10/14 | San Diego State at Hawai'i | -6.0 | 51.5 | W 41 - 34 | |
| Sat 10/21 | San Diego State vs Nevada | -11.0 | 48.5 | L 0 - 6 | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||
| Sat 11/4 | San Diego State vs Utah State | +2.0 | 56.5 | L 24 - 32 | |
| Sat 11/11 | San Diego State at Colorado State | +3.5 | 46.5 | L 19 - 22 | |
| Sat 11/18 | San Diego State at San José State | +16.5 | 48.5 | L 13 - 24 | |
| Sat 11/25 | San Diego State vs Fresno State | +5.5 | 47.0 | W 33 - 18 | |
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
FRES's OC Pat McCann vs SDSU's DC Kurt Mattix SDSU's OC Ryan Lindley vs FRES's DC Kevin Coyle
Important Stats (2022)
Overall Stats 2022
Additional Stats 2022
Important Stats (2022)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FRES | .24 | 47% | 26.1 | 47% | 3.07 | 133 | 48% | 270 | 4.22 | .15 | 39% | 24.8 | 42% | 37% | 3.29 | 41.1 | 1 | 1.6 |
| SDSU | .14 | 39% | 21.3 | 38% | 2.81 | 143 | 41% | 181 | 2.92 | .06 | 38% | 29.6 | 36% | 40% | 3.15 | 59.4 | 1.8 | 1.9 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FRES | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| SDSU | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Overall Stats 2022
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FRES Offense | 14 | 26.1 | 21.2 | 47.1% | 4.22 | 1 | 22 | 403 | 133 | 270 | 4 | 42% | 57% | 47% | 48% | 11% | .24 |
| SDSU Defense | 13 | 29.6 | 23.3 | 37.5% | 3.15 | 1.9 | - | - | - | - | - | 44% | 55% | 36% | 40% | 19% | .06 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FRES Defense | 14 | 24.8 | 31.2 | 39% | 3.29 | 1.6 | - | - | - | - | - | 51% | 48% | 42% | 37% | 18% | .15 |
| SDSU Offense | 13 | 21.3 | 22.3 | 38.8% | 2.92 | 1.8 | 16 | 324 | 143 | 181 | 4 | 53% | 46% | 38% | 41% | 20% | .14 |
Additional Stats 2022
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fresno State | 14 | 31:16 | 21.9 | 46% | 50% | 4.5 | 41.1 | 1 | 1.6 | 5.1 | 1.6 | 3 | 30.7 |
| San Diego State | 13 | 30:56 | 15.8 | 29% | 75% | 7.4 | 59.4 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 6.5 | 2.8 | 4 | 30.3 |
Run Game Stats (2023)
Pass Game Stats (2023)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FRES Offense | 14 | 42% | 47% | 33.2 | 133 | 4 | 28 | .17 | 3.07 | 77% | 8% | 0.86 |
| SDSU Defense | 13 | 44% | 36% | - | - | - | - | -.02 | 2.84 | 62% | 13% | 0.9 |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FRES Defense | 14 | 51% | 42% | - | - | - | - | .17 | 3.15 | 69% | 9% | 1.04 |
| SDSU Offense | 13 | 53% | 38% | 36.2 | 143.2 | 4 | 11 | .08 | 2.81 | 58% | 14% | 1.01 |
Pass Game Stats (2023)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FRES Offense | 14 | 57% | 48% | 23.8 | 33.7 | 269.6 | 8 | 11.3 | 22 | 9 | .35 | 1.3 | 28% | 32% | .36 | 3% | 1.8 |
| SDSU Defense | 13 | 55% | 40% | - | - | - | - | - | - | 13 | .19 | 1.5 | 34% | 28% | .18 | 6% | 1.9 |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FRES Defense | 14 | 48% | 37% | - | - | - | - | - | - | 12 | .16 | 1.6 | 35% | 32% | .32 | 9% | 1.9 |
| SDSU Offense | 13 | 46% | 41% | 14.2 | 26.3 | 180.6 | 6.9 | 12.7 | 15 | 14 | .31 | 1.6 | 34% | 31% | .37 | 6% | 2.2 |
Fresno State's Power Ratings
Fresno State's Power Rating: 0.07 #59
Fresno State's Offense Rating: 18.02 #53
Fresno State's Defense Rating: 7.82 #45
2023 Talent Rating: 498.00 #89
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Fresno State's 2023 Expected Record: 8.50 - 4.50
Fresno State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.5 #63
Fresno State's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.8 #58
Fresno State's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #82
Fresno State's SP+ Ratings
Fresno State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.5 #63
Fresno State's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.8 #58
Fresno State's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #82
Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 492.67
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78
Fresno State's Power Rating: 0.07 #59
Fresno State's Offense Rating: 18.02 #53
Fresno State's Defense Rating: 7.82 #45
2023 Talent Rating: 498.00 #89
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Fresno State's 2023 Expected Record: 8.50 - 4.50
Fresno State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.5 #63
Fresno State's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.8 #58
Fresno State's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #82
Fresno State's SP+ Ratings
Fresno State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.5 #63
Fresno State's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.8 #58
Fresno State's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #82
Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 492.67
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78
Power Ratings Matchup
Fresno State: 0.07 San Diego State: -5.49
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Fresno State: 0.5 San Diego State: -10.5
Fresno State: 0.07 San Diego State: -5.49
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Fresno State: 0.5 San Diego State: -10.5
San Diego State's Power Ratings
San Diego State's Power Rating: -5.49 #104
San Diego State's Offense Rating: 12.44 #106
San Diego State's Defense Rating: 10.98 #86
2023 Talent Rating: 600.00 #73
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #69
San Diego State's 2023 Expected Record: 5.00 - 7.00
San Diego State's SP+ Ratings
San Diego State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.5 #107
San Diego State's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.2 #110
San Diego State's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.1 #91
Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 492.67
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78
San Diego State's Power Rating: -5.49 #104
San Diego State's Offense Rating: 12.44 #106
San Diego State's Defense Rating: 10.98 #86
2023 Talent Rating: 600.00 #73
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #69
San Diego State's 2023 Expected Record: 5.00 - 7.00
San Diego State's SP+ Ratings
San Diego State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.5 #107
San Diego State's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.2 #110
San Diego State's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.1 #91
Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 492.67
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78
Fresno State Scoring
Offense: 26.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.2
Defense: 24.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 31.2
Fresno State's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 7 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Offense: 26.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.2
Defense: 24.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 31.2
Fresno State's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 7 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Fresno State 28
San Diego State 23
Projected Total Points: 51
Fresno State 28
San Diego State 23
Projected Total Points: 51
San Diego State Scoring
Offense: 21.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 22.3
Defense: 29.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 23.3
San Diego State's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Offense: 21.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 22.3
Defense: 29.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 23.3
San Diego State's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 11/25 | San Diego State | 33 | Fresno State | 18 | San Diego State | Fresno State -5.5 | San Diego State | 47.0 | Over |
| 2022 | 10/29 | Fresno State | 32 | San Diego State | 28 | Fresno State | Fresno State -10 | San Diego State | 43.5 | Over |
| 2021 | 10/30 | San Diego State | 20 | Fresno State | 30 | Fresno State | Fresno State -2 | Fresno State | 43.5 | Over |
| 2019 | 11/15 | San Diego State | 17 | Fresno State | 7 | San Diego State | San Diego State -1 | San Diego State | 43.0 | Under |
| 2018 | 11/17 | Fresno State | 23 | San Diego State | 14 | Fresno State | Fresno State -13 | San Diego State | 42.5 | Under |
| 2017 | 10/21 | San Diego State | 3 | Fresno State | 27 | Fresno State | San Diego State -6.5 | Fresno State | 49.5 | Under |
| 2016 | 10/14 | Fresno State | 3 | San Diego State | 17 | San Diego State | San Diego State -17.5 | Fresno State | 51.0 | Under |
| 2015 | 10/03 | San Diego State | 21 | Fresno State | 7 | San Diego State | San Diego State -9.5 | San Diego State | 51.5 | Under |
| 2014 | 10/03 | Fresno State | 24 | San Diego State | 13 | Fresno State | San Diego State -2 | Fresno State | 0 | |
| 2013 | 10/26 | San Diego State | 28 | Fresno State | 35 | Fresno State | Fresno State -9.5 | San Diego State | 0 | |
| 2012 | 09/29 | Fresno State | 52 | San Diego State | 40 | Fresno State | ||||
| 2011 | 12/03 | San Diego State | 35 | Fresno State | 28 | San Diego State | ||||
| 2002 | 08/29 | Fresno State | 16 | San Diego State | 14 | Fresno State |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| San Diego State | 5 | 6 | 3 Overs |
| Fresno State | 8 | 4 | 5 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 9 - 4 | 6 - 4 | 2 - 3 | 4 - 1 |
| Road Teams | 4 - 9 | 4 - 6 | 1 - 4 | 3 - 2 |
(#59) Fresno State Info
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 0.07 #59
Offense Rating: 18.02 #53
Defense Rating: 7.82 #45
Overall SP+ Rating: 0.5 #63
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.8 #58
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #82
Talent Rating: 498.00 #89
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 8.50 - 4.50
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 0.07 #59
Offense Rating: 18.02 #53
Defense Rating: 7.82 #45
Overall SP+ Rating: 0.5 #63
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.8 #58
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #82
Talent Rating: 498.00 #89
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 8.50 - 4.50
Power #59
#104Off #53
#106Def #45
#86Talent #89
#73SP+ #63
#107SP+ Off #58
#110SP+ Def #82
#91Rematch from Week 13
Fresno State 5.5 (47.0)
San Diego State won vs Fresno State this year (33-18)
Previous Matchups
San Diego State beat Fresno State in 2023 (33-18)
Fresno State beat San Diego State in 2022 (32-28)
Weather Forecast
Playing in Snapdragon Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 57°
Team Information
Injuries: FRES | SDSU
Depth Chart: FRES | SDSU
Rosters: FRES | SDSU
(#104) San Diego State Info
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -5.49 #104
Offense Rating: 12.44 #106
Defense Rating: 10.98 #86
Overall SP+ Rating: -10.5 #107
Offense SP+ Rating: 19.2 #110
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.1 #91
Talent Rating: 600.00 #73
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #69
Expected Record: 5.00 - 7.00
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -5.49 #104
Offense Rating: 12.44 #106
Defense Rating: 10.98 #86
Overall SP+ Rating: -10.5 #107
Offense SP+ Rating: 19.2 #110
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.1 #91
Talent Rating: 600.00 #73
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #69
Expected Record: 5.00 - 7.00
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|