Utah State at New Mexico Game Matchup

Friday, November 24th 2023 (3:30 PM EST)
Utah State -4.5 (58.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Utah State 44 - New Mexico: 41 (Mountain West)

Aggies (6 - 7) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Blake Anderson (18 - 12)
Avg Score : 32 - 38 (25 - 45 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.5 - 7.5 (#87)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: New Mexico -4.5 (SP+ -8.5)
PPG only: USU: 35 - UNM: 36 (71)
USU Win prob: 64% | Cover: 49%
USU Travel: 540 miles

Lobos (4 - 8) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Danny Gonzales (8 - 26)
Avg Score : 34 - 38 (37 - 39 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.9 - 6.1 (#76)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Off Players
Def Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Utah State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
Sat 9/2	Utah State at Iowa	+24.0	43.5	L 14 - 24
Sat 9/9	Utah State vs Idaho State	-24.0	61.0	W 78 - 28
Fri 9/15	Utah State at Air Force	+9.0	45.5	L 21 - 39
Sat 9/23	Utah State vs James Madison	+5.5	53.5	L 38 - 45
Sat 9/30	Utah State at UConn	-4.0	50.5	W 34 - 33
Sat 10/7	Utah State vs Colorado State	+3.0	62.0	W 44 - 24
Fri 10/13	Utah State vs Fresno State	+5.5	56.0	L 32 - 37
Sat 10/21	Utah State at San José State	+4.0	65.0	L 21 - 42
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4	Utah State at San Diego State	-2.0	56.5	W 32 - 24
Sat 11/11	Utah State vs Nevada	-14.5	54.5	W 41 - 24
Sat 11/18	Utah State vs Boise State	+5.5	62.5	L 10 - 45
Fri 11/24	Utah State at New Mexico	-4.5	58.5	W 44 - 41
Sat 12/23	Utah State vs Georgia State	-2.0	58.0	L 22 - 45

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

New Mexico's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
Sat 9/2	New Mexico at Texas A&M	+37.5	48.5	L 10 - 52
Sat 9/9	New Mexico vs Tennessee Tech	-16.0	51.5	W 56 - 10
Sat 9/16	New Mexico vs New Mexico State	-2.5	52.0	L 17 - 27
Sat 9/23	New Mexico at Massachusetts	+3.5	48.5	W 34 - 31
Sat 9/30	New Mexico at Wyoming	+14.5	40.5	L 26 - 35
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	New Mexico vs San José State	+6.5	55.0	L 24 - 52
Sat 10/21	New Mexico vs Hawai'i	+1.5	60.0	W 42 - 21
Sat 10/28	New Mexico at Nevada	-1.0	50.0	L 24 - 34
Sat 11/4	New Mexico vs UNLV	+10.0	61.0	L 14 - 56
Sat 11/11	New Mexico at Boise State	+27.5	58.5	L 14 - 42
Sat 11/18	New Mexico at Fresno State	+22.5	58.5	W 25 - 17
Fri 11/24	New Mexico vs Utah State	+4.5	58.5	L 41 - 44

USU's OC Kyle Cefalo vs UNM's DC Troy Reffett UNM's OC Bryant Vincent vs USU's DC Joe Cauthen

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USU	.07	38%	31.9	39%	3.13	159	38%	195	3.15	.17	41%	37.8	44%	39%	4.05	77.5	2.1	1.7
UNM	-.06	33%	33.5	39%	2.97	121	25%	106	3.04	.17	43%	38	47%	40%	3.55	51.2	1.2	1.9

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
UNM		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USU Offense	13	31.9	25.2	37.9%	3.15	2.1	20	354	159	195	3.8	55%	44%	39%	38%	17%	.07
UNM Defense	12	38	38.8	43.2%	3.55	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	55%	44%	47%	40%	17%	.17

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USU Defense	13	37.8	45.2	41.2%	4.05	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	55%	44%	44%	39%	17%	.17
UNM Offense	12	33.5	37.4	33%	3.04	1.2	13	227	121	106	3.3	57%	41%	39%	25%	24%	-.06

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Utah State	13	28:47	19.8	33%	53%	8.5	77.5	2.1	1.7	5.8	2.7	3	30.4
New Mexico	12	28:57	13.1	22%	29%	6.1	51.2	1.2	1.9	5.2	2.1	2	28.8

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USU Offense	13	55%	39%	42.2	159.3	3.8	14	.08	3.13	72%	9%	0.92
UNM Defense	12	55%	47%	-	-	-	-	.17	3.17	77%	10%	0.92

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USU Defense	13	55%	44%	-	-	-	-	.17	3	71%	11%	1.1
UNM Offense	12	57%	39%	36.5	121.3	3.3	12	.06	2.97	56%	17%	0.92

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USU Offense	13	44%	38%	17.7	30.6	195.2	6.4	11	18	21	.13	1.5	32%	26%	.08	8%	1.7
UNM Defense	12	44%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.24	1.6	27%	23%	.1	7%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USU Defense	13	44%	39%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.26	1.7	31%	29%	.24	6%	2.2
UNM Offense	12	41%	25%	11.5	21.3	105.5	5	9.2	3	9	-.15	1.2	35%	18%	.01	6%	1.9

Utah State's Power Ratings
Utah State's Power Rating: -7.91 #107
Utah State's Offense Rating: 15.84 #72
Utah State's Defense Rating: 13.07 #103
2023 Talent Rating: 374.00 #119
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Utah State's 2023 Expected Record: 5.50 - 7.50
Utah State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.5 #97
Utah State's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.4 #49
Utah State's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.5 #129

Utah State's SP+ Ratings
Utah State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.5 #97
Utah State's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.4 #49
Utah State's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.5 #129

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 492.67
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Utah State: -7.91 New Mexico: -3.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Utah State: -8.5 New Mexico: -16.8

New Mexico's Power Ratings
New Mexico's Power Rating: -3.5 #94
New Mexico's Offense Rating: 25.20 #12
New Mexico's Defense Rating: 19.08 #130
2023 Talent Rating: 464.00 #100
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
New Mexico's 2023 Expected Record: 5.90 - 6.10

New Mexico's SP+ Ratings
New Mexico's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -16.8 #124
New Mexico's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.3 #88
New Mexico's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.2 #128

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 492.67
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Utah State Scoring
Offense: 31.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.2
Defense: 37.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 45.2

Utah State's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
New Mexico 36
Utah State 35

Projected Total Points: 71

New Mexico Scoring
Offense: 33.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 37.4
Defense: 38 PPG
Defense at Home: 38.8

New Mexico's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	10/19	Utah State	45	New Mexico	50	New Mexico	New Mexico -1	New Mexico	78.5	Over
2023	11/24	New Mexico	41	Utah State	44	Utah State	Utah State -4.5	New Mexico	58.5	Over
2022	11/05	Utah State	27	New Mexico	10	Utah State	Utah State -14.5	Utah State	42.5	Under
2021	11/26	New Mexico	10	Utah State	35	Utah State	Utah State -17	Utah State	48.0	Under
2020	11/26	Utah State	41	New Mexico	27	Utah State	New Mexico -6	Utah State	49.0	Over
2019	11/30	New Mexico	25	Utah State	38	Utah State	Utah State -12	Utah State	63.0	Push
2018	10/27	Utah State	61	New Mexico	19	Utah State	Utah State -20	Utah State	64.0	Over
2017	11/04	New Mexico	10	Utah State	24	Utah State	New Mexico -3.5	Utah State	52.5	Under
2016	11/12	Utah State	21	New Mexico	24	New Mexico	Utah State -2.5	New Mexico	57.0	Under
2015	11/07	New Mexico	14	Utah State	13	New Mexico	Utah State -14.5	New Mexico	57.5	Under
2014	11/15	Utah State	28	New Mexico	21	Utah State	Utah State -16	New Mexico	0
2013	10/19	New Mexico	10	Utah State	45	Utah State	Utah State -10	Utah State	0
2003	10/04	New Mexico	34	Utah State	7	New Mexico
2002	10/19	Utah State	45	New Mexico	44	Utah State

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
New Mexico	4	5	4 Overs
Utah State	10	7	5 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	7 - 7	5 - 7	2 - 3	3 - 4
Road Teams	7 - 7	7 - 5	4 - 3	3 - 2

(#107) Utah State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -7.91 #107
Offense Rating: 15.84 #72
Defense Rating: 13.07 #103
Overall SP+ Rating: -8.5 #97
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.4 #49
Defense SP+ Rating: 37.5 #129
Talent Rating: 374.00 #119
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 5.50 - 7.50

Utah State Ratings Matchup New Mexico

Power #107

#94

Off #72

#12

Def #103

#130

Talent #119

#100

SP+ #97

#124

SP+ Off #49

#88

SP+ Def #129

#128

Rematch from Week 13
Utah State 4.5 (58.5)
Utah State won at New Mexico this year (44-41)

Previous Matchups
New Mexico beat Utah State last year (50-45)
Utah State beat New Mexico in 2023 (44-41)
Utah State beat New Mexico in 2022 (27-10)

Weather Forecast
Playing in University Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: USU | UNM
Depth Chart: USU | UNM
Rosters: USU | UNM

(#94) New Mexico Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -3.5 #94
Offense Rating: 25.20 #12
Defense Rating: 19.08 #130
Overall SP+ Rating: -16.8 #124
Offense SP+ Rating: 22.3 #88
Defense SP+ Rating: 37.2 #128
Talent Rating: 464.00 #100
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 5.90 - 6.10

Utah State's OC Kyle Cefalo

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

New Mexico's OC Bryant Vincent

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Utah State's DC Joe Cauthen

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

New Mexico's DC Troy Reffett

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD