Miami (OH) vs Toledo Game Matchup
Miami (OH) logo Miami (OH) RedHawks vs Toledo RocketsToledo logo
Saturday, December 2nd 2023 (12:00 PM EST)
Toledo -8.5 (46.0) (-250)  Open: -8.5 | 46.0
Miami (OH) 23 - Toledo: 14  (MAC Championship)

 
RedHawks (11 - 3) (11 - 3 - 0)
Coach Chuck Martin (47 - 60)
Avg Score : 24 - 19 (23 - 21 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.5 - 5.5 (#34)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
M-OH 2nd straight Road Game
Our Line: Toledo -7.5    (SP+ -0)
PPG only: M-OH: 24 - TOL: 24 (48)
TOL Win prob: 71% | Cover: 46%
M-OH Travel: 159 miles
Rockets (11 - 3) (7 - 7 - 0)
Coach Jason Candle (56 - 33)
Avg Score : 28 - 23 (31 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 11.1 - 2.9 (#4)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Miami (OH)'s 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Fri 9/1 Miami (OH) at Miami+16.545.0L 3 - 38
Sat 9/9 Miami (OH) at Massachusetts-7.045.0W 41 - 28
Sat 9/16 Miami (OH) at Cincinnati+14.544.5W 31 - 24
Sat 9/23 Miami (OH) vs Delaware State-40.549.5W 62 - 20
Sat 9/30 Miami (OH) at Kent State-14.051.5W 23 - 3
Sat 10/7 Miami (OH) vs Bowling Green-7.543.0W 27 - 0
Sat 10/14 Miami (OH) at Western Michigan-7.546.0W 34 - 21
Sat 10/21 Miami (OH) vs Toledo+2.046.5L 17 - 21
Sat 10/28 Miami (OH) at Ohio+7.539.0W 30 - 16
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/8 Miami (OH) vs Akron-17.537.5W 19 - 0
Wed 11/15 Miami (OH) vs Buffalo-7.536.5W 23 - 10
Sat 11/25 Miami (OH) at Ball State-3.534.5W 17 - 15
Sat 12/2 Miami (OH) vs Toledo+8.546.0W 23 - 14
Sat 12/16 Miami (OH) vs App State+6.541.0L 9 - 13
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Toledo's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 9/2 Toledo at Illinois+7.045.5L 28 - 30
Sat 9/9 Toledo vs Texas Southern-40.561.0W 71 - 3
Sat 9/16 Toledo vs San José State-9.056.5W 21 - 17
Sat 9/23 Toledo vs Western Michigan-21.552.5W 49 - 31
Sat 9/30 Toledo vs Northern Illinois-13.048.0W 35 - 33
Sat 10/7 Toledo at Massachusetts-19.055.5W 41 - 24
Sat 10/14 Toledo at Ball State-17.548.5W 13 - 6
Sat 10/21 Toledo at Miami (OH)-2.046.5W 21 - 17
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/31 Toledo vs Buffalo-14.047.0W 31 - 13
Wed 11/8 Toledo vs Eastern Michigan-19.545.5W 49 - 23
Tue 11/14 Toledo at Bowling Green-9.548.5W 32 - 31
Fri 11/24 Toledo at Central Michigan-12.554.5W 32 - 17
Sat 12/2 Toledo vs Miami (OH)-8.546.0L 14 - 23
Sat 12/30 Toledo vs Wyoming+4.543.5L 15 - 16
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

M-OH's OC Patrick Welsh vs TOL's DC Vince Kehres     TOL's OC Mike Hallett vs M-OH's DC Bill Brechin

Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
M-OH.137%24.136%2.8614138%1663.31.1541%18.839%43%3.1448.30.81.8
TOL.1943%28.344%317843%2254.23.0734%23.236%34%3.9755.41.91.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
M-OH0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TOL0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
M-OH Offense1324.123.237.1%3.310.8173061411663.854%45%36%38%24%.1
TOL Defense1423.221.334.2%3.971.6 - - - - - 51%48%36%34%18%.07
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
M-OH Defense1318.82140.9%3.141.8 - - - - - 47%52%39%43%24%.15
TOL Offense1428.331.242.8%4.231.9224031782254.355%44%44%43%16%.19

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Miami (OH)1330:0017.232%50%5.548.30.81.84.42.2129.9
Toledo1429:312241%59%6.755.41.91.65.52.2229.6
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
M-OH Offense1354%36%37.2140.83.814.062.8667%15%1.09
TOL Defense1451%36% - - - - .13.0483%10%1.08
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
M-OH Defense1347%39% - - - - .032.6777%13%0.82
TOL Offense1455%44%41.4177.84.323.14376%10%0.92

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
M-OH Offense1345%38%14.225.9165.56.411.7155.161.636%26%.188%1.9
TOL Defense1448%34% - - - - - - 12.081.637%23%.098%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
M-OH Defense1352%43% - - - - - - 11.331.633%33%.3311%2
TOL Offense1444%43%17.631.4224.97.212.83115.351.732%30%.325%2.2

Miami (OH)'s Power Ratings
Miami (OH)'s Power Rating: -0.16 #62
Miami (OH)'s Offense Rating: 13.13 #100
Miami (OH)'s Defense Rating: 3.90 #20
2023 Talent Rating: 610.00 #69
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Miami (OH)'s 2023 Expected Record: 8.50 - 5.50
Miami (OH)'s 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.7 #52
Miami (OH)'s Offense SP+ Rating: 19.6 #106
Miami (OH)'s Defense SP+ Rating: 17.9 #14

Miami (OH)'s SP+ Ratings
Miami (OH)'s 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.7 #52
Miami (OH)'s Offense SP+ Rating: 19.6 #106
Miami (OH)'s Defense SP+ Rating: 17.9 #14

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 506.5
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Miami (OH): -0.16   Toledo: 7.27

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Miami (OH): 3.7   Toledo: 4.0




Toledo's Power Ratings
Toledo's Power Rating: 7.27 #29
Toledo's Offense Rating: 21.47 #30
Toledo's Defense Rating: 4.60 #24
2023 Talent Rating: 536.00 #82
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Toledo's 2023 Expected Record: 11.10 - 2.90

Toledo's SP+ Ratings
Toledo's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.0 #51
Toledo's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #65
Toledo's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #35

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 506.5
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78


Miami (OH) Scoring
Offense: 24.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.2
Defense: 18.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 21

Miami (OH)'s 2023 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 11 - 3 - 0
Record on Road: 7 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Miami (OH) 24
Toledo 24

Projected Total Points: 48
Toledo Scoring
Offense: 28.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.2
Defense: 23.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.3

Toledo's 2023 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/05Toledo30Miami (OH)20ToledoToledo -4.5Toledo44.0Over
202310/21Miami (OH)17Toledo21ToledoToledo -2Toledo46.5Under
202312/02Toledo14Miami (OH)23Miami (OH)Toledo -8.5Miami (OH)46.0Under
201110/22Toledo49Miami (OH)28Toledo
200910/31Miami (OH)31Toledo24Miami (OH)
200811/21Toledo42Miami (OH)14Toledo
200412/02Miami (OH)27Toledo35Toledo
200411/02Miami (OH)23Toledo16Miami (OH)
200210/26Toledo13Miami (OH)27Miami (OH)
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Toledo521 Overs
Miami (OH)412 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams5 - 41 - 21 - 10 - 1
Road Teams4 - 52 - 11 - 01 - 1

(#62) Miami (OH) Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -0.16 #62
Offense Rating: 13.13 #100
Defense Rating: 3.90 #20
Overall SP+ Rating: 3.7 #52
Offense SP+ Rating: 19.6 #106
Defense SP+ Rating: 17.9 #14
Talent Rating: 610.00 #69
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 8.50 - 5.50

Miami (OH)     Ratings Matchup     Toledo
Power #62
#29
Off #100
#30
Def #20
#24
Talent #69
#82
SP+ #52
#51
SP+ Off #106
#65
SP+ Def #14
#35

Rematch from Week 14
Toledo -8.5 (46.0)
Miami (OH) won at Toledo this year (23-14)

Previous Matchups
Toledo beat Miami (OH) last year (30-20)
Miami (OH) beat Toledo in 2023 (23-14)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Ford Field
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 45° - Wind: 8 mph


Team Information
Injuries: M-OH | TOL
Depth Chart: M-OH | TOL
Rosters: M-OH | TOL
(#29) Toledo Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 7.27 #29
Offense Rating: 21.47 #30
Defense Rating: 4.60 #24
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.0 #51
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #65
Defense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #35
Talent Rating: 536.00 #82
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 11.10 - 2.90





  
Miami (OH)'s OC Patrick Welsh
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Toledo's OC Mike Hallett
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Miami (OH)'s DC Bill Brechin
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Toledo's DC Vince Kehres
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