Boise State at UNLV Game Matchup

Saturday, December 2nd 2023 (3:00 PM EST)
Boise State -2.5 (58.0) (-135) Open: -2.5 | 58.0
Boise State 44 - UNLV: 20 (Mountain West Championship)

Broncos (8 - 6) (7 - 5 - 2)
Coach Spencer Danielson (Int) (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 37 - 23 (34 - 25 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.1 - 4.9 (#25)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

UNLV 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Boise State -4.5 (SP+ -5.5)
PPG only: BSU: 29 - UNLV: 29 (58)
BSU Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
BSU Travel: 517 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Rebels (9 - 5) (10 - 4 - 0)
Coach Barry Odom (2 - 1)
Avg Score : 35 - 21 (46 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.7 - 6.3 (#48)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Off Players
Def Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Boise State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
Sat 9/2	Boise State at Washington	+14.0	59.0	L 19 - 56
Sat 9/9	Boise State vs UCF	+3.0	58.5	L 16 - 18
Sat 9/16	Boise State vs North Dakota	-15.0	58.0	W 42 - 18
Fri 9/22	Boise State at San Diego State	-6.5	46.0	W 34 - 31
Sat 9/30	Boise State at Memphis	+3.0	58.0	L 32 - 35
Sat 10/7	Boise State vs San José State	-8.0	57.5	W 35 - 27
Sat 10/14	Boise State at Colorado State	-7.5	60.0	L 30 - 31
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	Boise State vs Wyoming	-4.5	48.5	W 32 - 7
Sat 11/4	Boise State at Fresno State	+2.5	53.5	L 30 - 37
Sat 11/11	Boise State vs New Mexico	-27.5	58.5	W 42 - 14
Sat 11/18	Boise State at Utah State	-5.5	62.5	W 45 - 10
Fri 11/24	Boise State vs Air Force	-6.5	44.5	W 27 - 19
Sat 12/2	Boise State at UNLV	-2.5	58.0	W 44 - 20
Sat 12/16	Boise State vs UCLA	+6.5	46.0	L 22 - 35

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

UNLV's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
Sat 9/2	UNLV vs Bryant	-16.5	66.0	W 44 - 14
Sat 9/9	UNLV at Michigan	+38.0	57.5	L 7 - 35
Sat 9/16	UNLV vs Vanderbilt	+4.5	56.5	W 40 - 37
Sat 9/23	UNLV at UTEP	+1.0	49.5	W 45 - 28
Sat 9/30	UNLV vs Hawai'i	-10.5	58.5	W 44 - 20
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	UNLV at Nevada	-7.5	51.5	W 45 - 27
Sat 10/21	UNLV vs Colorado State	-6.5	60.0	W 25 - 23
Sat 10/28	UNLV at Fresno State	+10.5	56.0	L 24 - 31
Sat 11/4	UNLV at New Mexico	-10.0	61.0	W 56 - 14
Fri 11/10	UNLV vs Wyoming	-2.5	48.5	W 34 - 14
Sat 11/18	UNLV at Air Force	+2.5	46.5	W 31 - 27
Sat 11/25	UNLV vs San José State	-3.5	58.5	L 31 - 37
Sat 12/2	UNLV vs Boise State	+2.5	58.0	L 20 - 44
Tue 12/26	UNLV vs Kansas	+8.0	64.5	L 36 - 49

BSU's OC Bush Hamdan vs UNLV's DC Michael Scherer UNLV's OC Brennan Marion vs BSU's DC Spencer Danielson

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BSU	.23	43%	37.3	46%	3.34	197	39%	189	4.07	.09	35%	22.6	39%	30%	3.38	47.4	1.2	1.5
UNLV	.18	40%	35.4	45%	3.34	137	37%	215	3.57	.2	46%	21.3	51%	41%	3.62	57.3	1.3	2.1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
UNLV		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BSU Offense	14	37.3	34.3	42.9%	4.07	1.2	20	386	197	189	5	56%	44%	46%	39%	16%	.23
UNLV Defense	12	21.3	22.5	46%	3.62	2.1	-	-	-	-	-	53%	46%	51%	41%	16%	.2

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BSU Defense	14	22.6	24.5	34.6%	3.38	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	56%	43%	39%	30%	18%	.09
UNLV Offense	12	35.4	45.8	40.4%	3.57	1.3	18	352	137	215	4.1	47%	51%	45%	37%	20%	.18

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Boise State	14	30:50	19.5	40%	59%	5.6	47.4	1.2	1.5	5.1	2.1	2	31.2
UNLV	12	28:49	17.6	33%	53%	5.8	57.3	1.3	2.1	4.6	2.3	2	27.1

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BSU Offense	14	56%	46%	39.2	196.5	5	27	.2	3.34	76%	9%	0.97
UNLV Defense	12	53%	51%	-	-	-	-	.17	3.55	77%	10%	0.8

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BSU Defense	14	56%	39%	-	-	-	-	.11	2.93	76%	12%	0.94
UNLV Offense	12	47%	45%	33.6	137.3	4.1	18	.27	3.34	84%	14%	1.07

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BSU Offense	14	44%	39%	16.4	27.5	189.2	6.9	11.6	20	9	.32	1.7	31%	32%	.45	7%	2.2
UNLV Defense	12	46%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	15	.33	1.7	28%	34%	.37	6%	2.2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BSU Defense	14	43%	30%	-	-	-	-	-	-	15	.12	1.9	35%	19%	.09	6%	2.3
UNLV Offense	12	51%	37%	18.9	30.1	215	7.2	11.4	15	7	.17	1.5	33%	26%	.25	6%	2.1

Boise State's Power Ratings
Boise State's Power Rating: 4.57 #37
Boise State's Offense Rating: 21.76 #28
Boise State's Defense Rating: 8.84 #58
2023 Talent Rating: 574.00 #77
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #69
Boise State's 2023 Expected Record: 9.10 - 4.90
Boise State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.4 #41
Boise State's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.2 #29
Boise State's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.1 #70

Boise State's SP+ Ratings
Boise State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.4 #41
Boise State's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.2 #29
Boise State's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.1 #70

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 492.67
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Boise State: 4.57 UNLV: 0.09

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Boise State: 7.4 UNLV: 2.0

UNLV's Power Ratings
UNLV's Power Rating: 0.09 #76
UNLV's Offense Rating: 18.43 #52
UNLV's Defense Rating: 10.09 #73
2023 Talent Rating: 434.00 #106
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
UNLV's 2023 Expected Record: 7.70 - 6.30

UNLV's SP+ Ratings
UNLV's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.0 #60
UNLV's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #35
UNLV's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #98

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 492.67
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Boise State Scoring
Offense: 37.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 34.3
Defense: 22.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 24.5

Boise State's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 2
Record on Road: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 2 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Boise State 29
UNLV 29

Projected Total Points: 58

UNLV Scoring
Offense: 35.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 45.8
Defense: 21.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.5

UNLV's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 5
Record vs Spread: 10 - 4 - 0
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	10/25	UNLV	24	Boise State	29	Boise State	Boise State -4.0	Boise State	64.0	Under
2024	12/06	Boise State	21	UNLV	7	Boise State	Boise State -3.5	Boise State	57.5	Under
2023	12/02	UNLV	20	Boise State	44	Boise State	Boise State -2.5	Boise State	58.0	Over
2019	10/05	UNLV	13	Boise State	38	Boise State	Boise State -24	Boise State	57.0	Under
2016	11/18	Boise State	42	UNLV	25	Boise State	Boise State -26.5	UNLV	63.0	Over
2015	10/31	UNLV	27	Boise State	55	Boise State	Boise State -21	Boise State	53.5	Over
2012	10/20	Boise State	32	UNLV	7	Boise State
2011	11/05	UNLV	21	Boise State	48	Boise State

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
UNLV	0	1	3 Overs
Boise State	8	5	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	3 - 5	1 - 5	1 - 1	0 - 4
Road Teams	5 - 3	5 - 1	4 - 0	1 - 1

(#37) Boise State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 4.57 #37
Offense Rating: 21.76 #28
Defense Rating: 8.84 #58
Overall SP+ Rating: 7.4 #41
Offense SP+ Rating: 33.2 #29
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.1 #70
Talent Rating: 574.00 #77
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #69
Expected Record: 9.10 - 4.90

Boise State Ratings Matchup UNLV

Power #37

#76

Off #28

#52

Def #58

#73

Talent #77

#106

SP+ #41

#60

SP+ Off #29

#35

SP+ Def #70

#98

Rematch from Week 14
Boise State 2.5 (58.0)
Boise State won at UNLV this year (44-20)

Previous Matchups
Boise State beat UNLV last year (21-7)
Boise State beat UNLV in 2023 (44-20)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Allegiant Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: BSU | UNLV
Depth Chart: BSU | UNLV
Rosters: BSU | UNLV

(#76) UNLV Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 0.09 #76
Offense Rating: 18.43 #52
Defense Rating: 10.09 #73
Overall SP+ Rating: 2.0 #60
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #35
Defense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #98
Talent Rating: 434.00 #106
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 7.70 - 6.30

Boise State's OC Bush Hamdan

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

UNLV's OC Brennan Marion

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Boise State's DC Spencer Danielson

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

UNLV's DC Michael Scherer

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD