Troy vs Duke Game Matchup
Troy logo Troy Trojans vs Duke Blue DevilsDuke logo
Saturday, December 23rd 2023 (12:00 PM EST)
Troy -7 (44.0) (250)  Open: -7.0 | 44.0
Duke 17 - Troy: 10  (76 Birmingham Bowl)

 
Trojans (11 - 3) (8 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jon Sumrall (13 - 4)
Avg Score : 26 - 28 (23 - 34 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10 - 4 (#13)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Bowl Game Opt OutsOur Line: Troy -1    (SP+ -1)
PPG only: TROY: 25 - DUKE: 27 (52)
TROY Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
TROY Travel: 495 miles, 1 hrs behind
Blue Devils (8 - 5) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Mike Elko (12 - 4)
Avg Score : 26 - 25 (26 - 19 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#61)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Troy's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 9/2 Troy vs Stephen F. Austin-26.048.0W 48 - 30
Sat 9/9 Troy at Kansas State+15.050.0L 13 - 42
Sat 9/16 Troy vs James Madison-2.546.5L 14 - 16
Sat 9/23 Troy vs Western Kentucky-3.557.0W 27 - 24
Sat 9/30 Troy at Georgia State+1.050.5W 28 - 7
Sat 10/7 Troy vs Arkansas State-15.552.0W 37 - 3
Sat 10/14 Troy at Army-6.541.5W 19 - 0
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 Troy at Texas State-6.553.0W 31 - 13
Thu 11/2 Troy vs South Alabama-5.544.5W 28 - 10
Sat 11/11 Troy at UL Monroe-23.547.5W 45 - 14
Sat 11/18 Troy vs Louisiana-17.547.5W 31 - 24
Sat 11/25 Troy at Southern Miss-16.548.5W 35 - 17
Sat 12/2 Troy vs App State-6.551.5W 49 - 23
Sat 12/23 Troy vs Duke-7.044.0L 10 - 17
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Duke's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Mon 9/4 Duke vs Clemson+12.554.0W 28 - 7
Sat 9/9 Duke vs Lafayette-42.549.0W 42 - 7
Sat 9/16 Duke vs Northwestern-17.048.0W 38 - 14
Sat 9/23 Duke at UConn-22.045.0W 41 - 7
Sat 9/30 Duke vs Notre Dame+5.552.5L 14 - 21
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 Duke vs NC State-3.544.0W 24 - 3
Sat 10/21 Duke at Florida State+14.049.0L 20 - 38
Sat 10/28 Duke at Louisville+5.047.0L 0 - 23
Thu 11/2 Duke vs Wake Forest-6.541.0W 24 - 21
Sat 11/11 Duke at North Carolina+9.552.5L 45 - 47
Sat 11/18 Duke at Virginia-4.048.5L 27 - 30
Sat 11/25 Duke vs Pittsburgh-4.540.5W 30 - 19
Sat 12/23 Duke vs Troy+7.044.0W 17 - 10
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

TROY's OC Joe Craddock vs DUKE's DC Tyler Santucci     DUKE's OC Kevin Johns vs TROY's DC Greg Gasparato

Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TROY.1540%2640%2.9311641%2433.45.0840%28.442%38%3.0449.91.52.1
DUKE.2444%26.347%3.4518442%2324.1.1844%24.544%45%3.9550.20.82.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TROY0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
DUKE0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TROY Offense142622.739.7%3.451.5203591162433.349%49%40%41%16%.15
DUKE Defense1324.519.344%3.952.2 - - - - - 43%56%44%45%20%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TROY Defense1428.434.339.7%3.042.1 - - - - - 47%53%42%38%16%.08
DUKE Offense1326.325.744.1%4.10.822416184232551%48%47%42%14%.24

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Troy1430:2519.532%67%5.449.91.52.15.62.9129.7
Duke1333:0521.742%58%5.250.20.82.25.22.8231.8
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TROY Offense1449%40%35.5116.13.321.072.9373%11%0.93
DUKE Defense1343%44% - - - - .073.1179%12%0.83
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TROY Defense1447%42% - - - - .083.0972%10%0.89
DUKE Offense1351%47%37.2184.2531.263.4580%7%1.06

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TROY Offense1449%41%17.928.6242.68.513.52015.291.731%29%.25%1.9
DUKE Defense1356%45% - - - - - - 10.31.531%38%.498%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TROY Defense1453%38% - - - - - - 13.11.432%26%.166%2.1
DUKE Offense1348%42%19.630.7231.57.511.8206.271.531%33%.487%2.3

Troy's Power Ratings
Troy's Power Rating: 5.08 #35
Troy's Offense Rating: 16.62 #64
Troy's Defense Rating: 1.67 #14
2023 Talent Rating: 344.00 #123
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Troy's 2023 Expected Record: 10.00 - 4.00
Troy's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.4 #26
Troy's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #34
Troy's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #26

Troy's SP+ Ratings
Troy's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.4 #26
Troy's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #34
Troy's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #26

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 393.43
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Troy: 5.08   Duke: 4.24

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Troy: 10.4   Duke: 9.5




Duke's Power Ratings
Duke's Power Rating: 4.24 #40
Duke's Offense Rating: 18.55 #48
Duke's Defense Rating: 8.88 #59
2023 Talent Rating: 702.00 #48
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #69
Duke's 2023 Expected Record: 7.00 - 6.00

Duke's SP+ Ratings
Duke's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.5 #29
Duke's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #53
Duke's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.3 #25

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 758.94
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78


Troy Scoring
Offense: 26 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.7
Defense: 28.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 34.3

Troy's 2023 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Duke 27
Troy 25

Projected Total Points: 52
Duke Scoring
Offense: 26.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.7
Defense: 24.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.3

Duke's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202312/23Duke17Troy10DukeTroy -7Duke44.0Under
201409/06Troy17Duke34DukeDuke -18Troy0
201309/28Duke38Troy31DukeDuke -10Troy0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Duke310 Overs
Troy021 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 12 - 10 - 12 - 0
Road Teams1 - 21 - 20 - 21 - 0

Troy Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2023Birmingham Bowl Troy vs Duke-7.044.0L 10 - 17
2022Cure Bowl Troy vs UTSA-2.055.5W 18 - 12
2018General Bowl Troy vs Buffalo+2.050.5W 42 - 32
2017Orleans Bowl Troy vs North Texas-5.561.5W 50 - 30
Duke Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2023Birmingham Bowl Duke vs Troy+7.044.0W 17 - 10
2022Military Bowl Duke vs UCF-3.563.0W 30 - 13
2018Independence Bowl Duke vs Temple+3.556.5W 56 - 27
2017Lane Bowl Duke vs Northern Illinois-4.548.0W 36 - 14
  
(#35) Troy Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 5.08 #35
Offense Rating: 16.62 #64
Defense Rating: 1.67 #14
Overall SP+ Rating: 10.4 #26
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #34
Defense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #26
Talent Rating: 344.00 #123
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 10.00 - 4.00

Troy has played in 3 Bowls in the last 5 years (2 - 1)
Troy has played in 10 Bowls since 2000 (6 - 4)
Troy     Ratings Matchup     Duke
Power #35
#40
Off #64
#48
Def #14
#59
Talent #123
#48
SP+ #26
#29
SP+ Off #34
#53
SP+ Def #26
#25

Rematch from Week 1
Troy 7.0 (44.0)
Duke won vs Troy this year (17-10)

Previous Matchups
Duke beat Troy in 2023 (17-10)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Protective Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 68° - Wind: 10 mph


Team Information
Injuries: TROY | DUKE
Depth Chart: TROY | DUKE
Rosters: TROY | DUKE
(#40) Duke Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 4.24 #40
Offense Rating: 18.55 #48
Defense Rating: 8.88 #59
Overall SP+ Rating: 9.5 #29
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #53
Defense SP+ Rating: 20.3 #25
Talent Rating: 702.00 #48
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #69
Expected Record: 7.00 - 6.00

Duke has played in 4 Bowls in the last 5 years (3 - 1)
Duke has played in 9 Bowls since 2000 (5 - 4)




  
Troy's OC Joe Craddock
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Duke's OC Kevin Johns
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

Troy's DC Greg Gasparato
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Duke's DC Tyler Santucci
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD