North Carolina vs West Virginia Game Matchup

North Carolina Tar Heels vs West Virginia Mountaineers

Wednesday, December 27th 2023 (5:30 PM EST)
West Virginia -4.5 (62.0) (-160) Open: -3.0 | 56.5
West Virginia 30 - North Carolina: 10 (Duke's Mayo Bowl)

Tar Heels (8 - 5) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Mack Brown (33 - 22)
Avg Score : 31 - 28 (27 - 21 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.2 - 3.8 (#22)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Bowl Game Opt OutsOur Line: North Carolina -6 (SP+ -5)
PPG only: UNC: 31 - WVU: 29 (60)
WVU Win prob: 64% | Cover: 49%
UNC Travel: 263 miles

Mountaineers (9 - 4) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Neal Brown (24 - 26)
Avg Score : 29 - 32 (28 - 31 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.3 - 5.7 (#54)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Bowls
Off Players
Def Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

North Carolina's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
Sat 9/2	North Carolina vs South Carolina	+2.5	63.5	W 31 - 17
Sat 9/9	North Carolina vs App State	-18.0	58.0	W 40 - 34
Sat 9/16	North Carolina vs Minnesota	-7.0	51.0	W 31 - 13
Sat 9/23	North Carolina at Pittsburgh	-7.0	49.5	W 41 - 24
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7	North Carolina vs Syracuse	-9.5	59.0	W 40 - 7
Sat 10/14	North Carolina vs Miami	-2.5	57.5	W 41 - 31
Sat 10/21	North Carolina vs Virginia	-24.0	58.0	L 27 - 31
Sat 10/28	North Carolina at Georgia Tech	-12.0	65.5	L 42 - 46
Sat 11/4	North Carolina vs Campbell	-45.5	68.5	W 59 - 7
Sat 11/11	North Carolina vs Duke	-9.5	52.5	W 47 - 45
Sat 11/18	North Carolina at Clemson	+7.5	58.0	L 20 - 31
Sat 11/25	North Carolina at NC State	-2.0	55.0	L 20 - 39
Wed 12/27	North Carolina vs West Virginia	+4.5	62.0	L 10 - 30

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

West Virginia's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
Sat 9/2	West Virginia at Penn State	+21.0	48.0	L 15 - 38
Sat 9/9	West Virginia vs Duquesne	-38.5	55.5	W 56 - 17
Sat 9/16	West Virginia vs Pittsburgh	-2.5	48.0	W 17 - 6
Sat 9/23	West Virginia vs Texas Tech	+6.0	53.5	W 20 - 13
Sat 9/30	West Virginia at TCU	+14.0	52.0	W 24 - 21
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/12	West Virginia at Houston	-3.0	49.5	L 39 - 41
Sat 10/21	West Virginia vs Oklahoma State	-3.0	48.0	L 34 - 48
Sat 10/28	West Virginia at UCF	+6.5	59.5	W 41 - 28
Sat 11/4	West Virginia vs BYU	-13.0	48.5	W 37 - 7
Sat 11/11	West Virginia at Oklahoma	+13.5	59.5	L 20 - 59
Sat 11/18	West Virginia vs Cincinnati	-4.5	52.5	W 42 - 21
Sat 11/25	West Virginia at Baylor	-6.5	53.5	W 34 - 31
Wed 12/27	West Virginia vs North Carolina	-4.5	62.0	W 30 - 10

UNC's OC Chip Lindsey vs WVU's DC ShaDon Brown WVU's OC Chad Scott vs UNC's DC Gene Chizik

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UNC	.3	46%	30.9	45%	3.18	153	47%	309	4.47	.29	48%	28.1	49%	48%	4.51	55.3	1	1.1
WVU	.21	43%	29.2	45%	3.08	172	42%	227	4.2	.21	44%	31.9	45%	43%	3.8	53	1.5	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UNC		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
WVU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UNC Offense	14	30.9	27.2	46.2%	4.47	1	25	463	153	309	4.2	45%	55%	45%	47%	14%	.3
WVU Defense	12	31.9	31.3	44.3%	3.8	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	48%	52%	45%	43%	15%	.21

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UNC Defense	14	28.1	20.8	48.3%	4.51	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	51%	49%	49%	48%	12%	.29
WVU Offense	12	29.2	27.6	43.3%	4.2	1.5	23	398	172	227	4.6	48%	51%	45%	42%	15%	.21

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
North Carolina	14	29:55	24.6	46%	71%	6.1	55.3	1	1.1	3.4	1.2	1	29.7
West Virginia	12	31:19	23	41%	69%	6.4	53	1.5	1.3	5.7	2.2	2	26.9

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UNC Offense	14	45%	45%	36.4	153.4	4.2	24	.18	3.18	72%	10%	1
WVU Defense	12	48%	45%	-	-	-	-	.13	3.07	76%	10%	0.99

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UNC Defense	14	51%	49%	-	-	-	-	.18	3.25	79%	6%	0.87
WVU Offense	12	48%	45%	37.2	171.5	4.6	24	.2	3.08	70%	8%	1.01

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UNC Offense	14	55%	47%	24.6	37.5	309.3	8.3	12.6	38	7	.41	1.6	32%	40%	.5	4%	1.9
WVU Defense	12	52%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	4	.3	1.6	30%	32%	.36	4%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UNC Defense	14	49%	48%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.41	1.6	28%	31%	.4	6%	2.2
WVU Offense	12	51%	42%	21.3	35.5	226.7	6.4	10.7	20	12	.24	1.5	30%	34%	.32	7%	1.8

North Carolina's Power Ratings
North Carolina's Power Rating: 9.47 #25
North Carolina's Offense Rating: 22.89 #20
North Carolina's Defense Rating: 10.64 #81
2023 Talent Rating: 948.00 #16
Blue Chip Ratio: 44% #18
North Carolina's 2023 Expected Record: 9.20 - 3.80
North Carolina's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.2 #27
North Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.8 #13
North Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.4 #71

North Carolina's SP+ Ratings
North Carolina's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.2 #27
North Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.8 #13
North Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.4 #71

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 758.94
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
North Carolina: 9.47 West Virginia: 3.47

SP+ Ratings Matchup
North Carolina: 10.2 West Virginia: 5.4

West Virginia's Power Ratings
West Virginia's Power Rating: 3.47 #45
West Virginia's Offense Rating: 20.84 #32
West Virginia's Defense Rating: 11.21 #88
2023 Talent Rating: 710.00 #44
Blue Chip Ratio: 11 #43
West Virginia's 2023 Expected Record: 7.30 - 5.70

West Virginia's SP+ Ratings
West Virginia's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.4 #44
West Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.2 #38
West Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.4 #63

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 676
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

North Carolina Scoring
Offense: 30.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.2
Defense: 28.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 20.8

North Carolina's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
North Carolina 31
West Virginia 29

Projected Total Points: 60

West Virginia Scoring
Offense: 29.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.6
Defense: 31.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 31.3

West Virginia's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	12/27	West Virginia	30	North Carolina	10	West Virginia	West Virginia -4.5	West Virginia	62.0	Under
2008	12/27	North Carolina	30	West Virginia	31	West Virginia

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
West Virginia	2	1	0 Overs
North Carolina	0	0	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 1	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	1 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1

North Carolina Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2023	Mayo Bowl	North Carolina vs West Virginia	+4.5	62.0	L 10 - 30
2022	Holiday Bowl	North Carolina vs Oregon	+13.0	76.0	L 27 - 28
2021	Mayo Bowl	North Carolina vs South Carolina	-12.5	57.5	L 21 - 38
2020	Orange Bowl	North Carolina vs Texas A&M	+7.0	67.5	L 27 - 41
2019	Military Bowl	North Carolina vs Temple	-6.0	56.5	W 55 - 13

West Virginia Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2023	Mayo Bowl	West Virginia vs North Carolina	-4.5	62.0	W 30 - 10
2021	Rate Bowl	West Virginia vs Minnesota	+5.0	44.5	L 6 - 18
2020	Liberty Bowl	West Virginia vs Army	-9.5	40.5	W 24 - 21
2018	World Bowl	West Virginia vs Syracuse	+3.0	67.5	L 18 - 34
2017	Dallas Bowl	West Virginia vs Utah	+6.5	56.0	L 14 - 30

(#25) North Carolina Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 9.47 #25
Offense Rating: 22.89 #20
Defense Rating: 10.64 #81
Overall SP+ Rating: 10.2 #27
Offense SP+ Rating: 36.8 #13
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.4 #71
Talent Rating: 948.00 #16
Blue Chip Ratio: 44% #18
Expected Record: 9.20 - 3.80

North Carolina has played in 6 Bowls in the last 5 years (1 - 5)
North Carolina has played in 16 Bowls since 2000 (4 - 12)

North Carolina Ratings Matchup West Virginia

Power #25

#45

Off #20

#32

Def #81

#88

Talent #16

#44

SP+ #27

#44

SP+ Off #13

#38

SP+ Def #71

#63

Rematch from Week 1
West Virginia -4.5 (62.0)
West Virginia won vs North Carolina this year (30-10)

Previous Matchups
West Virginia beat North Carolina in 2023 (30-10)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bank of America Stadium
Conditions: Overcast
Temp: 57° - Wind: 6 mph

Team Information
Injuries: UNC | WVU
Depth Chart: UNC | WVU
Rosters: UNC | WVU

(#45) West Virginia Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 3.47 #45
Offense Rating: 20.84 #32
Defense Rating: 11.21 #88
Overall SP+ Rating: 5.4 #44
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.2 #38
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.4 #63
Talent Rating: 710.00 #44
Blue Chip Ratio: 11 #43
Expected Record: 7.30 - 5.70

West Virginia has played in 5 Bowls in the last 5 years (2 - 3)
West Virginia has played in 21 Bowls since 2000 (9 - 12)

North Carolina's OC Chip Lindsey

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

West Virginia's OC Chad Scott

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

North Carolina's DC Gene Chizik

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

West Virginia's DC ShaDon Brown

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD