Toledo vs Wyoming Game Matchup
Toledo logo Toledo Rockets vs Wyoming CowboysWyoming logo
Saturday, December 30th 2023 (4:30 PM EST)
Wyoming -4.5 (43.5) (-130)  Open: -2.0 | 46.0
Wyoming 16 - Toledo: 15  (Barstool Sports Arizona Bowl)

 
Rockets (11 - 3) (7 - 7 - 0)
Coach Jason Candle (56 - 33)
Avg Score : 28 - 23 (22 - 21 on Road)
Record Prediction: 11.1 - 2.9 (#4)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Bowl Game Opt OutsOur Line: Toledo -8    (SP+ -8)
PPG only: TOL: 28 - WYO: 21 (49)
WYO Win prob: 64% | Cover: 49%
TOL Travel: 1134 miles, 2 hrs ahead
Cowboys (9 - 4) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach Craig Bohl (54 - 57)
Avg Score : 19 - 28 (20 - 24 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.1 - 5.9 (#59)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Toledo's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 9/2 Toledo at Illinois+7.045.5L 28 - 30
Sat 9/9 Toledo vs Texas Southern-40.561.0W 71 - 3
Sat 9/16 Toledo vs San José State-9.056.5W 21 - 17
Sat 9/23 Toledo vs Western Michigan-21.552.5W 49 - 31
Sat 9/30 Toledo vs Northern Illinois-13.048.0W 35 - 33
Sat 10/7 Toledo at Massachusetts-19.055.5W 41 - 24
Sat 10/14 Toledo at Ball State-17.548.5W 13 - 6
Sat 10/21 Toledo at Miami (OH)-2.046.5W 21 - 17
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/31 Toledo vs Buffalo-14.047.0W 31 - 13
Wed 11/8 Toledo vs Eastern Michigan-19.545.5W 49 - 23
Tue 11/14 Toledo at Bowling Green-9.548.5W 32 - 31
Fri 11/24 Toledo at Central Michigan-12.554.5W 32 - 17
Sat 12/2 Toledo vs Miami (OH)-8.546.0L 14 - 23
Sat 12/30 Toledo vs Wyoming+4.543.5L 15 - 16
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Wyoming's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 9/2 Wyoming vs Texas Tech+13.050.5W 35 - 33
Sat 9/9 Wyoming vs Portland State-28.051.0W 31 - 17
Sat 9/16 Wyoming at Texas+31.048.5L 10 - 31
Sat 9/23 Wyoming vs App State-3.045.0W 22 - 19
Sat 9/30 Wyoming vs New Mexico-14.540.5W 35 - 26
Sat 10/7 Wyoming vs Fresno State+5.543.0W 24 - 19
Sat 10/14 Wyoming at Air Force+12.542.0L 27 - 34
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 Wyoming at Boise State+4.548.5L 7 - 32
Fri 11/3 Wyoming vs Colorado State-6.041.0W 24 - 15
Fri 11/10 Wyoming at UNLV+2.548.5L 14 - 34
Sat 11/18 Wyoming vs Hawai'i-13.545.5W 42 - 9
Sat 11/25 Wyoming at Nevada-11.042.0W 42 - 6
Sat 12/30 Wyoming vs Toledo-4.543.5W 16 - 15
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

TOL's OC Mike Hallett vs WYO's DC Jay Sawvel     WYO's OC Tim Polasek vs TOL's DC Vince Kehres

Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TOL.1943%28.344%317843%2254.23.0734%23.236%34%3.9755.41.91.6
WYO.1241%19.346%3.2618135%1323.65.1741%28.346%37%3.937.51.21.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TOL0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
WYO0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TOL Offense1428.322.242.8%4.231.9224031782254.355%44%44%43%16%.19
WYO Defense1328.323.541.1%3.91.4 - - - - - 47%52%46%37%14%.17
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TOL Defense1423.221.334.2%3.971.6 - - - - - 51%48%36%34%18%.07
WYO Offense1319.32040.7%3.651.2163141811324.959%40%46%35%15%.12

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Toledo1429:312241%59%6.755.41.91.65.52.2229.6
Wyoming1329:061635%29%4.337.51.21.45.12.8228.5
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TOL Offense1455%44%41.4177.84.323.14376%10%0.92
WYO Defense1347%46% - - - - .173.3881%9%0.94
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TOL Defense1451%36% - - - - .13.0483%10%1.08
WYO Offense1359%46%36.8181.44.916.223.2665%8%1.02

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TOL Offense1444%43%17.631.4224.97.212.83115.351.732%30%.325%2.2
WYO Defense1352%37% - - - - - - 6.191.635%30%.335%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TOL Defense1448%34% - - - - - - 12.081.637%23%.098%2
WYO Offense1340%35%1223.4132.25.7111112.051.429%25%.167%1.7

Toledo's Power Ratings
Toledo's Power Rating: 7.27 #29
Toledo's Offense Rating: 21.47 #30
Toledo's Defense Rating: 4.60 #24
2023 Talent Rating: 536.00 #82
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Toledo's 2023 Expected Record: 11.10 - 2.90
Toledo's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.0 #51
Toledo's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #65
Toledo's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #35

Toledo's SP+ Ratings
Toledo's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.0 #51
Toledo's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #65
Toledo's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #35

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 506.5
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Toledo: 7.27   Wyoming: -0.77

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Toledo: 4.0   Wyoming: -3.8




Wyoming's Power Ratings
Wyoming's Power Rating: -0.77 #68
Wyoming's Offense Rating: 17.46 #57
Wyoming's Defense Rating: 9.21 #63
2023 Talent Rating: 516.00 #85
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #69
Wyoming's 2023 Expected Record: 7.10 - 5.90

Wyoming's SP+ Ratings
Wyoming's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.8 #78
Wyoming's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.0 #81
Wyoming's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.6 #65

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 492.67
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78


Toledo Scoring
Offense: 28.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.2
Defense: 23.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.3

Toledo's 2023 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Toledo 28
Wyoming 21

Projected Total Points: 49
Wyoming Scoring
Offense: 19.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 20
Defense: 28.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 23.5

Wyoming's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 1


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202312/30Wyoming16Toledo15WyomingWyoming -4.5Toledo43.5Under
201209/08Wyoming31Toledo34Toledo
201010/02Toledo15Wyoming20Wyoming
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Wyoming200 Overs
Toledo111 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 20 - 10 - 10 - 0
Road Teams2 - 11 - 00 - 01 - 0

Toledo Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2023Arizona Bowl Toledo vs Wyoming+4.543.5L 15 - 16
2022Raton Bowl Toledo vs Liberty-4.051.5W 21 - 19
2021Bahamas Bowl Toledo vs Middle Tennessee-10.050.0L 24 - 31
2018Bahamas Bowl Toledo vs Florida International-7.057.5L 32 - 35
2017General Bowl Toledo vs App State-6.061.5L 0 - 34
Wyoming Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2023Arizona Bowl Wyoming vs Toledo-4.543.5W 16 - 15
2022Arizona Bowl Wyoming vs Ohio+3.043.0L 27 - 30
2021Potato Bowl Wyoming vs Kent State-3.061.0W 52 - 38
2019N/A Wyoming vs Georgia State-7.549.5W 38 - 17
2017Potato Bowl Wyoming vs Central Michigan-1.044.5W 37 - 14
  
(#29) Toledo Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 7.27 #29
Offense Rating: 21.47 #30
Defense Rating: 4.60 #24
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.0 #51
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #65
Defense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #35
Talent Rating: 536.00 #82
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 11.10 - 2.90

Toledo has played in 5 Bowls in the last 5 years (2 - 3)
Toledo has played in 16 Bowls since 2000 (7 - 9)
Toledo     Ratings Matchup     Wyoming
Power #29
#68
Off #30
#57
Def #24
#63
Talent #82
#85
SP+ #51
#78
SP+ Off #65
#81
SP+ Def #35
#65

Rematch from Week 1
Wyoming -4.5 (43.5)
Wyoming won vs Toledo this year (16-15)

Previous Matchups
Wyoming beat Toledo in 2023 (16-15)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Arizona Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 74° - Wind: 11 mph


Team Information
Injuries: TOL | WYO
Depth Chart: TOL | WYO
Rosters: TOL | WYO
(#68) Wyoming Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -0.77 #68
Offense Rating: 17.46 #57
Defense Rating: 9.21 #63
Overall SP+ Rating: -3.8 #78
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.0 #81
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.6 #65
Talent Rating: 516.00 #85
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #69
Expected Record: 7.10 - 5.90

Wyoming has played in 4 Bowls in the last 5 years (3 - 1)
Wyoming has played in 9 Bowls since 2000 (6 - 3)




  
Toledo's OC Mike Hallett
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Wyoming's OC Tim Polasek
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Toledo's DC Vince Kehres
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Wyoming's DC Jay Sawvel
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