Middle Tennessee at Ole Miss Game Matchup

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders at Ole Miss Rebels

Saturday, September 7th 2024 (4:15 PM EDT)
Ole Miss -42.5 (60.5) (0) Open: -41.0 | 63.5
Ole Miss 52 - Middle Tennessee: 3

Blue Raiders (3 - 9) (3 - 8 - 0)
Coach Derek Mason (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 18 - 34 (14 - 36 on Road)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Wind: 13.7 MPHMISS 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -2 (SP+ -52)
PPG only: MTSU: 16 - MISS: 37 (53)
MISS Win prob: 100% | Cover: 56%
MTSU Travel: 206 miles

Rebels (10 - 3) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Lane Kiffin (34 - 15)
Avg Score : 39 - 14 (40 - 11 @ Home)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Off Players
Def Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Middle Tennessee's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
Sat 8/31	Middle Tennessee vs Tennessee Tech			W 32 - 25
Sat 9/7	Middle Tennessee at Ole Miss	+42.5	60.5	L 3 - 52
Sat 9/14	Middle Tennessee vs Western Kentucky	+10.5	53.5	L 21 - 49
Sat 9/21	Middle Tennessee vs Duke	+14.5	51.0	L 17 - 45
Sat 9/28	Middle Tennessee at Memphis	+27.0	62.0	L 7 - 24
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/10	Middle Tennessee at Louisiana Tech	+5.0	48.0	L 21 - 48
Tue 10/15	Middle Tennessee vs Kennesaw State	-8.5	50.0	W 14 - 5
Wed 10/23	Middle Tennessee at Jacksonville State	+20.5	64.5	L 20 - 42
Sat 11/2	Middle Tennessee at UTEP	+2.0	48.0	W 20 - 13
Sat 11/9	Middle Tennessee vs Liberty	+12.5	54.5	L 17 - 37
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23	Middle Tennessee vs New Mexico State	-3.5	54.0	L 21 - 36
Sat 11/30	Middle Tennessee vs Florida International	+9.5	50.5	L 24 - 35

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Ole Miss's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
Sat 8/31	Ole Miss vs Furman	-45.5	58.5	W 76 - 0
Sat 9/7	Ole Miss vs Middle Tennessee	-42.5	60.5	W 52 - 3
Sat 9/14	Ole Miss at Wake Forest	-20.5	65.5	W 40 - 6
Sat 9/21	Ole Miss vs Georgia Southern	-35.0	68.5	W 52 - 13
Sat 9/28	Ole Miss vs Kentucky	-15.0	51.5	L 17 - 20
Sat 10/5	Ole Miss at South Carolina	-10.0	53.0	W 27 - 3
Sat 10/12	Ole Miss at LSU	-3.5	64.5	L 26 - 29
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/26	Ole Miss vs Oklahoma	-19.0	50.0	W 26 - 14
Sat 11/2	Ole Miss at Arkansas	-8.0	54.0	W 63 - 31
Sat 11/9	Ole Miss vs Georgia	+1.5	54.5	W 28 - 10
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23	Ole Miss at Florida	-13.0	57.5	L 17 - 24
Fri 11/29	Ole Miss vs Mississippi State	-26.5	63.5	W 26 - 14
Thu 1/2	Ole Miss vs Duke	-17.5	50.5	W 52 - 20

MTSU's OC Bodie Reeder vs MISS's DC Pete Golding MISS's OC Charlie Weis Jr. vs MTSU's DC Brian Stewart

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MTSU	#95 (.14)	39% (104)	18.1	41% (93)	3.08 (74)	126	39% (94)	266	3.2 (115)	#60 (.17)	43% (81)	34.3	45% (88)	42% (78)	4.13 (100)	56.3	1.8	1.3
MISS	#30 (.28)	44% (44)	38.6	44% (54)	2.94 (100)	176	45% (31)	286	4.72 (13)	#68 (.18)	42% (62)	14.4	43% (74)	41% (54)	3.64 (55)	59.1	0.5	1.4

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MTSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
MISS		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MTSU Offense	12	18.1	14.2	39.4%	3.2	1.8	19	391	126	266	3.9	42%	57%	41%	39%	17%	.14
MISS Defense	13	14.4	10.6	41.6%	3.64	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	50%	49%	43%	41%	18%	.18

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MTSU Defense	12	34.3	35.8	42.9%	4.13	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	47%	52%	45%	42%	17%	.17
MISS Offense	13	38.6	39.6	44.4%	4.72	0.5	23	462	176	286	4.3	54%	45%	44%	45%	15%	.28

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Middle Tennessee	12	28:32	19.3	40%	45%	6.8	56.3	1.8	1.3	5.8	1.9	0	28.8
Ole Miss	13	27:43	23.5	37%	69%	7.2	59.1	0.5	1.4	5.9	2.6	1	29

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MTSU Offense	12	42% (117)	41% (93)	32	125.5	3.9	13 (108)	.1 (93)	3.08 (74)	79% (22)	11% (95)	1.08 (28)
MISS Defense	13	50% (62)	43% (74)	-	-	-	-	.14 (70)	3.21 (96)	86% (127)	11% (30)	0.98 (58)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MTSU Defense	12	47% (30)	45% (88)	-	-	-	-	.06 (24)	2.97 (43)	71% (57)	10% (65)	0.85 (13)
MISS Offense	13	54% (37)	44% (54)	41.1	176.5	4.3	29 (22)	.17 (60)	2.94 (100)	70% (95)	11% (80)	1.05 (44)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MTSU Offense	12	57% (18)	39% (94)	24.6	36.5	265.6	7.3	10.8	23 (51)	13 (97)	.24 (84)	1.6 (59)	34% (101)	26% (110)	.24 (94)	6% (70)	2.3 (6)
MISS Defense	13	49% (70)	41% (54)	-	-	-	-	-	-	13 (26)	.26 (59)	1.6 (79)	32% (65)	27% (26)	.23 (31)	7% (43)	2 (35)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MTSU Defense	12	52% (104)	42% (78)	-	-	-	-	-	-	8 (100)	.31 (96)	1.5 (47)	30% (104)	32% (90)	.35 (88)	7% (31)	2.2 (100)
MISS Offense	13	45% (97)	45% (31)	19.7	30.4	285.6	9.4	14.5	26 (31)	6 (14)	.45 (17)	1.7 (21)	32% (72)	33% (55)	.43 (39)	5% (22)	2.2 (28)

Middle Tennessee's Power Ratings
Middle Tennessee's Power Rating: #NR
Middle Tennessee's Offense Rating: #NR
Middle Tennessee's Defense Rating: #NR
2024 Talent Rating: 394.00 #119
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Middle Tennessee's 2024 Expected Record: -
Middle Tennessee's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -24.4 #131
Middle Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 13.7 #131
Middle Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.3 #122

Middle Tennessee's SP+ Ratings
Middle Tennessee's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -24.4 #131
Middle Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 13.7 #131
Middle Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.3 #122

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 378
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Middle Tennessee: Ole Miss: 2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Middle Tennessee: -24.4 Ole Miss: 27.9

Ole Miss's Power Ratings
Ole Miss's Power Rating: 2 #NR
Ole Miss's Offense Rating: #NR
Ole Miss's Defense Rating: #NR
2024 Talent Rating: 848.00 #21
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #NR
Ole Miss's 2024 Expected Record: -

Ole Miss's SP+ Ratings
Ole Miss's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 27.9 #2
Ole Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.7 #7
Ole Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 11.9 #3

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 901
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Middle Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 18.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 14.2
Defense: 34.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.8

Middle Tennessee's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 7 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Ole Miss 37
Middle Tennessee 16

Projected Total Points: 53

Ole Miss Scoring
Offense: 38.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 39.6
Defense: 14.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 10.6

Ole Miss's 2024 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	09/07	Ole Miss	52	Middle Tennessee	3	Ole Miss	Ole Miss -42.5	Ole Miss	60.5	Under
2001	10/20	Ole Miss	45	Middle Tennessee	17	Ole Miss

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Ole Miss	2	1	0 Overs
Middle Tennessee	0	0	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 2	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1

(#NR) Middle Tennessee Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: -24.4 #131
Offense SP+ Rating: 13.7 #131
Defense SP+ Rating: 37.3 #122
Talent Rating: 394.00 #119
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Expected Record: -

Middle Tennessee Notes
(8/3) Will start 1-4, watch after bye on Oct 3
(10/22) Def stop rate 49% (#120) into week 9
(10/16) #3 Worst Rgame/OL in CFB. Ken St. dominated
(10/15) Given up 19 sacks, most in CUSA through week 8
(10/10) Killed by L.Tech, Def shreaded, Rgame awful
(10/4) Sched been brutal but Run Off/Def near bottom
(9/5) Lost best OL C Pierce (leg) for the season
(8/3) Def will be near last vs run, DL just poor

Middle Tennessee Ratings Matchup Ole Miss

Power #NR

#NR

Off #NR

#NR

Def #NR

#NR

Talent #119

#21

SP+ #131

SP+ Off #131

SP+ Def #122

Rematch from Week 2
Ole Miss -42.5 (60.5)
Ole Miss won vs Middle Tennessee this year (52-3)

Previous Matchups
Ole Miss beat Middle Tennessee last year (52-3)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Vaught-Hemingway Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 80° - Wind: 14 mph

Team Information
Injuries: MTSU | MISS
Depth Chart: MTSU | MISS
Rosters: MTSU | MISS

(#NR) Ole Miss Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 2 #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: 27.9 #2
Offense SP+ Rating: 37.7 #7
Defense SP+ Rating: 11.9 #3
Talent Rating: 848.00 #21
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #NR
Expected Record: -

Ole Miss Notes
(11/29) Rgame good enough for Egg Bowl win. Dart meh
(11/23) Gagged season @ UF, 3 TO's, short yd disasters
(11/13) Killed UGA, Def great, Dart tough, Off good
(11/7) WR Harris likely play vs UGA but limited
(11/7) RB1 Parrish out for the Georgia game
(10/21) LSU only Off faced > 60, Ark,UGA,UF to go
(10/21) Even w/ LSU, 12 flags, 2 TOs, Dart meh cost em
(10/13) Season meltdown @ LSU. Dart avg, Def gagged

Middle Tennessee's OC Bodie Reeder

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Nick Vattiato	269	418	64%	3092	16	10	7.4
Roman Gagliano	4	9	44%	41	0	0	4.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jaiden Credle	109	471	4	4.3	66
Jekail Middlebrook	60	273	2	4.6	24
Terry Wilkins	54	214	1	4.0	23
Nick Vattiato	86	77	1	0.9	16

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Holden Willis	53	871	6	16.4	61
Omari Kelly	53	869	4	16.4	71
Myles Butler	30	366	3	12.2	61
Cam'Ron Lacy	20	190	0	9.5	44

Ole Miss's OC Charlie Weis Jr.

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jaxson Dart	276	398	69%	4279	29	6	10.8
Austin Simmons	19	32	59%	282	2	0	8.8

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Henry Parrish Jr.	131	693	10	5.3	42
Jaxson Dart	124	495	3	4.0	35
Ulysses Bentley IV	84	419	5	5.0	89
Matt Jones	43	211	3	4.9	46

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Tre Harris	61	1063	7	17.4	70
Jordan Watkins	49	906	9	18.5	75
Cayden Lee	57	874	2	15.3	58
Antwane Wells Jr.	28	553	6	19.8	66

Middle Tennessee's DC Brian Stewart

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Xavier Williams	75	3	0	0	3
Parker Hughes	69	2	0	1	0
Anthony Bynum	60	7	3	1	1
Jalen Davis	52	5	2	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Brandon Buckner	37	4	3	5	0
Anthony Bynum	60	7	3	1	1
Aidan Butts	10	2	2	0	2
Jalen Davis	52	5	2	0	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Tyrell Raby	16	0	6
Marvae Myers-Glover	41	1	4
Xavier Williams	75	3	3

Ole Miss's DC Pete Golding

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Chris Paul Jr.	87	12	4	9	4
TJ Dottery	77	6	3	4	1
Trey Washington	64	4	0	2	7
Suntarine Perkins	60	14	11	8	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Suntarine Perkins	60	14	11	8	0
Princely Umanmielen	37	14	11	13	0
Jared Ivey	41	10	8	8	3
Walter Nolen	47	13	6	4	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Trey Amos	50	4	0	13
Jadon Canady	38	3	0	11
Trey Washington	64	4	2	7