UCF at Florida Game Matchup
UCF logo UCF Knights at Florida GatorsFlorida logo
Saturday, October 5th 2024 (7:45 PM EDT)
UCF -1 (62.0) (-112)  Open: -1.0
Florida 24 - UCF: 13

 
Knights (4 - 8) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Gus Malzahn (24 - 16)
Avg Score : 30 - 27 (27 - 32 on Road)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Rain Predicted
FLA coming off BYE
Our Line: -2    (SP+ -11)
PPG only: UCF: 27 - FLA: 28 (55)
UCF Win prob: 48% | Cover: 46%
UCF Travel: 100 miles
Gators (8 - 5) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Billy Napier (11 - 14)
Avg Score : 28 - 23 (29 - 21 @ Home)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
UCF's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Thu 8/29 UCF vs New Hampshire-38.558.5W 57 - 3
Sat 9/7 UCF vs Sam Houston-21.553.5W 45 - 14
Sat 9/14 UCF at TCU+1.561.5W 35 - 34
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28 UCF vs Colorado-12.560.5L 21 - 48
Sat 10/5 UCF at Florida-1.062.0L 13 - 24
Sat 10/12 UCF vs Cincinnati-2.058.0L 13 - 19
Sat 10/19 UCF at Iowa State+13.049.5L 35 - 38
Sat 10/26 UCF vs BYU-2.553.5L 24 - 37
Sat 11/2 UCF vs Arizona-6.555.0W 56 - 12
Sat 11/9 UCF at Arizona State+2.555.5L 31 - 35
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 UCF at West Virginia-3.060.0L 21 - 31
Fri 11/29 UCF vs Utah-9.545.5L 14 - 28
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Florida's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 8/31 Florida vs Miami+2.554.5L 17 - 41
Sat 9/7 Florida vs Samford-38.555.5W 45 - 7
Sat 9/14 Florida vs Texas A&M+4.547.0L 20 - 33
Sat 9/21 Florida at Mississippi State-6.558.0W 45 - 28
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5 Florida vs UCF+1.062.0W 24 - 13
Sat 10/12 Florida at Tennessee+13.554.5L 17 - 23
Sat 10/19 Florida vs Kentucky+2.542.5W 48 - 20
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2 Florida vs Georgia+14.552.5L 20 - 34
Sat 11/9 Florida at Texas+24.548.5L 17 - 49
Sat 11/16 Florida vs LSU+3.057.0W 27 - 16
Sat 11/23 Florida vs Ole Miss+13.057.5W 24 - 17
Sat 11/30 Florida at Florida State-17.545.5W 31 - 11
Fri 12/20 Florida vs Tulane-10.050.5W 33 - 8
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

UCF's OC Tim Harris Jr. vs FLA's DC Austin Armstrong     FLA's OC Rob Sale vs UCF's DC Addison Williams

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UCF#16 (.31)45% (41)30.447% (27)3.28 (36)22843% (57)2593.76 (80)#58 (.16)47% (125)26.951% (128)43% (80)3.79 (69)50.11.41.2
FLA#39 (.27)44% (47)28.343% (63)3.11 (69)15245% (36)2574.7 (14)#106 (.24)38% (26)23.136% (15)40% (45)4.08 (93)49.610.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UCF0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
FLA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UCF Offense1330.42744.9%3.761.4234872282595.656%43%47%43%15%.31
FLA Defense1223.12137.9%4.080.6 - - - - - 50%49%36%40%16%.24
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UCF Defense1326.932.446.6%3.791.2 - - - - - 56%43%51%43%12%.16
FLA Offense1228.329.343.9%4.71224091522574.348%52%43%45%16%.27

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
UCF1328:5223.149%57%6.150.11.41.24.21.7026.6
Florida1233:0621.637%41%6.649.610.64.91.8026.4
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UCF Offense1356% (24)47% (27)40.7228.25.628 (25).24 (19)3.28 (36)71% (93)9% (48)1.14 (10)
FLA Defense1250% (71)36% (15) - - - - .16 (84)2.97 (44)59% (8)10% (62)1.28 (132)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UCF Defense1356% (121)51% (128) - - - - .23 (110)3.39 (117)81% (111)7% (127)0.99 (62)
FLA Offense1248% (88)43% (63)35.2151.64.321 (54).17 (59)3.11 (69)72% (85)12% (114)1 (64)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UCF Offense1343% (111)43% (57)17.628.2258.89.214.724 (41)11 (68).48 (12)1.9 (5)30% (30)37% (15).52 (17)6% (51)2.2 (27)
FLA Defense1249% (71)40% (45) - - - - - - 3 (132).35 (107)1.9 (129)34% (39)28% (37).34 (82)6% (82)2.3 (120)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UCF Defense1343% (11)43% (80) - - - - - - 12 (37).17 (17)1.4 (4)29% (120)34% (113).23 (33)5% (120)1.7 (1)
FLA Offense1252% (40)45% (36)23.432.4257.27.91120 (70)5 (6).37 (33)1.6 (76)32% (79)30% (74).43 (38)4% (13)2.1 (48)

UCF's Power Ratings
UCF's Power Rating: #NR
UCF's Offense Rating: #NR
UCF's Defense Rating: #NR
2024 Talent Rating: 796.00 #31
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
UCF's 2024 Expected Record: -
UCF's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.8 #61
UCF's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.0 #55
UCF's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.8 #61

UCF's SP+ Ratings
UCF's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.8 #61
UCF's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.0 #55
UCF's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.8 #61

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 719.13
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
UCF:    Florida: 2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UCF: 2.8   Florida: 13.8




Florida's Power Ratings
Florida's Power Rating: 2 #NR
Florida's Offense Rating: #NR
Florida's Defense Rating: #NR
2024 Talent Rating: 930.00 #15
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #NR
Florida's 2024 Expected Record: -

Florida's SP+ Ratings
Florida's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.8 #20
Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.7 #37
Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.0 #23

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 901
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


UCF Scoring
Offense: 30.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 27
Defense: 26.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.4

UCF's 2024 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Florida 28
UCF 27

Projected Total Points: 55
Florida Scoring
Offense: 28.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.3
Defense: 23.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 21

Florida's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/05Florida24UCF13FloridaUCF -1Florida62.0Under
202112/23Florida17UCF29UCFFlorida -7.0UCF56.0Under
200609/09Florida42UCF0Florida
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Florida210 Overs
UCF112 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 11 - 10 - 11 - 0
Road Teams1 - 21 - 10 - 11 - 0

(#NR) UCF Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: 2.8 #61
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.0 #55
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.8 #61
Talent Rating: 796.00 #31
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Expected Record: -


UCF Notes
(12/17) Hired Alex Grinch as DC? Why?
(12/7) Hired HC Scott Frost again (Rams analyst '24)
(12/2) HC Malzahn leaving for FSU OC job. Yikes
(11/23) Even w/ WVU, R Def faded, bad 3rd/4th cost
(11/13) WTF L to ASU, OG's them by 150, Off good
(11/13) ST's disaster vs ASU, blk punt TD, miss FG
(11/2) Found a QB, Rizk great vs Az, Rgame great TW
(10/28) DC Roof fired, co-dc Williams takes over
UCF     Ratings Matchup     Florida
Power #NR
#NR
Off #NR
#NR
Def #NR
#NR
Talent #31
#15
SP+ #61
#20
SP+ Off #55
#37
SP+ Def #61
#23

Rematch from Week 6
UCF 1.0 (62.0)
Florida won vs UCF this year (24-13)

Previous Matchups
Florida beat UCF last year (24-13)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Ben Hill Griffin Stadium
Conditions: Rain
Temp: 75° - Wind: 6 mph
Rain: 0.035


Team Information
Injuries: UCF | FLA
Depth Chart: UCF | FLA
Rosters: UCF | FLA
(#NR) Florida Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 2 #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: 13.8 #20
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.7 #37
Defense SP+ Rating: 20.0 #23
Talent Rating: 930.00 #15
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #NR
Expected Record: -


Florida Notes
(12/14) DC Armstrong to Hou after demoted (R Roberts)
(11/23) Fr RB Jaden Baugh has been a great find for UF
(11/23) Lagway 4-0 @ home, beat LSU/Miss finish
(11/23) OG'd by 100+ by Miss, forced 3 TO's, 4th D stops
(11/18) Killed by Texas w/o Lagway. Def torched bad
(11/18) Huge W vs LSU. Lagway special, Def held on
(10/14) QB Mertz out for season. Lagway time
(10/12) OG'd Tenn but 4-15 3rd down, 2 TOs, ST's costly




  
UCF's OC Tim Harris Jr.
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Dylan Rizk7311862%915527.8
KJ Jefferson6410859%1012749.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
RJ Harvey2321577226.880
Jacurri Brown5340147.667
Myles Montgomery5129335.725
Peny Boone3420826.159
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Kobe Hudson47770416.453
Randy Pittman32416213.048
Jacoby Jones22327214.940
RJ Harvey20267313.475
Florida's OC Rob Sale
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
D.J. Lagway11519260%191512910.0
Graham Mertz729477%791628.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jadan Baugh13367375.155
Montrell Johnson10059365.971
Ja'Kobi Jackson9350075.420
D.J. Lagway5110102.022
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Elijhah Badger39806420.777
Chimere Dike42783218.644
Eugene Wilson19266114.085
Hayden Hansen15207113.840

UCF's DC Addison Williams
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ethan Barr723022
Xe'Ree Alexander686032
Quadric Bullard613112
Deshawn Pace614001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nyjalik Kelly5310611
Malachi Lawrence156541
Daylan Dotson3110451
Ricky Barber345380
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Antoine Jackson131003
Braeden Marshall223003
Ethan Barr723022
Florida's DC Austin Armstrong
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Trikweze Bridges681005
Shemar James644223
Jack Pyburn604100
Jordan Castell551009
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tyreak Sapp4613750
George Gumbs369642
Caleb Banks217561
Jaden Robinson524410
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Castell551009
Trikweze Bridges681005
Jason Marshall Jr.202034