Missouri at Massachusetts Game Matchup
Missouri logo Missouri Tigers at Massachusetts MinutemenMassachusetts logo
Saturday, October 12th 2024 (12:00 PM EDT)
Missouri -27 (54.0) (-4000)  Open: -28.5
Missouri 45 - Massachusetts: 3

 
Tigers (10 - 3) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Eliah Drinkwitz (28 - 21)
Avg Score : 29 - 20 (25 - 26 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10 - 3 (#17)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Wind: 21.7 MPHMIZ 2nd straight Road Game
Our Line: Missouri -26    (SP+ -36)
PPG only: MIZ: 32 - UMASS: 22 (54)
MIZ Win prob: 98% | Cover: 56%
MIZ Travel: 1062 miles, 1 hrs behind
Minutemen (2 - 10) (6 - 5 - 1)
Coach Shane Montgomery (Int) (4 - 20)
Avg Score : 23 - 36 (27 - 32 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 2 - 10 (#128)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Missouri's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Thu 8/29 Missouri vs Murray State-50.562.5W 51 - 0
Sat 9/7 Missouri vs Buffalo-34.553.5W 38 - 0
Sat 9/14 Missouri vs Boston College-14.551.5W 27 - 21
Sat 9/21 Missouri vs Vanderbilt-17.552.0W 30 - 27
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5 Missouri at Texas A&M+3.047.5L 10 - 41
Sat 10/12 Missouri at Massachusetts-27.054.0W 45 - 3
Sat 10/19 Missouri vs Auburn-3.549.5W 21 - 17
Sat 10/26 Missouri at Alabama+16.051.5L 0 - 34
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 Missouri vs Oklahoma+3.541.5W 30 - 23
Sat 11/16 Missouri at South Carolina+10.542.5L 30 - 34
Sat 11/23 Missouri at Mississippi State-9.558.0W 39 - 20
Sat 11/30 Missouri vs Arkansas-3.551.5W 28 - 21
Mon 12/30 Missouri vs Iowa-1.041.0W 27 - 24
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Massachusetts's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 8/31 Massachusetts vs Eastern Michigan-2.549.0L 14 - 28
Sat 9/7 Massachusetts at Toledo+17.550.5L 23 - 38
Sat 9/14 Massachusetts at Buffalo+3.545.5L 3 - 34
Sat 9/21 Massachusetts vs Central Connecticut-19.552.0W 35 - 31
Sat 9/28 Massachusetts at Miami (OH)+15.544.5L 20 - 23
Sat 10/5 Massachusetts at Northern Illinois+14.041.0L 20 - 34
Sat 10/12 Massachusetts vs Missouri+27.054.0L 3 - 45
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/26 Massachusetts vs Wagner-23.048.0W 35 - 7
Sat 11/2 Massachusetts at Mississippi State+19.559.5L 20 - 45
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16 Massachusetts vs Liberty+17.053.0L 34 - 35
Sat 11/23 Massachusetts at Georgia+42.555.5L 21 - 59
Sat 11/30 Massachusetts vs UConn+9.549.5L 42 - 47
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

MIZ's OC Kirby Moore vs UMASS's DC Keith Dudzinski     UMASS's OC Shane Montgomery vs MIZ's DC Corey Batoon

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MIZ#21 (.29)46% (26)28.945% (48)3.06 (82)17248% (13)2614.51 (22)#47 (.15)37% (19)20.435% (13)39% (30)3.93 (81)54.20.71.5
UMASS#72 (.18)42% (68)22.545% (47)3.35 (21)14240% (86)2143.73 (82)#124 (.31)49% (132)35.553% (131)43% (92)4.31 (114)70.91.41.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MIZ0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UMASS0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MIZ Offense1328.924.846.1%4.510.7224331722614.554%46%45%48%13%.29
UMASS Defense1235.532.248.5%4.311.2 - - - - - 58%42%53%43%15%.31
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MIZ Defense1320.426.436.8%3.931.5 - - - - - 46%54%35%39%19%.15
UMASS Offense1222.527.242%3.731.4183561422144.451%48%45%40%21%.18

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Missouri1330:2421.543%73%7.254.20.71.56.12.8128.6
Massachusetts1229:4517.836%23%870.91.41.24.51.5226.5
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MIZ Offense1354% (40)45% (48)38.2171.84.525 (37).18 (50)3.06 (82)75% (52)9% (46)0.97 (84)
UMASS Defense1258% (130)53% (131) - - - - .34 (131)3.83 (133)85% (123)9% (89)1 (69)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MIZ Defense1346% (18)35% (13) - - - - .08 (33)2.74 (17)71% (56)13% (11)1.06 (97)
UMASS Offense1251% (59)45% (47)32.5142.24.419 (69).25 (18)3.35 (21)62% (125)14% (127)1.14 (11)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MIZ Offense1346% (93)48% (13)1928.9261.2913.723 (51)7 (21).44 (18)1.7 (42)31% (46)36% (21).46 (29)5% (16)2 (69)
UMASS Defense1242% (4)43% (92) - - - - - - 8 (100).31 (94)1.8 (122)29% (121)37% (125).47 (124)6% (90)1.9 (30)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MIZ Defense1354% (118)39% (30) - - - - - - 9 (87).23 (46)1.6 (58)36% (21)25% (15).18 (12)6% (64)1.9 (19)
UMASS Offense1248% (76)40% (86)17.729214.17.412.114 (106)11 (68).18 (99)1.5 (85)32% (62)33% (50).43 (35)7% (109)2.2 (36)

Missouri's Power Ratings
Missouri's Power Rating: 11.81 #26
Missouri's Offense Rating: 21.28 #55
Missouri's Defense Rating: 6.00 #33
2024 Talent Rating: 846.00 #22
Blue Chip Ratio: 25% #23
Missouri's 2024 Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0
Missouri's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.0 #19
Missouri's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.7 #23
Missouri's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.7 #20

Missouri's SP+ Ratings
Missouri's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.0 #19
Missouri's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.7 #23
Missouri's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.7 #20

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 901
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Missouri: 11.81   Massachusetts: -14.22

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Missouri: 14.0   Massachusetts: -21.9




Massachusetts's Power Ratings
Massachusetts's Power Rating: -14.22 #115
Massachusetts's Offense Rating: 19.80 #69
Massachusetts's Defense Rating: 17.13 #122
2024 Talent Rating: 496.00 #100
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
Massachusetts's 2024 Expected Record: 2.0 - 10.0

Massachusetts's SP+ Ratings
Massachusetts's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -21.9 #129
Massachusetts's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #110
Massachusetts's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.3 #129

Average Talent
Average FBS Independents Talent Rating is 641.33
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


Missouri Scoring
Offense: 28.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.8
Defense: 20.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 26.4

Missouri's 2024 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Missouri 32
Massachusetts 22

Projected Total Points: 54
Massachusetts Scoring
Offense: 22.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.2
Defense: 35.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 32.2

Massachusetts's 2024 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 1
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/12Massachusetts3Missouri45MissouriMissouri -27Missouri54.0Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Massachusetts000 Overs
Missouri111 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1
Road Teams1 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0

(#26) Missouri Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 11.81 #26
Offense Rating: 21.28 #55
Defense Rating: 6.00 #33
Overall SP+ Rating: 14.0 #19
Offense SP+ Rating: 33.7 #23
Defense SP+ Rating: 18.7 #20
Talent Rating: 846.00 #22
Blue Chip Ratio: 25% #23
Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0


Missouri Notes
(11/30) 3-1 finish. Even w/ Ark, forced 2 TOs, good 3rd Def
(11/24) Off OK vs Miss St, Def held 2-10 on 3rd downs
(11/18) Cook nearly beat SC, Run Def great, Pass D WTF?
(11/13) Off bad, Def good, great Pyne drive beat OU
(11/12) C Tollison (top in CFB) out for season
(10/27) Off is broken, all stats < '23. Cook/Rgame bad
(10/23) QB Brady Cook doubtful for Bama game (ankle)
(10/23) RB Noel doubtful for Bama game
Missouri     Ratings Matchup     Massachusetts
Power #26
#115
Off #55
#69
Def #33
#122
Talent #22
#100
SP+ #19
#129
SP+ Off #23
#110
SP+ Def #20
#129

Rematch from Week 7
Missouri 27.0 (54.0)
Missouri won at Massachusetts this year (45-3)

Previous Matchups
Missouri beat Massachusetts last year (45-3)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 72° - Wind: 22 mph


Team Information
Injuries: MIZ | UMASS
Depth Chart: MIZ | UMASS
Rosters: MIZ | UMASS
(#115) Massachusetts Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -14.22 #115
Offense Rating: 19.80 #69
Defense Rating: 17.13 #122
Overall SP+ Rating: -21.9 #129
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #110
Defense SP+ Rating: 40.3 #129
Talent Rating: 496.00 #100
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
Expected Record: 2.0 - 10.0


Massachusetts Notes
(12/18) Hired HC Joe Harasymiak (Rutgers DC)
(11/18) HC Brown fired, OC Montgomery interim
(11/18) 1-5 stretch, fight w/ Liberty, Rgame good
(9/14) Very competitive 0-2. Outgained Toledo by 100 yds
(8/11) Play Clanga/Mizzu/Liberty/UGA weeks 7-13
(7/30) Lost a ton via portal, did add some. Depth issues.
(7/30) HC Brown improving each year, could they bowl?
(7/30) OL portal rebuild, top 2 RB's portaled out




  
Missouri's OC Kirby Moore
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Brady Cook20032063%25251127.9
Drew Pyne498260%391334.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Nate Noel16381835.064
Marcus Carroll140595124.335
Brady Cook8722352.631
Jamal Roberts5321634.114
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Theo Wease60884414.770
Luther Burden III60666611.144
Marquis Johnson25352114.149
Brett Norfleet2623529.036
Massachusetts's OC Shane Montgomery
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Taisun Phommachanh13223456%1590866.8
AJ Hairston407355%480506.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jalen John11158355.368
C.J. Hester11952944.424
Taisun Phommachanh10731733.033
Brandon Campbell6123333.821
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jakobie Keeney-James51870617.175
Ty Harding18303516.858
Jacquon Gibson23270111.739
Sterling Galban2521008.421

Missouri's DC Corey Batoon
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Corey Flagg Jr.815110
Triston Newson727241
Marvin Burks Jr.662002
Daylan Carnell515006
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Johnny Walker43131041
Zion Young416353
Chris McClellan396332
Jahkai Lang122200
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Daylan Carnell515006
Joseph Charleston442004
Toriano Pride220004
Massachusetts's DC Keith Dudzinski
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jalen Stewart773312
Gerrell Johnson743122
Tyler Rudolph612003
Te'Rai Powell522001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Louce Julien437411
Kofi Asare306311
Jalen Stewart773312
Christian Lebrun222200
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Lake Ellis293005
Isaiah Rutherford81004
Tim Grant-Randall272003