Kentucky at Florida Game Matchup
Kentucky logo Kentucky Wildcats at Florida GatorsFlorida logo
Saturday, October 19th 2024 (7:45 PM EDT)
Kentucky -2.5 (42.5) (-130)  Open: -1.0
Florida 48 - Kentucky: 20  (SEC)

 
Wildcats (4 - 8) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Mark Stoops (73 - 65)
Avg Score : 21 - 22 (18 - 31 on Road)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: -2    (SP+ -8)
PPG only: UK: 22 - FLA: 25 (47)
UK Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
UK Travel: 592 miles
Gators (8 - 5) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Billy Napier (11 - 14)
Avg Score : 28 - 23 (29 - 21 @ Home)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Kentucky's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 8/31 Kentucky vs Southern Miss-25.550.5W 31 - 0
Sat 9/7 Kentucky vs South Carolina-9.541.5L 6 - 31
Sat 9/14 Kentucky vs Georgia+24.045.0L 12 - 13
Sat 9/21 Kentucky vs Ohio-19.042.0W 41 - 6
Sat 9/28 Kentucky at Ole Miss+15.051.5W 20 - 17
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 Kentucky vs Vanderbilt-12.544.5L 13 - 20
Sat 10/19 Kentucky at Florida-2.542.5L 20 - 48
Sat 10/26 Kentucky vs Auburn-2.043.5L 10 - 24
Sat 11/2 Kentucky at Tennessee+17.545.5L 18 - 28
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16 Kentucky vs Murray State-41.554.5W 48 - 6
Sat 11/23 Kentucky at Texas+18.547.0L 14 - 31
Sat 11/30 Kentucky vs Louisville+3.548.5L 14 - 41
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Florida's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 8/31 Florida vs Miami+2.554.5L 17 - 41
Sat 9/7 Florida vs Samford-38.555.5W 45 - 7
Sat 9/14 Florida vs Texas A&M+4.547.0L 20 - 33
Sat 9/21 Florida at Mississippi State-6.558.0W 45 - 28
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5 Florida vs UCF+1.062.0W 24 - 13
Sat 10/12 Florida at Tennessee+13.554.5L 17 - 23
Sat 10/19 Florida vs Kentucky+2.542.5W 48 - 20
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2 Florida vs Georgia+14.552.5L 20 - 34
Sat 11/9 Florida at Texas+24.548.5L 17 - 49
Sat 11/16 Florida vs LSU+3.057.0W 27 - 16
Sat 11/23 Florida vs Ole Miss+13.057.5W 24 - 17
Sat 11/30 Florida at Florida State-17.545.5W 31 - 11
Fri 12/20 Florida vs Tulane-10.050.5W 33 - 8
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

UK's OC Bush Hamdan vs FLA's DC Austin Armstrong     FLA's OC Rob Sale vs UK's DC Brad White

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UK#49 (.22)40% (93)20.641% (88)2.79 (118)12840% (83)2124.46 (23)#50 (.16)43% (87)22.142% (56)45% (116)3.95 (84)50.81.51.4
FLA#39 (.27)44% (47)28.343% (63)3.11 (69)15245% (36)2574.7 (14)#106 (.24)38% (26)23.136% (15)40% (45)4.08 (93)49.610.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UK0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
FLA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UK Offense1320.61840%4.461.5173391282124.943%55%41%40%18%.22
FLA Defense1223.12137.9%4.080.6 - - - - - 50%49%36%40%16%.24
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UK Defense1322.13143.3%3.951.4 - - - - - 48%51%42%45%14%.16
FLA Offense1228.329.343.9%4.71224091522574.348%52%43%45%16%.27

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Kentucky1327:3416.938%20%6.150.81.51.45.52629.3
Florida1233:0621.637%41%6.649.610.64.91.8026.4
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UK Offense1343% (108)41% (88)26.1127.74.918 (77).15 (71)2.79 (118)68% (106)11% (79)1.12 (17)
FLA Defense1250% (71)36% (15) - - - - .16 (84)2.97 (44)59% (8)10% (62)1.28 (132)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UK Defense1348% (46)42% (56) - - - - .1 (40)2.87 (29)70% (48)10% (75)0.87 (18)
FLA Offense1248% (88)43% (63)35.2151.64.321 (54).17 (59)3.11 (69)72% (85)12% (114)1 (64)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UK Offense1355% (26)40% (83)16.228.8211.67.41325 (37)11 (68).32 (54)1.7 (25)35% (114)28% (88).31 (77)8% (113)2.2 (19)
FLA Defense1249% (71)40% (45) - - - - - - 3 (132).35 (107)1.9 (129)34% (39)28% (37).34 (82)6% (82)2.3 (120)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UK Defense1351% (92)45% (116) - - - - - - 11 (53).23 (45)1.4 (11)31% (76)30% (70).39 (104)5% (114)2.1 (75)
FLA Offense1252% (40)45% (36)23.432.4257.27.91120 (70)5 (6).37 (33)1.6 (76)32% (79)30% (74).43 (38)4% (13)2.1 (48)

Kentucky's Power Ratings
Kentucky's Power Rating: #NR
Kentucky's Offense Rating: #NR
Kentucky's Defense Rating: #NR
2024 Talent Rating: 830.00 #26
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Kentucky's 2024 Expected Record: -
Kentucky's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.5 #45
Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.5 #88
Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.9 #26

Kentucky's SP+ Ratings
Kentucky's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.5 #45
Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.5 #88
Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.9 #26

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 901
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Kentucky:    Florida: 2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Kentucky: 5.5   Florida: 13.8




Florida's Power Ratings
Florida's Power Rating: 2 #NR
Florida's Offense Rating: #NR
Florida's Defense Rating: #NR
2024 Talent Rating: 930.00 #15
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #NR
Florida's 2024 Expected Record: -

Florida's SP+ Ratings
Florida's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.8 #20
Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.7 #37
Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.0 #23

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 901
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 20.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 18
Defense: 22.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 31

Kentucky's 2024 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Florida 25
Kentucky 22

Projected Total Points: 47
Florida Scoring
Offense: 28.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.3
Defense: 23.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 21

Florida's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/19Florida48Kentucky20FloridaKentucky -2.5Florida42.5Over
202309/30Kentucky33Florida14KentuckyKentucky -1Kentucky44.0Over
202209/10Florida16Kentucky26KentuckyFlorida -6Kentucky53.0Under
202110/02Kentucky20Florida13KentuckyFlorida -7.5Kentucky56.5Under
202011/28Florida34Kentucky10FloridaFlorida -23.5Florida60.5Under
201909/14Kentucky21Florida29FloridaFlorida -10Kentucky46.5Over
201809/08Florida16Kentucky27KentuckyFlorida -13.5Kentucky52.5Under
201709/23Kentucky27Florida28FloridaFlorida -3Kentucky44.0Over
201609/10Florida45Kentucky7FloridaFlorida -16.5Florida48.5Over
201509/19Kentucky9Florida14FloridaFlorida -4.5Florida52.5Under
201409/13Florida36Kentucky30FloridaFlorida -17Kentucky0
201309/28Kentucky7Florida24FloridaFlorida -12.5Florida0
201209/22Florida38Kentucky0Florida
201109/24Kentucky10Florida48Florida
201009/25Florida48Kentucky14Florida
200909/26Kentucky7Florida41Florida
200810/25Florida63Kentucky5Florida
200710/20Kentucky37Florida45Florida
200609/23Florida26Kentucky7Florida
200509/24Kentucky28Florida49Florida
200409/25Florida20Kentucky3Florida
200309/27Kentucky21Florida24Florida
200209/28Florida41Kentucky34Florida
200109/22Kentucky10Florida44Florida
200009/22Florida59Kentucky31Florida
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Florida2155 Overs
Kentucky475 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams13 - 127 - 53 - 34 - 2
Road Teams12 - 135 - 72 - 43 - 3

(#NR) Kentucky Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: 5.5 #45
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.5 #88
Defense SP+ Rating: 20.9 #26
Talent Rating: 830.00 #26
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Expected Record: -


Kentucky Notes
(11/23) 30 car, 21 yds vs Tex. QB Boley bad, Def fought
(10/30) UK on quit watch, bad body language past 2 L's
(10/27) Off broken, Haven't scored 21 pts in any SEC game
(10/16) Into UF wk, Stoops 5-8 in last 13 games
(10/13) Bad L (Vandy). Def good, QB v bad, Rgame Ok.
(9/28) Great W over Ole Miss. Rgame stopped, Pass good
(9/28) Run Def is great. Held Ole Miss 92 yds (3.2 ypc)
(9/15) OL/DL great vs UGA. Def good, Off bad, QB bad
Kentucky     Ratings Matchup     Florida
Power #NR
#NR
Off #NR
#NR
Def #NR
#NR
Talent #26
#15
SP+ #45
#20
SP+ Off #88
#37
SP+ Def #26
#23

Rematch from Week 8
Kentucky 2.5 (42.5)
Florida won vs Kentucky this year (48-20)

Previous Matchups
Florida beat Kentucky last year (48-20)
Kentucky beat Florida in 2023 (33-14)
Kentucky beat Florida in 2022 (26-16)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Ben Hill Griffin Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 68° - Wind: 9 mph


Team Information
Injuries: UK | FLA
Depth Chart: UK | FLA
Rosters: UK | FLA
(#NR) Florida Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 2 #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: 13.8 #20
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.7 #37
Defense SP+ Rating: 20.0 #23
Talent Rating: 930.00 #15
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #NR
Expected Record: -


Florida Notes
(12/14) DC Armstrong to Hou after demoted (R Roberts)
(11/23) Fr RB Jaden Baugh has been a great find for UF
(11/23) Lagway 4-0 @ home, beat LSU/Miss finish
(11/23) OG'd by 100+ by Miss, forced 3 TO's, 4th D stops
(11/18) Killed by Texas w/o Lagway. Def torched bad
(11/18) Huge W vs LSU. Lagway special, Def held on
(10/14) QB Mertz out for season. Lagway time
(10/12) OG'd Tenn but 4-15 3rd down, 2 TOs, ST's costly




  
Kentucky's OC Bush Hamdan
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Brock Vandagriff12521857%15931087.3
Cutter Boley265349%338246.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jamarion Wilcox9259026.450
Demie Sumo12958654.522
Gavin Wimsatt4918323.724
Brock Vandagriff9013101.522
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Dane Key47715215.242
Barion Brown29361312.463
Jay Maclin13313424.183
Demie Sumo2015407.718
Florida's OC Rob Sale
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
D.J. Lagway11519260%191512910.0
Graham Mertz729477%791628.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jadan Baugh13367375.155
Montrell Johnson10059365.971
Ja'Kobi Jackson9350075.420
D.J. Lagway5110102.022
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Elijhah Badger39806420.777
Chimere Dike42783218.644
Eugene Wilson19266114.085
Hayden Hansen15207113.840

Kentucky's DC Brad White
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jamon Dumas-Johnson677410
Jordan Lovett631001
Alex Afari Jr.6211211
Zion Childress556162
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
J.J. Weaver317441
Jamon Dumas-Johnson677410
Tre'Vonn Rybka345321
Octavious Oxendine205330
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Terhyon Nichols100005
Maxwell Hairston191104
J.Q. Hardaway470003
Florida's DC Austin Armstrong
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Trikweze Bridges681005
Shemar James644223
Jack Pyburn604100
Jordan Castell551009
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tyreak Sapp4613750
George Gumbs369642
Caleb Banks217561
Jaden Robinson524410
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Castell551009
Trikweze Bridges681005
Jason Marshall Jr.202034