Ball State at Vanderbilt Game Matchup

Ball State Cardinals at Vanderbilt Commodores

Saturday, October 19th 2024 (7:00 PM EDT)
Vanderbilt -27.5 (57.5) (-4500) Open: -24.5
Vanderbilt 24 - Ball State: 14

Davidson Weather
Current: Clear
Temp: 66°
Wind: 3 mph

Cardinals (3 - 9) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Collin Johnson (Int) (37 - 56)
Avg Score : 25 - 40 (23 - 45 on Road)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

BALL 2nd straight Road Game
Our Line: -2 (SP+ -25)
PPG only: BALL: 24 - VAN: 34 (58)
VAN Win prob: 97% | Cover: 53%
BALL Travel: 291 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Commodores (7 - 6) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Clark Lea (9 - 27)
Avg Score : 27 - 23 (30 - 24 @ Home)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Ball State's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/7	Ball State vs Missouri State	-2.5	50.5	W 42 - 34
Sat 9/14	Ball State at Miami	+36.5	55.5	L 0 - 62
Sat 9/21	Ball State at Central Michigan	+6.5	51.0	L 34 - 37
Sat 9/28	Ball State at James Madison	+22.0	56.5	L 7 - 63
Sat 10/5	Ball State vs Western Michigan	+10.0	57.5	L 42 - 45
Sat 10/12	Ball State at Kent State	-3.0	58.0	W 37 - 35
Sat 10/19	Ball State at Vanderbilt	+27.5	57.5	L 14 - 24
Sat 10/26	Ball State vs Northern Illinois	+13.5	47.5	W 25 - 23
	BYE WEEK
Tue 11/5	Ball State vs Miami (OH)	+12.5	48.5	L 21 - 27
Tue 11/12	Ball State at Buffalo	+3.5	55.5	L 48 - 51
Sat 11/23	Ball State vs Bowling Green	+12.5	54.5	L 13 - 38
Fri 11/29	Ball State at Ohio	+17.5	51.5	L 21 - 42

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Vanderbilt's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
Sat 8/31	Vanderbilt vs Virginia Tech	+13.5	53.5	W 34 - 27
Sat 9/7	Vanderbilt vs Alcorn State	-32.5	47.5	W 55 - 0
Sat 9/14	Vanderbilt at Georgia State	-8.5	45.5	L 32 - 36
Sat 9/21	Vanderbilt at Missouri	+17.5	52.0	L 27 - 30
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5	Vanderbilt vs Alabama	+23.5	53.5	W 40 - 35
Sat 10/12	Vanderbilt at Kentucky	+12.5	44.5	W 20 - 13
Sat 10/19	Vanderbilt vs Ball State	-27.5	57.5	W 24 - 14
Sat 10/26	Vanderbilt vs Texas	+17.0	50.5	L 24 - 27
Sat 11/2	Vanderbilt at Auburn	+7.5	48.0	W 17 - 7
Sat 11/9	Vanderbilt vs South Carolina	+6.0	44.5	L 7 - 28
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23	Vanderbilt at LSU	+10.0	53.0	L 17 - 24
Sat 11/30	Vanderbilt vs Tennessee	+9.5	45.5	L 23 - 36
Fri 12/27	Vanderbilt vs Georgia Tech	+3.0	49.0	W 35 - 27

BALL's OC Jared Elliott vs VAN's DC Clark Lea VAN's OC Tim Beck vs BALL's DC Jeff Knowles

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BALL	#97 (.14)	40% (95)	25.3	45% (50)	3.35 (22)	171	33% (127)	137	3.31 (105)	#70 (.18)	42% (66)	40.1	43% (65)	42% (70)	3.81 (70)	45.2	1.3	0.9
VAN	#127 (.05)	36% (123)	27.3	37% (124)	2.92 (103)	95	37% (109)	223	4.09 (50)	#131 (.33)	45% (106)	23.4	42% (59)	48% (131)	4.11 (98)	42.5	1.7	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BALL		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
VAN		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BALL Offense	12	25.3	23	39.8%	3.31	1.3	18	308	171	137	4.4	58%	41%	45%	33%	17%	.14
VAN Defense	12	23.4	23.9	44.8%	4.11	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	47%	52%	42%	48%	15%	.33

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BALL Defense	12	40.1	44.9	41.8%	3.81	0.9	-	-	-	-	-	48%	51%	43%	42%	17%	.18
VAN Offense	12	27.3	29.6	36.4%	4.09	1.7	17	319	95	223	3.3	42%	56%	37%	37%	22%	.05

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Ball State	12	32:44	18.1	38%	56%	5.2	45.2	1.3	0.9	5.7	2.1	0	28.8
Vanderbilt	12	28:46	17	33%	30%	4.9	42.5	1.7	1.3	5.4	1.8	3	29.5

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BALL Offense	12	58% (14)	45% (50)	39.3	171.4	4.4	15 (100)	.21 (38)	3.35 (22)	83% (8)	12% (112)	0.99 (70)
VAN Defense	12	47% (28)	42% (59)	-	-	-	-	.25 (119)	3.08 (61)	72% (60)	9% (90)	1.17 (122)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BALL Defense	12	48% (44)	43% (65)	-	-	-	-	.11 (45)	3.08 (62)	79% (102)	11% (35)	0.89 (23)
VAN Offense	12	42% (116)	37% (124)	29.2	95.3	3.3	10 (124)	-.01 (128)	2.92 (103)	74% (63)	12% (102)	0.96 (91)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BALL Offense	12	41% (119)	33% (127)	15.1	25.3	136.7	5.4	9.1	9 (126)	8 (30)	.05 (128)	1.4 (130)	33% (92)	24% (123)	.18 (110)	5% (25)	2 (104)
VAN Defense	12	52% (100)	48% (131)	-	-	-	-	-	-	12 (37)	.43 (126)	1.6 (56)	31% (88)	37% (126)	.46 (123)	5% (96)	1.9 (25)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BALL Defense	12	51% (93)	42% (70)	-	-	-	-	-	-	5 (126)	.27 (70)	1.5 (29)	32% (61)	28% (30)	.21 (20)	5% (97)	2 (39)
VAN Offense	12	56% (21)	37% (109)	18.1	32.5	223.3	6.9	12.4	23 (51)	13 (97)	.14 (113)	1.7 (30)	37% (130)	25% (113)	.1 (129)	10% (133)	2 (91)

Ball State's Power Ratings
Ball State's Power Rating: #NR
Ball State's Offense Rating: #NR
Ball State's Defense Rating: #NR
2024 Talent Rating: 514.00 #92
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Ball State's 2024 Expected Record: -
Ball State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -19.8 #126
Ball State's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #103
Ball State's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.8 #133

Ball State's SP+ Ratings
Ball State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -19.8 #126
Ball State's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #103
Ball State's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.8 #133

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 516.17
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Ball State: Vanderbilt: 2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ball State: -19.8 Vanderbilt: 4.9

Vanderbilt's Power Ratings
Vanderbilt's Power Rating: 2 #NR
Vanderbilt's Offense Rating: #NR
Vanderbilt's Defense Rating: #NR
2024 Talent Rating: 770.00 #35
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #NR
Vanderbilt's 2024 Expected Record: -

Vanderbilt's SP+ Ratings
Vanderbilt's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.9 #50
Vanderbilt's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.2 #60
Vanderbilt's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.4 #59

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 901
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Ball State Scoring
Offense: 25.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 23
Defense: 40.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 44.9

Ball State's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Vanderbilt 34
Ball State 24

Projected Total Points: 58

Vanderbilt Scoring
Offense: 27.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.6
Defense: 23.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 23.9

Vanderbilt's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	10/19	Vanderbilt	24	Ball State	14	Vanderbilt	Vanderbilt -27.5	Ball State	57.5	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Vanderbilt	1	0	0 Overs
Ball State	0	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	1 - 0	0 - 0	1 - 0

(#NR) Ball State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: -19.8 #126
Offense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #103
Defense SP+ Rating: 40.8 #133
Talent Rating: 514.00 #92
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Expected Record: -

Ball State Notes
(12/18) Hired HC Mike Uremovich (Butler)
(11/29) Fr QB Semonza good vs Ohio, 333 yds, 3/0 TD/Int
(11/16) HC Neu fired, OL Colin Johnson interim
(11/8) Good fight w/ M-O, Rgame abysmal, QB great
(10/22) Def stop rate 37% (#132) into week 9
(10/20) Good fight w/ Vandy, QB 21-29 for 190 yds?
(10/13) Shootout W over Kent St. Pass Def torched
(10/4) Sched brutal, Def CFB #133. Over every game.

Ball State Ratings Matchup Vanderbilt

Power #NR

#NR

Off #NR

#NR

Def #NR

#NR

Talent #92

#35

SP+ #126

#50

SP+ Off #103

#60

SP+ Def #133

#59

Rematch from Week 8
Vanderbilt -27.5 (57.5)
Vanderbilt won vs Ball State this year (24-14)

Previous Matchups
Vanderbilt beat Ball State last year (24-14)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Vanderbilt Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 59°

Team Information
Injuries: BALL | VAN
Depth Chart: BALL | VAN
Rosters: BALL | VAN

(#NR) Vanderbilt Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 2 #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.9 #50
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.2 #60
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.4 #59
Talent Rating: 770.00 #35
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #NR
Expected Record: -

Vanderbilt Notes
(11/24) Fight w/ LSU, Pavia OK but 2-10 on 3rd downs
(11/13) Off awful vs SC, only 274 yds, run out of gas?
(10/27) DL great vs Texas, Off < 250 yds, 3 TOs in L
(10/13) Def great vs UK, Pavia just enough run/pass
(10/6) OG'd Bama w/ 400+ yds, Run def great in upset W
(9/21) Great fight @ Mizzu. Pavia v limited but fun
(9/14) Def gave up 426 & 22 4th Q pts to lost @ Ga St
(9/1) Pavia fun, gritty. Big W over VT, 181 yds rushing

Ball State's OC Jared Elliott

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Kadin Semonza	275	427	64%	2900	25	10	6.8
Aidan Leffler	2	6	33%	6	0	0	1.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Braedon Sloan	150	597	4	4.0	40
Vaughn Pemberton	61	276	2	4.5	41
Cam Pickett	17	170	2	10.0	34
TJ Horton	23	107	0	4.7	17

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Tanner Koziol	94	839	8	8.9	33
Cam Pickett	49	528	2	10.8	65
Justin Bowick	20	383	3	19.2	57
Braedon Sloan	29	329	1	11.3	72

Vanderbilt's OC Tim Beck

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Diego Pavia	177	298	59%	2293	20	4	7.7
Nate Johnson	1	3	33%	12	0	0	4.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Diego Pavia	193	800	8	4.1	36
Sedrick Alexander	164	586	6	3.6	31
AJ Newberry	41	185	3	4.5	20
Nate Johnson	11	114	1	10.4	56

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Eli Stowers	49	638	5	13.0	41
Junior Sherrill	29	411	3	14.2	43
Quincy Skinner Jr.	29	367	3	12.7	63
Sedrick Alexander	23	238	1	10.3	38

Ball State's DC Jeff Knowles

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
George Udo	78	2	1	1	1
Keionte Newson	73	4	0	4	4
Riley Tolsma	59	9	6	8	1
Joey Stemler	56	6	2	6	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Riley Tolsma	59	9	6	8	1
Brandon Berger	38	10	5	9	4
Sam Feeney	7	3	3	0	0
Darin Conley	16	3	2	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Myles Norwood	38	2	0	0	5
Keionte Newson	73	4	0	4	4
Brandon Berger	38	10	5	9	4

Vanderbilt's DC Clark Lea

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Bryan Longwell	88	8	2	2	4
Langston Patterson	78	5	0	0	2
Randon Fontenette	72	8	3	0	7
CJ Taylor	64	3	0	1	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Nicholas Rinaldi	52	6	6	0	0
Khordae Sydnor	14	7	4	2	2
Randon Fontenette	72	8	3	0	7
Miles Capers	45	8	3	1	3

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Randon Fontenette	72	8	3	0	7
Bryan Longwell	88	8	2	2	4
Martel Hight	33	2	0	1	4