Missouri at Alabama Game Matchup

Saturday, October 26th 2024 (3:30 PM EDT)
Alabama -16 (51.5) (-700) Open: -8.5
Alabama 34 - Missouri: 0 (SEC)

Tigers (10 - 3) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Eliah Drinkwitz (28 - 21)
Avg Score : 29 - 20 (25 - 26 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10 - 3 (#17)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: Alabama -9 (SP+ -11)
PPG only: MIZ: 23 - ALA: 27 (50)
ALA Win prob: 88% | Cover: 54%
MIZ Travel: 477 miles

Crimson Tide (9 - 4) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Kalen DeBoer (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 34 - 17 (41 - 14 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#28)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Off Players
Def Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Missouri's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
Thu 8/29	Missouri vs Murray State	-50.5	62.5	W 51 - 0
Sat 9/7	Missouri vs Buffalo	-34.5	53.5	W 38 - 0
Sat 9/14	Missouri vs Boston College	-14.5	51.5	W 27 - 21
Sat 9/21	Missouri vs Vanderbilt	-17.5	52.0	W 30 - 27
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5	Missouri at Texas A&M	+3.0	47.5	L 10 - 41
Sat 10/12	Missouri at Massachusetts	-27.0	54.0	W 45 - 3
Sat 10/19	Missouri vs Auburn	-3.5	49.5	W 21 - 17
Sat 10/26	Missouri at Alabama	+16.0	51.5	L 0 - 34
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9	Missouri vs Oklahoma	+3.5	41.5	W 30 - 23
Sat 11/16	Missouri at South Carolina	+10.5	42.5	L 30 - 34
Sat 11/23	Missouri at Mississippi State	-9.5	58.0	W 39 - 20
Sat 11/30	Missouri vs Arkansas	-3.5	51.5	W 28 - 21
Mon 12/30	Missouri vs Iowa	-1.0	41.0	W 27 - 24

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Alabama's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
Sat 8/31	Alabama vs Western Kentucky	-31.0	60.0	W 63 - 0
Sat 9/7	Alabama vs South Florida	-33.5	65.5	W 42 - 16
Sat 9/14	Alabama at Wisconsin	-15.5	51.0	W 42 - 10
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28	Alabama vs Georgia	+2.0	50.0	W 41 - 34
Sat 10/5	Alabama at Vanderbilt	-23.5	53.5	L 35 - 40
Sat 10/12	Alabama vs South Carolina	-21.0	50.0	W 27 - 25
Sat 10/19	Alabama at Tennessee	-3.5	57.5	L 17 - 24
Sat 10/26	Alabama vs Missouri	-16.0	51.5	W 34 - 0
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9	Alabama at LSU	-2.5	57.5	W 42 - 13
Sat 11/16	Alabama vs Mercer	-42.0	58.5	W 52 - 7
Sat 11/23	Alabama at Oklahoma	-14.0	47.0	L 3 - 24
Sat 11/30	Alabama vs Auburn	-10.5	50.5	W 28 - 14
Tue 12/31	Alabama vs Michigan	-16.5	45.5	L 13 - 19

MIZ's OC Kirby Moore vs ALA's DC Kane Wommack ALA's OC Nick Sheridan vs MIZ's DC Corey Batoon

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MIZ	#21 (.29)	46% (26)	28.9	45% (48)	3.06 (82)	172	48% (13)	261	4.51 (22)	#47 (.15)	37% (19)	20.4	35% (13)	39% (30)	3.93 (81)	54.2	0.7	1.5
ALA	#20 (.29)	45% (39)	33.8	45% (43)	3.23 (45)	160	45% (34)	212	4.59 (17)	#26 (.11)	36% (12)	17.4	38% (28)	34% (6)	3.86 (73)	45.7	0.7	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MIZ		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ALA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MIZ Offense	13	28.9	24.8	46.1%	4.51	0.7	22	433	172	261	4.5	54%	46%	45%	48%	13%	.29
ALA Defense	14	17.4	13.7	35.8%	3.86	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	48%	52%	38%	34%	19%	.11

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MIZ Defense	13	20.4	26.4	36.8%	3.93	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	46%	54%	35%	39%	19%	.15
ALA Offense	14	33.8	41	45%	4.59	0.7	19	373	160	212	4.3	57%	43%	45%	45%	15%	.29

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Missouri	13	30:24	21.5	43%	73%	7.2	54.2	0.7	1.5	6.1	2.8	1	28.6
Alabama	14	28:25	18.6	47%	83%	5.4	45.7	0.7	1.3	5.9	2.8	2	30.6

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MIZ Offense	13	54% (40)	45% (48)	38.2	171.8	4.5	25 (37)	.18 (50)	3.06 (82)	75% (52)	9% (46)	0.97 (84)
ALA Defense	14	48% (40)	38% (28)	-	-	-	-	.15 (71)	3.13 (74)	67% (36)	12% (21)	1.12 (114)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MIZ Defense	13	46% (18)	35% (13)	-	-	-	-	.08 (33)	2.74 (17)	71% (56)	13% (11)	1.06 (97)
ALA Offense	14	57% (18)	45% (43)	37	160.4	4.3	30 (21)	.21 (39)	3.23 (45)	81% (13)	11% (91)	0.98 (79)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MIZ Offense	13	46% (93)	48% (13)	19	28.9	261.2	9	13.7	23 (51)	7 (21)	.44 (18)	1.7 (42)	31% (46)	36% (21)	.46 (29)	5% (16)	2 (69)
ALA Defense	14	52% (98)	34% (6)	-	-	-	-	-	-	12 (37)	.11 (9)	1.5 (42)	35% (29)	26% (18)	.23 (25)	7% (37)	2.1 (71)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MIZ Defense	13	54% (118)	39% (30)	-	-	-	-	-	-	9 (87)	.23 (46)	1.6 (58)	36% (21)	25% (15)	.18 (12)	6% (64)	1.9 (19)
ALA Offense	14	43% (115)	45% (34)	13.7	21.6	212.1	9.8	15.5	23 (51)	6 (14)	.44 (20)	1.9 (8)	31% (50)	34% (39)	.55 (11)	4% (6)	2.6 (1)

Missouri's Power Ratings
Missouri's Power Rating: 11.81 #26
Missouri's Offense Rating: 21.28 #55
Missouri's Defense Rating: 6.00 #33
2024 Talent Rating: 846.00 #22
Blue Chip Ratio: 25% #23
Missouri's 2024 Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0
Missouri's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.0 #19
Missouri's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.7 #23
Missouri's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.7 #20

Missouri's SP+ Ratings
Missouri's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.0 #19
Missouri's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.7 #23
Missouri's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.7 #20

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 901
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Missouri: 11.81 Alabama: 20.87

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Missouri: 14.0 Alabama: 25.0

Alabama's Power Ratings
Alabama's Power Rating: 20.87 #9
Alabama's Offense Rating: 23.39 #33
Alabama's Defense Rating: 4.21 #20
2024 Talent Rating: 1078.00 #3
Blue Chip Ratio: 82 #1
Alabama's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0

Alabama's SP+ Ratings
Alabama's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 25.0 #4
Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.9 #6
Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.6 #8

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 901
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Missouri Scoring
Offense: 28.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.8
Defense: 20.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 26.4

Missouri's 2024 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Alabama 27
Missouri 23

Projected Total Points: 50

Alabama Scoring
Offense: 33.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 41
Defense: 17.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 13.7

Alabama's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	10/26	Alabama	34	Missouri	0	Alabama	Alabama -16	Alabama	51.5	Under
2020	09/26	Missouri	19	Alabama	38	Alabama	Alabama -29.0	Missouri	56.0	Over
2018	10/13	Alabama	39	Missouri	10	Alabama	Alabama -28	Alabama	72.5	Under
2014	12/06	Missouri	13	Alabama	42	Alabama	Alabama -3	Alabama	0
2012	10/13	Missouri	10	Alabama	42	Alabama

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Alabama	5	3	1 Overs
Missouri	0	1	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 3	3 - 1	2 - 0	1 - 1
Road Teams	3 - 2	1 - 3	1 - 1	0 - 2

(#26) Missouri Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 11.81 #26
Offense Rating: 21.28 #55
Defense Rating: 6.00 #33
Overall SP+ Rating: 14.0 #19
Offense SP+ Rating: 33.7 #23
Defense SP+ Rating: 18.7 #20
Talent Rating: 846.00 #22
Blue Chip Ratio: 25% #23
Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0

Missouri Notes
(11/30) 3-1 finish. Even w/ Ark, forced 2 TOs, good 3rd Def
(11/24) Off OK vs Miss St, Def held 2-10 on 3rd downs
(11/18) Cook nearly beat SC, Run Def great, Pass D WTF?
(11/13) Off bad, Def good, great Pyne drive beat OU
(11/12) C Tollison (top in CFB) out for season
(10/27) Off is broken, all stats < '23. Cook/Rgame bad
(10/23) QB Brady Cook doubtful for Bama game (ankle)
(10/23) RB Noel doubtful for Bama game

Missouri Ratings Matchup Alabama

Power #26

Off #55

#33

Def #33

#20

Talent #22

SP+ #19

SP+ Off #23

SP+ Def #20

Rematch from Week 9
Alabama -16.0 (51.5)
Alabama won vs Missouri this year (34-0)

Previous Matchups
Alabama beat Missouri last year (34-0)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bryant Denny Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 87° - Wind: 7 mph

Team Information
Injuries: MIZ | ALA
Depth Chart: MIZ | ALA
Rosters: MIZ | ALA

(#9) Alabama Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 20.87 #9
Offense Rating: 23.39 #33
Defense Rating: 4.21 #20
Overall SP+ Rating: 25.0 #4
Offense SP+ Rating: 37.9 #6
Defense SP+ Rating: 14.6 #8
Talent Rating: 1078.00 #3
Blue Chip Ratio: 82 #1
Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0

Alabama Notes
(11/24) Killed by OU. 2-3 in road games. Off a mess
(11/24) Rgame/Milroe awful, Run D torched (257, 5.1 ypc)
(11/12) Starting LB Que Robinson out for season
(11/10) Milroe/Rgame mauled LSU, 300+ yds, 6.5 ypc
(10/27) Milroe 3 TD/5 Int in last 4. Rgame killed Mizzu
(10/19) Milroe/Rgame awful @ Tenn. 15 flags, 2 TOs
(10/16) Def ranks #120 in time on field into Tenn
(10/14) Penalties killing Bama, bottom 20 (8, 72 ypg)

Missouri's OC Kirby Moore

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Brady Cook	200	320	63%	2525	11	2	7.9
Drew Pyne	49	82	60%	391	3	3	4.8

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Nate Noel	163	818	3	5.0	64
Marcus Carroll	140	595	12	4.3	35
Brady Cook	87	223	5	2.6	31
Jamal Roberts	53	216	3	4.1	14

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Theo Wease	60	884	4	14.7	70
Luther Burden III	60	666	6	11.1	44
Marquis Johnson	25	352	1	14.1	49
Brett Norfleet	26	235	2	9.0	36

Alabama's OC Nick Sheridan

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jalen Milroe	205	319	64%	2844	16	11	8.9
Ty Simpson	14	25	56%	167	0	0	6.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jalen Milroe	168	726	20	4.3	72
Jamarion Miller	145	668	7	4.6	56
Justice Haynes	79	448	7	5.7	85
Richard Young	27	146	2	5.4	62

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Ryan Williams	48	865	8	18.0	84
Germie Bernard	50	794	2	15.9	47
C.J. Dippre	21	256	0	12.2	46
Josh Cuevas	16	218	1	13.6	43

Missouri's DC Corey Batoon

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Corey Flagg Jr.	81	5	1	1	0
Triston Newson	72	7	2	4	1
Marvin Burks Jr.	66	2	0	0	2
Daylan Carnell	51	5	0	0	6

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Johnny Walker	43	13	10	4	1
Zion Young	41	6	3	5	3
Chris McClellan	39	6	3	3	2
Jahkai Lang	12	2	2	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Daylan Carnell	51	5	6
Joseph Charleston	44	2	4
Toriano Pride	22	0	4

Alabama's DC Kane Wommack

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jihaad Campbell	119	12	5	3	2
Deontae Lawson	76	6	2	0	4
Malachi Moore	70	3	1	3	8
Justin Jefferson	61	7	2	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jihaad Campbell	119	12	5	3	2
Quandarrius Robinson	23	7	4	5	0
Tim Keenan III	40	8	3	2	1
Tim Smith	35	4	2	5	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Malachi Moore	70	3	1	3	8
Domani Jackson	51	2	0	1	7
DeVonta Smith	30	1	0	1	5